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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
A-L-E-K replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
folks still doing the few good weeks cope? -
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Chicago replies to San Diego: "hold my beer"
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This is just an observation, in 2019 and 2024 the canonical nino look on guidance would often make it as close as about day 7-8 on the guidance, then evaporate back out to day 14 or 15 and repeat. In the next few weeks it would be a very good sign if this look at at week 2 actually becomes a reality. If it starts remaining locked at hour 300+ then the models may be doing the same thing they did in the last 2 nino's. I have no insight here other than observing this trend.
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Doesn't rain for 3 days= drought.
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Don’t we already have flood emergencies/warnings already?
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does anyone know what the strange lights over wallops island last night were all about?
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Would be cool to see it snow along the front range in October, but I'm trying to keep my hopes in check. I'll take any precip we can get, and hopefully the mountains see more snow this month. Realistically it will take time to crawl out of this drought - I just hope to see continued improvement!
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I am assuming that the AI models use historical tracks and climatology more so then the physics models. From my understanding of AI. Not your typical analogs but everything that’s possible. If anyone has more information on the subject I would love to hear it. .
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Which likely means this favorable pattern transforms into an unfavorable pattern in Dec/Jan timeframe. Would be great if we were seeing this in December instead. Instead we get GNR weather, though it may be snowier over the interior/NNE.
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that looks a little like 10/16/09
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There's a reason why he's 5 posted...
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You can’t be serious lol.
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That was during a nasty fall drought-I remember burn bans here
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2020 had some snow flakes around on the 30th.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
You said it was - in 1998. I posted January-March 1998. That map is December, 1997-February 1998. That's not 1998. -
This is about as good as it gets. Best stretch of weather possible. Warm sunny days and cool nights. .
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DocATL started following October 2026 General Discussion
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
forkyfork replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
