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Way out there, but next weekend looks like a possible SWFE. Those normally favor New England but it’s going to be many days before we start to get a clearer picture of what’s going to happen….

SV maps didn't look this good...sfc was warm. I dunno. Doesn't matter...it'll be gone tomm

EPS very snowy so far

Still in it. Some of the models are poised to take a big loss.

You really need to stop this. Stop with the wishcasting and false information/lies. It’s not fair to the members who don’t have access to the models and come on here to get correct info. The EURO is NOT showing 2-3 inches in NYC on Saturday, it barely has over an inch and that’s at 10:1 ratios….the ratios on Saturday are going to be lower than 10:1

I’m gonna try to bring an ounce of positivity as I go to bed. Despite the GFS/NAM being stupid and jumping all the way off the storm on today’s runs, a lot of the other data is actually on a steady move west. Canadian and its ensemble, Euro AI, AI GFS and ensemble, and more. As bad as the GFS was at 0z, the GEFS ticked back west. Lastly the Euro itself and its ensemble did as well. I’m not ready to jump off the cliff yet on this one, it’s still too close. Probably won’t happen in the end, but we’ve gotten NW trends of this magnitude inside this timeframe before. Euro AI trend as an example.

AIFS-ENS with a significant shift west, 0.5” liquid to BOS down to E LI

Euro has 2 decent snowstorms but we need stronger

What you sayin?

Euro has a decent snowstorm before the cold from Hell arrives

AIs remain steadfast. Let’s see what tomorrow brings.

If you get really cold early it can make it easier for that to happen. Many trees/plants need to go through a certain amount of hours below a threshold and then they're ready to bloom. In 89-90 there was a crazy amount of blooming in VA/NC/SC in mid to late January because everything reached its hours below in December. In a winter like 15-16 that probably did not happen since you never got cold enough in those areas for them to get required hours on the underside. Up north though it did and stuff bloomed in NYC. Fortunately when the warm spell happens this early the flowers/buds can die and then often get another stretch below threshold to regenerate again in late February or March. If you get heavy blooming in early or mid Feb though and then a killer 3-4 day stretch of 20s/30s the flowers will just die and the tree will leaf out 6-8 weeks later.

Well...there's precip..warm and light tho. Oh well. Worst hobby ever

Nice slug approaching from our SW at 228...lets see what she does

euro has 2-3 inches of snow for saturday for the city and north sunday shows a graze better but still not there. euro will inch west and than make a big move. I don't think the west trend is done on gfs and the other models. The storm will trend stronger and more amped therefore it'll bring more moisture westerly in my opinion!

Did it just tick a little closer for Sunday? Lol We'll see tomorrow if that was just noise

EC a definite improvement though still a graze

Well, I thought the Euro was doing things at 156...nevermind, just a front it looks like. some light snow tho

If the AI’s win this, that will be a huge win.

AIFS has 0.5 qpf for Boston along the pike to ORH to eastern CT and all of RI

Still waiting for it on wxmodels

That would be all time huge Dog….that’s record shattering.

Must be a systemic change to make them uniform.

How far west did Euro come?