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No idea why we are seeing the same old shit with a completely new coaching staff. Humphrey is mediocre at best at this point. The overall personnel in problematic- the defense looks soft, esp without Madibuike. The OL is problematic- Stanley's best days are behind him, and the interior is not very good at this point. The excessive penalties continue.

Don Vs. Upton - should be interesting - Upton has partly sunny low 70's on Monday ZFP from KOKX

Yup like 5 sprinkles here. Let’s see how we get screwed the rest the week.

.55

1/4” rain, high of 58. TORCH!

Periods of rain and drizzle are likely tomorrow and Tuesday. Highs tomorrow should be in the middle and upper 60s. Tuesday will be cooler with the temperature struggling to reach the lower 60s. Wednesday could temporarily dry out. Additional rain and showers are possible Thursday and Friday. Temperatures will remain unseasonably cool throughout the week with highs mainly in the lower 60s. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +4.5°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +2.9°C for the week centered around September 9. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +4.23°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +2.65°C. The ongoing strong El Niño, will continue to strengthen through the mid-fall. The SOI was -35.18 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.619 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 69% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal September (1991-2020 normal). September will likely finish with a mean temperature near 68.3° (0.9° below normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 0.3° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.

Guhhh, tell Crapon to stop making up numbers

They're all gone so what's the cause? Marlon Humphrey? And yet he still makes plays (I actually can't remember but one play where he had bad coverage but maybe there was another). Hamilton is a stud. Wiggins as well. Hawkins solid. Now perhaps Starks is an issue? Front 7 should be getting more pressure than that given who we have. Personnel-wise...with tje coaching change it should be better...which is why I mentioned maybe it's some leftover that the new regime can change--but just takes time. I will say that today isn't exactly a big blown lead either (up by no more than a TD), and more about all 3-phases being dominated as you said. So maybe there's chance this isn't an indicator of same ol' same ol' and we just plain lost...but we'll find out soon enough.

These young OC "gurus" come down to earth. We know how bad Doyle was today, but the Bears scored 3 today after 59 last week lol.

Icon also west

Yes

Tell me if this sounds familiar: Ravens led 14-3 at halftime. Henry had 5 carries in the second half. Monken? Too many penalties-both games. Harbaugh? Defense looks soft. Zack Orr?

Yeah, tides getting a little higher by Saturday and especially Sunday and Monday.

I don't think anyone will accuse the commanders of being a good Football team. Wtf. When Does DQ get fired?

To note, there were 2 very notable severe instances during the past couple of weeks that both occurred right around SAT metro on the evening of August 28th (75 mph damaging wind gusts). And, on evening of September 11th, being 2.50 in. diameter hail in Converse (suburb literally just east of SAT metro). The coastal region again, experienced another round of > 80 F nights these past few weeks since September began, with some additional record warm, overnight lows up and down the coastline.

Hope everyone is good. I have not been too active on the forums.. We are finally getting some beneficial rain up here. 3.25" so far this month. About .30"ish today. This makes me a happy camper for sure! Also of note I was just looking at the astronomical tides for the 25-27th. They are quite high. With the warm gulf stream I wonder if any nor'easter getting captured could become hybrid or tropical? It will be interesting to see what unfolds.

18z ICON looked like it was going to go wild after hr120

A gradual transition to Fall, looks to be underway now in the state with upstream troughing invading the state this ongoing weekend that set off a few MCCs over the western half last night. And a new, but more linear compact MCS currently developing in the northern Hill Country (closer to DFW). Severe looks to be rather minute for this event with lack of shear aloft. But, that does not look to be case in the final week of September with increasing shear trends in the state on latest model runs ahead of the next upstream trough. Both Euro and GFS ensembles are in decent agreement now on the first cooldown of the season to start October. The AO and AAO are both projected to head back into a new, significant negative phase which should definitely aid this. Along with the MJO remaining in the very latter/early phases the next few weeks to also give more precip insurance heading into October. Although, would expect this October and November to remain at least generally active given recent trends with the MJO. And EN continuing to strengthen.

I still feel the same way I did earlier this summer....the only real difference is it's more east-based than I expected, but I have said all along I didn't think Modoki index would matter much the year, though I still expect it to leak westward post-peak.

Had a high of 81 but down to 72 degrees after rain coming through. Looks like some dense fog tomorrow morning and some severe storms.

What a soggy game at Soldier Field. Great D battle. Was fun to watch.

NHC forecast is now for Fay to become a hurricane in 12 hours. Tropical Storm Fay Discussion Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062026 900 PM GMT Sun Sep 20 2026 A few more convective bursts have occurred near the center of Fay in the last couple of hours as seen in the visible satellite imagery. Infrared satellite imagery indicates that some of the cloud tops have cooled to near -70 degrees C with the latest batch of convection. The current objective intensity estimates from UW-CIMSS are in the range of 45-51 kt, and the most recent TAFB Dvorak fix was a T3.5/55 kt. Based on the given data, the initial intensity has been raised to 55 kt, on the upper end of the satellite estimates. The environment that Fay is located in still has moisture for additional convective development and an approaching mid- to upper-level trough should allow for Fay to further intensify for about 12 hours or so. Once the trough lifts on Monday, wind shear should increase and dry air should find its way into the cyclone. This will lead to a gradual weakening of Fay. The current NHC intensity forecast calls for Fay to become a post-tropical remnant low by Tuesday and then dissipate near the end of the week. The intensity forecast is still a little higher than the model guidance in the short term as Fay's structure is over performing expectations due to the expected baroclinic support from the trough. It is still possible that Fay could reach hurricane strength sometime tonight. Fay is still moving slowly and off toward the north-northeast, with the initial motion estimated around 020/5 kt. This general motion is expected to continue for about 12 hours or. However, a low- to mid-level ridge is expected to build to the north by Monday. This ridge in turn will force Fay to turn southwestward and gradually accelerate over the course of the forecast period. The current NHC forecast track is similiar to the previous track forecast with a few minor adjustments and remains in good agreement with the HCCA and GDMI track aids. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 20/2100Z 34.4N 32.7W 55 KT 65 MPH 12H 21/0600Z 34.3N 32.3W 65 KT 75 MPH 24H 21/1800Z 33.6N 32.5W 55 KT 65 MPH 36H 22/0600Z 32.5N 33.5W 45 KT 50 MPH 48H 22/1800Z 31.4N 35.1W 35 KT 40 MPH 60H 23/0600Z 30.5N 36.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 23/1800Z 29.8N 38.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 24/1800Z 29.0N 42.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 25/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Katz/Pasch

H5 is such a mess, gonna take awhile for the models to resolve this