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Tell me if this sounds familiar: Ravens led 14-3 at halftime. Henry had 5 carries in the second half. Monken? Too many penalties-both games. Harbaugh? Defense looks soft. Zack Orr?

Yeah, tides getting a little higher by Saturday and especially Sunday and Monday.

I don't think anyone will accuse the commanders of being a good Football team. Wtf. When Does DQ get fired?

To note on here, there were 2 very notable severe instances in very late August, and in early September (due to remnants of TS Edouard moving southwest toward the Rio Grande), that both occurred right around SAT on the evening of August 28th (75 mph damaging wind gusts). And, near Labor Day weekend, being 2.50 in. diameter hail in Converse (literally just east of SAT metro). The coastal region again, experienced another round of > 80 F nights the past few weeks since September began, with some additional record warm, overnight lows up and down the coastline.

Hope everyone is good. I have not been too active on the forums.. We are finally getting some beneficial rain up here. 3.25" so far this month. About .30"ish today. This makes me a happy camper for sure! Also of note I was just looking at the astronomical tides for the 25-27th. They are quite high. With the warm gulf stream I wonder if any nor'easter getting captured could become hybrid or tropical? It will be interesting to see what unfolds.

18z ICON looked like it was going to go wild after hr120

A gradual transition to Fall, looks to be underway now in the state with upstream troughing invading the state this ongoing weekend that set off a few MCCs over the western half last night. And a new, but more linear compact MCS currently developing in the northern Hill Country (closer to DFW). Severe looks to be rather minute for this event with lack of shear aloft. But, that does not look to be case in the final week of September with increasing shear trends in the state on latest model runs ahead of the next upstream trough. Both Euro and GFS ensembles are in decent agreement now on the first cooldown of the season to start October. The AO and AAO are both projected to head back into a new, significant negative phase which should definitely aid this. Along with the MJO remaining in the very latter/early phases the next few weeks to also give more precip insurance heading into October. Although, would expect this October and November to remain at least generally active given recent trends with the MJO. And EN continuing to strengthen.

I still feel the same way I did earlier this summer....the only real difference is it's more east-based than I expected, but I have said all along I didn't think Modoki index would matter much the year, though I still expect it to leak westward post-peak.

Had a high of 81 but down to 72 degrees after rain coming through. Looks like some dense fog tomorrow morning and some severe storms.

What a soggy game at Soldier Field. Great D battle. Was fun to watch.

NHC forecast is now for Fay to become a hurricane in 12 hours. Tropical Storm Fay Discussion Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062026 900 PM GMT Sun Sep 20 2026 A few more convective bursts have occurred near the center of Fay in the last couple of hours as seen in the visible satellite imagery. Infrared satellite imagery indicates that some of the cloud tops have cooled to near -70 degrees C with the latest batch of convection. The current objective intensity estimates from UW-CIMSS are in the range of 45-51 kt, and the most recent TAFB Dvorak fix was a T3.5/55 kt. Based on the given data, the initial intensity has been raised to 55 kt, on the upper end of the satellite estimates. The environment that Fay is located in still has moisture for additional convective development and an approaching mid- to upper-level trough should allow for Fay to further intensify for about 12 hours or so. Once the trough lifts on Monday, wind shear should increase and dry air should find its way into the cyclone. This will lead to a gradual weakening of Fay. The current NHC intensity forecast calls for Fay to become a post-tropical remnant low by Tuesday and then dissipate near the end of the week. The intensity forecast is still a little higher than the model guidance in the short term as Fay's structure is over performing expectations due to the expected baroclinic support from the trough. It is still possible that Fay could reach hurricane strength sometime tonight. Fay is still moving slowly and off toward the north-northeast, with the initial motion estimated around 020/5 kt. This general motion is expected to continue for about 12 hours or. However, a low- to mid-level ridge is expected to build to the north by Monday. This ridge in turn will force Fay to turn southwestward and gradually accelerate over the course of the forecast period. The current NHC forecast track is similiar to the previous track forecast with a few minor adjustments and remains in good agreement with the HCCA and GDMI track aids. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 20/2100Z 34.4N 32.7W 55 KT 65 MPH 12H 21/0600Z 34.3N 32.3W 65 KT 75 MPH 24H 21/1800Z 33.6N 32.5W 55 KT 65 MPH 36H 22/0600Z 32.5N 33.5W 45 KT 50 MPH 48H 22/1800Z 31.4N 35.1W 35 KT 40 MPH 60H 23/0600Z 30.5N 36.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 23/1800Z 29.8N 38.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 24/1800Z 29.0N 42.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 25/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Katz/Pasch

H5 is such a mess, gonna take awhile for the models to resolve this

Definitely pretty interesting end of the week...can't rule out tropical given warm core but certainly could be looking at a hybrid type

Either ‘54 Carol on roids or go home. But seriously I’ll be tracking this like a two foot blizzard in mid winter. PLEASE give us something. Knock over a lawn chair. Anything….

Eps is further west with the northeaster compared to past run.

I will note this is still a nascent feature. It will be intermittent through this evening

The STJ will be active. Just need cold air.

It's been raining all afternoon here at least on radar - no ground truth 0.00