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Now that Monday’s gone and it’s getting milder, we’ll be bombarded with pack pics like it’s a d*ck measuring contest.

How about just not being a jackass on a weather forum or just any forum in general? If you’re going to resort to personal attacks, find some better coping mechanisms. .

uh oh, is it that bad?

Still some hits on euro ai eps

Our friend in Tolland nearly needed to be institutionalized in early December. We’ve had a streak of wins but now the writing is on the wall and I just hope he can get the winter weenie support he needs.

Mod risk…wow. Hopefully you had tissues by the bed.

Got pumped faked by the euro, the new Andre miller of the weather models. Next 2 weeks look toasted. Hibernation mode for me.

Are you going to be the last one hanging onto winter this year? I’m not implying it’s over anytime soon…but I feel like you’re more attached than usual this year.

It’s following the pattern we’ve seen since basically September, 2024. Dry. This entire winter (since November) has been exceptionally dry. Modeled QPF at range just dwindles as we move closer in time to the “event”. This drought is proving to be way worse than the 2001-02 drought

lol you’re right it’s everyone else. Youre perfect, smartest man in the room. We bow down to you, James!

heh... 0-4 so far on that post by Kev

This was a predictable outcome

Well... obviously at 200+ hours none of this has much value but just for muse, you have the GFS backing a blue cling-snow bomb into a grid failed eastern NE, while the Euro's pushing up premature daisy shoots at that same time.

It did well in December when sniffing out the clipper threats and with the miss a week and a half ago.

Definitely not the last shot by seasonal perspective, but I find March to be truly overrated in the snow dept. Really can’t rely on that around here. But it is kinda weird how we don’t get much snow it seems in late February…it’s kinda like our late December void.

Did your kid cry this time when he saw it? He should. Great opportunity to bond over weenie tears.

The operational ECMWF abandoned its call for a big snowstorm, but its AI cousin maintained continuity from its earlier cycles with its call for a lack of snow. FWIW, I've seen some complaints on social media concerning the EC-AIFS. They concern the model's being a "black box." At this point, given what I've seen, it's probably better that the AIFS is, in fact, a "black box," as it limits the ability of those who don't like what they see from injecting their own biases into the mix; a lot of that occurs when the non-AI model solutions are pulled apart (often yielding incorrect solutions from the injection of subjectivity). The AIFS has done quite well this winter, especially within four days. It has sometimes seen changes, but its run-to-run continuity is generally better than its non-AI counterparts, aside from its accuracy. This allows for longer lead time without compromising accuracy.

I woke up this morning to see NWS had changed my forecast to mostly sunny and was expecting a decent day. It's been completely overcast and the north winds are howling. Just went for a walk around Harrisburg at lunch and it was miserable haha.

I think his toilet is stuffed up.

It's not me, it's everybody else! "They're Gaslighting! By using my own words against me!!!!"

ding ding ding! 'what does he win, Johnny!' Now... one could have read my three paragraph physical dissertation on synoptic NVA's damping effects down at the short wave PVA scale as it was written probably three different ways over the last three days OR, 'had almost no chance' would have equally sufficed -

Looks like the max ran from Mark to Pope, but we were right on the edge of the jack zone here

Getting some snow showers moving thru . Looks like LES band

That sounds like Monmouth county. The flowers should be blooming next week.