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  2. weathafella
    Since the winter grading is totally subjective based on the poster’s perception, its a B for tripol.
  3. 87storms
    Back to the base state.
  4. 87storms
    My friend in Glenwood has video of a tree falling during that storm. Winds didn’t look crazy so I thought it was more of a downburst, but def part of that same line.
  5. hawkeye_wx
    The 12z Euro is a big shift back west with the secondary defo band. The previous two runs had almost nothing in eastern Iowa.
  6. WxUSAF
    They did the M thing for several weeks regarding the back to back days in early February with dustings. Then said “F it” and went with a T both days
  7. A-L-E-K
    same as it ever was
  8. Chicago916
    I've sensed cautious optimism from you lately. I still think it's strange given the moving pieces we haven't really seen any large swings in guidance. I guess modeling isn't that terrible then
  9. Nomz
    I think impacts will likely be closer to rush hour for our sub. Regardless, we're a tiny bit of instability away from a truly big time event. Have a feeling Carolinas will go big, however.
  10. McHenrySnow
    The good news is it will be windy no matter what since we haven't seen enough wind lately.
  11. BooneWX
    Wrapping up this winter: 1/25 - 2.5” of mostly sleet 1/31 - 7” of champagne powder 2/5 - 1” of icing on the cake to freshen up my champagne powder Season total: 10.5” Notable: Several cold periods with rare staying power. I went about 3 weeks with some sort of ice/snow coverage on the ground. Complaints? Few. Wish Christmas would’ve been cold but it felt like a winter of old. Final grade: A+ This winter reminded me so much of when I was a kid. Multiple storms, including one good slop fest, a true snow and sneak-up event that was minor. It’s hard to be mad at this past season. I really hope this is the start of a better long term pattern, and even if it’s not, it was good to see we’re capable of going above average in snow/sleet accumulation not entirely dependent on one event.
  12. Kmlwx
    Not a fan of Cappucci in general but yeah seems many of the folks on social media are buzzing about this. I remain reserved but it definitely has some bite potential.
  13. A-L-E-K
    as usual name of the game is complex wave interactions (especially so with this) and baroclinic zone largely irrelevant imo just be glad we're hanging onto good consensus for the rapid deepening in our backyard which can often hold surprises
  14. NorthArlington101
    Cappucci and his team there ideally would know better that it's a Day 4 outlook and that it doesn't correspond to a risk level at that range... but yeah. I wouldn't be shocked to see some school impacts Monday given a four day warning timeline is pretty big for a severe event.
  15. Fozz
    Looks like BWI changed it to an M, meaning they’re acknowledging that the data is missing for that day. I hope they figure something out eventually. I think they should split the difference between the nearest 1.0 and 1.4 and go with 1.2”. Sure it won’t be perfect but at the most they’ll be off by a few tenths. Better than going down in history as a false zero.
  16. Amped
    Wind is getting pretty nasty.
  17. WxUSAF
    EF1 confirmed for western HoCo from Wednesday!!
  18. Brian5671
    No winter either. March is an in between month these days-time to fast forward to April. 42 and cloudy is boring
  19. Grothar of Herndon
    Wind is crazy right now. We sure do wind very well around here...
  20. yoda
    So is Matthew Cappucci https://x.com/MatthewCappucci/status/2032441555785539939
  21. Ralph Wiggum
    This winter has been persistent no matter what happens between now and Tax Day. One to remember. Here's a 360hr norlun for fun:
  22. RedSky
    correct that was a textbook onion snow in south and east areas
  23. SACRUS
    Monday loos like it could be warm ahead of the front southerly flow - enough sun could push 70s.
  24. beavis1729
    Any thoughts on whether the snowfall in the Upper Midwest overnight and this morning could tighten up the baroclinic zone and help the cold push a bit further south than currently modeled? Or any type of impact of the new snow cover on the various moving pieces in general? I guess we'll see it in the 18z runs, if there's any truth to this. I know it's weenie rule #500, but why not.
  25. olafminesaw
  26. forkyfork
    it's been spring for the past 12 days
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