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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
dendrite replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Not even ZR here. Just some showers and flakes. Down to 32.7° -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Lava Rock replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Nada for sn. Just some zr Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
dendrite replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Idk. 4”? I’ll check later -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Damage In Tolland replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
This winter it def is. Fast PAC flow nonsense . Unrelenting -
The big ones are sniffed out early- which weenie rule is that again?
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Lot less up here in NC. Total was 1.91”. .
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Geps all lit up at the end of its run last night too.
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Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
Cary67 replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
May take model vacation till early February. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
mahantango#1 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
READ THIS AFTER YOU WATCH THE VIDEO The new 0z Sunday operationally European model is quite impressive. For the first time it not only develops a CLOSED UPPER LOW but it now forms a closed in southwest ILL , drops into the deep Longwave Trough on the East Coast Wednesday night. From there the closed 500 UPPER LOW deepens and drops SE into the Carolinas by Thursday night. If this solution is correct it matches the GFS solution in developing a significant Coastal storm Nor'easter along the Delmarva Coast with rain initially along the coastal areas and heavy snow in the Piedmont and Appalachian Mountains of the Middle Atlantic and the Ohio Valley . If we were to Take verbatim the 0z sunday European model run, the surface LOW Pounds the hell out of western NC/ far southeast KY/ southwest VA the entire Shenandoah Valley/ Western MDd and most of WV On Thursday and Thursday evening the coastal LOW intensifies and rain changes the snow in I-95 and coastal areas Thursday night . Snow continues through Friday dawn in the eastern half of VA/ c central and eastern MD/ and the Delmarva and possibly Hampton roads. The European model has a break in the snow shield from Baltimore to NYC while Southeast New England sees some moderate accumulating snow. As I mentioned in the video the key to the January 15 event is the formation of the closed UPPER LOW -- this feature HAS to drop into the Carolinas in order for there to be a significant Middle Atlantic winter storm. If that UPPER LOW never forms or let's say the orms over PA that would be great for NY state and New England but it would be complete Miss for a new the southern Middle Atlantic. -
improve how so ? Same as the Euro - little snow
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EPS is hinting at it-
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6.23 inch rain event total here in Dahlonega, GA. 6.18 of that came in a 24 hour period between fri 1:30pm and sat 1:30pm. Surprised no other obs in here for this event. Am in in the right section.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
UnitedWx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
It wouldn't surprise me to watch this end of the week thing slowly disappear on the models over the next few days and start to focus on the 19th time frame. To me it has the look that they just don't know what to focus on yet -
Looks like a safe bet. Hopefully it won't trend more north, that will even cut snow totals up there.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Kitz Craver replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
The vort from hell, that’ll give you 1”. Gotta love it. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
CoastalWx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
It just fits the last several seasons of disappointment. I hope we see some changes today, but I’m with you. Torch it and give me 60F instead of a slowly sublimating leaf blower event. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Baroclinic Zone replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Is that what your wife says? -
If the western US doesn’t get some precip this winter it could be bad next summer if it’s dry out there.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Kitz Craver replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
With H5 looking like that, it’s a damn shame. -
Yeah multiple threats between Jan 10-20...
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
CoastalWx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Is it that hard to get a 6” event? FFS. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Kitz Craver replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I’m all set with a 1-3” event. We have seen plenty of “dinkleshit” snows. It ain’t the holidays anymore, time to get real. -
6Z euro only gave the mountains snow but cut back from 0Z. I'm sure there there will be more changes today.
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Picked up close to 3” overnight. Nice surprise snow. Looks like a couple more inches of lake effect today.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Damage In Tolland replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
E Mass Wx will be issuing first calls today
