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The replacement to the CFSv2 Sent from my SM-S176V using Tapatalk

We need it to look like music video outside by early-mid January. There are no extra seats on this ride cause Alanis took all of them. Isn't that ironic?

Very good. There you go calling it fake cold after complaining yesterday that people poke fun at you. Don’t hate on areas that produce their own cold while others need Canada to come to the rescue for their cold. It’s all weather.

Love checking in on this thread every October to the same 20 pages of arguing about fake cold and what kind of foliage season it's been.

Snow tracking time will be coming soon!

Nothing! LOL 0c line closing in Blizz!

I don’t like getting into climate change discussions because people want to make it political. But being a mechanical engineer and scientist I know two things….climate change is real and we (humans) have added to that the change. How much we have impacted CC vs the earths normal cyclical waves, I can’t tell you. .

Still using altered not actual data with those figures....the facts are 6 of the top 10 warmest Septembers all occurred prior to 2000.With 3 of the top 6 warmest all before 1935!

EWR the last 10 days at a +1.8 Date High Low Departure 14 80 64 +14 15 66 54 +2 16 75 60 +11 17 61 43 -5 18 60 38 -8 19 66 41 -2 20 70 45 +2 21 65 48 +1 22 69 48 +4 23 62 46 -1 New Brunswick, NJ (+1.4) Date High Low Departure 10/14 81 50 +10 10/15 68 54 +6 10/16 76 50 +8 10/17 55 33 -10 10/18 62 35 -5 10/19 68 42 +1 10/20 71 45 +5 10/21 68 38 0 10/22 71 43 +4 10/23 63 32 -7 NYC (+1.1) Central Park — October 14–23, 2026 Date High Low Departure 14 77 64 +13 15 64 54 +1 16 72 59 +8 17 62 43 -5 18 57 41 -8 19 62 47 -2 20 67 50 +3 21 62 50 0 22 67 49 +2 23 59 47 -2

Records: Highs: EWR: 83 (2001) NYC: 79 (2001) LGA: 80 (2001) JFK: 74 (2017) Lows: EWR: 28 (1969) NYC: 31 (1969) LGA: 30 (1969) JFK: 32 (1969) Historical: 1785 - A four day rain swelled the Merrimack River in New Hampshire and Massachusetts to the greatest height of record causing extensive damage to bridges and mills. (David Ludlum) 1878 - A hurricane produced widespread damage across North Carolina, Virginia, Maryland, New Jersey and Pennsylvania. At Philadelphia PA, the hurricane was the worst of record. (David Ludlum) 1878: The Gale of 1878 was an intense Category 2 hurricane that was active between October 18 and October 25. It caused extensive damage from Cuba to New England. Believed to be the strongest storm to hit the Washington - Baltimore region since hurricane records began in 1851. 1937 - A snow squall in Buffalo NY tied up traffic in six inches of slush. (David Ludlum) 1947 - The Bar Harbor holocaust occurred in Maine when forest fires consumed homes and a medical research institute. The fires claimed 17 lives, and caused thirty million dollars damage. (David Ludlum) 1951 - Sacramento, CA, reported a barometric pressure of 29.42 inches, to establish a record for October. (The Weather Channel) 1969 - Unseasonably cold air gripped the northeastern U.S. Lows of 10 degrees at Concord, NH, and 6 degrees at Albany NY established October records. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Snow fell across northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin overnight, with five inches reported at Poplar Lake MN and Gunflint Trail MN. Thunderstorm rains caused flash flooding in south central Arizona, with street flooding reported around Las Vegas NV. Strong northwesterly winds gusting to 50 mph downed some trees and power lines in western Pennsylvania and the northern panhandle of West Virginia. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Strong winds circulating around a deep low pressure centered produced snow squalls in the Great Lakes Region, with six inches reported at Ironwood MI. Wind gusts to 80 mph were reported at State College PA. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - A storm in the western U.S. produced up to three feet of snow in the mountains around Lake Tahoe, with 21 inches reported at Donner Summit. Thunderstorms in northern California produced 3.36 inches of rain at Redding to establish a 24 hour record for October, and bring their rainfall total for the month to a record 5.11 inches. Chiefly "Indian Summer" type weather prevailed across the rest of the nation. Fifteen cities in the north central U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date as readings soared into the 70s and 80s. Record highs included 74 degrees at International Falls MN, and 86 degrees at Yankton SD. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 2005 - Hurricane Wilma reached the U.S. coastline near Everglades City in Florida with maximum sustained winds near 120 mph. The hurricane accelerated across south Florida and the Miami/Fort Lauderdale area, exiting the coast later the same day. There were 10 fatalities in Florida, and nearly 6 million people lost power, the most widespread power outage in Florida history. Preliminary estimates of insured losses in Florida were over $6 billion, while uninsured losses were over $12 billion.

If this doesn’t end up the warmest October on record here it will certainly be top 5.

51 / 36 and another onshore but dry day. Hit 30.5 here this morning. Overall at or above normal the next week with a few days pushing into the 70s in the warm spots Mon / Thu - Sat and continued dry. Next shot at meaningful rain if something else doesnt materialize this week, would be towars 11/1-11/4 period as trough digs and moves into the MW.

They are easily defaulting to ENSO-climo like everyone is doing. We have yet to see a more than 4-day +PNA period since the El Nino developed in April.

I had to this past summer when there was a software issue . It’s always been dead nuts accurate . In icing events for example with zr involved. It’s simply an extreme example of a microclimate. Almost same elevation as ORH and typically very similar temperatures especially on fake radiating nights. I mean there has not been any frost this fall. Not on cars or rooftops

ORH was 34° so I don’t think his station is too far off

Not sure if this Capital Weather link was already shared, but Boom or Bust seems to be the theme for the upcoming winter.... https://www.capitalweather.com/boom-or-bust-five-experts-reveal-their-dc-winter-snow-predictions/

There was a 1400’ site out there at 42°.

Low of 33 in Marysville. Another beautiful weekend is upon us! So, what did I miss yesterday on here, lol?

Serious question, when was the last time you tuned up your station and verified it was calibrated correctly. It wouldn’t change the overall issue but I’m curious.

Thanks Dream! excellent post and great points! I like you was on the opposite side of the fence but switched to the more benign view of CC. Just to be clear I of course believe in Climate Change that is scientific fact! I simply believe in the cyclical version plus I don't buy the one way ticket to boiling etc. that some of the more passionate alarmists lean into.

October 24 1922: A powerful low pressure system over Minnesota brings 55 mph winds to Collegeville. For Saturday, October 24, 2026 1785 - A four day rain swelled the Merrimack River in New Hampshire and Massachusetts to the greatest height of record causing extensive damage to bridges and mills. (David Ludlum) 1878 - A hurricane produced widespread damage across North Carolina, Virginia, Maryland, New Jersey and Pennsylvania. At Philadelphia PA, the hurricane was the worst of record. (David Ludlum) 1937 - A snow squall in Buffalo NY tied up traffic in six inches of slush. (David Ludlum) 1947 - The Bar Harbor holocaust occurred in Maine when forest fires consumed homes and a medical research institute. The fires claimed 17 lives, and caused thirty million dollars damage. (David Ludlum) 1951 - Sacramento, CA, reported a barometric pressure of 29.42 inches, to establish a record for October. (The Weather Channel) 1969 - Unseasonably cold air gripped the northeastern U.S. Lows of 10 degrees at Concord, NH, and 6 degrees at Albany NY established October records. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Snow fell across northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin overnight, with five inches reported at Poplar Lake MN and Gunflint Trail MN. Thunderstorm rains caused flash flooding in south central Arizona, with street flooding reported around Las Vegas NV. Strong northwesterly winds gusting to 50 mph downed some trees and power lines in western Pennsylvania and the northern panhandle of West Virginia. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Strong winds circulating around a deep low pressure centered produced snow squalls in the Great Lakes Region, with six inches reported at Ironwood MI. Wind gusts to 80 mph were reported at State College PA. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - A storm in the western U.S. produced up to three feet of snow in the mountains around Lake Tahoe, with 21 inches reported at Donner Summit. Thunderstorms in northern California produced 3.36 inches of rain at Redding to establish a 24 hour record for October, and bring their rainfall total for the month to a record 5.11 inches. Chiefly "Indian Summer" type weather prevailed across the rest of the nation. Fifteen cities in the north central U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date as readings soared into the 70s and 80s. Record highs included 74 degrees at International Falls MN, and 86 degrees at Yankton SD. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 2005 - Hurricane Wilma reached the U.S. coastline near Everglades City in Florida with maximum sustained winds near 120 mph. The hurricane accelerated across south Florida and the Miami/Fort Lauderdale area, exiting the coast later the same day. There were 10 fatalities in Florida, and nearly 6 million people lost power, the most widespread power outage in Florida history. Preliminary estimates of insured losses in Florida were over $6 billion, while uninsured losses were over $12 billion. Observances: 24 Sat Stock Market Crash 24 Sat National Bologna Day 24 Sat National Make A Difference Day 24 Sat World Development Information Day 24 Sat United Nations Day 24 Sat World Polio day 24 Sat Disarmament Week 24 Sat My Best Winter Skin Day 24 Sat National Food Day 24 Sat National Jamaican Jerk Day 24 Sat National Senior UTI Awareness Day 24 Sat World Tripe Day

Lows this morning ranged from the upper 20's to lower 40's depending on elevation. Most valley spots saw temperatures below freezing this morning.

Lows this morning ranged from the upper 20's to lower 40's depending on elevation. Most valley spots saw temperatures below freezing this morning.