All Activity

You know it’s been humid when a 61F dew point feels refreshing… 8-10 lower than yesterday afternoon.

Hmm, not sure. I go to North Wildwood NJ. because the waves are better, versus Dewey Beach and the Inlet here in Delaware. I did hear there were jelly fish at some Delaware beaches, but I have not heard about any at the lower Southern NJ beaches such as Cape May, the Wildwoods and Stone Harbor. I believe Delaware beaches are more prone to stinging jelly fish due to the effects of the Delaware Bay incubator effect. Also, North Wildwood is more exposed to open water and more active currents lessening stinging jelly swarms. The Cheasapeake Bay might be responsible for more jelly fish activity on the MD beaches due to salinity this year because of the drought, calmer surf and warmer temps in the Chessy .

These dudes are crazy rn. Also sorry for spamming the thread but ya these dudes are nuts

August is now too humid to easily produce 100 degree days.

Thunder is crazy.

MD beaches are dealing with a jellyfish swarm. wonder if it is because of El Niño.

Man was it miserable running with this humidity. Just zero evapotranspiration from the skin. I mean the sweat was squelching in my shoes after seven miles this morning.

I see. Well I appreciate you not adhering to a cookie cutter forecast and applying nuance to this upcoming winter. It's telling that the same people who are excited about the prospect of a warm winter simply because of the reaction of this board were also the ones who went warm for 24-25 and 25-26.

Temps lagging a few degrees today so far. 87/72

I think part of it is gentrification. These places operated on minimal budgets and the courses suffered from a lack of ability for maintenance and upkeep. I also think some places just ran out of generational transitions and were forced to shutter. Heather Hill, Atlantic, and Locust are all being redeveloped into residential units I believe.

Dews in the upper 40s and 50s by Friday!

From the analysis by Claude - Coatesville 1SW trends, °C/decade, 1894–1982 Series Trend ±1 se p r² °F/century Raw −0.124 0.030 9.7×10⁻⁵ 0.174 −2.23 Adjusted +0.050 0.028 0.075 0.039 +0.90 Regional +0.053 0.026 0.047 0.048 +0.95 Adjusted − raw +0.174 0.014 5.3×10⁻²¹ 0.671 +3.13 Raw Coatesville cools significantly across its full 89-year record. The NCEI adjustements indicate that 67% of the variance in the adjustment is a straight line in time. That is a remarkably clean linear trend for something that is SUPPOSED TO BE A SET OF UNRELATED BIAS CORRECTIONS. The adjusted series supplies 348% of its own trend from the adjustment. Every single breakpoint is code 4 Fourteen breakpoints: 1896-12, 1902-02, 1917-08, 1920-09, 1922-08, 1930-10, 1936-05, 1941-06, 1946-04, 1959-11, 1968-05, 1971-04, 1973-07, 1976-02. Not one is code 1 (documented move), 2 (gap), or 3 (time-of-observation change) — all fourteen are empirically inferred from neighbor comparison. Given that your HOMR work documents six actual site relocations at this station between 1888 and 1982, Berkeley detected none of them as documented events. Worth cross-checking your Coatesville 1SW History sheet against those fourteen dates: any that coincide with a real move is a defensible correction; any that don't is a correction inferred purely from the neighbors disagreeing. Of note only Coatesville 2W had a documented flagged station move across the entire Coatesville lineage - in April 2001. That's the first and only documented move Berkeley has flagged anywhere in the Coatesville lineage, against six relocations in your HOMR research and fourteen all-code-4 breaks at 1SW.

89/74 currently at my station so dews still very uncomfortable

GFS accuracy has never been the best.

Svr warnings all over here. I knew I felt it lol Edit: Feeling a tail end Charlie coming through here let’s see.

Tolerable outside in shade with nice breeze but still humid feeling. 84 currently.

Would love to see Feb-April to judge the full winter... Had a hunch it would be extremely back loaded this year

That’s refreshing being that the record breaking super El Niño is raging…..

Grass should start burning end of the week.

Thanks Mike!! It looks like there is t-max and t-min starting pretty consistently for West Chester starting late in 1873. I will try to add this to my data set and run some reports! This is great!! If you can find any other stations from before 1894 let me know!

I had a request to update the "heatwave" stats to something potentially more meaningful. Which is 3 or more consecutive days with daily maximum temperatures above the 90th and 95th percentile for all Chester County Stations. The below rank summary makes the absolute-vs-relative divergence concrete. Sorted by absolute rank, the biggest movers are the 2010s (11th → 4th) and 2020s (13th → 6th), both rising 7 places once heat is judged against each station's own norm — meaning recent decades have been locally extreme even though they weren't absolutely record-hot. Going the other way, the 1960s (−4) and 1990s (−5) fall under the relative lens, and the 1940s slip from 1st to 3rd. The 1930s hold firm near the top under both definitions, and the 1950s actually take the #1 spot under P90

I had a request to update the "heatwave" stats to something potentially more meaningful. Which is 3 or more consecutive days with daily maximum temperatures above the 90th and 95th percentile for all Chester County Stations. The below rank summary makes the absolute-vs-relative divergence concrete. Sorted by absolute rank, the biggest movers are the 2010s (11th → 4th) and 2020s (13th → 6th), both rising 7 places once heat is judged against each station's own norm — meaning recent decades have been locally extreme even though they weren't absolutely record-hot. Going the other way, the 1960s (−4) and 1990s (−5) fall under the relative lens, and the 1940s slip from 1st to 3rd. The 1930s hold firm near the top under both definitions, and the 1950s actually take the #1 spot under P90