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Don't hate this look and its a bump up from 6z

And for what it’s worth, I think this upcoming “torch” is more of a gently above average type of deal for the upper south than 70s and golf weather. It looks like we’re going to be flooded with Pacific air, which isn’t exactly a torch signal - usually just a signal for a lot of 50s and low 60s sprinkled in. Torch to me is “tune up the lawnmower” weather cause it might start growing again.

Pretty similar. Nice to see at this point.

Looks like thread time... Edit: just saw the new thread...

I think point 1 is what I was trying to illustrate though. Maybe not on here, but I saw dozens of talking heads ignoring other parameters surrounding winter weather potential in the south as if the MJO is the only driver. I just don’t believe that it is. It has to be taken with a grain of salt and many big storms have occurred in less than ideal phases. So we actually agree on more than you think, I should’ve just added more context. It matters but it’s one drop in the very large bucket of things we need to get right to deliver an impactful winter weather event.

We seem to get screwed in most scenarios out our way

12z GEFS vs 12z EPS, take your pick.

The 12Z model consensus is coming in for Mon lows at ~20F for ATL and ~17-20F for RDU.

Still liking late Saturday into Sunday. 1-3 type deal might be more like 2-5 if all our stars align. Hopefully its a stripe of precip right through the heart of the region so we all get in on it.

I believe the term is snowissist

So it was 44 in Allentown. Just over the Blue Mountain here south of Tamaqua. 32 and heavy snow...

I think it’s def worth a trip to the Northern Mountains for this one (Avery county). All guidance seems to indicate this one will rip up here. Biggest concern would be getting here before 8 or 9 as blizzard conditions will set in.

Ground zero.

And once it disappears we can move on to the wet mess at the end of the week.

I vote myself, since I'm a narcissist who wants my backyard to get THE MOST snow.

Everyone should get their skiing in rn it’s just unbelievable

EPS might actually be more bullish than the OP by a touch for Sunday.

Beavis could win the powerball and still complain about having to pay 200 mil in taxes. Altho im sure some could say the same about me.

Sheesh.. this escalated quickly

Not doing anything yet on 12z Xmas morning (on the doorstep)…but if it went another panel or two I think it would prob be a front ender for snow (at least N of HFD) then flipping/mixing.

He probably is but it also goes directly against his Winter Outlook which was for the worst of winter to occur between mid December and mid January...

However we can get it, we want it.

It’s not officially winter in the Midwest until we get a good Beavis rant . Nothing we can do to control the weather but it is frustrating.

-SN, 30/25°F