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Zzzzzz

That's the Arctic front

I have a quick question about whether the NWS "Forecast Discussion" has changed. The NWS seems to have dropped the "long-term" section of the discussion in favor of "key messages". I had thought it was the result of my moving to a different NWS area, but Mt. Holly seems to have made this small change as well. The long-term section was not that long ahead, usually just 4-5 days or so, but discussion of it seems to have much diminished. Is this my imagination or has this been an across-the-board slight change?

Beverly, MA going to end up with like a foot aren’t they?

I would push 6 plus if they verified

I'm curious to see what that band moving into western ma right now does when it gets here

Mod snow.. we fluff

Missed out on the real heavy stuff where I am but still got a nice little car topper in just a few minutes

What happened to my low of 8. Currently 22.3.

2-4 definitely verifying in E CT probably some higher numbers gonna come in. Looks like another positive trend/bust again

Just over 2” here when I measured at 4:30ish.

Nice enjoy, I'm about 1 so far

2.25 new moderate snow 22⁰ From my deck cam

33” at this point is 115th out of the 136 Seasons of data I have. Go ahead and tell me I’m supposed to be excited. You claim to be a stats genius. 33 ytd, remember ytd, is better than 75% of your winters year to date

The Eps, Gefs and Geps snowfall thru day 10 look supportive of a storm favoring western locations (similar to EuroAI to my eyes). Geps is the look we've seen all winter favoring VA. How long until the Eps and Gefs look like Geps? Lol

There is no way 33" is 115/136 to date. It might be 115/136 for the whole season but not to date. Impossible. Everywhere is above climo snowfall but you're in the bottom 16%? No. To date you are near or above normal snowfall, I don't need to see the records to know that. If it ended here sure you'll be 115th. But that's not happening as Cumberland is about to get 3-6" more today with who knows how much the rest of February march and April.

It doesn't matter to you at all that's there's been snow to play in for weeks and weeks? I always thought playing in snow was the end game, not a ruler? Persistent snowpack in RI, the bay freezing... My skis are by my backdoor. My snow tube is in my trunk. If I didn't have flu b right now I'd be out tomorrow.

No joke. That line was intense.

Issued By Wakefield - VA, US, National Weather Service Affected Area Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond) Description ...A SNOW SQUALL WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN SOMERSET...LOUISA...CENTRAL ACCOMACK...MIDDLESEX...NORTHUMBERLAND...CENTRAL GOOCHLAND... HANOVER...NORTHERN JAMES CITY...GLOUCESTER...KING AND QUEEN... NORTHERN CHARLES CITY...RICHMOND...NEW KENT...NORTHERN MATHEWS... HENRICO...WESTMORELAND...CAROLINE...KING WILLIAM...ESSEX AND LANCASTER COUNTIES AND THE CITY OF RICHMOND... At 426 AM EST, a snow squall was located along a line extending from 7 miles north of Fair Port to near King William to near Gum Spring. Movement was southeast at 45 mph. Winds in excess of 30 mph, reduced visibility, and a quick dusting up to a half of an inch of snow are possible with this squall. This squall will be near... King William, Ashland, Randolph Macon College, Robley, King And Queen Court House, Fair Port, Hanover, Stevensville, Jamaica, and Montpelier around 430 AM EST. Mechanicsville, Lancaster, Oilville, Church View, and Glen Allen around 435 AM EST. Kilmarnock, Urbanna, Laurel, Lakeside, Tunstall, and Little Plymouth around 440 AM EST. Richmond, West Point, Tuckahoe, White Stone, Saluda, and East Highland Park around 445 AM EST. New Kent, Virginia Union University, Highland Springs, Talleysville, Glenns, and Shacklefords around 450 AM EST. University Of Richmond, Downtown Richmond, Bon Air, Virginia Commonwealth University, Hartfield, and Bottoms Bridge around 455 AM EST. Deltaville, Roxbury, Blakes, and Barhamsville around 500 AM EST. Gloucester Courthouse, Bensley, Gwynn, and Providence Forge around 505 AM EST. Other locations impacted by this squall include Currioman Landing, Brook Vale, Belle Isle State Park, Sandston, Mount Landing, Cooke, Piney Grove, Dutton, Browns Store, and Village. Use extra caution if you must travel into or through this dangerous snow squall. Rapid changes in visibility and potentially slick roads are likely to lead to accidents. Consider delaying travel until the squall passes your location. Pretty cool event about to happen for any of you up at this hour… looks like I maybe just west of the heavy stuff from this band….

It picked up alright. Looking at the downtown Boone cam and King Street needs a plow!

5” Through January 17th is Equal to the WORST Winter of All-Time through that date. I was HOME November 7th through then. 18” is Not REMOTELY Historic. You want me to get you Every Storm since 1890 that beat it? It’s a Run of the Mill big storm like the forgettable Blizzard of 2006 or of 2022 or 2011 or 2019 (2019 was Memorable for Me, but Not most of you all). The SWFE of 2026 was Historic for the country, but it does Not get a banner in SNE, it will Not be remembered for anything important in this area, and it Certainly doesn’t go to the Hall of Fame just like Bill Cheatachick. It made the Top 10 in Boston. SO Did PDII and MOST of you don’t even want to talk about PDII as Historic. And you want me to pull my Weiner out because I almost jackpotted a 7” storm? 7”?! I got Screwed on the First 6 Storms EVERY possible way. Too Far North. Too Far South. Too Far West. And even the Crazy Rare situation of Too Far East. (Which TONIGHT it looks like I’m Too Far East YET Again, but THIS time, it’s by 5 measly Miles) I can’t Spell Meteorology let alone forecast. But you’re Now getting into an argument with me On Historic Statistics. That’s MY Turf 4 Seasons. 33” at this point is 115th out of the 136 Seasons of data I have. Go ahead and tell me I’m supposed to be excited.

Yeah, I don't want that big negative anomaly on south Alaska/NW Canada. It takes some time to bring back a good pattern after that. I think the last few days of Feb may shift back, but the decadal signal 2018-2025 -PNA is so strong.. I wonder if it will just keep going.

I just don't think it's that negative of a NAO. It's pretty negative the next few days when the EPO goes raging positive, but then it lets up... I mean it is your coming out of -NAO storm, but you don't want that big trough in the SW.

Yeah it's probably the best start to winter in the past 10 years, especially considering the snow pack and temps.