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Hey, we wanted a winter storm. We’re going to get one, too bad. We’ll all be in the dark for a week at least

Not buying the 18Z run. Ig I’ll be up for the 00z run .

Nice effort - still too much weenie bias and you’ve turned “the ingredients are on the counter” into “dinner is served” about three days before the oven even preheats.

I do think there's a logical limit to how far north the mixing is based on how strong the Arctic high is initially. Someone is going to get absolutely hammered with ice though if the SE ridge amplifies significantly.

“Gotta smell the sleet to get the goods”….lol stole that line from NOVA forum. We still do just as good as DC.

Recon is already sampling the upper low. They flew out of Honolulu. Hopefully we will see that data ingest begin by 6Z and definitely by 12Z tomorrow.

Good catch… my bad .

Nothing good about the euro at all. 2 more days of this and its 55 and rain

100% agree - not even worth worrying about. I’m just looking at QPF - easier for forecasting and consistency.

When you see things like what ravens just posted in the storm thread, you see what the mods are dealing with absent just flat out permabanning posters.

yeah the discrepancy is absolutely wild. either 3' of snow or no snow lol

Winter of yore

Issued around lunch time

It's a ginormous sleet bomb for a lot of folks Those clown maps are horrible. There's 3 days to go and the mood swings as each model runs have been just as epic and horrible. I'm going to repeat myself and say this will be a high impact event for a lot of people. There will be snow. There will be sleet. There will be freezing rain. Where any of this will fall, or for how long, or for how many different times, or for how many different variations of winter at the same time will hit mby, yby, your neighbors backyard, etc is anyone's guess. It's what we do as nerds. Dissect every run. Ya'll aren't dissecting, you're whining. So buckle up buttercup and store all of it in your memory, because the ride is about to hit warp speed as it comes into hi res view

First time for the storm seeing a foot show up on the mean. Northern extent went north too which is nice to see a large swath of 6”+ - not sweating a 50 mile swath of a narrow band.

Low of 26 with heavy frost once again.

couple not out of the question

If models hold, it will

Probably 13-14:1 at best. Ratios aren't about surface temperatures.

Could be too much of a good thing and then most/all of us mix. I kind of hope it's about at its ceiling now or we're gonna have people cliff diving.

If the dynamics get super charged by that northern stream wave, it increases the chances of a 2'+ jackpot for someone, if you want it in real weenie speak.

NWS not buying the Euro? .

We plow ?

We will all be coming, while seeing 14-20” on the way.