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Sunset. Not a cloud in the sky. .

what in abomination is this lol

Should get some good radiational cooling taking please earlier on this evening. Still a decent amount of clear skies before the sun set here. Temp down to 39 from a high of 46.

Soundings on the nam look pretty good. The only level anywhere near or above freezing is right at the surface and that's at the beginning. Mid level winds are out of the east and not south like usual when it gets going and surface winds are out of the north the whole time. Mid level winds veer NE towards the end. We'll see how it goes but my personal algorithm says the snow will be dry and fluffy. Could get some decent ratio stuff where the best lift runs overhead and both our yards have some periods of that. Not too shabby for early Dec

Nice fatties up there.

Also, for the record, I’d still gamble DC sees a T out of this.

I tend to agree. The 12/2 system was another flag. It was literally in the 20s the evening that precip was set to arrive lol. I also think this area is more prone to drought now especially if northern stream systems are going to be further north. At a certain point, it becomes less of a trend and more of a question of whether this is the new base state. Time will tell. It's early in the season, but so far it's a lot of the same.

If you all don’t send pics we’ll banish you to another subforum for real! Good luck

Agree, its definitely colder... In Charlottesville at the moment - already down to 33 according to the car...

looks like every run's a different focus ... 12 hours, 24 or 36 apart from where it was on the last run, because it's actually a different wave altogether in a general careening buckshot of probably nearly impossible to process s/w swarm

Loaded up and ready to go in Bedford county.

TELL ME MORE!!

The last few years have just been very paltry everywhere, so there's more random variation with one or two storms versus six or seven. Lower numbers = higher standard deviation. Like in 2011- 2012, Central Virginia got a random storm that dropped 4-8" and ended up with more snow than DC/Baltimore. That was the only snow that winter. If we're moving back into a more favorable climo, we will go back to a more normal regional distribution.

Just how it always seems to feel but things have evened out over the past few seasons I feel like. Def in the “sweet spot” for the time being. .

True or not, let’s not do this here. Good luck to all and post pics please!

Was close to something nice for NYC on the 15th.

Most interesting part of this storm is the surface temps dropping from near freezing at onset to mid 20s during the meat. I didn't get good ratios last storm due to warmish start and temps just below freezing when it mattered. Could be a lot fluffier this go around. I like my yard for this one.

Really? Y'all have gotten more main courses of sliders than some of us northerners have had in 8 years!

can't make this up #Snowhole

Thanks. I asked google but prefer asking an educated person, not AI. I just received a weather alert for freezing fog in the morning and didn’t understand. I’m in Raleigh.

I'm telling ya this is gonna be a Miller Too Late.. I'd almost bet a 6-leg parlay on it, lol This is a nina and these kind of setups snow around us but not on us. Not even gonna give this one the time of day (unless it's Saturday night and it looks like it'll buck the trend). I'll prepare the last words of Beethoven: "Pity, pity...too late!"

Racing downhill, let’s go! Any hopium I can get I’ll take.

https://store.steampowered.com/app/1107320/OUTBRK/ new hobbies for all

That’s a gorgeous spot day 7 for gfs , if it had support and wasn’t the 18z gfs…

Things always seem to slide North leaving us with the leftovers and somehow we could go 2/2 and still early December is wild. Fingers crossed for the snow day tomorrow! .