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I think the cold is real and we'll see readings well in the single digits. The figure is around 35%, but the warmer GEFS + timeframe uncertainty likely drive the lower probability.
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January 16-18th: Rolling the dice
NorthArlington101 replied to SnowenOutThere's topic in Mid Atlantic
Snowy and windy drive back to DC. Picked up another 1-2” last night at @katabatic ‘s place. Definitely a 5/5 host and recommend the drive out this way - shockingly easy. Squally out in WV - sure it’s gonna stop the second I get in VA. Savoring each flake. -
Its definitely over for me. Didn't even get the white rain I was expecting. I see the clear skies just to my west. I figured my area really wasn't in position for snow, but glad central GA is getting some good snow. Hopefully some in the Carolinas can cash in before the cold arrives.
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Rise of the Machines: January 18-19 Winter Storm Obs Thread
moneypitmike replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
Snow's picked up here in PVD. Cars and the backyard probably have a little less than .5" on them. Paved surfaces are just wet. Increasing sun angle and all...... -
Rise of the Machines: January 18-19 Winter Storm Obs Thread
Kitz Craver replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
Yup, dominated the 1rst half, fell apart for the 2nd -
Rise of the Machines: January 18-19 Winter Storm Obs Thread
butterfish55 replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
Moved my son in yesterday for his second semester at Berklee. Six more tuition payments left for me... Steady snow here, Go Pats -
Storm potential January 17th-18th
Volcanic Winter replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
Mt Holly’s bearishness down here was warranted I think, lot of the models ultimately showed little to nothing in kuchera after the stormed move back NW a bit the past couple days. Air is stale. Still crazy to be at 32 and change and not even be mixing, still rain here. But that tells the story; looking ahead… —— Enjoy the snow guys! Nice snowy weekend for everyone! -
Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
DocATL replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
“Nickels and dimes, yours and mine. Did you cash in all your dreams?” . -
Just looked at all ensembles this morning. Nothing really changed. Jan 22 never had support. Jan 25-28 window is what they are keying on. I think the warmer rainy cutter scenario is the least likely. Snow/ice storm most likely, with the likelihood of a suppressed system somewhere in between closer to the lower end.
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About an inch / 1.5 here in CNJ
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Not sure if it did anything but rain here in Burke.
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Storm potential January 17th-18th
Stormlover74 replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
Nice band moving through now. Will probably taper down after that. Should have 1 to 1.5 from round 1 -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
Ralph Wiggum replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Another cool thing about this snow.It should linger around a little while with highs in the thirties and twenties this week. -
Rise of the Machines: January 18-19 Winter Storm Obs Thread
ineedsnow replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
It will be hard but i think its possible.. maybe get lucky with a band forming on the western side.. -
Wantage in nw NJ: 8AM report 0.8" since accums began around 5A/18. Salted RURAL roads snow covered-slushy. 27.5F
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Storm potential January 17th-18th
CentralNJSnowman replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
At least an inch of new snow over the past two hours in Monroe township nj -
January 18th Back Door NW Trend Snow OBS Thread
Physicsteve replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
Same report as all of you to my west. Closing in on ~1.5” with snow and 29 degrees. -
Nam nailed it. Rain. Hrrr finally folded for the precip this morning. if we get nothing this afternoon. This will have amount to a 2-4 inch wwa for a few flakes mixed in with rain.
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Rise of the Machines: January 18-19 Winter Storm Obs Thread
UnitedWx replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
Finally, something resembling days and days -
Rise of the Machines: January 18-19 Winter Storm Obs Thread
moneypitmike replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
Wasn't it an 18-point lead at one point against SH? What a debacle to let that lead go. -
January 16-18th: Rolling the dice
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to SnowenOutThere's topic in Mid Atlantic
Snow finishing up here.. It rained most of the night, all of this fell within the last 2 hours -
We're just entering peak climo and there is a lot to be encouraged about as long as expectations are reasonable.
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Storm potential January 17th-18th
RU848789 replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
As of 8:00 am, we have 0.7" new snow (0.4" the past hour) at 32F and snowing moderately. -
Rise of the Machines: January 18-19 Winter Storm Obs Thread
HoarfrostHubb replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
I could see us maybe getting 4-5” with ratios. Those higher numbers will be hard to get to. -
Storm potential January 17th-18th
sussexcountyobs replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
I love their chicken marsala.
