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It's a Miller B, in DC, in LA Nina, at the end of February. Those are heart breakers 9 out of 10 times, yet we're still going to get snow. Where do I sign?

Yeah the only time I can recall legit seeing it in interior NH was Mar 05.

When it comes to snow around here, the choice is E. None of the above.

So none

GGEM 992 off DelMarVa

Tonights HRRR will tell the story of phasing, banding and exact direction whether more west or east

I keep hearing people are concerned with the euro and because of that people are keeping totals down. Can anyone explain?

February 21 1965: Strong winds occur, reaching speeds of up to 45 mph in the Twin Cities. For Saturday, February 21, 2026 1918 - A spectacular chinook wind at Granville, ND, caused the temperature to spurt from a morning low of 33 degrees below zero to an afternoon high of 50 degrees above zero. (David Ludlum) 1935 - Frequent dust storms occurred in eastern Colorado during the month, forcing schools to close and people to stay indoors. A fatality occurred on this date when two section cars collided on the railroad near Arriba CO, due to poor visibility. (The Weather Channel) 1936 - The temperature at Langdon, ND, climbed above zero for the first time in six weeks. Readings never got above freezing during all three winter months. (David Ludlum) 1971 - An outbreak of tornadoes hit northeastern Louisiana and northern and central Mississippi. The tornadoes claimed 121 lives, including 110 in Mississippi. Three tornadoes accounted for 118 of the deaths. There are 1600 persons injured, 900 homes were destroyed or badly damaged, and total damage was 19 million dollars. (David Ludlum) 1971 - Elk City, OK, was buried under 36 inches of snow to establish a 24 hour snowfall record for the state. (David Ludlum) 1987 - Low pressure over central California produced gale force winds along the coast, and produced thunderstorms which pelted Stockton, Oakland and San Jose with small hail. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - A storm tracking across southern Canada produced high winds in the north central U.S., with gusted to 90 mph reported at Boulder CO. The high winds snapped trees and power lines, and ripped shingles off roofs. The Kentucky Fried Chicken Bucket was blown off their store in Havre MT. An eighteen foot fiberglass bear was blown off its stand along a store front in west Cody WY, and sailed east into downtown Cody before the owners were able to transport their wandering bear back home in a horse trailer. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Thunderstorms developing during the morning hours spread severe weather across Georgia and the Carolinas. Strong thunderstorm winds caused one death and thirteen injuries in North Carolina, and another four injuries in South Carolina. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1990 - Overnight thunderstorms produced heavy rain in central Texas. Rainfall totals ranged up to 2.80 inches at Camp Verde, with 2.20 inches reported at Leakey. Thunderstorms early in the day produced high winds in southern Texas, with wind gusts to 60 mph reported at Alice. Daytime thunderstorms in eastern Texas drenched Rosenberg with four inches of rain. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

Hurricane Schwartz just said 8-12" for 95 corridor. Says still a lot of uncertainty around where the heaviest bands will be. Low is far enough off the shore that heavy snow and wind at the shore is almost a certainty.

Plus... Forky thinks 20 to 30. That carries weight.

We’re gonna get 2-4” of snow with a back edge that forms before the precip arrives and we’re gonna like it.

That's the 10:1. You definitely need sleep.

I'm guessing Nam. But never sure which model is most accurate anymire

12z AIGFS

Mickey the models are just converging now. Relax bub it’s going to snow

There’s good fronto forcing on many models in CT for the first half of the storm, but it gets a little tougher in NW Mass…then if we get that eastern firehose going for a bit it starts becoming valley doom.

I’m not sure this area has ever seen blizzard conditions.

Doesn’t have that much to do with miller b logic here

You should read that again. You know the answer. There's a choice, E.

Updated GFS

Certainly nw nj is under tight gradient

The short range models (HRRR,RAP, 3K NAM) have extreme amounts. Am I missing any?

February 78 as well.

Miller Bs can never be trusted.

That's the big question. How many times have we seen significant shifts in the final 24 hours. If you look across the 12z suite thus far you can see a slight eastward shift, even in some of the lesser talked about models. Hope this isn't the start of the rug being pulled.