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  2. For airports yes. The public not until the late 90s?
  3. Unfortunately, another extreme event less than a month later. Translated from French The average thermal anomaly for the next 7 days could reach +9.0°C, which is greater than during the exceptional episode of May 2026, whose return period was estimated at more than 1,000 years. We're just two weeks after breaking that supposed millennial record... The June 2026 heatwave could thus become the most anomalous episode ever observed in France over a one-week period, across all seasons and all durations combined. Furthermore, Monday could enter the Top 3 of the hottest days ever recorded in France, alongside the historical benchmarks of July 25, 2019 (national average temperature of 29.40°C) and August 4, 2003 (29.35°C). If the forecasts hold true, this day would join the most significant dates in French climate history.
  4. Finally hit 1.00," for the month.
  5. Some potential for non-trivial rain on Monday. Keeping fingers crossed.
  6. .21 here. Every batch that came close just disintegrated
  7. Received about 1.5" of rain from yesterday here at my location.
  8. Euro looks like a widespread soaker overall. Probably going to be a hellacious band near low center and along WF.
  9. To me, it was pretty obvious the timing of these storms. So for this area, it was completely ridiculous.
  10. I woke up and said it is about freaking time!
  11. Thankfully although there have been some winners and losers relatively speaking it was a .5"+ rainfall across the Piedmont. Pretty rare to get widespread rain like that in June
  12. We're in a new construction home which means trying to start a lawn. I gave up and will try again this fall. As for garden, I just have a few containers and pots I can water. I think we'll see a wet and mild winter which would help getting a lawn going. Cloudy 71/68
  13. Today
  14. Pretty sure it was the same measuring standards back to the 1950s. Airports were doing 6 hourlies.
  15. Northwest flow is great in Ohio right now. Taking my older kid to cedar point today (he's in the roller coaster phase of early teen years). Sunny, crisp, low humidity, 10/10
  16. Thinking about ONI and RONI. Surface winds like trades are driven by surface temperature difference, so RONI probably more relevent. Precipitation and heat release to atmosphere from condensation are driven by moisture content. Warmer air holds more moisture so ONI is probably more relevent. Jet stream should have some ONI influence due to extra warming of tropical deep atmosphere from condensation. Will be interesting to see how the two factors play out.
  17. I hope the euro is right Monday…would love a deep soaker. I’d sacrifice a Monday for that. Euro is 2-3” up here while the GFS is mid 70s Mon-Tue. GEFS tickled south too.
  18. Thunderstorm activity in SNE has been pretty flaccid so far. I think it ramps up towards the end of the summer.
  19. Warm spots like Newark are currently in 2nd place for most 90° days by the summer solstice. But the area will see fewer 90° days in late June with the pattern closer to seasonable. So Newark should fall further back closer to 4th or 5th place by June 30th. Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ Most 90° days by June 21st Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 1991-06-21 14 0 2 2026-06-21 13 3 3 2021-06-21 12 0 - 1987-06-21 12 0 4 1986-06-21 11 0 5 1988-06-21 10 0 Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ Most 90° days by June 30th Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 1991-06-30 18 0 2 2021-06-30 16 0 - 2010-06-30 16 0 3 1987-06-30 15 0 4 1986-06-30 14 0 5 2026-06-30 13 12 - 1965-06-30 13 0 - 1943-06-30 13 0 6 2024-06-30 12 0 - 1994-06-30 12 0 - 1993-06-30 12 0 - 1880-06-30 12 0
  20. Meh even a marginal risk can do that. There was like zero lightning. As we thought.
  21. We had 2 events cancelled. One was a staff golf tournament. That made sense due to rain likelihood and lightning. The other was our school fishing club was cancelled. I didn’t know we even had one. That also made sense.
  22. After Monday fails (north) that's it for rain changes. I'm glad I didn't do a garden. Come on October!
  23. It's only happened once before, when 3 robust el ninos happened in the 1982-92 period, which was a solid +PDO period. After the 2nd el nino event was a strong la nina. If we do get a very strong el nino, I'm almost expecting that after 2 in a short period, it's going to have to correct to the opposite direction, and a robust la nina will follow after it. And there was somewhat of a correction in 1983 and 1984, even before the robust 1988 event. There was none in 2024 or 2025. It's got to correct, unless we've reached a point of no return and the global climate is permanently altered.
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