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1.04 garden says TY

Some light rains here last night. Maybe .1” Windows and screen door wide open now. Beautiful AM compared to the last 5.

ICON EPS is pretty nuts though.. but it is the ICON Eps lol over 6 is very impressive for a mean..

Missed the T Storms to my south, just rain but at 10pm had a CG out of nowhere that thought for sure hit the house; the dog and I both almost fell off the couch!!

Not be a "dampener" on the event... Two things should mitigate the extent/severity of the flooding: 1) Antecedent conditions are very dry and water levels in lakes, rivers, and streams are low. This is huge factor in this case. How wet or dry antecedent conditions are in a region when big rains occur can make the difference between modest flooding and record flooding! So in this case, we have a plus. 2) The event will be drawn out over 48 hr. 6" of rain in 6 hr is *not* the same as 6" in 48 hr, as one example, at least when it comes to flash flooding. For large-scale river flooding, this often is a problem, but from item 1 above, rivers are starting low so there is considerable buffer before sig flood stage. Not that there will not be any flooding, but the point here is that not all big events are created equal in terms of potential impact. Some may go, "8" of rain coming???!!! OMG, that means massive flooding!!!" Not necessarily. This is why I emphasize context and perspective so much. W/ wx events, and many other things for the matter, it is *not* "one-size-fits-all!" The ppl out there who know their stuff and how to handle/present data/info will adhere to this essential guideline. As I have mentioned before, communication of risk/threats, not forecast model skill, are the biggest challenge we face these days when it comes to wx events.

I have Monday and Tuesday off.. if its bad enough I might have to take a drive to check it out

You can really see the blossoming of the R+ by 48 hr on the 06z HRRR. This corresponds w/ a sig ramp up of S and SE winds 925-700 mb (40-45 kt) and a nose of 2"+ PWATs. WCB/WAA wing in summer?, CoastalWx? (don't say MEH!).

EURO also with a big flood threat.. someone will get crushed

Last evening, a PDS SVR was issued for Block Island. However, the warning stated 60 mph gusts. That is not PDS level (74 mph I believe is). Any insights?

RW++ w/ no thunder observed? Let us know! The HRRR ydy suggested stuff would linger/redevelop after midnight today, but it was right along the S Coast. It's more N, and look in CT and far SW MA. You have these li'l cells developing, moving SE, while high level anvil pcpn areas are moving E! "Pseudo-PRE" event for CT last 12 hr for the big rains coming??

O.NEW.KBOX.FA.A.0002.260706T0600Z-260707T1800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Hartford CT-Tolland CT-Windham CT- Including the cities of Windsor Locks, Vernon, Hartford, Willimantic, Union, and Putnam 224 AM EDT Sun Jul 5 2026 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible. * WHERE...Northern Connecticut. * WHEN...From late tonight through Tuesday afternoon.

Crushed

I'd like massive drone displays then about ten million dollars' worth of fireworks. I NEVER, EVER GET ENOUGH FIREWORKS. I'd forego a 20 foot Sierra Blizzard for a week of intense fireworks.

I watched them online. Now I get to watch the fireworks over and over and over again. I'll be pretty exhausted in a few more hours......

@Jns2183 1:43AM I'm driving through Camp Hill right now checking out all the damage throughout your town. This is locally historic, without a doubt. There's at least 6 trees down on my property. I'm going to take a walk in the woods tonight and assess. Heading out the Carlisle pike, next then driving back through Mechanicsburg, and checking out some of the areas where where I posted some of my first pictures from today.

Thank god this heatwave is over. This was incredibly intolerable.

It's that time of year....a few areas will get CROAKED with FF while a few miles away? wha? "nbd" Love it!!

Only 0.18" here tonight. Better than nothing but I hope we have better luck tomorrow. HRRR did a good job with the timing of tonight's rain, and I see the 0z run is showing a repeat tomorrow with our area getting hit around 10pm. I'm hoping to have better luck with heavy rain tomorrow night. If not I know it looks like a pretty good soaking on Monday. I am desperate for a good amount of rain -- hopefully this dry stretch is about to end.

Yes, a 48 hr event will lessen overall impact. 6" of rain in 6 hr is not the same as 6" in 48 hr, at least not for flash flooding. For larger-scale river flooding, this is not the case. However antecedent conditions being so dry and water levels low, this should mitigate large-scale river flooding. Not that there will be none, but "it could be much worse!" Cliche I know, but sometimes it does fit a scenario well when trying to quantify impact. I always go back to VT w/ Floyd from 1999 and Irene from 2011. Similar big rains in VT from both, but Floyd flooding was not big time, but Irene was. Why?, antecedent conditions. Summer of 1999 was one of the driest on record for NNE, and summer of 2011 one of the wettest. Or going way back, Connie and Diane 1-2 punch in a week Aug 1955. Connie "primed" things, and Diane sealed it. Worst flooding in SNE on record I think.

Thought you were joking until I looked it up ...

Hope I’m wrong but I’m getting some shades of August 2024 around this area with those rainfall totals, where the Naugatuck valley area got decimated with 10+ inches rain. As for tonight, I had to drive from Shelton to Beacon Falls right in the middle of it. Rain was insane and lots of cloud to cloud lighting but I think we missed the winds. Clearly some places didn’t though, lots of outages in CT all things considered.

Anywhere near the May 15, 2018 level? How would you rate?

current conditions at DCA - Rain, Smoke

Sharp reflectivity gradient on the leading edge --classic sign of strong straight-line winds!