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The issue with next Monday is the very strong high pressure forecast to be over the Northeast. So if the system ejects too soon it will get suppressed. But a later ejection would probably mean a front end thump to rain or mix potential Tuesday into Wednesday.

Gfs has snow Thursday (tomorrow) for Phi/SJ. Stands alone. Anyone buying?

Since March is 4 days away I figured I’d start a March thread. Discuss….

Well unless we had a colder antecedent airmass in place, I think that we would've mixed with sleet here if this past one came 50 miles northwest. With the current airmass I think it would've held down accumulations somewhat. It would've been similar to what 2015 was around here. The 30+ totals around ORH/BOS and then around 20" in this area further south. Still historic but not a benchmark kind of storm that it was. I think a lot of people are sore about this storm understandably, but unless you get a stall like 78 or another 97 with a much colder airmass in place, it's near impossible to get 30+ over the whole area.

Some more support for the early March system than this.

Nada from the RGEM and ICON. Hires window mesos technically had some digital blue but essentially a miss, not that they are of much value. Onto the GFS to see if it gives up on this POS

1.75 new depth 32.5 w/e 3.47

I am

You will know if he says he's cancelling weather.

Just shoveled quickly. Sun will melt anything else that falls. About 1.5” refresher…can’t complain…was expecting C-1”

Thank you for taking the time to put this together, I appreciate it.

Ice is back to near normal after warmer wx, and winds.

What is this madness lol

At worst we have an above average season with lets be honest a 12+ storm. Most places around the area received over 12 even if it wasnt official. As of now this is a B+ - A- season.

Yea, I often say speed of movement is overrated in terms of total snowfall. I bet the absolute highest amount in 1978 was only 6" higher than Monday due to speed of movement.

So, with the lag, the -NAO/-AO should start around the Equinox (3/20)?

Pushing 3” in Port Jeff Station. Like a winter wonderland out there. .

I'd love for us to get lucky with this chance, then have a March at like 10F above normal.

As you can see in the final snow totals in '78, the Providence area (Especially northern half) to Boston area and North Shore due to storms intensity and positioning (Track) is primarily the reason. The Blizzard of 2026 was actually more intense central pressure wise but about 70-75 miles further south than where '78 was not to mention the capture in '78 was off the coast of New Jersey not North Carolina like '26 was. Big difference in where it was captured and track inside the Benchmark. Temperatures back then was actually colder in the morning (Upper teens to Mid 20's) then rose to the upper 20's to low 30's (well inland around Worcester area low to mid 20's) with the exception of the far Southshore Cape and Islands where temps hit the mid to even upper 30's for a relatively short time as the storm made its closest pass. Storm track is crucial in storms like this one and of course in '78. Blizzard of 1978 Blizzard of 2026

thanks for reminding me. I ONLY had 109" in 2015. Porked to the north and south!

Happy beating climo snowfall today for those that celebrate. So while the Monday threat looks shaky at best, not a bad place be sitting. Either way - likely to add on before the end of the season.

Seriously is.

That was part of it, but most of the snow in these tends to fall within a 18-20 hour period....the stall prob adds another half foot or something like that. Someone very lucky gets more in the stall, but usually the precip starts to get pretty banded after a time when it stalls. If you push that arc of convective snows well inland, you're gonna get crazy widespread totals....think April '97 with maybe a bit less total QPF (we wouldn't have gotten quite the juicy WCB like that one had....which fell in a lot of areas as rain) and colder of course so the net result is basically '97 with the 30"+ stuff over a larger area. But who knows for sure since we didn't see it. I agree that the current jackpot area would've gotten less if it tracked 50 miles NW, but my guess is still easily 20-30"+.

That low level stuff has indeed persisted and we should finish at 2"

1.7” final Snow depth back up over 18”