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Basically a glaze of sleet and freezing drizzle, that’s about it.

West is gonna get rocked next 2 weeks. And yes, they need it. I was in Jackson MLK weekend and there was barely any snow, conditions were awful

See post above. Euro h5 track and phase is good, but the confluence pattern trended poorly unfortunately

I guess the thread should be shut down as winter's over. Love the enthusiasm ( we'll lack there if ) from several of you. We've had one of the coldest periods that we've not seen in a very long time. We've kept Snow on the ground for a long while. Not sure what it is you want, but this change to a milder pattern isn't abnormal at all. Yes, the deep Winter temps are probably done this Winter, but Winter isn't over.

Without fail every event he cancels and she gone has hit

Sounds like me and the GFS are on the same page.

6z euro is warmer because the bowling ball is not in 50/50 esque location anymore. Look at it vs cmc for example. EPS also trended that way, more of a setup for NW now since confluence pattern isn’t ideal anymore (if it’s right)

From last night's light freezing rain:

hearing 6z euro says rain

That would be good, because they need it as per @A-L-E-K's post in the banter thread.

Absolutely. Just pointing out that’s we now have ensemble guidance showing a storm impacting us.

Looks like there’s graupel mixed in. So must not have been all snow. Stafford had 1.8” At least you got some meat into pack

I guess if it verified it would be a heavy wet snow.

It looks like there was a zone from maybe north of Hooksett or maybe bow up to around me that probably got 6 inches or a bit more. Makes sense since I think I was just barely in the better echoes. But then below Hookset the rates weren’t good. It was a real dumping here for a couple of hours. I had 4.5 I think when I went to bed at 9. 2nd storm in a row where I got more than you by a little bit. That’s quite unusual because I usually trail you by the 5% or something.

I mean you usually get plenty of eps members that follow the op so I’m still wary. I’d like to see another model doing what it’s doing at H5 before getting excited.

If it happens awesome. 138 hours left.

Maybe I should keep cancelling? It’s a messy look though overall. Threading a massive needle.

Eps 6z vs 0z

Literally thought the same thing. GFS straight up punts the next 16 days heading into March lol

6z Euro continues to be on board with a slightly warmer & more tucked low position near the DelMarVa before it exits off of the coast. It still brings warning level snow to the Harrisburg area this run. If we end up with this track, I like our chances.

GFS looks like it wants to be done with winter entirely.

Mark Margavage snrteoSodpc56184g68hfgu24988l1al14mc584h0h8mhfh2m0t7l7a1i151 · Weekend Storm Update Despite what you might have heard…I am STILL tracking the potential for a significant snow event this weekend. If it happens, the snow would arrive Sunday afternoon/evening. Model Guidance has been all over the place but I’ve been fairly consistent with my message: This looks like a Miller B Nor’Easter. Miller B storms typically have a mix line that sets up along I-78/I-80 in eastern PA and NJ. The European Model suggests that mix changes over to heavy snow as this storm strengthens. Whether or not that actually happens is pure speculation at this point. There are some non-linear processes that need to go exactly correct for this storm to produce significant snow. If not, the storm could miss off to the south. So nothing is set in stone yet, but the threat remains. ~Meteorologist Mark Margavage

May want to take a peak at 06z EPS.