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February 2026 OBS & Discussion
donsutherland1 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
Things change during the second half of February. Since 1950, 75% of NYC's February 15 or later 10" or above snowstorms had a PNA-. -
It was incredible, 13” in 4 hours (16.5” total) with a stiff 15-20 mph wind - gusts to 30. 9 to 1 type density. Very high impact. Wide spread 20-30+ a bit further inland.
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
Voyager replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Good God. I really need to move somewhere permanently warm. I can somewhat take an average winter. This I simply cannot. -
Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
cyclone77 replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I'll take the 300hr 12z GFS run pleez. -
In Central / Northern Baltimore County that was 10-12" and then a sleet bomb and then (and still currently) a cold spell for the ages. The most snow since 2016 - it's been 10 years. Many schools closed for about a week. Major impact storm. If this is all we get all winter I will take it in a heartbeat. Hopefully we are not done, but imagine the mood around here if we didn't even get that?
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Madeline Kahn blazing saddles “ i’ve seen thousands of men again and again…always going and coming and coming and going…and always too soon, right girls?” just like our storms
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Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion
wasnow215 replied to RIC Airport's topic in Mid Atlantic
Nobody gonna mention the 12Z GFS lol? -
Is we back? February discussion thread
ChangeofSeasonsWX replied to mahk_webstah's topic in New England
I wonder when the time will come when we can accurately predict snowfall amounts seven plus days out. I know that we have had storms that were easier to predict than others but it seems like recently we still can't figure out snow totals for a storm even 24 hours in advance. I wonder if AI will change that? -
Perfect day for sledding. Kid was acting like the rope used to climb up the hill was mountain climbing. Loads of fun.
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Is we back? February discussion thread
Baroclinic Zone replied to mahk_webstah's topic in New England
Why I’ve largely ignored anything until within 72hrs. -
Yes but there’s been a general signal on and off for a while, and doesn’t it make sense synoptically?
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We should be fine as long as the PNA isnt deeply negative which it will not be.
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weenievista at it again. wxbell is like 2-5 mean for that period. But still a huge improvement from 00Z so thats all that matters
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Negative PNA is like playing with fire. Can easily cut too much with it. I'd rather have +PNA and risk suppression. Historically the big ones all had +PNA too.
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I have not seen H5 12Z EPS. Looking to compare with GEPS and GEFS for 18Z Sunday time period. .
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Great photos Don. Thanks!
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Mid-Long Range Discussion 2026
WinstonSalemArlington replied to BooneWX's topic in Southeastern States
Mitch West post -
We need a negative PNA to get moisture up here unless you like suppression.
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prob be 33 and R/S everyday if you smooth it out
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
MJO812 replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Eps on board
