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  2. donsutherland1
    Things change during the second half of February. Since 1950, 75% of NYC's February 15 or later 10" or above snowstorms had a PNA-.
  3. Weather Will
    WB EPS snow prob. Greatly increased between 6Z and 12Z. Blip or new trend TBD. To illustrate, see 6 inch prob. at 12Z compared to 6Z.
  4. deathstar9
    It was incredible, 13” in 4 hours (16.5” total) with a stiff 15-20 mph wind - gusts to 30. 9 to 1 type density. Very high impact. Wide spread 20-30+ a bit further inland.
  5. Baroclinic Zone
    Pulled up the temp data from TAN. Pretty impressive lows. same for OWD
  6. Voyager
    Good God. I really need to move somewhere permanently warm. I can somewhat take an average winter. This I simply cannot.
  7. cyclone77
    I'll take the 300hr 12z GFS run pleez.
  8. Weather Will
    We really need to appreciate that the EURO is really just catching on....compare WB EPS low positions at 12Z compared to 0Z.
  9. AdamHLG
    In Central / Northern Baltimore County that was 10-12" and then a sleet bomb and then (and still currently) a cold spell for the ages. The most snow since 2016 - it's been 10 years. Many schools closed for about a week. Major impact storm. If this is all we get all winter I will take it in a heartbeat. Hopefully we are not done, but imagine the mood around here if we didn't even get that?
  10. mahk_webstah
    Madeline Kahn blazing saddles “ i’ve seen thousands of men again and again…always going and coming and coming and going…and always too soon, right girls?” just like our storms
  11. wasnow215
    Nobody gonna mention the 12Z GFS lol?
  12. ChangeofSeasonsWX
    I wonder when the time will come when we can accurately predict snowfall amounts seven plus days out. I know that we have had storms that were easier to predict than others but it seems like recently we still can't figure out snow totals for a storm even 24 hours in advance. I wonder if AI will change that?
  13. OrdIowPitMsp
    Perfect day for sledding. Kid was acting like the rope used to climb up the hill was mountain climbing. Loads of fun.
  14. MJO812
    Common theme all winter
  15. Baroclinic Zone
    Why I’ve largely ignored anything until within 72hrs.
  16. mahk_webstah
    Yes but there’s been a general signal on and off for a while, and doesn’t it make sense synoptically?
  17. MJO812
    We should be fine as long as the PNA isnt deeply negative which it will not be.
  18. The 4 Seasons
    weenievista at it again. wxbell is like 2-5 mean for that period. But still a huge improvement from 00Z so thats all that matters
  19. MarcmmKU
    Negative PNA is like playing with fire. Can easily cut too much with it. I'd rather have +PNA and risk suppression. Historically the big ones all had +PNA too.
  20. Leesville Wx Hawk
    I have not seen H5 12Z EPS. Looking to compare with GEPS and GEFS for 18Z Sunday time period. .
  21. MANDA
    Great photos Don. Thanks!
  22. MJO812
    Eps once again correcting colder as we get closer. Theme all winter.
  23. WinstonSalemArlington
    Mitch West post
  24. MJO812
    We need a negative PNA to get moisture up here unless you like suppression.
  25. The 4 Seasons
    prob be 33 and R/S everyday if you smooth it out
  26. MJO812
    Eps on board
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