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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
JTA66 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Only 8.75” on the year so far. We know how this will end — not with increasing and steady rains, but with flood watches and warnings. Keep up the good posts, drought guy. -
So many confused weenies
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50mph southeasterlies on the north side of the southeast Iowa anvil rain. Don't think it's a wake low, seems like the southeasterly surface winds are being enhanced by the MCS somehow.
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
Albedoman replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
MY suet feeders are empy after the last two weeks- incredible. I have eight of them. This is because when freezes hit in late April into May, they can severely damage: Serviceberries Mulberries Wild cherries Dogwood berries Early insect hatches Flowering fruit trees and shrubs That creates a temporary natural food shortage for many birds, especially: Baltimore orioles Catbirds Woodpeckers Bluebirds Wrens Chickadees Grackles Starlings Suet suddenly becomes one of the highest-calorie foods available, so birds aggressively raid feeders even outside normal winter behavior. You may also notice: Birds staying at feeders much longer Increased territorial fighting Species eating suet that normally ignore it in May Birds tearing through feeders in 1–2 days More activity early morning and before storms A late freeze can also reduce caterpillars and soft-bodied insects that nesting birds desperately need for protein right now. A few things you can do to help temporarily: Best Foods Right Now Plain suet or insect suet Mealworms Peanut pieces Black oil sunflower Orange halves for orioles Jelly in small amounts Avoid Overheating Problems As temperatures rise in Pennsylvania: Use “no-melt” suet blends Keep suet in shade Replace spoiled suet quickly Expect This to Improve If weather stabilizes, natural food sources usually rebound within: 1–3 weeks for insects Several weeks for berry-producing shrubs You may especially notice a rebound after warm rainy nights, when insect populations recover quickly. Pennsylvania’s recent late spring freeze has caused significant damage to fruit trees, berry-producing plants, flowering shrubs, vineyards, and early insect populations across the state. Apples, peaches, cherries, blueberries, grapes, serviceberries, and other fruit crops suffered blossom and young fruit losses after temperatures dropped into the low 20s during critical growing periods. At the same time, many early insects and caterpillars — an important protein source for nesting birds — were also reduced by the prolonged cold weather. As a result, many birds that normally rely on natural spring food sources such as berries, fruit, nectar, seeds, and insects are now aggressively turning to backyard feeders for survival. This is why suet feeders are being hit unusually hard this spring, even by species that may not normally rely heavily on suet during warmer weather. Suet provides a high-calorie, high-fat energy source that helps birds recover quickly during a period when natural foods are scarce or delayed. Increased nesting activity, colder nighttime temperatures, and the physical demands of breeding season are also causing birds to consume much larger amounts of food than normal. Many residents throughout Pennsylvania are reporting increased feeder traffic, longer feeding times, and more competition among birds as they adapt to these temporary environmental conditions. While the media has covered the agricultural impacts of the freeze — including major losses to orchards and vineyards — far less attention has been given to the secondary wildlife impacts now becoming visible in neighborhoods and rural areas. Agricultural losses are easier to quantify through crop damage and financial impacts, while changes in bird behavior are more difficult to measure scientifically in real time. In many ways, the unusually heavy activity now being seen at backyard suet feeders may be one of the clearest visible indicators of the broader environmental stress caused by Pennsylvania’s late spring freeze. A lot of birders throughout the Mid-Atlantic have reported unusual feeder pressure after this freeze pattern. -
Cold and windy down the Cape today. Not the best.
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Definitely felt like summer. That a good pool temp for this early.
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MSP area is gonna get smacked pretty hard tomorrow evening.
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Voyager replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Welcome to the summer of 2026. -
With the way things have gone the last 4 months in this area, when you wake up Tues morning it will all change to sun and dry conditions
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We hit 90* today after a low of 52*. DP did hit 60 around 1245pm today.
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Boy, I should get into day trading
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83 high today after am low of 47. Still just 0.44" rain for month and 12.61" for year.
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It’s gonna be a good week for us other than the Ambrose Jet making it north of the LIE. Probably low 80s most days on the southerly wind but no nasty sandblaster like on the beaches.
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
Albedoman replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
My friends: The freeze event several weeks ago was historical like I said several times since the event. Here is my proof in the facbook video below. Highland Orchards is near West Chester, PA. The areas to the west and north were just as bad if not worse. I was absolutley spot on when I said on how devastating this late freeze and the depth of the cold throughtout our area. Every vineyard harvest in Lehigh County was totatly decimated for this year. Whats next in my thoughts? This years years corn and soybeans have been affected as well. Many farmers have not even plowed the fields yet as they are afraid of the current drought conditions. WE really need 3-5 inches of rain in the next two weeks. The base flows in the streams are down 50-75% right now. I am waiting for the spigot to be turned on. When? The spigot will not be turned on until we have at least two back to back storm events coming up from the TN valley rather than from the upper midwest. I do not see that until the very end of the month- if we are really lucky. Lets hope some shortwaves start appearing on the models near Nashville TN and running up the Applachian Mts. https://www.facebook.com/reel/1668857734450422 -
Summer stunner! Lfg!
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Between this shit and the Colorado river mismanagement finally biting people in the ass, we are fucking shit up nicely.
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Went to the ole home improvement store earlier and I am pretty sure every person in dekalb county was in the garden section.
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
84 for the high today. Plenty warm enough for me. -
75 today. The pool is up to 80. Summa
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Tomorrow will be a summerlike day. Temperatures will top out in the middle and perhaps upper 80s. The warmest spots in New Jersey could approach 90°. Even as Monday will be a bit cooler than Sunday, the warmth will likely continue through the middle of next week. Temperatures could rise into the upper 80s and perhaps the lower 90s on Tuesday and Wednesday. Thursday could still be warm. Afterward, it will turn much cooler. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.9°C for the week centered around May 6. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.50°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.55°C. El Niño conditions are rapidly developing and will likely be in place in the next few weeks. The SOI was -23.11 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.368 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 63% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal May (1991-2020 normal). May will likely finish with a mean temperature near 64.0° (0.8° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 1.5° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.
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Looks like the forecast has increased a few degrees to 95-96 for a high both Tues and Wed
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high of 81 after a low of 58. Dew points hoovered in the upper 50's all day.
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Gorgeous sunset alert
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
75 analogs weighted, +2.0 next year El Nino is 2.0x, -0.5 next year ENSO is -0.5x, etc. 01-02 is probably about 2% of the composite. 96-97 is about 3% of the composite
