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Never good to wake up to Chuck posting by himself in the long range thread

I have to call it disappointing with only about 10 inches of snow total despite so much cold. It could have been so much better if not for that damn warm nose on Jan 25. Now on seven straight winters of way below normal snow and 11 years since a big (12-inch plus) storm. Terrible.

Per Wikipedia the CO2 Coalition is a climate denial organization funded by fossil fuel interests. The CEO is a former head of the American Petroleum Institute. Sure plant life thrived when CO2 was higher but natural temperatures change occurred slowly which allowed accommodation through evolution. The idea that CO2 is plant food is climate denial myth. High temperature and intensification of precipitation counteract CO2 benefits on plant growth. The plants that thrived under higher CO2 were not the same plants in the same locations as today. For instance, If warming continues the Amazon rain forest and Boreal forests will transition to grasslands releasing large amounts of CO2. The same with animals, cold-blooded reptiles were favored in warmer times. Mammals were all small to shed heat. The bottom 2 links cover past mass extinction events. Notice how many where caused by episodes of volcanic activity that released CO2 and other greenhouse gases. https://www.theclimatebrink.com/p/is-co2-plant-food-why-are-we-still https://www.sciencenewstoday.org/10-mass-extinction-events-and-what-caused-them https://www.livescience.com/planet-earth/climate-change/19-mass-extinctions-had-co2-levels-were-now-veering-towards-study-warns

End of the 0z EPS is also giving us a +EPO-dominated pattern. +EPO is warmest of all the index patterns, runs the chance of having 7+ consecutive days with highs in the 50s or greater here locally.

@Ruin it's one thing if you're just simply saying you've never seen it. It's another one if you're trying to say it doesn't happen. . Every single spring and fall we have no shortage of air quality alerts on windy days, it's not a rare thing by any means. Air quality alerts in the winter is a little more rare but it's not unheard of either. Air quality alerts are frequently issued during windy conditions. While wind often disperses pollution, it can also transport smoke from distant wildfires or stir up dust, sand, and ash, causing AQI levels to spike into dangerous orange, red, or purple zones. High winds can transport pollutants across large distances, worsening air quality far from the source. Pollution and particulate matter (PM) generally travel, persist, and accumulate more in cold, dry air. Cold air is denser and sits closer to the ground, trapping pollutants, while low humidity prevents moisture from washing particles out of the atmosphere. Thermal inversions often occur, acting as a lid that keeps pollutants trapped. Humidity can help hold down pollen particles, but the overall effect on allergy symptoms is complex and often negative. While moisture can weigh down pollen grains and stop them from traveling far, high humidity often leads to increased mold and dust mite populations, which can exacerbate allergies. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning–Kruger_effect

Lol it’s an inch of snow (maybe) that’s going to be gone by tomorrow afternoon when it gets into the 40’s

You should get some goods up there. If you have to start worrying about rain then that would be a very bad sign.

Oh well.. I knew it was like a 5 percent chance of happening but have to keep hope alive this week could be pretty good if things line up right

I never seen a bad air quaility alert in windy weather why? cause it blows stigmatic air 2 I rarely ever see it in cold weather why? the particles have a way harder time in lower humidity to bond and cause smog and or other pollution you often see in muggy very humid conditions int he summer. Myself besides from getting sick this winter I had no problems breathing at all.

Living outside of the Lakes region for example like madison, the Quad Cities, Rockford. Even the western suburbs of Chicago. Would be frustrating to me to go days and sometimes several weeks without measureable snows. especially coming from SE Michigan, where lake-effect bursts and clippers usually give you something to track every week or two around you and watch the radar southern Michigan snows every other day while Madison and Rockford blue skies for 2-3 weeks in the same cold pattern that would drive me crazy and I know places like Minneapolis and Madison averages more than DTW but that’s DTW many places west and north of DTW averages much more outside the belts the Hills north of detroit averages 60” yes I know detroit sucks and big snowstorms (Erie Basin effect)

44% of the 36.3 DTW received was under 2” events.

For one winter, I want to live in Copenhagen, NY where they get around 300 inches of snow per year so I don't have to be up at 3:20 in the bloody morning chasing a g*ddamn inch of snow while half drunk. Never tell your significant other she would look better in the pink dress because the purple on makes her look like an eggplant.

It's not fog brother. Wind can often be what's transporting pollution and particulate to you. It's all relative to where the pollution, particulate, pollen radiation, etc, source region,and you are located. It also appears to me that there is an excess amount of particulate in the air for this time of year. What you're seeing in the pictures below is not moisture or mist. I'm outside every night with a headlamp. My eyes are well, trained to tell the difference between solid particles and water droples. It's not the larger particles that actually cause the respiratory issues, It's the smaller particles making the picture look grainy, and the ones you can't see, that are responsible for the majority of respiratory and analergy issues.. Cpa is also subject to what are known as oreographic pollen and or pollution showers later in the day and night as the atmosphere cools ,due to our eastern proximitie to the Appalachian mountains . Cpa can dbe a rough place for people with allergies and health problems due to air quality ,especially when the atmosphere starts to cool after those hot and warm days in the spring and fall, when the pollen and mold counts are elevated.

Climate Prediction Center - CPC adopts Relative Oceanic Niño Index (RONI) for reliable, responsive monitoring and tracking of ENSO

Yeah the moisture is def north as well.

384hr 0z GEFS Problem is where the Polar Vortex is MJO may offer some help by the 2nd week of March if it can stay amplified

Better than 0z

Slightly better than 0z

I'm inclined to agree with you regarding snow fall. One more big storm and a few more small to mid size events could really make this a very special winter in Southern New England. This week looks pretty warm the entirety into next weekend and by that I mean upper 30s to mid 40s for daytime highs and liquid precipitation

If we get shut out or close to it the rest of the way I think people are overrating this winter. Sure, the cold was remarkable in its duration and to some degree magnitude, but ultimately we only had the one big storm. That's pretty disappointing in my book. We did decent in the 12/26 event here but I know most of the subforum didn't do that well so really just the one widespread event. Had the Carolina crusher turned the corner then we could be talking about this winter being a special one but I think from a snowfall standpoint it may go down as largely forgettable.

Nothing to see

Not the 0z AIFS showing another logbook fail on the 24th (and the 0z GFS too to a degree)

Apparently it's from particulate and other pollutants getting trapped under a persistent inversion facilitated by the extremely cold air we had as of late according to the NWS.

That is just what I wanted for the sub: Deep sleet/snowpack into a deep glacier then the Bombcyclone dumping about 16 inches of fresh snow on top of the greenland-like glacier. It would have taken weeks and weeks and weeks and weeks to melt. It would have been EPIC!