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Alot of the guidance is moving this se a bit,looking much better for us city folk in regard to snow.
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December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Saw that Bastardi threw out 83-84 as a potential analog. He's the second Met I've seen it from now. As noted, very frustrating December due to cold vs moisture timing, followed by a very snowy January and February. -
Stout baro and I think clouds might hold off off until 10 pm tomorrow night . Is precip supposed to get here after daylight Sunday?
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When you click on my zip code it goes 40 miles south east to Norfolk, VA. What has happened to Wunderground? It has turned to shit.
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Nov 28-30th Post Turkey Day Winter Storm
Kaner88 replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Imagine it's a byproduct of LOT's probability percentages, has a ~50% chance of >18" in a large part of the CWA -
Nov 28-30th Post Turkey Day Winter Storm
cyclone77 replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Light snow has begun here. Let the games begin. -
Beautiful moon setting in the west
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Nov 28-30th Post Turkey Day Winter Storm
Sciascia replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Yeah. I typically don’t run with them for forecasts; but I just wanted to check for gits & shiggles. Even the most aggressive maps have painted 13.5 at most in these parts. -
Nov 28-30th Post Turkey Day Winter Storm
TheNiño replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Accuweather has been complete garbage for as long as I can remember -
Nov 28-30th Post Turkey Day Winter Storm
Sciascia replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I’m not sure where Accuweather pulls out their probability percentages. But I would say throwing a 30% chance on a 15 inch minimum outcome seems a little extreme/careless. -
E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2025 Obs/Discussion
LVblizzard replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Torch. It’s the GFS/NAM/ICON vs. everyone else right now. - Today
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Probably end up a shredded mess. Nothing supports an amped up storm. Wouldn't be surprised if it ended up very light event even n/w.
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First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Oddly enough, I think the GEM is most realistic, IMO. -
First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Yea, I would sign for the GEM. -
E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2025 Obs/Discussion
RedSky replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
What about the GFS -
E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2025 Obs/Discussion
MJO812 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Rgem also Gfs also trended weaker. I wonder if its going to fold. -
E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2025 Obs/Discussion
Ralph Wiggum replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Gotta admire the CMC. Giving us all snow entire event even down to SE PA. -
First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
TauntonBlizzard2013 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Canadian a little weaker, but also slighlty colder. Would be a decent event for many in SNE -
It’s kinda clear that this is a N and W thing at this point. Oh well, not too sad. We were playing with house money anyway.
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First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Looks like the trend tonight is towards less proficent cyclogensis, regardless of track...which isn't surprising. This isn't a pattern ripe for bombs. -
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First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
MJO812 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
