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  2. 1/2” at work in Charlestown WV at least. Pixie dust in Hanover.
  3. locked in for my inch. time to sharpen the shovels!
  4. Steve DiMartino on YouTube (nynjpaweather) said the background -QBO makes it very unlikely to torch.
  5. 18Z RGEM about the same as previous run, maybe just a hair better but mostly noise I think
  6. Is there a rhyme or reason that the “last minute north bump” is seemingly a thing? Seems to happen a lot. Models overdoing the high pressure to the north? .
  7. One thing I have noticed is the Hi Res models have very little precip here period. .2 or less mostly
  8. Gfs bump little north and precip is heavier
  9. For any psychopaths awake at 2-5am, don’t freak out by the “donut hole” look on LWX radar. That will be due to dry air subliming our snow as @SnowenOutThere posted about. It does not mean models are over predicting precipitation, etc.
  10. Amazing sunset. Feels like the Decembers of old.
  11. If I hadn't seen any models and I was just basing it off of feel, cloud cover and the overall vibe, you’d think we’re about to get buried in all honesty. It feels and looks like a snowfall is coming.
  12. 37/18 here. Think I might be just far enough north and protected to avoid the warm nose we shall see. Will depend on banding/amount of qpf in the northern mountains also.
  13. The RGEM has a little snow early Saturday. It's not much and it will probably shift east or be flurries if it's even real, but it's something...
  14. 1.6" at DCA would be the snowiest December event for the airport in 16 years. Guidance says to take the under but certainly not off the table.
  15. On that point, the last 5 years have been so bad that we might actually do well relative to that span over the next 5, despite the overall decline over the long term. We shall see
  16. I’m incautiously confident that DC will get 1-3”, and somewhere within a 25 mile radius of DC will get 4”.
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