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Euro Uptick on front thump (12z left, 6z right)

They get higher ratios, they will be fine.

Just think of it this way, it could be worse. We could be sleeting and it could be 32 degrees at the surface.

Supposed to have like 3 inches of rain high winds wont dry that up quickly the temps are gonna drop quickly too.

Dr No is cruel again

Making hot chocolate again. Are we still cliff diving?

Euro in general looked a little colder to me.

The euro was definitely an improvement. Another 25 miles south and it’s probably 15” all snow up these parts and 10” down to 20 miles N/W of the fall line.

Still on my ignore list. I may have been a big contributor to him leaving. Sort of feel bad. Hopefully hes still tracking.

NWS finally put Delaware WSW.

Yea we had 8” in mon co in December .

I said I’d be good but I lied. Still sweating the NAMs. If the NAM can get me back to 5” I’ll be okay

WSW issued. Mt Holly still going with 10-15" here.

Where you been friend?

Yea I’m in York and I have no complaints with this lol .

Euro throwing everything at us as well. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 1238 PM EST Fri Jan 23 2026 NJZ008>010-012>015-020-026-PAZ060-103-105-106-241100- /O.UPG.KPHI.WS.A.0001.260125T0600Z-260126T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.WS.W.0001.260125T0000Z-260126T1800Z/ Morris-Hunterdon-Somerset-Middlesex-Western Monmouth-Eastern Monmouth-Mercer-Ocean-Coastal Ocean-Berks-Western Montgomery- Upper Bucks-Lower Bucks- Including the cities of New Brunswick, Long Beach Island, Perkasie, Reading, Trenton, Pottstown, Somerville, Sandy Hook, Collegeville, Flemington, Freehold, Jackson, Morrisville, Doylestown, Morristown, and Chalfont 1238 PM EST Fri Jan 23 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM SATURDAY TO 1 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow with mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations between 10 and 15 inches and ice accumulations around one tenth of an inch.

Haha no worries. I’ve just been running kids around all morning while trying to look at models and post during breaks. Just forgot to respond. No reason, I just love elevation and figured you had a bit on your side put that way, as I know it climbed pretty decent over there behind CXY. I’m one of those guys who can just stare at topographic maps and be completely entertained for hours ha.

That's what i was wondering. Whether precip falling into a shallow warm nose, would change back to sleet when it hits those absurdly cold temps below 800 mb I think the deemphasis on ice here is probably the move for now. 50 miles south? that's a different story

@NorthArlington101 did you have a Snickers?

The biggest thing is the bleeding north has stopped, at least for now... even if we don't see some sort of major south trend

Not too different for those pa folks that matter in this thread. Further north ya

I know this is a Master Of The Obvious thing to say, but the whole tone of the board leading up to these events, other than for the few who are able to keep emotions out of it, is entirely driven by expectations. The 12-18" for the city / LI being tossed around starting 3 days ago virtually guaranteed that there would be a lot of unhappy people. Had the early numbers been 1-3 and out to sea and evolved into even 4-8" plus sleet, the mood would be so much more chipper. Meanwhile, I can go back to now two different times this winter where there was much lamenting about how we were going to be cold and dry forever. Yet here we are again.