Jump to content

All Activity

This stream auto-updates

  1. Past hour
  2. It's not the mix that bothers me--it's possibly missing the 6" mark again. It's not really a warning level snow if half of that is sleet. All was asking for is to get 6-10" before the flip, but according to the NAM...
  3. No, nj transit. Susquehanna is right by my house and hang out by the tracks occasionally.
  4. News 12 Rich Hoffman saying 7-10 then 1-3 of sleet likely if all snow 14 (LI)
  5. Got some tiny flakes falling here in east central Illinois
  6. The one reason I can argue the NAM may be wrong is almost every other model shows insane snow rates ahead of the changeover line. If that happens it’s likely the NAM is too fast on the changeover to sleet
  7. Still 20 here,mesoscale shows that changing over to IP around 3CST,then Rap and HRRR shows ZR around midnight
  8. Thread starting to sound like a bunch of middle school girls. It's not that serious.
  9. Getting sleet here at my house in Davidson, NC, Mecklenburg County, 25 miles north of Charlotte.
  10. Nothing new here. All hype all week to end up with squat like usual. The grocery stores win again
  11. GEPS finally ran and has a signal for the same timeframe but it's more north. So a lot of imperfect noise for the time being. NBM actually should go out to this range so I'm interested to see how the period looks on it later. HGEFS as well. NOAA's GSL has them both on DESI for free.
  12. I noticed we have some light virga making it into LWX radar zone. I feel like often these juiced WAA portions always start a little earlier than progged.
  13. Let me clarify myself… The computer models aren’t in agreement with the total amount of snow in our surrounding area… It’s clear they are in agreement that it wont be all snow. (In the RVA area)
  14. Based on the trajectory of the moisture downstream it’s looking like the NAM and RAP have a pretty good handle on the lack of precip for the triangle. I can’t believe how we went from no shortage of moisture on all the models until 24 hours out and it all vanishes. Incredible really.
  15. Well that’s what I meant meaning the storms starting tonight for most.
  16. 18Z HRRR looks ok as long as you have reasonable expectations. DC loses the column just prior to 15Z with about 0.50" QPF.
  17. I don't think that is a "final map". It would be their latest version based on the current guidance and input from the latest model runs that they use to do the snow forecasts. They may revise later tonight and tomorrow depending on when any changeover happens.
  18. Just now starting to throw some flurries out here. Too bad for all the ZR/rain tonight and tomorrow, makes me sad this time of year. Maybe in the next week or two we can cash in. Great pics everyone!
  19. Workin on it, but just remember, if the storm is a coastal scraper I'm good with it. Also.. Why does this weekend 'hurt'? Gonna be the best storm you have seen in years. Get over the fact that it won't be all snow.
  20. Agree with rest of you. You could see it early this morning on the radar returns. Clown show
  1. Load more activity
×
×
  • Create New...