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Outflow wind starting to hit here. I hear the thunder in the distance. I have a bourbon waiting to watch the festivities.

Yes. I've written a peak season forecast annually that covers that period through October 20. I know you know this, but between 8/20 and 10/20 about 2/3 of usual Atlantic activity occurs, and we've had some big dogs in October in the Atlantic. Hoping to get that out tonight or tomorrow.

every year I track.. and every year get disappointed one of these times things will come together and we will get crushed.. anything past 5 days is a crap shoot but I'll always check quick and post the weenie maps if need be

Happy Labor Day

Somehow BTV is only +0.5 but MPV is +2.8. Lack of radiating hurting some sites, but BTV has no radiating anyway so doesn’t seem to matter there. Though the past week has tried to mute the positive departures.

Getting closer!!

Gotta find unique ways to get those clicks until you can start posting 384 hr GFS snowfall maps

BDL is the coolest relative to normal in the region.

Same, I’ll use AC in the car but at home just fans and open windows for the most part.

Well...I guess i can mow tomorrow

Well said. No arguing the baseline.

-2 to 4 last winter was epic cold, but +2 to 4 in summer is nbd. I’ll agree…there hasn’t been any big heat, but it goes to show you where our baseline is right now.

yeah, I've needed AC - but only in the car house hasn't needed it; windows and fans at night, had a fleece vest on this morning (62/61F at 6:30 am) wheeling the cans to the curb for Friday pickup currently 76/65F IMBY

Down-sloping has been a problem this summer as, all to often, 18z flow has been 290 too 360.

"Particularly Delightful Day" Watch issued.. ENJOYMENT CHANCE...CONSIDERABLE

Most folks have had AC on almost all month . Look up a site .. any airport you choose MTD. Tooorrchh! You lose .. again !

Seeing pinks on radar returns north of Wadesboro out west. Meanwhile I'm at 0.09" for the day.

There is no torch. Torches are hot. Require air conditioning.

The nightmares…

The weekend will feature cool and perhaps unsettled weather. The greatest chance for rain will be late tomorrow into tomorrow night. Sunday will see clouds break and the mercury rise toward 80°. Somewhat cooler than normal weather will then extend into at least the middle of next week. No excessive heat appears likely through the remainder of August. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +4.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +2.7°C for the week centered around August 12. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +3.80°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +2.32°C. The ongoing strong El Niño, which has reached super El Niño threshold, will continue to strengthen through the summer. The SOI was -32.71 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.236 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 54% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal August (1991-2020 normal). August will likely finish with a mean temperature near 75.9° (0.2° below normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 0.7° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.

Does this look familiar at all? If I complain enough something good will happen.

They kept asking where’s the torch and we’ve been telling them everyday. It’s been here all month everywhere and continues to ramp up !

Who's everyone? Hartford?

Brisk 65F with a light breeze