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  2. Euro shows it too. We rebound very quickly
  3. Crazy what a week of prolonged cold can do to some averages. Through yesterday, DCA sits at 35.3F for the winter, good enough for 13th coldest first 2/3rds of winter since 1970 and 2.7F below the 1981-2010 average, the coldest such period since 2010-2011 (34.1F)
  4. 39 here tonight. Hopefully it warms up later this week. I did bring my lighter winter jacket. Snow cover all the way from BOS to Georgia on the way down.
  5. Honestly, I trust the NAM at 84 hours more than the GFS at 60 hours now
  6. What about the follow-up wave Wednesday night... Been trending closer and closer for central VA and southern MD
  7. -2F now and still falling. Coldest night of winter likely!
  8. Idk about that. Seems to me as though it's shaping up to be a warm Feb nationally. Check tonight's model runs for example and tell me with a straight face we see such a large area of -5 to -7 departures by month's end. Hell the AI models are showing record warmth at times for the Midwest, almost like a hybrid of Feb 2017 and Feb 2024. Not saying it'll be that warm as those were legendary torch months, but I'm just not seeing a cold pattern; things are starting to change in the Pacific. I know these sudden warmer trends are shocking to some, but we also need to stay objective here.
  9. hard too believe that will happen so close after that Arctic cold shot next weekend - especially with the snow/ice still on the ground and the narrow window it has before the next cold front - would expect freezing issues close to ground level - potential ice storm.
  10. Based on what others have said there’s going to be a ridge bridge that should warm us up. For all of three days, and it could be a “warm up” that takes us from arctic to slightly above seasonal.
  11. then a few days later a rain storm ? do you buy that ?
  12. So sick of the cold without snow. This snowcrete shit is for the birds too. I'm actually wishing for a warmup at this point if it's not going to snow. Tired of having to worry about frozen pipes in my old ass house.
  13. Looks like an angry Pacific and some soakers in our future
  14. Soundings in Russell county for tuesday night.
  15. Can't believe it's been 15 years since the Blizzard of 2011.
  16. WxBell is cold in the E in general and downright very cold in the NE for Feb. Eric Webb has also had cold E US thoughts for quite awhile though I haven’t seen an actual Feb map from him. Any opinions?
  17. Saturday looks brutal, with temps in the mid to upper teens and sustained winds in the 20-30mph with higher gusts.
  18. Today
  19. Ya... I know that case study by heart. No one is perfect
  20. Gfs south and dry. Guess thats why this convo went crickets. .
  21. Have you looked at the ncsu analysis on that storm?? Theres no way Vale got 70 inches of snow [emoji23][emoji23] .
  22. Below 0 temps possible next weekend with that setup
  23. Both the GFS and the CMC develop strong Gulf of Alaska lows in the day 8-10 time frame. Better hope that doesn't happen or its gonna be a Pac Torch.
  24. Went riding in the Danville-Walden-Hardwick area today. Truck thermometer read -8° as we drove to our starting point. Lots of snow, especially above 2000’ around Cole’s Pond. Some of you may remember the old Cole’s Pond weather cam and may remember how much that would show. Did a lot of exploring in northeast VT this weekend. Winter in full effect.
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