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You prob don’t want the rotting band if you’re in SE areas because you don’t want to miss the convection t being entrained into the CCB. They’ll be a relative jackpot west with wherever the band pivots but there will be another with the Firehose of convective snows hitting SE areas…they’ll get their own bands taking their time to leave later in the storm too, but the stuff very early tomorrow morning could be epic there.

Seems very persistent with the IVT, surprises coming

Light rain. 37/34

I’m aware and you will b wrong! 12” is the floor here. Bye for now

24 hour Shop Rite in Old Bridge, NJ. I wasn't going to shop yesterday and knew I had to get in early today before it gets super busy again.

I thought the euro AI looked a bit further south and east but who knows. Also, I’m not sure that’s the right model this close to game time. We just have to hope for the rogue band and a little push north. Zero would truly be laugh worthy.

Picked up almost 2 inches on the deck. Less on the grass, and nothing on sidewalk / roads. It stuck to all the trees, pretty scene out there til we warm up later.

That’s still textbook right there!

To be fair, accuweather and WINS are sticking to a foot “give or take an inch” in the city and more on Long Island. A foot is not scary to people; we just had a foot… maybe they expect we lose a lot to rain… it is raining now in nj and a high of 38 coming. But there’s a disconnect. More people are gonna hear that than read the news. Both can’t be right.

The RGEM is not a global model and the new SREF has started to back off. A red flag that the NAM is way too amped and will back down on the 12z run

6z models really all show the case for north and west of DC getting hit well with the IVT. Best case at this point

Euro has been low for DE coastline relative to all the other guidance for awhile?

You have to expect the models to come back down to earth a bit. After those insane runs

This is a day where correlation coefficient rare is our friend. Looks to me that is showing rain almost everywhere but the highest elevation scans (closest to IAD) are snow. So snow is melting as it falls, as we’d expect. But the highest DBZ returns south of DC right now are maybe also mixing with snow at the ground.

It’s just going to finally be more in line with other models.

Not a fan of obs threads but it’s find whatever everyone wants to do… but problem is there will B a lot of jumping back and forth.

probably 11 AM - 12 PM

Sref coming in less amped so a little bit east

Waiting here in Harrington for this beast. When do you think we will go over to snow?

Well euro mucked up my plan. Not going to Delaware for 7-10". My second thought was to ride out to the Catoctins, hike up to 1800' and day camp until late afternoon then decide where to head for the main show tonight. Need help! Where would you go?

I hope it doesn't happen to in you. I lived through it many times and its brutal. Seriously dude..,you are in a really good location and I could see you not being able to see across your street for hours tomorrow. Do you have an idea of what your pack is back home?

You're not the only one thinking this. Blizz, in our CPA sub feels the same way. Still, I'd be lying if I said I wasn't concerned about ending up in the screw zone up here in the coal region. It's happened too many times to not think it's a viable scenario.

30F and some light snow here in Saylorsburg. Totals up here have climbed from the 3-7" range on Friday up to over a foot now. Was getting so close to see many grass for the first time since early January..

She was already a very good winter…now we go to next level status. Let’s Rock this bitch’n winter to an A+.

Final call/guess: BWI: 4.9” IAD: 4.2” DCA: 2.3” my yard: 4.6” Norrisville: 14.7”