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I think you will find a stronger vortmax is going to dig south too, It probably would not hurt if we could start the process a bit west of where it is now to tilt the trough more negative sooner.

At 10/1. The app that I have been using is showing 20-1 Kuchera. .

Issue here will be winds. If we get snow we’ll also getting 50-60 mph winds probably

You are 100% correct!

Guys, I’m in Pi Planning today…stop distracting me by posting potential stemwinder nor’easters that have no mixing issues inland.

Lean left, left!

Not exactly the models I want in my foxhole

Richmond doesn’t get HECS though so not way those solutions verify.

Gefs were good but 6z was better 12z AIGFS Did trend better

We've been dry for months on end and have had dry conditions all but one summer in the past 5 with severe drought at times. Not sure why you think it'll be any different in April.

The gfs, aigfs and icon trends are. The cmc, uknet ,and euro trends are not.

lol, what a sharp gradient, 8" in harford county, 20" middle eastern shore, and 40" lower eastern short

Gonna name this the Byrce storm. This has you written all over it.

@wncsnowI feel like you'd know this.. Did GFS end up outperforming Euro with our last storm or was it the typical Euro beating up on the GFS?

12Z GEFS mean

I'm behind all you folks ( snow day yesterday means double duty today ) but I've never seen sub-516 dm heights in a closed trough at Cape Hatteras before (12 gfs). that's unworldy

Yeah….this was pretty stupid for me to say this. .

You slip on da ice??? You OK. Us snohounds are proud of you.

Alek= Lake effect king

Extrapolate:

100 miles west and we score. We're so close.

Please......just keep everything south for 2 more days......two more days. We all know the north trend is just waiting to rear it's head.

that looks like it was a bit stronger but dug more S this run to me anyway

At least we don’t have to worry about temperatures this time. Feels like that’s usually 75% of the battle around here. .