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Well isn’t that even more reason to want snow whether it’s an inch or 9?

The op EURO/EPS was absolutely awful with its big west-based -NAO block it kept insisting on for days, run after run for early-mid January, which is totally gone now. A really bad performance with that

Little low too, the last event was a 10 spot here alone

See this is where the forum divides. The snow climo for south of Baltimore to NOVA has been better for almost 10 years. The person who made that joke thread for the northern half of the forum wasn't completely wrong!

Actually after the initial heavy snow burst it continued to snow until 6 a.m. It was a solid squall but not as impressive as the one we that came through in January 2020 the following morning of the only snowfall we had that year. That squall was the highlight of what was just an awful year. We got about 5 inches the day before then squall put down 2 inches in 40 minutes the following morning. It was a total whiteout. Attached is a picture of that morning during the height of the squall.

Less subtle hint...the 12z GEFS ensemble runs looks good as does the EPS. That energy getting held back in the Southwest w/ a trough over the east. Yeppers!

Bring it on! See this is why at first I wasn't even gonna give this winter the time of day and just track the PDO ahead of what looks like a possible niño next year (but then the cold and slightly snowy start reeled me in, lol) I really want us to have a better swing at than the hostile -PDO of the 23-24 niño that couldn't do jack diddly. I feel more confident in next year breaking our above average drought than this year.

We could use the coastals so we can all be friends again lmao

images.mp4

I get it, He's in that zone that's been skunked, and it's worse since last night.. Most areas are between 10-20" in SNE while he's like 7"

Euro shows a dusting for DC and GFS keeps shifting north every model run. Might be a surprise event and things are trending in that direction. h5 starting to look more conducive for a small event. Let's reel this in.

EPS evolution D11-15 is pretty good actually. It’s not the most frigid but it’s good if you want to set up a pattern for more coastals

^might as well since we are apparently heading into a total shit the blinds pattern with nothing to track for ages.

Dad is that you?

Ray doesn’t want it . He’d prefer not to get more snow

What an embarrassment of riches the 2000-2018 period was. If this storm happened anytime in the 80s or 90s it would be referred to knowingly as the Blizzard of '18 like we talk about the Blizzard of '83 or '96. But because of when it happened it was just another ho hum foot+ storm lost in the mix.

Good thing I didn’t uncancel my winter cancel. Pattern coming up looks like warm garbage

1/1: .1” Total: 4.2”

Ended up with 1.25-1.5” from last night and the squall this morning. Nice blanket of snow to start the year

The only thing wrong with this Nina pattern is his latitude. I'm nearly 50% AN to date on snow fall. I wouldn't complain if it wants to get even better, but nothing wrong here so far.

Start a thread. Euro leading the way. GFS playing catch up.

If you want a tiebreak…the GEPS look pretty good as we get toward mid month.

lol notice how when the good posters post the real facts the mood goes up? just weenies overexaggerating everything loll