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Southern half of Wilson county is getting a decent soaking but nothing wants to pop north.

Based on a long post, it's now clear that his video will be misleading. Point 1: Just because landslides/avalanches have occurred over tens of millions of years, does not automatically mean that one must not consider the warming climate and its impact on the most recent glacial collapse/debris flow. Point 2: Even after the USGS pointed out that an earthquake did not trigger the recent events, Martz continued to mislead. Apparently, his deception because unsustainable, so he has subtly altered his narrative in order to continue to blame seismic activity. Point 3: Jim Steele has no background in the relevant sciences (climate, glaciers, etc.) He is a biologist. Point 4: This is Martz's opinion. Here's the latest relevant science: "Rising ELA increasingly intersecting with the steep, narrow, thin ice, and heavily crevassed icefall areas drive fragmentation and disconnection." Point 5: Strawman argument. The issue concerns glacial response to today's warming climate. Point 6: This is common language used to dismiss or discount the rapidity of warming being driven by the burning of fossil fuels. Point 7: Another argument that is irrelevant to the recent event combined with the attitude, "Don't worry about it; nothing can be done, anyway. This is supposed to happen." In sum, any video will be badly misleading, dismissive of what actually occurred, and indifferent to the consequences of that event and the increased probability of similar future events as the climate continues to warm.

Headed to DC for the day and dinner, thankful it’s not oppressive out.

Severe threat is probably SW.. DXR to NYC to Mid atl . I suppose it’s possible I see first tstorm of summer though

Maybe your get your elusive spinner in that timeframe

There are finally cells firing in my area but at this time none seem good candidates to hit me. It's maddening! I'm at 0.85" for the month.

And high humidity coming back tomorrow. Gotta enjoy the spectacular weather today. Feels great with a dewpoint of only 47 here right now. This is a top 5 day of the summer.

Of all things too…they don’t keep snow records. That’s annoying.

When it comes to lunar eclipses I agree! Final edits:

Matt Prader? Yes he's 42, but he was reliable last season and as a one-season stop gap might not be a bad choice.

Interesting to be this bullish 4 days out

June was dry here like you’re Julorch . Tit for tat. Either looks like rain chances everyday Tuesday - Friday next week so that’ll soak someone .. likely NOP for Jack

We’re just going in circles. Your area has been pretty wet the last couple months. July was bone dry in this region. I did get lucky with a 3” event to start August, but it was a narrow stripe and most of it ran down the hill into the river valley. We just need one of those 2 week stretches where we rack up 3-5 days with at least a half inch.

Tuesday shaping up to probably be a tornado outbreak NY/PA and maybe even including SW VT/W MA/W CT so long llvl flow is more southerly.

August 29 1948: An airliner crashes during a thunderstorm near Winona, killing 37 people on board. 1863: A devastating killing frost affects most of Minnesota, killing vines and damaging corn. For Saturday, August 29, 2026 1960 - The storm that would become Hurricane Donna forms near Cape Verde off the African coast. It would go on to cause 150 deaths from Puerto Rico to New England over the next two weeks. 1962 - Hackberry, LA, was deluged with twenty-two inches of rain in 24 hours, establishing a state record. (The Weather Channel) 1965 - A national record for the month of August was established when 2.5 inches of snow fell atop Mount Washington NH. Temperatures in New England dipped to 39 degrees at Nantucket MA, and to 25 degrees in Vermont. For many location it was the earliest freeze of record. (David Ludlum) 1983 - A devastating hail storm struck portions of central South Dakota. In a small part of Faulk County, hail pounded the area for two straight hours. At times, the hail was the size of baseballs. Of course, this incredible hailstorm devastated crops in the area and took out windows in area buildings. In one home, the windows were shattered, the curtains shredded, and glass shards and water ruined much of the upper floor. On some houses, the paint was peeled off by the continual pounding of the hail. Also, funnel clouds were reported just east of Lake City, and near Langford and Veblen in Marshall County. In Veblen, a pole barn was blown over, and shingles were torn off. 1987 - Some of the most powerful thunderstorms in several years developed over the piedmont of North Carolina, and marched across central sections of the state during the late afternoon and evening hours. Baseball size hail was reported around Albemarle, while thunderstorm winds downed giant trees around High Falls. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Cool air invaded the north central U.S. Ten cities reported record low temperatures for the date, including Bismarck ND with a reading of 33 degrees. Deerfield, a small town in the Black Hills of South Dakota, reported a low of 23 degrees. The remnants of Tropical Storm Chris drenched eastern Pennsylvania with up to five and a half inches of rain, and produced high winds which gusted to 90 mph, severely damaging a hundred boats in Anne Arundel County MD. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Evening thunderstorms produced destructive lightning in West Virginia. The lightning caused widespread damage, particularly in Doddridge County. Numerous trees were downed closing many roads. Fire companies had a difficult time tending to the many homes and trailers on fire. Anchorage AK reported a record 9.60 inches of rain for the month of August. The average annual precipitation for Anchorage is just slightly more than fifteen inches. Three day rainfall totals in northwest Missouri ranged up to 8.20 inches at Maryville. (The National Weather Summary) 2005 - Hurricane Katrina made landfall in Plaquemines Parish in southeastern Louisiana early on the 29th with maximum sustained winds near 125 mph, a strong category-three, and the third most-intense landfalling hurricane in U.S. history. The center of the hurricane passed just east of New Orleans, where winds gusted over 100 mph. Widespread devastation and unprecedented flooding occurred, submerging at least 80 percent of the city as levees failed. Farther east, powerful winds and a devastating storm surge of 20-30 feet raked the Mississippi coastline, including Gulfport and Biloxi, where Gulf of Mexico floodwaters spread several miles inland. Rainfall amounts of 8-10 inches were common along and to the east of the storm's path. Katrina weakened to a tropical storm as it tracked northward through Mississippi and gradually lost its identity as it moved into the Tennessee Valley on the 30th Observances: 29 Sat National Chop Suey Day 29 Sat National Lemon Juice Day 29 Sat International Day Against Nuclear Tests 29 Sat According to Hoyle Day 29 Sat Individual Rights Day 29 Sat More Herbs, Less Salt Day

Well if we’re going by that map and theory.,. Then so does my area since we’re both under the pretty yellow

Rain missed me to the S. But more chances the next couple days.

Past 120 days % of normal. This area needs some large scale water

Mini-split hasn't been on in weeks...glad to save a bit on the electric bill.

SLK is another site that didn’t have official early 90s obs pre-96 (ASOS era) so like MHT, I’m not sure what they’re doing statistically to derive the normals. edit…looks like SLK ASOS went online summer of 1998.

Theres still some heat and humidity to be had before we close the book on summer. Fall is getting close, and for some of us...it's too close.

Looks like some showers tomorrow afternoon now

Looks like we finish August with .9 ACE points and a feeble 3.6 is the 2026 total to date. We'll see that September can deliver. Looks quiet for the next 5-7 days as least.