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It’s total snow out to 264 - 95% of which is from the PD weekend. Median climbed up to 2” as well Problem with the AIFS Ens is they can’t tell mix/cold rain apart from snow sometimes. Don’t know if I trust them.

You claimed to be better than people who actually have degrees in meteorology. This is the insanity we have now. People claiming they know more than the experts in those fields. The arrogance is on you. To think you are somehow bestowing your wisdom over all of us is fucking hilarious. That’s like me telling you that you suck at ordering supplies and how you do it is 100% wrong. Get over yourself Mr 150K

11th looks good to me for SNE overall. Funny how the AI models never liked next weekend and focused on the 11th.

Hang in there man, Only a month or so to go until Spring. CTP had this today in their discussion about a little relief next week… KEY MESSAGE 3: Moderating temperatures during the second week of February For those looking for a break in the cold pattern, here you go. Confidence continues to increase that temperatures will moderate during the second week of February and climb back to seasonal levels or near the historical average for early to mid February. This "warmup" puts mixed precipitation on the table with the next weather system that could arrive Wed/Thu next week. The guidance has come into better agreement concerning the precip pattern evolution with best odds around the middle of next week.

Probably east slopes of the the ORH hills, Beverly-Peabody-Salem area and Norwell.

Most of the NE US is in the lowest 5 percentiles for cold past two weeks, with many stations in the lowest 1 to 2 percentiles.

Those maps are not for next weekend, that's total snow. More like 2-4" on the mean, which is ok if it isnt skewed by a handful of members. If you look at the 6 hour panels per member for the period it isn't that impressive.

11th looks like to be our next widespread light event… models still all over as well for the vday threat

Might be congrats ORH

Nope. Congrats scooter and north shore

Good thing ORH doesn’t have classes on Sunday.

Yea, went to shit on ensembles. I getting winter 2025-2026 fatigue at this point.

Wind looks pretty meh for NH compared to a couple days ago. Really shallow mixing and mediocre winds aloft. Breezy, but were not blowing down trees like some of those runs. Definitely a better LLJ in SW NE Sat PM

Actually doesn't look great here attm. Unless there are additional shifts in store

Min 5.4 before the clouds arrived

Maybe a little NE oro assist there with the conv zone setting up right over the high terrain?

Just a few of the larger ones poking through. Like Mt Washington during the last glacial maximum.

Looks like a spring time cycle of thaw/cold shot/repeat for the remainder of the month

WB 6Z EPS AI still looks good for next weekend. About 40% of members with a nice hit.

Pee stains and doggy doo still visible? Lol

06z NAM

https://x.com/wxjerdman/status/2019729810914992195 I knew it was cold but didn't realize the impressive nature of it. January 15 - February 4 is the coldest 3 weeks of the year on avg to begin with. 2026 now ranks 3rd coldest for that 3 week stretch at Detroit in 153 years of record. Only 1918 & 1963 were colder.

06z euro starting to line up with a lot of other guidance…that’s pretty widespread advisory stuff for eastern half of into CNE

Wow thanks for posting this. I knew it was cold but didn't realize the impressive nature of it. @bluewave frequently mentions that cold anamolies are short in duration. This is the opposite. January 15 - February 4 is the coldest 3 weeks of the year on avg to begin with. 2026 now ranks 3rd coldest for that 3 week stretch at Detroit in 153 years of record. Only 1918 & 1963 were colder. Pittsburgh also ranks 3rd in 152 years of record. Cleveland 4th in 156 years. Toledo 6th in 153 years. And even NYC 17th in 158 years. @FPizz @mitchnick @MJO812

Looks like a quick hitter for S.SNE for mid week and that’s about it. The weekend threat is gone