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The infamous severe thunderstorm warning box within a blizzard warning.

Agree how many times have we been forecasted to get 1-3 from a deformation band and end up with 30 minutes of flurries

https://www.news8000.com/weather/live-cameras/

It hasn’t been a terrible March up here. Sitting at 1.26” LE for the month. YTD is 1.74”, so yeah January and most of Feb was underwhelming.

Unfortunately…NAM

I am very intrigued with Monday. Nam3km showing rates of 2"+ per hour around 3-5pm in Buncombe County. Looks like the column of air goes frozen as the heavy precipitation moves in. Upper Level Low going negative tilt helps this. I'll be watching the Alabama radar tomorrow to see what is developing. That will be the main slug of moisture and then NWF. NAM3km gave man 3" on the 12Z run, looks to agree with the GFS. Euro still on board with a dusting for most. Also as Met mentioned, the long range pattern certainly doesn't look warm.

Letting my Pivotalwx subscription expire tonight. Not worth paying for it anymore. I’ll renew it again in mid-November like I normally do

Today is sneaky. I think for those along and west of I-77, it’s worth not getting lulled to sleep and distracted by Monday’s headlines.

Ya just posted about it on the socials 3-4”+ possible

Seems to me LOT has played this pretty good thus far.

If NAM is right widespread issues tomorrow night

Slightly

The COD 3k gust maps are still bringing the wind. Ginxy’s maps probably show 100mph+

From CTP Within the line, embedded supercells could support concentrated tornadic winds in the midst of a potentially expansive area of damaging wind gusts.

12z Nam few cells around 1pm but this later oh ok

is it still possible to retrieve last year's snow totals from the old board?

Local news stations also show Spc outlooks

Officially thundersleet. Some of the best 32.4 degree thunderstorms I’ve seen in my life

NAM over LI Date: 42 hour NAM valid 6Z TUE 17 MAR 26 Station: 40.89,-72.56 Latitude: 40.89 Longitude: -72.56 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- LEV PRES HGHT TEMP DEWP RH DD WETB DIR SPD THETA THE-V THE-W THE-E W mb m C C % C C deg knt K K K K g/kg ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 0 1000 -54 SFC 993 2 9.3 9.0 98 0.3 9.2 165 36 283.0 284.3 282.6 303.1 7.27 2 950 376 14.7 14.5 99 0.1 14.6 176 86 292.1 294.0 289.8 323.4 11.02 3 900 834 13.5 13.4 99 0.2 13.4 187 101 295.4 297.4 290.7 326.4 10.76 4 850 1314 11.2 11.0 99 0.2 11.1 197 106 297.9 299.6 290.6 326.2 9.73 5 800 1818 8.2 7.8 97 0.4 8.0 199 100 299.9 301.4 290.1 324.5 8.33 6 750 2350 5.6 5.1 96 0.5 5.3 198 96 302.7 304.0 290.2 324.6 7.34 7 700 2912 2.3 1.9 97 0.4 2.1 195 90 305.0 306.2 290.0 324.1 6.29 8 650 3508 -0.7 -1.0 98 0.3 -0.9 196 89 308.2 309.2 290.3 325.1 5.48 9 600 4143 -4.2 -4.5 98 0.3 -4.3 201 90 311.3 312.1 290.5 325.6 4.58 10 550 4824 -8.6 -9.4 93 0.9 -8.9 205 89 313.9 314.6 290.2 324.8 3.40 11 500 5557 -12.6 -13.9 90 1.3 -13.1 205 87 317.6 318.1 290.6 326.2 2.60

Looks better than the 0Z when I

I will settle for this Image

Picked up 2.5" this am, over performer.

Yes, outside of my driveway (the unpaved half) my yard is not wet or spongy at all. Even 90% of my driveway has dried out so not overly concerned with the rain tomorrow.

Looks like one of these @Sey-Mour Snowhydro events?

Sun is winning here at the moment. Gonna be a fight all day but currently mostly cloudy and fair weather bright conditions…