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All the globals have something for Wed-AI's also

Enjoy my 0.1" coming your way.

The problem with his thinking is he is looking at 500mb water vapor. Which typically is fine for NC storms, but this one is so cold that 500mb is in the tropopause and most of the snow growth will happen below that. Heres 500mb and 700mb rel humidity and sounding data

I'm sooty, but this kind of cold, for this kind of duration is too much for me. It'd be nice to get a couple of days break every so often before a reload.

Greg Fishel posted something 3 hrs ago and said he feels there’s a widespread 4-7in and more to the east. Considering no shifting. He’s not seemingly freaking out about the dry slot idea and wasn’t last night for sure. Maybe he will post a vlog soon.

We are getting a solid cloud deck here in Knoxville for the first time today, and radar is closing up the hole around MRX's site.

Euro has been rock steady.

Radar shows the LE snow only a county east of here and moving west. Perhaps we get a taste?

It looks AI generated honestly. Alan always puts out great maps that are very detailed

It is January 30th. DCA has close to 10 inches on the season. We have a full month+ of winter left. Remember that last week the first runs showing snow in our area were on Monday for what ended up being a Saturday night/Sunday morning event.

Was that 1943 temp legit?

My coldest temperature despite this historic duration cold this week is an unimpressive 4F this morning Currently 13F

And looks like they got a quick turnaround again this week

Radar really lighting up over Kingsport. Models had slowed the onset down toward 7-10pm. but this may be ahead of schedule. The models do have a lull this afternoon before the real forcing begins.

Only able to see precip total maps, but the non-AI euro has a northern band and a southern band kind of situation for Wednesday. Good chunk of Maryland squeaks out 1” or so - rest is too south for most of us.

I was looking at snowfall on Pivotal, not that it matters.

Got that strip through the SSE side of my county. Im like 5 miles to the N of it.

A lot of people in here thought February was setting up for a 2010 redux especially with long stretch of brutal cold. Will we really waste the month if PV suppresses everything to the south?

Fuk these gulf systems, Lets get one to come thru the upper Tennessee valley and redevelop off the demarva.

Have fun pal.

icon is a good hit for VA weds/thurs.

You know they're all exhausted. I remember seeing images from last weekend with air mattresses and makeshift sleeping quarters.

I’m with you for my area in specific, but I think we do need to keep in mind that this community isn’t just Central Maryland or northern areas. If I’m not mistaken, the Eastern Shore and Southern Maryland peeps got mostly left out of our last storm because they were too far south/east, and NOW they’re too far north/west for this coastal storm. So I really can’t blame those people for being very bitter at the moment.

Do you mean the QBO will be west (+)? For the sub -20 December QBOs at 30 mb, what was the following Dec? 1965: -21; 1966: +13 1974: -23; 1975: +11 2005: -25; 2006: +6 2014: -25; 2015: +11 2021: -22; 2022: +12 2023: -23; 2024: +13 2025: -27; 2026: ? So, for all 7 Decembers with a sub -20 QBO, all of the subsequent Decembers were +6 to +13, which is intuitive based on the normal cycle. Thus, I see almost no way next winter will have anything near an east QBO. But, again, did you mean west (+) QBO? If you really meant E (-), on what are you basing that? Are you aware of the history that I’m posting here?

Being a met in NC the last 3 weeks probably the toughest job in America