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damp and cloudy Easter egg hunt this morning..but at least temps and dews are creeping

Happy Easter…he has risen. 52 degrees and a whole wall of rain is fringing us.

Spencer is a long time critic of the scientific consensus on climate change. Its not that hard to predict the impact of adding greenhouse gases to the atmosphere. We have warmed pretty much as expected, much faster than Spencer acknowledged or expected. The scientific consensus does not describe the warming we have experienced as slow or beneficial. Agree politics is important as is the action of powerful interest groups. Its the reason why most people don't have an accurate picture of what climate science is saying. Don't think Spencer has been helpful in that regard.

Happy Easter to all who celebrate! Many lower elevation spots reached the lower 80's yesterday. While higher spots remained below 80 degrees, we did set a record high for my East Nantmeal station yesterday breaking the old record from 2011 by almost 5 degrees. However, the Chester County record from 1963 of 84 degrees at West Grove was not reached by any of the record stations across the County. With our backdoor cold front temperatures have fallen below forecasted levels to well down into the 40's across the area. We may struggle to get much above 60 degrees today. We turn much chillier tonight with well below normal temperatures through Wednesday. There is the potential of a hard freeze by Wednesday morning. Shower chances are around today but dry for much of the upcoming work week.

Happy Easter to all who celebrate! Many lower elevation spots reached the lower 80's yesterday. While higher spots remained below 80 degrees, we did set a record high for my East Nantmeal station yesterday breaking the old record from 2011 by almost 5 degrees. However, the Chester County record from 1963 of 84 degrees at West Grove was not reached by any of the record stations across the County. With our backdoor cold front temperatures have fallen below forecasted levels to well down into the 40's across the area. We may struggle to get much above 60 degrees today. We turn much chillier tonight with well below normal temperatures through Wednesday. There is the potential of a hard freeze by Wednesday morning. Shower chances are around today but dry for much of the upcoming work week.

-March ‘26’s NAO came in at +2.69, obliterating as expected the old March record of +1.85 from 1969. -This +2.69 is the new 2nd highest on record with only Nov ‘78’s +3.04 higher for any month since 1950. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/norm.nao.monthly.b5001.current.ascii.table @Stormchaserchuck1

For the first time in a long time, a high amp, strong MJO wave is projected to move into phases 7 and 8 come mid-month

I think we need to give this new group time to gel--it's not like this is the same team as last year. I mean they practically cleaned house in coaching, and only like 8 players remain from last year's OD roster. It's hard to imagine that things stay the same the entire year and don't get better. I mean on paper, aside from the bullpen, this SHOULD be a better team. And with new coaching it SHOULD be a better team. SHOULD...lol I mean that would be insane to clean house, finally start spending more and build a better lineup with the productive veteran leadership we've been missing...and not get better. I mean those have been core issues we seem to have addressed. I think it's way to early to give up on the season...because there are a different set of variables at play, and 8 games is not enough time to see how things are gonna come together. It just sucks for the time being,get. I think if we can be around .500 at the end of April that would give things enough time to gel.

Winds turn around to the south between 6a-8a and we should see some steady rain then. Yeah, wicked back door front.

Luckily, Auriema handled the loss with class.

0.4 thanks much

We're already there, IMO. The normal high temperature for today at BWI was 62°. Even if it's a -10 departure for a high, we're still in the 50s.

47F

We've had quite a few fires already this spring too. Very rare for spring to see fires here.

WB 0Z HRRR. Rain moves in by 8 am Sunday east of mountains. Clears west to east starting in the early afternoon. Bad timing but the rain is needed. Potomac already looks low up my way....temps falling back into the lower 50s by sunset.

Yeah, I kind of typed ahead of my thoughts there There was a “surge” between the end of February and sometime in May … most of which occurred in March, but in total it was between .3 to .4°C this is may vary by source. I’ve seen the range. But yeah, that took us right to the doorway we do not know we do not want to go thru, apparently The 1.5 critical threshold. At least we’re not respecting it as a species. And that was not supposed to happen so soon. The surge of that spring close the gap at an alarming rate…outpacing predictions by global modeling and scientists by decades; at the time, it was believed it was temporary. So what’s troubling further, or should be… it has yet to go back really. We are as of right now still just about right there - but it’s obviously varies by tenths of a single degree weekly. There was conjecture in the ambit back in 2923 that it probably would settle back after a while. that has not happened. I don’t recall exactly who said it and where it came from but I do recall. Anyway, the details aren’t really that important… my objection is directed atpeople like that guy making declarative particularly ones that are preposterous like that because they don’t fit the mathematics of what’s actually happening in objective reality.

I am starting to get concerned about precip right now again. We were essentially screwed out of some decent chances of rain the last few days and we really need it. The stream base flows are barely at normal in our local streams but the big issue is that little to no ground water recharge has taken place. These numerous back door cold fronts are dryer than a popcorn fart. Yes it is great to be 80 degrees the last two days but no decent rain events with the back door cold front is very troubling. This begs the question- where in the hell is all of the gulf moisture? The farmers are worried as if this pattern keeps up, they will be turning their fields in the next few weeks with a giant cloud of dust. Also, if you planted annuals the last few days, they will be destroyed with the frost/freeze on Wednesday morning with lows getting near 22 degrees here in the LV. Never plant annuals until after April 15 in our area.

Stupid UConn women. The men held up their part of the bargain (so far). Oh well, the living room's not that bad.

Today's Highs before the natural AC was kicked on PHL: 84 ACY: 81 TTN: 78 New Brnswck: 74 NYC: 73 EWR: 72 BLM: 71 JFK: 70 TEB: 70 LGA: 68 ISP: 67 HPN: 67

Here in methuen the roads are filled with potheads..

Thank you!

I’m at my house in CT. Went from 66F this morning to 46F and light rain. .

59 now after a high of 79. Whe we went to dinner is was summer. When we came out it was fall.

Down to 69F Lancaster. Still 82F Hagerstown. .

This winter was rough on the roads. Just torn up.