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You already said this

Just over halfway through winter and I have 18.1" for the season. I think that already beats my total for the whole of last year.

That January mean temperature is sinking faster than cement shoes in the Hudson.

It doesn't have to be his back.

Thanks. So at this time everybody just be happy we will get snow, details to be determined.

LFG you guys!!! Get vibes and north trends rolling like the olden days. but don’t start a thread.

If we're doing verbatim, quite a bit of mixing on the southern half of the 12Z run whereas virtually none on the 18Z and surface temps in the teens and low 20s. Anywhere near 1" of liquid in those conditions is gold.

Oh we are here!!!!!

This all started when the euro had that 4 foot snowstorm

As in no snow at all I would say pretty low imo.

Still a chance, but probably lower than normal. I’d be very sad, but I’m also willing to chase this one so long as there is a storm. I’m just hoping it holds for the area so I can chase from the couch.

So what happens when we get obliterated by this storm? Does this mean Jimbo has to have back surgery every year?? .

Impressive drive by Indiana there

Yeah, your mojo is back. Now that we had one trend in our favor, it’s time to step on the gas, not back off. We can trend this bastard north. Western troughs accessing the gulf.

I mean what are the chances it misses completely lol

Meeting in the middle. This storm will have some dual maxima with it too which the smoothed means will not be able to handle, including the AI guidance. As it stands, this would be a QPF bomb with a sharp northern edge. This is one of those setups where you could go from nothing to 0.5” to 1” in under 100 miles.

I pull it up weekly with no prob

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Been 10 years since DC seen 12” or more of snow

I hope your wrong

I like where we sit now in southern PA for Sunday. We tend to do well when a slight north trend is needed to get into the good stuff with this type of set up. This set up reminds me of PD2 back in 2003 with the Arctic High slowly pressing in while precip stretched from southern PA back to Oklahoma and crawled east to the northeast. PD2 trended north during the last 48 hours before the event. Forecasts for the LSV as early as the day before the event had us getting 6 to 10, but as the event got underway, it kept bumping up. We ended up with many spots in the LSV getting 2 feet. Ratios for this event should be 15 or 20 to 1, so a foot of snow would be possible even if we only get .6 of precip and miss out on the precip jackpot. I think the odds of at least a minimal Warning event for the southern third of PA are high. With a gradual slight northward trend, the chance of a double digit event is certainly still in play.

I had to clear my cache to get the teleconnections page to work.

Here’s mine lol NYC - 1.8” ISP - 2.7” AC - 6” DC - 9.5” BOS - 0