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Well that one wasn't as bad because it had no consistent model support. This is a legit storm that is gonna happen...but now the fail mode went and popped up yesterday.

Well, icon is a big hit for Chicago with mostly a sleet event for extreme se pa points s and e. Never doubt either one of the KU duo...never.

Everyone was rooting for the icon at the beginning. When the end result sucked, we then resort to "Well its the ICON"

Looks awfully like an ice storm over middle TN

I don’t know how ready the RRFS A is for prime time but it would be rough I think. Would probably already be mixing by sunrise Sunday.

North of I80 mfs: just look at this image and ignore all possible meteorological context that can stifle the glory it strikes in your heart.

I don't have soundings but surface verbatim has freezing rain down to around Columbia SC and then on over into NE GA.

i wouldn’t lie the north trend seems to be hauling ass. It needs to stop soon if you we want a “biggy”

Yeah, I just saw that 18z ICON run. If nothing else, this storm has provided some hall of fame worthy model runs and we're within 48hrs of it getting started. Excited to see how this shakes out.

Crank up the old DGEX!

All the times we need a phase and some random NS SW screws it up. We need one of those hah

This sounds painful no matter how you approach it...

next it's going to be congrats north pole

Last Feb was a pretty funny one. Remember that? Lol

Can you keep this in banter? no one should be cliff diving FFS

guys just to walk you off the cliff here, the high on Sunday somewhere between 19 and 23°. This is not your NYC run of the mill snowstorm where this is going to rain or you’re not gonna get accumulation. I think some of you are losing sight of that with this sleet potential. Whatever falls is going to stick and it’s gonna stick hard

uh ohhhh!

Does it have any sleet into Georgia?

Ready to seeder feeder our way to a low end advisory event

I agree, although I could definitely see a massive dry slot cutting into QPF way more than models are showing. At this point 4-6" of sleet or bust in my mind.

RGEM is textbook placement of the HP over north of NY/Canada border. Thing of beauty.

i'm going with euro ai

We saw how much mixing the CMC showed on the 12z run and Euro brought in mixing early Sunday afternoon, so this ICON run isn't something new. We're trending in that direction. Hopefully our major snowstorm won't fall apart. We will get a front end dump due to the arctic air in place, but it wouldn't be a shock if it's just a mediocre 2 to 4 or 3 to 5 dump before mixing like we've seen many times in the past. Of course the big amounts are very possible too -- a long way to go with this.