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Could not have picked a better day to head to BID

10/10 day

Another incredible evening

Larger view on the Days 0 to 46

Yes, in my mind I know summer here can go to October, but there is always a chance .005% At least soon we will pass the peak sun angle.

Some would love nothing more because it would equal the year without a winter, lol

I wouldnt really throw in the towel yet. The NAM runs, while still an overall miss, trended better. This system itself is also super dynamic and is expected to spawn a tornado outbreak in the Midwest the day before. I would never count out a strong low pressure system moving just to our north at this time of year. I think this is one that could surprise.

It would be nice to avoid smoke season altogether this year, Last July was horrible as well. Every cold front brought dense smoke and every ridge brought haze and humidity. I forgot what deep blue sky looked like for a bit.

Comfortable morning. 68 for a low at 1:13am. Opened the windows, then that sun came out and it got intense. 87 at 3:15pm. Hoping the TC in the Gulf will help at the end of the week, but "signs point to no."

73/45 Mostly sunny. Great stuff.

Not likely. We have all of July and August, and we live in the MA. We got the dog days ahead.

I’m a little surprised we’re still under a slight risk for Thursday. The timing of the front and associated storms looks like it’ll be in the late morning/early afternoon, which is too early for instability to really do its thing. It does still look like we’ll get some rain at least which is very helpful, especially for the areas that got shafted on Sunday.

It usually only happens in the spring, and stops around Chicago due to easterly component off Lake MI even then. I haven’t been paying attention because it’s just going to a chilly stratiform rainer with an embedded rumble or two IMBY.

Had a few quarter sized stones hit my sliding door around 4:30 PM. Most of the stones were probably .5” and soft looking, but some close to 1” were mixed in. I could definitely hear the bigger harder ones hitting sporadically. Had to warn my parents who live 1 mile away to protect their cars. No severe warning for this cell. I guess it’s hard to see a marginal hail core very close to the radar.

Cloudy with a high of 85. Very humid out there though. Dew points in the mid 70's.

Our temperature has actually dipped about 5 degrees from 12:30-4:30 PM here today. Falling afternoon temps are hard to achieve without precipitation this time of the year.

If I drive 12hrs everyone will be below 90F because it’ll be 2am.

hope you get a banger

Could use more rain, but temps not bad. Worse of the heat behind us?

tbh, i believe tomorrow will pale in comparison to last thursday in illinois. that's my hunch.

18z NAM Nest is the first really encouraging run for Thursday. It also seems to justify the outlook for tonight.

The Midwest is going to have a Deep South outbreak on Wednesday, with fast storm motion and low LCLs. At least their trees aren’t as bad. Oh but we love battling trees, lol! And we don’t have Midwest chaser convergence. Enter the Southeast on Thursday! Remnant of PTC 1 (perhaps Arthur) will scoot from Mississippi through Alabama into Georgia. Despite hideous terrain, it’s close. From SPC Day 3 Southeast... The remnants of Potential Tropical Cyclone 1 will continue to move through the northern Gulf into the Southeast on Thursday. With 70+ dewpoints likely to be ahead of this feature, even muted surface heating will promote moderate instability will develop. With locally enhanced shear near the remnant low, isolated strong wind gusts and perhaps a tornado or two will be possible. Should greater destabilization occur, higher probabilities could be warranted.