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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
SnowenOutThere replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
HRRR and NAM seem to be coming in later with the cold front's arrival.- 241 replies
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Hi-res models have swung the heavy death band south of the metro now. 50 miles will make the difference between 12-15” and 18-24”
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You're right, its not. But low 90s in March is a lot better than having to deal with heavy snow and blizzard strength winds. I mean, you guys are definitely up to it, but I am aging and I can't any more. All I like to do now is watch it fall but that's it. McHenry are you trying to tell me that Texas is going to have a very bad record hot summer this year?
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Other forums I'm on have the ability to cut and paste a bunch of posts from one thread to another, could we do that for this thread?
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90s in March is not the flex you think it is.
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
coastal front replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
I think the value of a thread is to analyze how tends, model runs, increasing/decreasing threat levels and NWS discussions evolved in the days leading up to the event. Regardless if the top end potential verifies it would make it easier to reflect on how a very rare long lead/ high prob severe threat unfolded day by day for future reference. Most on this board will remember a day 4 30% severe prob over an anafrontal coating that had a thread earlier this week lol.- 241 replies
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Unrelated - but has anyone else been having serious issues loading the SPC Events Archive pages? Eventually they load - but stuff is missing - and sometimes it just throws an error on the left navigation area entirely.
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I read in one of the AFDs that places to the north of I 94 may get 18-36 inches of snow. I'm so jealous because I wanted my Uncle in La Crosse to have to shovel 2 feet of snow. Now he is only going to get maybe 8-14 inches with some sleet. Damn. I wanted him to get slammed with the 18-36 ha ha, then he has to dig snow. I was gonna call him up and brag about low 90s in south Texas while he breaks his back in deep snow with drifts on top of it.
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Voyager replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
No don't be. Its ok, I'm just frustrated. If we weren't so locked in since Thanksgiving I wouldn't be so upset. It's just been so relentless, both our cold and their heat. I guess it didn't help that the two winters I spent out there with my mom were cool and somewhat wet. Both before and after my arrival and departure, the winters were warm and dry. Gives merit to when I say that wherever I am, there too, shall the cold be. -
We do seem to go on "runs" at times. 2008 and 2012 come to mind. Also I still can't believe that College Park in 2001 and La Plata in 2002 were less than 8 months apart.
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For mby? 4+ melting down to puddles, then the backside blasting thru making a frozen mess of everything for several days. Then spring happens next weekend. The Robins are not too pleased with back-2-back storms greeting their arrival.
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yea for better or worse, if we go D2 MOD it's probably best to make a thread. We only average a mod risk once every couple of years.- 241 replies
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Other than Nov 28-29 big storms have avoided us completely here in Mid-Michigan. One the worst stretches of my life in that regard. Midland's climo history is not that great for Big Dogs fwiw. Harrison is marginally better but still kind in-between the target zones.
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That works
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thekidcurtis started following Severe Weather Thread 2026
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2026-2027 El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Sometimes. Here is how a Nino 3.4 El Nino usually develops.. first over the dateline: Sometimes Stronger El Nino's will develop in the far east and spread west to Nino 3, but they typically don't jump to where the western ENSO regions have the same +std as the east. -
Do you have this map for north ga?
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i shared the stats not too long ago. this is our best season in terms of both snow and cold in several years.
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just not enough CAPE Monday but i bet there’s at least one NJ tornado
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@mappy - Do you still have you mod powers? If I bump this event to a standalone thread after the afternoon day 2 outlook tomorrow can you pin it? Or I guess @WxUSAF is a mod too right?
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Am I correct that most 18z models shifted the low se about 50 miles?
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How about making a new thread if a moderate gets issued?
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The storm is getting going with moderate snow in SD, MN, ND. It seems like snow-virga is in Wisconsin and Michigan. This view gives the warnings that are most current, so not all the blizzard warnings show up.
