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Seems awhile since we’ve had a cool wet June around here.

I'm already preparing for water restrictions and my business being shut down. It's obvious were in the beginning stages of an historic drought. No rain in sight. I don't count a chance of a thunderstorm. That never amounts to anything.

While the CFS missed the summer PDO drop last summer, it’s still forecasting the PDO to remain negative into next January. Mostly due to the stronger ridge and lighter winds east of Japan. The main reason the current PDO is less strongly negative than recent years at this time is the record +PMM. In the past record +PMM patterns often coincided with a robust +PDO before the warm pool emerged east of Japan.

DCA with a shutout yesterday. 0.21” for June, approaching a 6” departure on the year.

.5” last night. Not bad and 2” in the last 7 days. Near normal precip at a time we often struggle with convection. .

10/10 morning right now

.26 here.

.30” here overnight.

Already have them here.

Picked up 3/4 inch of rain last night with some severe storms that moved through. Almost 3 inches for the month. Should be mostly sunny and hot again today, with more rain Tuesday through Saturday this week.

Summah brush fire season? Have we ever had one?

So much for cool , wet Nino summers . The absolute worst time of year for Steinberg to hit . Highest sun angle to just burn everything , a hot first two weeks and to top it off , I dropped fert right before his hands choked me out

About the same MTD. A steining to remember.

Decent storms last night, picked up .37” Was watching a left mover up in York County 8-9pm that probably should have be tornado warned well before it actually was. Friend who lives in Stewartstown got hit hard, cell was tornado warned after it passed her but I saw broad rotation on radar well before it hit her.

Stackin

.90 congrats again. Our roles completely flipped from last summer. That would have been here and you’d have gotten the .07. The Steining is the hardest part

Yep. And warming off the coast of South America has been increasing rapidly over the last week

I think 95-96 was the last time we had a solid +PDO la nina. Oddly enough, it followed the -PDO el nino in 94-95. I wonder what caused the inverse correlation of those years. Mind you this was at the end of a 20+ year +PDO period (the transition from +PDO to -PDO took place in between the super el nino and strong la nina in 1998). Maybe we do get something similar this time around, a -PDO el nino in 26-27, followed by a +PDO la nina in 27-28. Then, one final -PDO event, before the transition to +PDO.

The area experienced a top 5 warmest first 2 weeks of June. Time Series Summary for SUSSEX AIRPORT, NJ Top 5 Warmest June 1-14 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2005-06-14 72.3 0 2 2008-06-14 71.4 0 3 2026-06-14 70.2 0 4 2021-06-14 69.9 0 5 2007-06-14 68.0 0 Time Series Summary for WESTCHESTER CO AP, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2005-06-14 72.4 2 2 2008-06-14 72.0 0 3 1984-06-14 71.5 0 4 1999-06-14 71.1 0 5 2026-06-14 71.0 0 Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 1973-06-14 77.2 0 2 1984-06-14 76.8 0 3 2008-06-14 76.3 0 4 2005-06-14 76.1 0 5 2026-06-14 75.9 0 Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 1984-06-14 75.4 0 2 2008-06-14 73.8 0 3 2026-06-14 72.8 0 4 2024-06-14 71.5 0 - 2005-06-14 71.5 0 - 1999-06-14 71.5 0 5 1971-06-14 71.4 0 Time Series Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2008-06-14 72.0 0 2 1984-06-14 71.8 0 3 1973-06-14 71.5 0 4 1999-06-14 71.4 0 5 2026-06-14 70.6 0

68/66 .20" overnight/am

In the past couple of weeks, daily record SST from satellite have expanded from the PMM into the enso regions and nearby, mainly N of the equator

.07 .43 MTD Thursday looks about the same

I really got lucky this weekend, with the rain and storms on Thursday and last night. Fridaty and Saturday were perfect, and I got late night swims in.

It blew right back up to your east too. I always hate that.

Route 7 special. A lot of 3-in totals in the yellow.