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Is that for next week ?

I'd take the snow over that shit...though I'm sure this will be stricken with the scarlet "X" from DIT...

Although I day or two of absurd warmth would not surprise me....Feb 2018 had that, and we have avoided it this season....analog has worked out pretty well, but the timing has obviously been a bit astray.

It has a pretty legit ice storm near the pike and into S NH. Snow north of that.

My weather app has me in the 80s on Monday and Tuesday.. God I hope that's wrong. Leave that crap for May and beyond

EURO AIFS has a pretty cold look roughly 3/16 - 3/22 with 850's 15-22 BN Ohio Valley to MA/NE. After the coming warmth this will feel particularly unwelcome. Cold the second half of March is unlikely to undo the warmth of the first half so not expecting March to finish below normal. As for snowfall, the chances are low but not zero. As others have said not a KU looking pattern but some accumulating snow especially interior not out of the question second half of the month but who really wants it at that point anyway.

I hope you enjoyed the Skywarn talk! I'm down in Chatty so I was not there. However, I attended an NWS emergency manager talk in Chatty on Monday that covers the new SPC products. As for the rest of March seems like we might get into a couple cooler weeks starting mid-month. That's more valid East or upper half of the Tennessee Valley. Mid-South could remain warmer. Such a pattern leaves the door open for Mountain snow showers. First we have to get through the mid-term blowtorch. I don't see a reason to forecast a cool depressing spring though. Some back and forth like Carvers mentions seems reasonable. Warm weeks, I'd like to add side orders of southwest flow aloft and CAPE.

That seems low In Greensboro Fayetteville and Greenville just off the Jan 31 storm alone

Gfs op back to ruining midweek. Probably wrong, but not sure Id be locking 75+ yet either.

Taller task where I am...3.5" of dense snow/sleet, then sealed with a glaze.

Always like to follow the Salem Salt Shed:

Good to see more severe weather interst this season. Not everyone digs it, but a few of us are down! If Tuesday gets going in the Southern Plains and Ozarks then pattern recognition calls for sloppy seconds our way. See Day 7 a few posts back for Tuesday. More recent quoted 8-14 day post is six days old and the chart is way out of date. Heavy precip made it into the WPC 3-7 day but no severe. Next Wednesday Mar. 11 the the door is open for continuing severe, even if no new development. Continuing is of course a messy outcome. Alas, it could all just be heavy rain. See below. Their hatched flood risk has not changed much for the Mid-South (just expanded) since the flooding hatch is a hybrid River and snow melt outlook too. CPC chart from Wed. Mar. 4

44.1

How in the hell am I deeper than you? This blizzard pack vaporized....

Grid failures

Whose ?

Saturday below 32 and then next Friday . Couid see 4-5 days . Your area too

Brasierre?

Thought you were going to say lows in the 70s. I like those, too.

As long as you can keep it from washing away, or being eaten, it'll be fine.

already way above freezing even there. Wow

Warming up nicely here as well!

All that does it just make it colder than we want it to be heading into spring...hard pass on that.

Snowfall totals now that snow chances have dropped to near zero until next winter

I suspect the GFS has the right idea here, amts of QPF notwithstanding. But the synopsis of having that newly arriving polar high through QUE, dammed in, having also arrived over this impressive cryosphere.. the low levels should at least "look" colder. It's interesting that the NAM is as warm as it is; you'd think it's resolution in the lower 300 mb would be colder. I wonder if the NAM being a weaker QPF is limiting systemic cooling or something.