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  2. Well it did rain.... Had 5 drops on my windshield.
  3. I’m jealous. Been mostly cloudy up here all morning and mild. Hoping we can get some sun up here for a bit. I’m gonna be out west for a couple weeks so I’d like to see/hear some storms prior.
  4. I agree 100%. But actually, at least 1 in here certainly IS implying the lowest snow totals will repeat. Analogs are a tool like models. You could have everything align nearly identical to a previous year and the weather will never be replicated verbatim.
  5. My numbers run slightly higher than WCS, and showing a rise back to around 0. Last year at this time we were tanking the value. In 2024 we were recovering somewhat after already tanking, but values were still much lower than now. In my mind its clear that things are really changing from where we've been the last 10 years. Yeah, maybe we aren't headed for a robust +PDO, but it feels like neutral to slightly positive could be in the cards.
  6. Loving these temps but I know the rubber band is gonna snap by the 4th so I'm going to FL after the 4th for 2 weeks to justify 95/75 everyday lol.
  7. That’s a lot of water to our west on Albany radar. Bring it!
  8. WB 15Z NBM through Tuesday would be nice .75 to inch for most of us.
  9. Pouring in Brightwaters unfortunately that’s probably the only rain that I, and most of the island will see
  10. Given this (granted its early) I don't think tropical is anything we'll be tracking. Unless you want to count any remnant Gulf systems being absorbed in troughs come Fall and moving up to our west
  11. The 12z CSU MLP update re-increased the 5% area for TOR and also inched the 30% wind closer to MBY.
  12. Good luck counting on that day. Not much will happen tomorrow
  13. HRR is putting the heavy axis of QPF in SNH and SVT. What are everyones thoughts on this? 3" max or more?
  14. Can we actually back into a nice event??
  15. Actually looks decent for two convective chances tomorrow morning, then later in the afternoon/evening. Would be tough to go 0-3 with one system, but Stein still has his fastball
  16. WB 12Z Can. Is also onboard for tomorrow. Much wetter than 0Z.
  17. Looks like about a buck 50 on the NAM N of the Pike. Nothing ridic. Beneficial. ...I'm sure we'll focus on whatever 5.76" version instead... but probably this is a 'standard' soaking
  18. Dew point was in the mid 30's this morning. Not something you normally see in this part of Michigan in the latter part of June.
  19. I’d be surprised if I get more than half an inch
  20. We are back to the sudden move north again for systems. All the steady rain well north of where it was modeled a few days ago.
  21. How does this current pattern affect any potential tropical activity up here? If it does at all?
  22. So much for the cool and rainy El Nino summer. Looks like our drought could get even worse. This was at Falls Lake yesterday (main sections still have water but even that is looking quite shallow in places):
  23. Today
  24. Interestingly, since that WCS tweet was made on 5/28/26 showing the then latest WCS PDO (5/27/26) down at -1.40, then near a 6 month low, the WCS PDO has risen nearly 1 in just 25 days while El Niño has gotten much stronger to -0.48:
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