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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
LVblizzard replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
At this point we want the GEFS to be a miss to the east. 9 times out of 10 the GFS and its ensembles are the last ones to catch on with a storm like this. -
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Snowing
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Southern Crippler - Get well soon Jimbo Storm Obs
sakau2007 replied to BooneWX's topic in Southeastern States
.28 ZR and .28 inches of ice accumulation are very different. if .28 inches of liquid precip fell while the temperature was at or below 32, that's .28" of ZR. -
The good news here is that a 400-mile north shift would still give us the 2.5" that Savannah gets on this run.
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Ready for the AI shellacking
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Southern MD / Lower Eastern Shore weather discussion
csnavywx replied to PrinceFrederickWx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Triple phaser. Great if it works, but as always, delicate with timing. Suspect there will be some changes until Wed. So far, so good on trends. Plenty of cold air, so there's a chance of staying snow even if it gets fairly close. Suspect the main fail modes are a phase miss (and we get some consolation snow a la last Feb) via being too progressive or it overamps and we have to deal with a narrow mixing zone. -
Remember that day as well. AC cranking in the car and sweating my ass off in the outdoor section of the gym. Ridiculous.
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Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion
chris624wx replied to RIC Airport's topic in Mid Atlantic
Snow shower in Norfolk right now! -
Not really, in my head I only still have this at about a 20% chance of happening.
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Melted down to 1.45" for a meaty 10:1
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
The Iceman replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
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Possible coastal storm centered on Feb 1 2026.
MaineJayhawk replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
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Just glancing at the 6z and 12z runs, there appears to be good agreement on a 2nd system 200-230 hrs euro ai, gfs, cmc
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I'm ready for thunderstorm season.
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well it's good to see you doing well my friend
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Possible coastal storm centered on Feb 1 2026.
ORH_wxman replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
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I wonder what Louis Uccellini would say about this one?
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As long as it not a complete disaster I’m not going to worry if it is a little worse we are 5 days out. It’s going to change multiple times, better or worse. As long as it doesn’t stay worse.
