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Possible coastal storm centered on Feb 1 2026.
dryslot replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
If what has fallen so far today, And this potential one next weekend, I could end up over my seasonal avg in early Feb. -
That ocean snow keeps on tacking on to our nearly 20” total. It’s very cool to see how small the flakes are, especially compared to the start yesterday. Almost like little frozen sand particles. I’m sure the more well versed Mets and posters around here have a proper term for it but it’s those subtle little details I’ve come to appreciate more over the years.
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The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm
Brick Tamland replied to lilj4425's topic in Southeastern States
They all sucked with the storm except the WeatherNext. It's the new king. The Euro making that big of a change in 24 hours only 3 to 4 days out was horrible. -
trudged into the woods and based on the stakes there, I have received around 10 inches maybe a little bit more. Moderate accumulating snow right now. Not sure where this forcing is coming from because it looks like the other forcing that we’re waiting for is in New York State, but maybe this will just continue to redevelop or develop and not stop before the 850 stuff gets here. .
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Ridge looking better out west on 48h GFS
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trudged into the woods and based on the stakes there, I have received around 10 inches maybe a little bit more. Moderate accumulating snow right now. Not sure where this forcing is coming from because it looks like the other forcing that we’re waiting for is in New York State, but maybe this will just continue to redevelop or develop and not stop before the 850 stuff gets here. . 79113512932__456A4922-AF42-49BB-9546-ED85E20B3CFC.MOV
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Generally I would agree but all the models have a big storm in the vicinity and the pattern supports it, plus we're not in fantasy range anymore. Also, there have been a few KU's in the past that were locked in on the models a week out. Of course plenty could still go wrong but it'll be a fun week of tracking at the very least.
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Snow moves in Saturday night. 5.5 days
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If this one doesn't trend NW, but not too far, it will truly be another epic failure. I saw a discussion about the NW trend being because models mistake something from range, I think it was something to do with sea temperatures maybe, that causes them to almost universally place systems too far SE. Which is why we see the NW trend constantlly.
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ICON-EPS mean took a big jump west .
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Timing's always an issue this far out. Sunday morning would be the brunt of it but could start as early as Saturday afternoon
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The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm
HKY_WX replied to lilj4425's topic in Southeastern States
None of the models were great 5 days out. The Euro AI was always further north and had a dry slot in eastern NC once we got inside of 48 hours.. It was way better than the GFS or ICON. The reason I know this is I looked at waaay too many model runs the last 3 days. -
trudged into the woods and based on the stakes there, I have received around 10 inches maybe a little bit more. Moderate accumulating snow right now. Not sure where this forcing is coming from because it looks like the other forcing that we’re waiting for is in New York State, but maybe this will just continue to redevelop or develop and not stop before the 850 stuff gets here. .
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The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm
StantonParkHoya replied to lilj4425's topic in Southeastern States
I'd like to see some more precip blossom back into GA/SC, rather than depending on the ULL / late phase / negative tilt to do all the work here. I suppose I should just be happy it's still showing up for right now, but I'm greedy. -
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The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm
Brick Tamland replied to lilj4425's topic in Southeastern States
The Euro that had a massive snow storm for NC 4 days out only to change to a crippling ice storm 3 days out that ended up not happening either? -
ny nj pa weather on youtube showing the storm as hitting on saturday afternoon into sunday if it does hit us this one could be a actual blizzard.
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I did my last clean up around 6pm yesterday, it was still sleeting and ended up with about 1/2" of crud this morning. Metal flat blade shovels popped it up real nice. I have some neighbors that haven't touched their drives. They are HOSED.
