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Looked all over the Mid-Atlantic forum, plus the Marketplace forum on the main AMX home page. This appears to be the most recent thread about WX stations. Looking to replace my Davis Vantage Vue. It's performed "ok" for 10+ years now. I'm on the 3rd solar array, the rain gauge has a tendency to collect debris and malfunction, and the overall appearance is dated, especially the display. Looked at the Ambient line of stations online. Considering the WS=2000, 4000 (is the ultrasonic good? more reliable?) or maybe even the 5000 (not sure it's worth the $$$). Saw the Ambient line offers wifi with connectivity to AWN (Ambient Weather Network) and ability to receive data on a smartphone via an app. Is a subscription required to remote the data to a smart phone? Not really interested in having to manage another subscription - have so many already. Welcome input from anyone who cares to share. R

Southern storm tracks will increase probably this winter...if you are in the foothills and mountains especially...it could get fun. I bet we score once east too. Fingers crossed!

I agree with you. I started off conservatively with this El Niño, until I could see the white of history's eyes, which I am viewing. I update-in-progress has it 2.9 to 3.1. The Euro is at like 3.5, which I am confident is wrong because that is essentially as high as the ONI, which isn't happening. Should maintain like a .4 deficit in relation to the ONI...like 2015.

the valley is always a tough spot.. so glad I left it

A Nor'easter on September 22, So much for hurricane season. Thank you el-Nino.

December forcing looks like 1997 to me, though it will be warmer this year due to the solar and stratosphere...January looks like 1983. The days of always being able to discern the placement of convective forcing by simply viewing where the max SST anomalies are within ENSO are gone...believe me, I blew up my outlook doing it in 2023.

Drop in! Share your best memories!

I think inland it’s going to be more impressive at elevations above 600’ if you are looking for any damage. The duration of the event, with regards to wind, may create some minor problems in the valley, but overall nothing impressive. Hydro issues inland are still to be determined.

This one's going hurt me

Hit the cask before tide chasing

Thank you for taking the time out of your busy schedule to search for that . It worked perfectly

Fwiw

There’s a fair amount of folks here who have no idea what the potential is with this. Vort95 nailed it . Glad we recognized and jumped on board early and often.

Tomorrow and part of Thursday will be variably cloudy. A few locations could see a shower tomorrow, but dry weather should be predominant. Highs should reach the lower and middle 60s. Some periods of rain and showers are possible late Friday into the weekend. The extent of the precipitation will depend on the track of a developing storm. For now, the system looks to pass far enough from the region to produce lighter amounts of precipitation. Uncertainty still exists in terms of track and timing. Temperatures will remain unseasonably cool through the weekend with highs mainly in the lower and middle 60s. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +4.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +3.0°C for the week centered around September 16. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +4.33°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +2.73°C. Both ENSO regions have tied their all-time warmest anomalies. The ongoing strong El Niño, will continue to strengthen through the mid-fall. The SOI was -9.86 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.201 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 65% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal September (1991-2020 normal). September will likely finish with a mean temperature near 68.6° (0.6° below normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 0.6° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.

December had a decent snow storm from VA to north of PHL ( idk how far) with 6"+ from VA to near PHL.

Not sure what you’re talking about unless it was the reverse psychology one .

I’m sure many of you know this, but we’re down to our last few weeks with the NAM. Whether it was convective feedback issues, crushing your CAD dreams or raising them up, some of the best crashouts on this sub-forum happened at the hands of the NAM. As I write this post, we embark on one final chapter for our dear CAD leader, the NAM. A backdoor cold front is entering the Carolinas, ushering in a classic scenario east of the Apps for one final gift to measure before we lay her to rest. Please offer your condolences, or share a fond memory with the class. When all convection allowing models fall short this winter, we’ll remember her fondly.

Take a look at some of the modeling......convection is further west than you would think looking at the SSTs...my guess is that it's due to all of the warmth throughout the basin pulling it westward, as was the case in 2023....only that season was even further west and into the MC. Forcing is def. west of 1997 and 1982:

0.52" At least I don't need to water the grass/clover seed I put down on Sunday for at least a day lol.

1.58"

gfs back to being the goofus..

No unfortunately

Except for the last blizzard lol

Sorry for the personal question, but any thoughts on what this looks like for the Lincoln, NH area? Supposed to be going up there this weekend with the family and have until tomorrow to cancel and get my money back. Not trying to pay to be stuck in a cottage with two kids under 8 for the weekend.