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2026-2027 Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
With +QBO? El Nino by itself does disturb the Stratosphere PV -
Today's Highs:ACY: 100New Brnswck: 99EWR: 98JFK: 98LGA: 98PHL: 98BLM: 95TTN: 97TEB: 96NYC: 95ISP: 92
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
canderson replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
97 for the high. thinking it might show tomorrow. -
Made it up to 95° at both ORD and MDW today.
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Made it up to 95° at both ORD and MDW today. ...2026 90°+ Day Tally... 9 - MDW 9 - ARR 8 - ORD 8 - RFD 8 - PWK 8 - UGN 8 - LOT 6 - DPA
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Today's Highs: ACY: 100 New Brnswck: 99 EWR: 98 JFK: 98 LGA: 98 PHL: 98 BLM: 98 TTN: 97 TEB: 96 NYC: 95 ISP: 92
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I might have to stop by for a few days and watch all that snow pile up.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yea, last year was still close enough to the max that geomagnetic energy, which lags max by a couple of years and is most highly correlated with +NAO, hadn't really kicked in yet. My solar composite (top right) looked like the rest of my composites last year, which resembled the ultimate pattern. -
Just Unbelievable - more rain here in Buda - In the past 72 hours we've gotten 4.6 more inches of rain. This means we are now at 33 inches for the year. We are 110 percent of normal and the strong Nino is only just starting to clear its throat. Just wait til autumnal frontal structures start interacting with tropical features in Sept/Oct. With the jet so far south, we'll get so much rain we will need arks. West of us near Hondo they have been getting much more than us, three nights in a row, more than 10 inches some nights! That place is Waterworld! Lawn mower is getting workouts on the regular, in a place where we usually have 103 degrees, hot sun and dust and brown grasses. Not this year. I am gonnabe weeding that dreaded front flowerbed til my fingers fall off. HUGE water puddles are everywhere! Onion Creek has so much water! In July!
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
This goes along with the blocky March theme that I just mentioned.... -
Tonight down at the Hoboken waterfront around 7:00 PM
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Seeing some AQIs over 200 in NYC now.
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The timing of the smoke came in the evening . Had this came in around 1-2pm like 2023 it wouldve been the same
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I generally think he tends to be a jaded weenie where he predicts warmth but gets sucked into a snow threat when it appears. That said, he’s better than most online forecasters and does know his technical stuff. He’s a guy who I’d rather have on our side when forecasting a storm but he’s been wrong before too.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Last year was okay up top. My thought was because the sun was so active it acted more like a peaking solar cycle even being technically past the peak as on the way up is generallybetter than down. Maybe it's already been mentioned by another(s) on or off this Board idk. Just a hunch. If correct, an active sun might give a better result....just a weenie WAG! -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Severe Weather Weenie Europe really beating the disturbed PV drum for next winter. -
The smell is getting stronger here in Brooklyn.
