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If we lived in Syracuse or Buffalo and got 100+ every year, it wouldn't be as fun. Part of the fun comes from the scarcity.

Guess the euro is taking the dry slot to the grave. Freaking 1% chance of 6”. Don’t see how the euro busts that badly 12 hours out. I’m ready for spring at this point.

That is all they know how to do it would seem since losing Fishel.

Mike Maze just posted the EURO Ensembles (which they call their exclusive product) and the amounts keep trending down. You can expect an adjustment to their map either tonight or tomorrow morning and they will probably have Wake County in the 1-3" range.

Im trying to figure out why nws keeps bringing down totals for the foothills when every model keeps raising totals. .

I didn’t think the “heavy” stuff was suppose to start until after 2 am or so. .

I find it crazy how far apart WRAL and NWS Raleigh are even 12 hours or less before the start. Even the 8:22pm update from NWS Raleigh has Raleigh exceeding that “1%” threshold. Also…why is WRAL obsessed with the EURO this close to game time? EDIT: I see we all literally said the same thing at the same time.

We are just getting almost nothing in West Knox even though I am in the 4 to 5 inch area. It is hard to bet against Carver, I just don't think we are going to get a lot of help from the east low. Could be wrong, but it's not looking good on Radar People like John can score on these events, but I think this is mostly going to be an extream cold wringing out moisture event.

I'm ready for severe now https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/dataviewer/?hzrd=tor&sect=conus&intv=day&pd=&thrs=0

Nam has the two jackpots like euro and hrrrrr but looks like it’s starting to fill in the dry slot

Steady light snow, lots of bigger flakes mixing in. 20.8º

The Fish says less worry on the crazy dry slot models earlier - now correcting. 4-7” general thought for triangle with the heavier band somewhere south and east. Don’t be surprised to not see decent precip til late afternoon. https://www.facebook.com/share/v/1DMYr6RKhB/?mibextid=wwXIfr

Have close to 1.5in now. Still snowing. Temp is down to 25 dewpoint 24. The front must have moved through here about 30min ago bc the wind has increased substantially and the temp drop from 27 to 25 in that 30 min.

It seems like most on this board and some other Mets are decreasing totals more and more. Yet NWS still has 8” for RDU. Why the discrepancy? Who has more credibility for lack of a better word?

Yep and I love heavy snow, but I'm also never opposed to a long duration lighter snowfall either.

This was always going to be a slow burn for everyone. It's snowed for almost 6 hours here to get 2.5 inches and I'm over performing what I expected. It's going to be a duration event more than a huge burst event. Further east may get the burst. But for most it's more that it's going to be really cold and average probably 1/4th to 1/2 inch an hour for 10 to 16 more hours.

"At this point we may zero out"

Non-meteorologist here! Been watching you guys every major storm since last February, it's rather interesting seeing all the different models. Y'all seem to know more than my primary weather apps (weather channel, AccuWeather, weather bug). Really enjoy the almost minute by minute updates. Weather Channel is currently calling for 8" in the Raleigh NC area in the next 48hrs, up from 6" just a couple hours ago.

Will be interesting to see if February is also below normal like what's forecast. Can we have Dec., Jan. and Feb. all below normal temps and above normal snow? When was the last time that happened?

thoughts on the Sandhills area?

NAM 3K looking good

We have about an inch or a little better in Rutledge Park area in Knoxville, Tennessee. It’s still coming down. .

Some of this is below the radar, especially as we go through the night when the DGZ lowers. .

I know how it works here. It always underperforms. Will be lucky to see more than a dusting.