All Activity

18z CMC and Euro got 9/50 dropscondes in their data set... 0z suite should have them all Lifted from NE forum.

Agree plus it's coming

Really??

We had over a foot on our deck. I opened our front door to look outside and the wind was howling. I was struggling to close the door, and before I could get it closed, the back of our sofa was covered in snow. It was amazing!

I think my place got 6.5" after doing a bit more measuring and shoveling Monday. Today, a snow squall formed between me and Cleveland. That brought briefly very bad conditions over by Cleveland.

I swear I feel dumber every time I read his writing

It was just for the giggles lol.

That same thought came to mind. The tv mets are tired and probably over fatigued from comments calling it a “bust” they will be even more conservative.

Apps Runner

I suspect it's going to be a big eastern half of North Carolina/South Carolina snow event. That area is the general focus for Bouncycorn.

But the happy hour runs were a lot better

We got another 1/2" dusting tonight about 30 minutes ago. Brought the dog out and surprise surprise, it was snowing. 12 F

I would laugh too Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk

Welp this will be settled fellow weenier when the maps come out, which who knows when that’ll be.

I was a kid in Charles County during that one. I'm sure I've got pictures of it somewhere in my parents' photos.I think we had around 2', but I was only 7 so I can't verify that.

The AI models have been excellent.

Also fwiw, some subjective model reanalysis from 48 hours: https://forecastwatch.com/2026/01/27/major-u-s-snowstorm-forecast-accuracy-analysis-january-23-26/ Good to know everyone blew it for us

I don't believe so. AIFS takes Euro analysis members and uses them as input to an ensemble of AI models. AIFS and AIGFS aren't bad really since they're run by met centers. It's the "observation driven" models where you see the most shady verification practices.

As noted earlier, IMO writing the event off completely goes beyond what can reasonably be supported by the models and their ensembles. Indeed, there has been some improvement during the 18z cycle.

It happened on Saturday morning during the storm of the century. No power but it came through on the weather radio. TW

This is a dangerous slippery slope for weather weenies.

He used to post here right? All of the sudden I can’t remember his handle…rainshadow? He was at Mt holly by that point.

It could be lol.

It’d be hilarious if the storm that had a week long hype machine that induced the nastiest comments from naysayers was actually the table setter for the one that makes them regret not planning this weekend

Were still a couple days out until this gets into some of the higher res short range models but we need to see more globals get on board the next few cycles with at least some tics trending west.