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Global energy demand is rising faster than renewables can scale. Population growth, economic development, and industrial expansion in emerging markets are driving electricity and fuel consumption to record highs. Although solar and wind power generation is growing at double-digit rates, they are adding to energy supply rather than displacing fossil fuels. Political headwinds ranging from a u-turn on climate policy in the United States and retreat from climate ambition in the European Union will likely prolong, if not increase, the excessive consumption of fossil fuels. Unfortunately, at least for the near-term on account of an absence of political will, macroeconomic shocks such as those resulting from the 2008 financial crisis and 2020-21 COVID pandemic may be the only sources of reductions in fossil fuel burning and greenhouse gas emissions. All indications I have seen so far suggest that COP 30 in Brazil will be another farce. There will be empty words, but no binding commitments to even beginning a phase-out of fossil fuels, much less commitments with a credible targets and an enforcement mechanism. In sum, the world's leaders have committed to bringing the planet to a new climate epoch. That this will mean sacrificing parts of major cities to the seas or parts of Europe to a chill from the breakdown of the AMOC doesn't deter them. The most relevant question concerns whether they have chosen the Mid-Pliocene or the even hotter Eocene. With approximately 3°C warming likely by 2100 on the present course, the Mid-Pliocene might merely be a stop along the way of an longer journey into a hotter climate.

Yes, that was a big part of HM’s disco on this topic (-QBO/-ENSO resulting in a flat Aleutian ridge and +QBO/-ENSO resulting in a poleward Aleutian high). He actually went into a very detailed disco with a bunch of images in his blog. Shame I can’t find it anymore to share on here

I did some digging and turns out it’s something called “rain”. It’s a relatively common weather phenomenon across some parts of the world. Exciting to see it so close by!

Getting the first glimmer of leaf change in the usual low lying, wetland area.

There are a lot of green, yellow and orange returns showing up on radar in southeast Wisconsin. I’ll investigate what it could be.

MPO made it down to 41° at the end of August which was the coldest since 2000. But not really that cold prior to 2000. The drier conditions allowed them to make it to the 11th coldest reading for August. The warmth back in June was more impressive. It was their first June 93° maximum temperature. Time Series Summary for Mount Pocono Area, PA (ThreadEx) - Month of Aug top 10 lowest temperatures Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 1986 31 0 2 1965 32 0 - 1907 32 0 3 1987 33 4 - 1941 33 0 - 1940 33 0 4 1982 34 0 - 1976 34 0 - 1942 34 0 - 1923 34 0 - 1910 34 0 - 1908 34 0 - 1904 34 0 5 1979 35 0 - 1921 35 0 - 1916 35 0 6 1972 36 0 - 1971 36 0 - 1968 36 0 - 1934 36 0 - 1927 36 0 - 1912 36 0 - 1911 36 0 7 1992 37 4 - 1989 37 6 - 1988 37 5 - 1963 37 0 - 1947 37 0 - 1946 37 0 - 1922 37 0 - 1915 37 0 - 1909 37 0 - 1905 37 0 - 1903 37 0 8 1981 38 0 - 1977 38 0 - 1930 38 0 - 1924 38 0 - 1919 38 0 9 1969 39 0 - 1964 39 0 - 1949 39 0 - 1944 39 0 - 1935 39 0 - 1906 39 0 - 1902 39 0 10 2000 40 0 - 1974 40 0 - 1966 40 0 - 1962 40 0 - 1952 40 0 - 1950 40 0 - 1936 40 0 - 1929 40 0 - 1917 40 0 11 2025 41 0 - 1984 41 0 - 1983 41 0 - 1958 41 1 - 1957 41 0 - 1954 41 2 Time Series Summary for Mount Pocono Area, PA (ThreadEx) - Month of Jun warmest maximum temperatures Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2025 93 0 2 1952 92 0 - 1933 92 0 - 1914 92 0 3 2011 91 0 - 1911 91 0 4 2012 90 0 - 1964 90 0 - 1957 90 3 - 1956 90 0 - 1953 90 0 - 1908 90 0 5 2021 89 0 - 2008 89 0 - 1944 89 0 - 1943 89 0 - 1934 89 0 - 1925 89 0 6 2024 88 0 - 2023 88 0

What a week coming up.. Next week looks dry and unseasonably warm with highs in the 80s inland! Summer is not over yet! Keep the pools open and the boats in the water.

https://youtu.be/azE7nqqQMmo?si=etqrdvu28PyzRfE3

Lol

haven't mowed my lawn in probably two weeks - it would be mostly running over walnuts anyway. seeing lots of trees starting to pop with color, especially near the lakes on my way to work in the morning. patchy fog has been the most exciting part of the past five days otherwise.

Upstate heatwave

We’ll get it briefly in early nov and probably early April as a few mangled, fat flakes and as usual, everything in between will be variations of chilly and warm rain, mixed in with occasional periods of 65 degree mist and fog. Of course, northern New England is a whole different realm so you know they’ll have their many moments of glory.

Ha...sentence about proofreading wasn't proofread

The top 5 analog years are all in the last 5 years. How have you done in the last 5 years? The next two weeks should have a trough in the NE N. Pacific. If people are freaking out about warm SSTAs there, there really shouldn't be a strong, persistent trough developing but the atmosphere comes first and SSTs 2nd. In 2 weeks the warm water in the Gulf of Alaska should cool..

Lol. I didn't notice that. Should or proof read.

I’ve had less than 1” rain since June 20.

Especially since Capital Region Water is gonna start drawing out of the river soon. They will shut down Dehart supply to fix pipes I think for about 2 weeks.

I dunno,dont shoot the messenger,but it seems to be more related to the ENSO,IN 1980 our subforum into NC and the east coast would be saying bring it on,maybe a coincidence,i have know clue,planetary waves can take weeks if not months to have effects in NA, but both of these years i stated above seem to be more of developing ELNino,not NINA with a SWE in the SP https://www.weather.gov/mhx/Mar011980EventReview

I was going to say...see you around Thanksgiving. Regardless, have an amazing time!

Yes it does.

Yikes days lol 5 in Copenhagen, 5 in Stockholm

the only real dip we had was in 2020 during the pandemic, when not coincidentally, air and water pollution also got much less.

whats causing the increase in consumption Don? something that no one likes to talk about but is a fundamental problem with society today is population growth. I know it's not as much of a problem in Westernized nations but it's most definitely a problem in the Developing world. The UN estimates the population will stabilize around 11 billion in 2080 and they'd better be right, one of the major reasons for all this usage of energy and resources is the earth simply cannot support a human population more than about 11 billion-- it's the carrying capacity of humans on the planet.

averages dropping quick now

Wow, where are you heading? Iceland?