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  2. State your location and grade.
  3. Branch County reporting 5 fatalities with more missing still
  4. Overperformed here 2.25”. With Wednesday that’s 5.75” on the week, not a bad way to run a torch
  5. The damage pics with ice still on the lake are wild
  6. Let’s add Some more…. Im at 58” and my average is 50”.
  7. This week got me over 60” and my average is 58”. There is a deep snow pack in Greenfield still, even in town. Some of the deepest dense pack I’ve seen in a March.
  8. He had company? Sorry couldn't resist Marky Mark
  9. A successful outcome for that window continues to look dependent on a -WPO, +PNA, and a southward displaced TPV. A pretty favorable combo, but the AO/NAO is not good, so timing would be critical.
  10. if we do snow around that timeframe, i'd grade this winter an A+, for now it's just an A!
  11. Tampa hit 90° today which is the earliest date ever recorded. Previous record was March 16th.
  12. cold air funnel on my bike ride just now. surreal atmosphere, pockets of dense fog at ground level, would ride through sections where it was like a space heater was blowing on me, and then flip to chilly.
  13. Fantasy land still but it would be a perfect ending.
  14. Checking out the ring cameras from Key Largo today and snow cover still holding strong. I think it will finally meet its match in the 60's and one 70's forecast for Monday through Wednesday. It was a nice run. One more 6-10 mid month would be a perfect ending.
  15. Eh, not exactly the ideal look at h5 for a MA snowstorm. Surface isn't bad but if that HP ends up a bit further east it wouldn't end well. It's March though, and some weird shit can happen.
  16. We topped out at 83.7. Insane
  17. Today
  18. Surprise backdoor cold front off the Atlantic. Was supposed to be 75 but never got above 55. Currently 44. Surprisingly common here this time of year.
  19. My husband said it was more than he expected, but he refuses to measure. I’m guessing 5 inches based on looking at the cameras.
  20. Yesterday
  21. Historic MI footage. Near the start you can see some of the ice getting pulled in to the vortex (looks like water with that low res video), another first! Also the longest weather streak I'm aware of may have just ended this afternoon (no confirmed violent tornadoes in MI since 1976 (West Bloomfield F4) or the Augusta 1977 one (unsure)).
  22. Rough Friday AM Commute But Even Rougher Forecast Conservative Course Of Least Regret In Marginal Soundings While the commute this morning undoubtedly left something to be desired, it was the Friday morning forecast that was a metaphorical 30-car-pileup, which ironically enough was a fortuitous break for area commuters. Obviously the forecast for 3-6" of snowfall over northeastern Mass and much of southern New Hampshire verified as a mere 1-2" of sleet and assorted snow grains. The reason for this is quite simple. Here is the sounding, which is a profile of the temperatures in degrees celsius throughout the atmosphere, from Lawrence, MA at 1AM Friday morning. Note the tiny area of the atmosphere near freezing at around the 850mb level (5, 000 feet), right as precipitation was forecast to transition to a period of accumulating snowfall for several hours through to the morning commute. This is also evident in the excerpt of the text data from the 850MB level below, as the temperature is pinned right at freezing at this level from 10PM through 4AM, while the rest of the profile is below freezing. The forecast for 3-6" of snow was based off of guidance that implied that snowfall rates would be heavy enough to evaporatively cool this layer, while also allowing the snow to fall through it with enough haste to avoid melting. This was always a precarious position best reserved for instances in which the antecedent airmass is very cold, such as Tuesday's over performing snowfall. Ultimately, the flakes ended up being compromised enough by this layer that they were largely relegated to sleet and poorly developed snow flakes referred to as "grains", both of which accumulate extremely inefficiently. Whereas normal snowfall accumulates about 10" for every inch of liquid that falls, this type of frozen precipitation only accumulates approximately 3" for every inch of liquid, which is why an inch or two of sleet fell as opposed to between 3 and 6" of snow. Final Grade: F
  23. Terrible forecast for this morning, but I'm sure that most commuters will forgive me considering that it wasn't nearly as miserable as feared. Culprit (savior) was a very narrow, marginal warm layer at about 5,000 feet up in the atmosphere....while that can be overcome at times, ultimately in this case there just wasn't a cold enough air mass in place to begin with and precipitation wasn't consistently intense enough. Last Tuesday, there was a very cold airmass in place beforehand, which aided snowfall. Have to grade this one an "F". Judging by my last couple of forecasts, I'm ready for spring, but Mother Nature has other ideas after next week's tease. FINAL GRADE: F
  24. Let’s do it. That 3/16 date keeps showing up…
  25. Awesome timing! The 17th is town election day in rural NH: school boards, etc.
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