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yep - it'll be what it's gonna be in the morning. Hopefully walking my kids to school (it's less than 2 blocks lol) isn't that gross.

Two things I've noticed while looping recent HRRR runs... the model has been playing catchup for 6 or 7 runs on temperatures overnight. It has been steadily correcting colder throughout the Northeast. And it hasn't been correcting (i.e., trading off) dewpoints to compensate. It's a cold airmass. The second thing that is well depicted is the strong surge of warmth/higher dewpoints coming from the SSE right into our area during the day tomorrow. That should warm the boundary layer in a hurry. That suggests maybe there could be a quick burst of snow/sleet (surprisingly heavy?) to just west of I-95 tomorrow morning with snow then changing to rain pretty far north of the area as the day progresses.

22/20. One of the coldest nights so far and all for some rain.

Temp is 29 after falling to 27 earlier. Clouds are moving in.

Currently 26.2 degrees with a dew point of 21.4 degrees. The clouds started coming in about an hour ago. Temp had bottomed out at 23.5. If the snow can start before sunrise, that will give a great head start on snow retention on pavement/sidewalks. We shall see in the morning.

Can’t bring myself to wake up tonight to see the 3 minutes of snow we’ll probably get. Hopefully we’ve got better days ahead

I'm not trying to be mean, but this was too good an opportunity to pass up...

You moved back to Feeding Hills?

It’s sniffing this out…

Man, 20.1/17 Gonna be a cold rain.....

WB kissing 20 already... Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk

Hi PF Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk

Could be the Strat thing playing havoc on Model's or the forecasted strong Pac Jet or both. The MJO should be in a cold phase then. Blocking should be in place so ., just don't know. Extreme heat( for even there this late) is lurking in the deep SE and over the Gulf and portions of Mexico so, wouldn't take alot to soar Temps if flow shoots from that way. In fact , some of the milder air aloft now is a result of that being sifted north toward the Jet. That huge area of extreme warmth originally spread from Mexico and Texas a couple Weeks ago along with that now Cuban HP that was forecasted last week to be a huge SER with near record warmth here. I'm in hopes that HP and area of heat gets shunted eastward toward the Sargasso Sea as it may cause us issues throughout the Winter if not. I've seen it before. The Aleutians Trough is a bit too west as well as Holston noted. Place that a bit east and shift the pattern that much East and we'd be situated about where Western KY is within the Trough now. Those are a couple things that would help us if they shift. A bit of an apendage ; the Cuban HP can occasionally be of benefit, particularly with Overrunning Events so, it's not always bad. It just doesn't happen often. We'd still be much better overall if it were shunted out as mentioned above.

School here is cancelled for Susquenita.

Yup…back to 2-4” here on that GFS.

Bangor PA: Temp 26°/ Dew Pt 19°

Nice looking precip shield moving north out of the deep south

urban heat is strong right now with no wind - 36/25 in NW DC.

Sniffing out the colder temps perhaps?

I was just going to say..many would love for that to verify after the last 36 hours.

Wow. Just wow. I have news for you - I used to live in South Florida, and visited Miami regularly, and I have family that live on the west coast in Florida and still visit there regularly. It's nothing like you characterize. The primary source of flooding we generally saw was due to occasional heavy rains - not some kind of creeping ocean. You're quite the drama queen. You know nothing about the interactions of cities and oceans. Is there sometimes flooding from hurricanes? Yes there can be (I was there during Andrew). But it's always been the case - it's nothing new, and it's nothing horribly destructive and regular as you present. I'm quite sure that *you* do not and have not lived in such a place. If it was so bad - why do you think so much construction is going on there? Wouldn't people be moving *away* from there, instead *into* Miami (and Florida overall)? Miami's population has increased over 20% just in the last 20 years. I guess those people must be dolphins or something. I realize the NFL team is the dolphins - but I'm pretty sure the people that live there aren't *actually* dolphins.

30/24 in Herndon at 11 PM

Man, I'd kill to verify that GFS.

Local weather says your in a good spot, all snow north of route 1. I wasn't sure where you were, just remember boat pictures, lol.

I mean my map in general...but it is what it is. Will grade it as such.