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  2. I don’t even know where the hell you live anymore.
  3. They most certainly can. Doesn’t mean you have to abide by it but they can arrest you for it if you are causing an issue. And as I said earlier when a travel ban is issued your insurance will not cover you if you get into an accident unless you are essential.
  4. The only one that may is the euro, and that shows the majority of accumulations from the IVT and it moving east. It is pretty damn bullish with that though, drops 6-8” over my yard.
  5. Yeah. It's been shifting west for close to a week.
  6. If my kids have school tomorrow I won’t be able to show my face around the house.
  7. I do not think it is unreasonable to be highly skeptical of the NWS forecast for the Lehigh Valley. 10-20” is wishcasting. 4-8” is much more reasonable in my opinion.
  8. Snowing in cape may per friend. Starting to regret not driving down there for this one.
  9. Models have been trending south with next weeks event
  10. South Jersey will jackpot also especially close to the coast
  11. I don’t think the globals have value at this point when calculating how much qpf falls before/after the flip and doing the math. The CAMs already account for this, they hardly have any accumulation (0.5” or less) anywhere but the high elevs until 22-23z. Even if we lop off an inch across the board due to melting, the forecast will still verify on the middle to low end. We won’t hit the 90th percentile numbers so I think we can put that to bed, but the forecast is still very much in play.
  12. Of course they can shut down roads for emergencies. But not every road. They can't tell you that you can't leave your home for any reason. Do you really want some idiot politicians determining what is essential to YOU?
  13. Rad motions are generally S to N, west of the Hudson River Valley. Just sayn'
  14. My point was, Feb ‘13 was predicted here the morning of, to be the lower side with…15-18”(not that that is chopped liver)and 24-36” out where you are. I remember feeling bent out of shape due to that, and then as the storm intensified and took shape, we ended up doing fabulous, and it played out much differently than what was forecast. I have a feeling this will be similar. It’s gonna be a region wide 14-20, with Lollies to 30”.
  15. Did you see my post above? Why am I the local jack at 900 ft elevation in Carroll valley just east of the ridges vs places just west at blue ridge summit having similar and then 1k-1200ft having wet grass west of pen mar?
  16. Thank you. I really appreciated the reply. Seems we are much closer on thinking and you can’t and shouldn’t have to justify others decisions lol. I was just perplexed because while there was some model support for that 5-10 call it relies on a decent amount of accumulation today. The NAMs and the SREF and RAP all showed what would justify a 5–10 call. But they all had accumulating snow today. The forecast went non accumulating today which was correct but still higher totals. Seemed like a weird combo of two opposite scenarios. Maybe a hedge?
  17. We just got off 81 in Winchester. It is really coming down but not sticking.
  18. Man, a DASH of something would've been helpful here
  19. Let’s go baby. I’m still optimistic for your area, radar is a solid look right now.
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