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2026-2027 Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
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Hoisting the Sultan Signal: Heavy Rain Event July 5-7
CT Valley Snowman replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
I'm very happy. Not a drop here in Maine for vacation. Maximizing lake activities and keeping tents and outdoor things dry while at the same time knowing we got a good drink back home to alleviate the burnt dry vegetation. -
Carver, John or Jeff. The summer of 57’ seems to be more in line of what we’re seeing now with the strong El Niño bedded with the severe drought until the Jet stream took over and most areas saw flooding in early fall. AO for 57’ in July was near neutral NAO was slightly negative to neutral I think we are steering more towards 1957/1997 lane as of now but I’m not on the same level on understanding these things like you guys are. What thoughts do you have on this? .
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Hoisting the Sultan Signal: Heavy Rain Event July 5-7
WinterWolf replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
Yes sir, I mentioned that yesterday, it was steady moderate all day here, and some heavy too, but a real soaker. Good stuff. -
Have fun!! It will be incredible. Did both those on a trip quite a few years ago now(jeez). Went white water rafting and did the scenic float and plenty of hiking. All great fun. The Grand Prismatic is insane. Took high res shots of that and Yellowstone Falls. Both are framed and hanging on the walls along with shots from Canaan etc.
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Good point. Areas that had been dry did especially well during the last heat wave. JFK is a great example. .
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Def. a risk with a pumped STJ....see 2016. More often than not, that is more of a worry for NNE. -
Hoisting the Sultan Signal: Heavy Rain Event July 5-7
Torch Tiger replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
Good July noreaster. Yeah winds are ripping ha -
wet ground may knock a couple degrees off? last one came in with bone dry ground
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Hoisting the Sultan Signal: Heavy Rain Event July 5-7
CoastalWx replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
Man we needed this. Nothing crazy just good soaking rains. Windy too. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
MJO812 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Suppression depression -
Hoisting the Sultan Signal: Heavy Rain Event July 5-7
ineedsnow replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
Spin spin.. you were wrong.. own it -
Healthy looking line to my NW
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Hoisting the Sultan Signal: Heavy Rain Event July 5-7
CoastalWx replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
That is mid level stuff. Lots going on. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yea, all of the data is available in this post above. Check how closely CANSIPS resembles Modoki data set. -
Another dry thunderstorm in progress... Believe that will be the eighth in the past 2.5 days..
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
LakePaste25 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I converted these to VP anomalies. Basically the intense composite has stronger subsidence over the MC while the strong composite has stronger subsidence over S America. Makes sense. -
Captured this on July 3rd in Sweetwater. .
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For those interested in actual science- https://www.climate.us/
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Nice let’s break the trend of one a done 100 heat waves. .
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Hoisting the Sultan Signal: Heavy Rain Event July 5-7
SouthCoastMA replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
It's been a steady rain from here up to the south shore in the past hour..starting to catch up a bit with earlier expectations -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I wouldn't resign yourself to a lost season-just accept that we likely aren't getting much in the way of sustained cold. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Basin-wide, similarly to this...1982-1983 was very east-based, and even that had some fierce winter mixed in. December was pretty snowy in my area and of course the Feb blizzard....something to keep in mind given it was the one very strong warm ENSO without a pronounced +WPO, and we seem to have seen a decadal shift in the north Pacific over the past couple of years. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
Maestrobjwa replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
How was 2015-16 oriented? -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The warmth isn't relegated to the east, though. We could see a sequence like 2016 with some extreme intervals of winter weather mixed in...it just won't be sustained.
