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  2. dailylurker
    Cool, cloudy and damp. Never seen a severe day like this lol
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    I smell another CC diatribe brewing....see ya next fall.
  4. nw baltimore wx
    Well, this sucks.
  5. clskinsfan
    Light rain in Winchester
  6. canderson
    52 was the highest I got Looks like we get a reprieve from wind starting Wednesday for at least a week.
  7. 87storms
    Looks kinda gaudy, though.
  8. Jsauss
    what did you record for winds Saturday morning? It seems we have been living with a giant fan as of late. Schools are letting out early.
  9. Ginx snewx
    March 1st is an artificial date used for consistent record keeping. Here's the physics for Fitchburg. Cold season
  10. SnowenOutThere
    Hey, I’m at uva and planning to chase. What would the best location to target be? I’m thinking near Amelia court house but curious to know your thoughts
  11. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    There does appear to be some breaks in the clouds to the east of the activity in Virginia, really depends on what happens with that I would think. But the fact that tornado warnings are up for that batch even without destabilization prior let’s u know the atmosphere is primed.
  12. snowfan
    This has been modeled for days as a multiple piece event. One early, one closer to the evening. How it plays out is still TBD despite what the PA crew is posting.
  13. PackGrad05
    Turning into a typical messy line for central NC. Spin-ups still possible of course, but the discrete supercell risk is decreasing. Straight line winds will be the primary story.
  14. McHenrySnow
    3.5” of very heavy wet snow.
  15. weatherwiz
    I think you always have to be careful with the multiple round scenario and more often than not, lean towards the earlier round being more of the show. Especially around these parts, forecast models can really struggle in that regard and its even more of a case when you're dealing with a largely uncapped warm sector. Typically, if you're looking for multiple rounds you want to see a moderate or extremely unstable airmass in place. But this is still looking extremely interesting for much of Virginia into Maryland. Given how warm the llvl airmass is, based on satellite showing a large pocket of cloud breaks and approaching high noon, it won't take much to get temperatures to jump another 5-8F. Also noting the sfc winds are more backed in this area and may continued to back even more. You're storm inflow is also pulling in from higher theta-e which resides just off the coast. Going to have some differential boundaries in play too.
  16. TSSN+
    If you read the discos any early stuff will kill the chances for later. This line moves thru around noon then it wipe out the energy.
  17. arlwx12
    LWX text on the tornado warning: The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Eastern Rappahannock County in northwestern Virginia... Northwestern Fauquier County in northern Virginia... Northwestern Culpeper County in northern Virginia... * Until 1100 AM EDT. * At 1033 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located 7 miles east of Sperryville, or 12 miles northwest of Culpeper, moving northeast at 55 mph. HAZARD...Tornado.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    This isn't the main show. Likely a little meso low or something ahead of the main line.
  19. canderson
    Damaging linear/downdraft winds remain our main very strong threat today for both lines - the fropa and the squall. The squall being delayed until after sunset might mitigate that but it’ll still push down 50 mph gusts for some.
  20. 87storms
    I thought the main show was later this afternoon and now it’s noon? Lol
  21. stormtracker
    Keep us posted.
  22. WeatherShak
    West of Gainesville.
  23. Mrs.J
    Sun is starting to peak out up here. The older Ms J told me AU campus is closing at noon.
  24. Brian5671
    Fair but this week was supposed to be cold and it trended much warmer. To wipe out the +++ departures you're going to need some serious below normal departures 2nd half. Not seeing it with the blocking becoming less robust on modeling-but who cares anyway it's mostly over for wintry threats rest of way
  25. mappy
    I guess you just wait and see what happens. I’m not gonna be an annoying Debbie downer about it. Weather will do what it will do.
  26. Darkstorm started following 3/16/26 Severe Weather Event Thread (Moderate Risk) | Latest: 15% TOR, 60% WIND, 5% HAIL
  27. Darkstorm
    They won’t and we know why they are letting out early. They don’t want the legal risk of being sued.
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