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  1. Past hour
  2. 0.46” imby/Columbia as rain winds down.
  3. London ONT may have a severe or tornado warning right now
  4. HRRR showing an overnight threat as 2 separate MCS impact the area. One in the 06z time frame that takes the just about the same line as earlier and another towards daybreak through SE PA and NJ. RGEM also shows overnight convection.
  5. Back to back days with severe thunderstorm warnings here. Last nigh took down multiple trees in the surrounding areas, 1.05 inches of rain last night and this today. Actually surprised that we are having these storms here, as the probabilities were rather low just a couple days ago.
  6. Pac putting on a show now. I looked at ensembles today and I've perked up. Looking at the big ensemble, the turn has definitely trended east in the last few cycles. This is the 00z and I'm guessing 12z will be a bit further east.
  7. This and Aug 27th were the best two storms of the year on the Rockville/Gaithersburg border. At least for lightning. It intensified right as it went down the I-270 suburb corridor.
  8. The summer of the severe warned storms that don't even produce thunder lol
  9. I am going to miss being able to just throw on shorts and short sleeved shirt after showering in the morning. Here it is September and I’m still wearing shorts. I’ve adapted quite a bit over the past few years
  10. OHC monthly rose to a new record high that last month had set (note these aren’t adjusted for GW in a “relative” sense, but they’re still very impressive): 2025 11 -0.02 -0.33 -0.46 2025 12 0.26 0.01 -0.03 2026 1 0.64 0.45 0.49 2026 2 1.08 1.02 1.15 2026 3 1.38 1.39 1.36 2026 4 1.85 2.07 2.24 2026 5 1.67 1.97 1.99 2026 6 1.79 2.14 2.26 2026 7 2.03 2.50 2.96 2026 8 2.19 2.75 3.20 The following image is for the same longitudes as that for the 3rd column and it jibes fairly well: Prior to 2026, this had been the record high for the last 2 columns: 1997 10 1.35 2.05 2.56
  11. Nope, closing in on 1” here. Not severe but some decent thunder and torrential rains.
  12. Beneficial rain in Colesville. A touch of thunder but that's it (so far)
  13. NAM has been going out with a whimper this storm season. It has struggled in almost every event. I agree we’re probably down until tomorrow sometime.
  14. Hurricane Karina has been 125kt from last night into this afternoon. Just add a "T" and you've got Hurricane Katrina!
  15. Honestly I will say that I have not checked that specific map very often. It's not of particular interest, day to day, for me. It seemed like some individual days in the 2016 El Nino were very high like +0.8C or something. For example, Feb 2016 is listed as +0.817C on that web site. The recently monthly anomaly values, like July and August 2026, are high (on that web site), +0.764C and +0.942C. So that's pretty insane.
  16. not one model showed that cluster
  17. Special Marine Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 115 PM EDT Wed Sep 2 2026 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Special Marine Warning for... Tidal Potomac from Indian Head to Cobb Island MD... Tidal Potomac from Key Bridge to Indian Head MD... * Until 315 PM EDT. * At 114 PM EDT, strong thunderstorms were located along a line extending from near Fort Smallwood State Park to 16 nm north of Key Bridge to 24 nm northwest of Tidal Basin to 31 nm northwest of Reagan National Airport, moving south at 25 knots. HAZARD...Wind gusts 34 knots or greater.
  18. At least its showing up on modeling, now lets see if it actually verifies.
  19. Also an uptick in lightning near Barnesville, MD ETA - radar presentation loops LEWP-esque
  20. The 12z NAM nest earlier seemed to want to blow a huge line through at like 2am. Not seeing that on other models. I think this line is the only show - especially if we are overturned.
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