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Cloudy 36f dew point 25f going up to 50 under sunny skies forecast I saw this morning. Ummm I don’t think so looks like warmth is being shooed away.

I would have to think we see winter storm watches expanded through much of CT...maybe the trigger is pulled for a warning in Fairfield?

I’ve give up on snow for a few months if I could get that set up! .

Merry Christmas n a Happy Holiday to all. Light frz rn mixed with some snow forecast for later today with some snow along the border. Untreated surfaces will be slick.

That's great to know!! Thank you for that insight. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

It's fairly unstable too into the DGZ. That could certainly argue for some rates locally approaching 3"/hr but I don't think those rates would be sustained for a full hour or multiple hours. Such a tough forecast...you almost have to have a large swath of something like 5-8" or 6-9" and then just use text to emphasize that swath ma be a bit more narrow as those totals are highly dependent on where the banding occurs and how wide the banding is.

I think the last time Orange County had widespread 20”+ was back in December 2002. Monthly Data for December 2002 for Orange County, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. GARDNERVILLE COOP 20.1 PORT JERVIS COOP 34.0 WALDEN 1 ESE COOP 22.5 WEST POINT COOP 30.5

How dare you ruin the pity party in this nyc and south forum!

The NWS wanted to grace us with its finest dad joke for the holidays...

It's Christmas fing day! Come on people let's have a little class wait till 12:01 am before critiquing people or giving opinions on people in here.

ASOUT

Another 0.5” since 2:30am with a nice batch rolling thru at 10am. Christmas Day snow is the best. HL_PAN4_80482C982400_cacheVideo.mp4

Merry Christmas all! May you all have peace and happiness this Holiday season!!

i don't even pay attention to him.

Yea that doesn’t really apply further south. Mainly for central CT. I’m highly confident that most on here see a nice 3-6” snowfall.

Its one of those storms where parts of Monmouth and li will do better than western nj where they'll mix sooner

NYC in trouble

From NE forum. Great explanation on bandingeven though for up here.

LHV should do very well

We can potentially close December with 25”+ up this way. Can’t remember the last time that happened

The Poconos might be decent Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

24 hours to first flakes for some on here and the American mesos all over the place. NYC northwest, north and northeast in line for a solid snowstorm. South of nyc is on the bubble. Probably a sleet storm up to Monmouth after some snow. I think the city and points north and east stay all snow

Merry Christmas! another white Christmas on this side of the county. 8-12” coming Friday night. Can’t remember the last time we had a December like this

NAM bufkit is out! So far looked at a couple locations (Waterbury and New Haven with New Haven shown below). Beautiful crosshair signature for a good 3 hours. But note...the duration of the snow, particularly the heaviest snow is going to be short lived. This is something that is going to cut back on the upper ceiling with this. It could really be difficult to pull off more than 6-7" but there are many factors to consider here. NAM bufkit even looks solid through Hartford. But it should be stressed that this is solely tied into the banding...meaning if you are not under the banding, its probably going to suck and may be difficult to accumulate more than a few inches (though most should be happy with that).

I’m more worried about QPF more than the temperature profile for my area. It’s a very thin band of heavier precip on almost all models - and rates will play a factor with marginal temps. 3-6” is my final call for MBY and much of the NYC metro.