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  2. Legit wild - I went from 32° to 38° in like 10 minutes an hour ago, back down to 35° now
  3. It’ll be 45° during tomorrow morning’s bootcamp workout…now if the rain could just hold off for a couple hours it would be glorious. 6-9” is big snow in this here land of hit or miss clippers and dry bone breaking northwest flow.
  4. Hurricane Josh's Melissa chase is up. Insanely intense. Up there was the Marsh Harbor footage in Dorian.
  5. 46F here and rising (most of my snow has been obliterated) while DCA is at 35 and dropping lol. Don't think I've seen that type of spread before absent it raining in one location and not the other.
  6. Every CAM has a nice forced line just ahead of the front, with consensus showing it passing through DC around 6 or maybe 7AM. Most of these events end up being just heavy rain, but they do occasionally surprise us with more. Another thing to watch is that all of the guidance has another round of scattered heavy showers around midday in a well-mixed environment with a bit of low-level CAPE and low freezing levels. Would not be surprised to see some graupel out of those.
  7. Yep saw that this evening. Nothing you can do but hope the pattern changes and brings more snow to the area.
  8. My shaded ground is frozen solid and full sun is hazardous as too 1/4” is melted clay much but still frozen right underneath. Fast drop down to 35 now
  9. 2010-11 was by far the best snow cover winter I’ve ever seen.
  10. This was Islanders Pond, VT yesterday. You don’t have to watch the entire video lol. Very nice for opening day. And I had to work
  11. 49.5F here. A WILD inversion going on right now around here - it's 45F here, about 4 blocks away and downhill, it's 33F lol.
  12. I got 8.5 inches last February and they said I only got 6 inches. They are wrong.
  13. Yeah, it doesn't actually excite me, I just need something to happen. Losing the snow suck tho'
  14. there’s some angry denialism goin on in here tonight
  15. Sure its still a work in progress,post this just to see around New Years if its close to a severe look,cant get cold bring on severe
  16. As long as it remains cold to the pole and to our north. No sustained warmth ever gets into the NE. It’s happened all fall and should continue. Hopefully that brings snow/ ice opps because if it’s cold and dry like it’s been . Heaven help this place
  17. Looks like more like the GFS in the long range,anoms are like 30F-AN on NYD
  18. Today
  19. Some of what we’ve been talking about here. Odd pattern with potential that could cut sharply either way.
  20. Look another hater! My track record has been pretty good lately. I called the clipper pattern we saw the last week or so and this upcoming mild period over 2 weeks ago. I hope I'm wrong but unless we see major changes soon it will be at least 15-20 days before this pattern starts breaking down and that gets us to 2026. Some of you have short memories because the main reason the past 5 winters have mostly sucked is because the raging Pacific jet. We were looking for pattern changes almost every winter since 2019. Its as strong now as any of the past 5 years. Look at the record breaking, catastrophic flooding in Washington state. This should be a lesson that with even a super frigid Canada, a favorable MJO and a decent NAO, the PNA and Pacific jet extension is hard to overcome.
  21. Nice find, and I see it listed as an option on Pivotal Weather too.
  22. Yeah it’s gone here, completely. 12/14/25-12/17/25. What a winter run
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