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2-4 ain’t happening. 0-1 is realistic. That’s based on looking outside and radar. Models ain’t worth a damn at this point

I think I know how it feels to lose in the Superbowl now. Living in Raleigh since a toddler the mid 70s, I recall a lot of good snow events in the 80s through the early 2000s, miss those days. Being located in Southern Wake, the last "good" snow was in 2018, with a few screw jobs the prior 3-4 years of that one. I want to retire up north lol.

I think I’m getting evap cooling from a light N to NNE wind lol. 18F

A forest jeb walk through half a foot of champagne powder .

I’ve been watching.

I think you guys will be seeing flakes soon it's a nice band setting up over the peninsula

Raleigh has been cut back to 2 to 4 in which that is probably even generous. Obviously it's a near total loss at this point.

Seems too dry based on radar.

I would guess this is the very coldest of air pouring into the region on a fresh snowpack. That is triggering nearly north-south snow bands. The atmosphere is squeezing out every last drop of moisture. We have had several heavy bands of snow here this afternoon. It is amazing how cold my hands get with these temperatures.

Some of these radar are wonky with future casts so I’d be hesitant. Wrals and weather bugs from experience is bad. Wral doesn’t even have it moving in the right direction as the storm is moving.

Last couple weeks was actually below normal here, first time this fall/winter we've had such a period. Obviously not nearly as cold as they were in the Midwest and East. But the overall winter pattern has been very similar to 1980-81, also weak -ENSO and dominated by ridging west/cold east.

This zone has been getting pounded all day.

The sun is fighting through the thin clouds here... helping a little bit with the roads, but making my driveway a lot slushier to shovel

Huntersville NC. HARD snow for almost 5 hours now. Pushing through 12" now. This is getting ridiculous.

According to future radar it should snow for awhile there. Not a flake here 10 miles away in south NN

I would say the pattern this winter fits perfectly with what one would expect from a warmer world. First, the extent of the cold this winter was limited compared to what we used to get from Arctic outbreaks across the Northern Hemisphere. The top 5 cold from late January into early February from the Central and Eastern CONUS will only be of a 10 to perhaps 15 day duration. In the old days we could have 60-90 day durations of top 5 cold like in the late 1970s in the CONUS. Plus the record early late November SSW at the time of the lowest Arctic sea ice extent for the late fall into early winter matches model studies which show a link with low Arctic sea ice when combined with a -QBO. Also notice the all-time record warmth out West this winter instead of coast to coast extended cold like we used to get. The presence of the warmth in proximity to the cold can lead to very large temperature swings in some locations.

6.5” and dumping in s Charlotte

Someone just shoot me. SE WAKE CO SUCKS

where is the ULL?

Looks like its over here unless we get some upslope later. We are at just over 9" of powder. Its down to 14 and the wind is blowing it around! Was expecting 4-8. Very happy with it over performing

definitely a drastic hiccup

3k NAM seems too dry? It is snowing in spots north of the nc/va line but the model doesn’t depict that at all. It’s also missing stuff in NC as well.