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Brisk night. 20F with a fresh breeze and some good gusts. I'll probably go test/measure the ice on a local lake on Sunday. Should be several inches of black ice by then.

Im definitely worried about another south trend. 0z euro and 0z nam's still look solid for you. Gfs was the most south. Hrrr/rap decently north as well but they also were night before this current event.

Still looks like a few inches of fluff is possible for the S Coasts and the Cape. Parts of CT/RI too.

Seems like a step toward the GFS though...although precip distribution looks different.

0z Euro shifted SE. Bottom line is that we have no idea what will happen, other than the fact that it will likely snow somewhere along the I-95 corridor

00z are ticking southwest. Looks like another dog turd duster here at best. Bring on the torch.

Ji - take a hike bro.

Right now the best shot at moderate snow accumulations based on a model consensus would be I-95 east in CNJ and maybe into Long Island.

Really heavy burst underway currently. Maybe the heaviest of the evening.

We love you @Jebman, don’t listen to the haters they’re all jealous.

I find it funny all top 3 CIPS analogs (12/5/92, 12/8/06 12/13/86) are sort of close at 500, every one was a nothing event with no snow anywhere from what I can tell, 12/5/92 was an epic bust, we had WSWs out down here and saw nothing, I think they actually dropped them late afternoon on 12/5 after putting them out at 4-5pm on 12/4.

I would let someone else eat a shoe!

Listening to TBlizz everything is gone.

Ground is white in Colonial Heights as snow showers continue.

Such are Clippers. They are delaying schools by 2 hours everywhere around here and we may not even get any lol.

So gfs AI looks ok for a light fairy widespread event. CMC looks ok.

I'll forgive the RAP for its failure last system. I'm about to cross the 1 inch mark. Complete surprise.

Ukie with a strong shift SE. had advisory snow into NH and now it looks like no accumulating snow north of Boston verbatim

I thought cmc was 2-4 with decent stats look.

Please

Super fine grained stuff falling here. Just enough to coat the cars again so far. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro using Tapatalk

Jersey City .

Lol…every model run is like playing the slot machine. Wasn’t ukmet way north at 12z?

For the SE US early next week, this is going to be quite the intense cold snap but also quick! Enjoy it while you can as that will probably be the last opportunity for very intense cold for quite awhile. It’s entirely possible it will end up the coldest of the season though there’s no way to know obviously.