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There is no normal way to get snow here

Uh oh, already two lows… lol

I appreciate your outlook man. It helps me have hope!

Damn this sucks, why can't I live in a world where ice cream and cheesecake are healthy and CC causes clean phases to happen more easily?

Thus dies my dream of a Monday virtually teaching in my pajamas from the comfort of my home. Sigh.

If I see 1" of snow first round is on me.

Well finally a global with snow for here! Lol 12z CMC looks very much like 6z Euro.

We toss

I mean I'm still oh so happy w 6" but like are you fuckin serious with that snow hole over the Triangle specifically....come on man

If the GFS ran at 2AM and not 10:30, no one would gaf about it

SREF always has had a tendency to be over amped.

Largely, yeah, though it continued tweaking ever so slightly until game-time. I'm working under the assumption we dont need a massive shift to allow these two pieces to divorce more cleanly than they currently are. Is it a hail mary? damn straight. Would I forecast it, hell no. Moreso typing a steam of thoughts as to how this system could theoretically work. Regardless of the final outcome, its an incredibly fascinating storm from a meteorological standpoint, and, to me at least, trying to pin down any potential variables and how they could potentially affect the outcome is alot of the fun of forecasting, even if its an insanity-inducing PIA lol

Again, perfect low placement. Things will get better.

I’m getting very interested in the pattern next week. Ensembles are intriguing. Seems like a potentially more normal way of getting snow.

GFS is waaaaay east. Thing practically makes a B line for bermuda once it forms. LOL

That's all I'm asking for. 2" - 4".

Nobody is forcing you to be here

Canadian looks like the RGEM cut totals for many and shifted south like the Euro

Over the last 10-15 years of sref observation, the only thing the SREF has been useful for is giving unrealistic hope when there is little. I'm feeling pessimistic down here. Blacksburg is calling for 4-8" and I'm feeling under 3

And unfortunately this is somewhat of a zero-sum game given the wide range of geography in this subforum Hope everyone gets something....nice to see some flakes (kid in me), but tbh this kinda f's up my program development-wise bc of construction delays.....can't rough grade for survey pins, or prep for a slab pour/underslab plumbing (or pour the slab) with snow on the ground, or the subsequent mud after it melts.....plus pushes sub crews out with the backlog.....I would gladly donate whatever we get around CLT to some of the Raleigh/Southside VA peeps- it can snow all it wants to after I get the slabs down and 3 full afternoons above 70F into the cure lol

Greenville Rocky mount and Roanoke rapids usually do well in this setup

cmc also bumped nw almost gives dc qpf, not giving up hope on a pack refresher.

Who enjoys deep winter? Unless there's snow falling, you have to be sick to enjoy this kinda cold. Unless you're a diehard snowboarder.

The SREF might be my favorite model now

Canadian ticked down from the previous run but still solid considering: