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We're just gonna have to get a +3SD ridge with SW flow punching underneath before these models finally, reluctantly stipulate to warming up N-E of the Mason Dixie ... That Euro run's an abomination. 85 in PHL and 35 in BOS and just holds like that for 4 days probably happens

Yes sir. Wish we could score a last one here…especially if it refuses to get nice. 53 degrees here now..not that bad, but it’s cloudy.

Almost 0.30” precip the last two hours in the ASOS gage that usually under reports, no fake fluff either, just a fast QPF dump.

4.9” here

Wow! That looks like a PNW mountain snowpack. Maybe gone by June? lol

Although the flash analysis isn't peer reviewed, it is derived from a peer-reviewed methodology, which provides credibility. These studies provide value, as they provide an alternative to pure statistical research. The corroboration between the modeling and statistics enhances the quality of their findings. Further, studies concerning prior extreme heat outbreaks in the Southwest have all found a strong link to climate change. As for March 2026, March 2026 is poised to become Phoenix's first March to break outside the 99% confidence interval based on 30-year climate data.

Think this is the first time I can remember seeing snow on the ground with temps in the mid 70s.

Looks great!

Heavy snow.

So saddened to just learn that Roger left us at age 76 four days after this post. He had many forecasting highlights in his life, including nailing with his AccuWeather colleagues the Presidents Day Storm of February 18-19, 1979. And he made his last appearance in this contest his best, as he is currently in 2nd place with a realistic chance to win it. https://www.americanwx.com/bb/topic/62666-roger-smith-rip/page/2/#comment-8066399

30s no, high 40s yes. Cloudy no, sunny and high 40s sure. Just had a catch with my son now, but its 51.

It happens, you go somewhere indoors and play with them. Otherwise it's fine as long as the sun is out, you can play outside in the 30s & 40s in the spring.

I'm just getting this news on Friday afternoon. Roger put more time into forecasting contests than anyone, and I had a number of private conversations with him. He had a great story of how he and his colleagues at AccuWeather nailed the President's Day Storm of February 18-19, 1979 when nobody else did. RIP, my friend, see you down the road . . .

With wintry weather essentially finished, the thread has really morphed into spring mode posting. Shoot, Blizz hasn't posted in days. Tis the season... For anyone left who lives and dies for winter, I do have this to share - 93 days until the hours of daylight start to decrease.

That’s great!

when you cant hang outside with your kids? Wait until you have multiple kids who want to play outside and they cannot.

World Weather Attribution's flash analysis of the unprecedented March heat in western North America. Excerpt: Observation-based data products show a strong increase in the likelihood and intensity of heat waves in the region, suggesting that such events have become about 4°C warmer as a best estimate, and that events as warm as in March 2026 would have been virtually impossible without human-induced climate change. Climate models strongly underestimate this observed trend but still show a significant increase in extreme heat. We combine models and observations, giving equal weight to both lines of evidence, and find an estimated increase in intensity of 2.6°C for such events, with an increase in likelihood of a factor of about 800. This means that without climate change it would have been virtually impossible for the event to occur.

Yes! First time meeting her. I see why you two get along so well We exchanged info.

70 at Ft. Meade, 55 in Annapolis. #BayBreezing

Absolutely puking snow. The rare M1/4 visibility. METAR KMVL 201745Z AUTO 00000KT M1/4SM +SN FG VV006 00/M01 A2986 RMK P0010 METAR KMVL 201740Z AUTO 00000KT M1/4SM +SN FG VV006 00/M01 A2987 RMK P0008

Eric Webb just got even more bullish, said that if we see TC’s spin up along this record breaking WWB, it will seal the deal for a super El Niño. I think even more telling, is that you have Paul Roundy, who is the furthest thing from a hypester, saying this has a good chance to be the strongest El Niño in history, he also says this is developing as the most east-based/East Pacific event we’ve seen since the 1997-98 super Nino

Its comfortable and refreshing

yes he does. its a terrible way to live.

Temps surging. Almost 70 degrees west of I-95.