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pain
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Yeah we noticed that on the crown of your head some years ago
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Mine got me. Scar remains. Old Ginger is a beast. Sardines? @dendrite
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I still look through the thread to this day.
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yes but beer is added in as well
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
All of the above! -
Bears Foxes Bobcats all seen in my hood again this spring, not to mention all the hawks. Extreme numbers of squirrels, chipmunks around. Chicken free range cancel
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60 here with bluebird skies.
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Looks like it's thinning out some
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I still have a scar from a rooster attack in May of 2024. Was taking some veggie scraps to the grandkids' flock in SNJ, all the hens came as a swarm and "Houdini" (kids name all the birds, of course) wasn't tolerating competition for ruling the hens. Its 2nd attack was repelled when I (carefully) flipped the rooster onto its back, after which it scooted next to the pen and crowed a dozen times - "I won! I won!" Then I noticed the blood running into my shoe.
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haha, I know where you live just be studying the tendency that seems to be fixed. Seriously, it's probably terrain determined to some degree
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2026-2027 Strong El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
- 1,189 replies
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2026-2027 Strong El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Well considering that it was showing a moderate/borderline strong El Niño on the last run then suddenly jumped to a super El Niño in one run, yea, it’s safe to assume it’s still adjusting and playing catch up to all the other guidance- 1,189 replies
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Do you really want to talk about small sample sizes? Your entire existence on this global climate change board is substantiated by a thread where you talk solely about your county’s climate data. Like, are we being for real?
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Tomorrow’s system is going to have a painfully tight gradient in rainfall with amounts over 1/2” and under 1/10” likely spanning a single county
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finished the month with 2 1/2" of rain.
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Exactly the same here, 0.40" thru 7 AM and 0.78" 7 AM thru 9 PM. (Another 0.01" of DZ overnight, but that goes in the May bucket.) Month finished at 4.00" - 7th consecutive BN month and 10th of 11, but only by a whisker. April average is 4.06".
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2026-2027 Strong El Nino
LakePaste25 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The reason many of the big mets on twitter are going with super and east based is because most Ninos that have started out the way this one is starting out have gone that way, so they’re not just doing it because they have some inherent warm bias - they have data to back it up. But the thing about meteorology (and the broader sciences) is that past data is only right until otherwise proven wrong.- 1,189 replies
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2026-2027 Strong El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Thanks. 1. You’re right that 1911-12 was colder in the Great Lakes/Midwest than in the South (see image below). So, good find and makes my statement wrong about ALL moderate or stronger El Niños on record not being colder in the N than in the S. I stand corrected. 2. However, though not as cold, the South still had a pretty cold winter (2-4 BN), which is unlike the NN on the Cansips. So, in that regard, the Cansips is still not making sense to me. Also, 1911-2 was about as cold in the S as the NE. 3. By the way, 1911-12 was just a lower end moderate with a peak of +1.2 per Webb rather than strong. But it’s still an exception to my statement since I was referring to moderate or stronger: https://www.webberweather.com/ensemble-oceanic-nino-index.html- 1,189 replies
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2026-2027 Strong El Nino
michsnowfreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Oh I do too. I take everything with a grain of salt at this stage. I have also said several times that I expect '26-27 winter to be milder here than the past 2. But these automatic assumptions of some torch winter and a super nino- not buying it at this stage.- 1,189 replies
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2026-2027 Strong El Nino
LakePaste25 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
This is where I’m at as well. Until I see a more supportive evidence in the SSTA/MJO/WWB evolution that supports a CANSIPS-like outcome, I’m taking it with a grain of salt. Modelology vs. Meteorology.- 1,189 replies
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My modelling method would suggest the same probability for our sub. Lots of CAN air intrusion.
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Had 2.07" this month but 1.5" of that has fallen since 4/27. Only 51% of our normal rainfall for the month.
