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I posted this on June 8th in the winter spec thread...I still think many areas end up w/ normal FWIW.....my eastern valley AN looks in jeopardy for sure. Snow is ALWAYS a crapshoot. Some good takes and some HOT takes!!!! I will work on some analogs packages. This is tricky this year as we were more La Nina last winter, trended back to neutral, and may trend weakly negative again. For now and subject to change... Temps... Dec: BN Jan: N Feb: AN Precip... All months normal to slightly BN IMHO...but w/ a chance for slightly AN if you like the CANSIPS. Snow... AN eastern valley w/ an early start normal everywhere else w/ snow a bit later in middle and west (but honestly might be similar to what you got this winter)

Next week’s pattern is looking highly trackable. The models won’t know which shortwave will spark the gulf, but it seems like something is brewing.

Yeah but she cares if the PNA is negative amirite? sorry just wanted to sound smart

Confession: I have a major appointment Mon. Am 26th made 2 months ago. So I can almost guarantee a blizzard on the one day I really don't want it. Maybe we can adjust the timing until Monday afternoon.....

Meet you at dogfish? Lol. I would love to be ground zero yet again Sent from my Pixel 9 Pro XL using Tapatalk

Yeah I got it now. That's Chuck's baby btw Until he makes a -PNA post then it becomes N Arlington's

Just finished my work AI classes here. AI is only good as the data it is fed the question would be what data it’s being fed and what algorithms it’s using to weigh it. It truly might be seeing something that the regular models aren’t seeing. The ai chat bot we are building looks at our documentation portal but is learning to essentially guess at times what that person is asking. If it’s asked enough the same question it learns or corrects itself based off of whether or not the person continues asking etc. .

GFS with a classic mixed bag for the 25th.

Temps during the storm.. ice cold

here---this is a true cape storm

We get thru this 3 day weekend and this storm is still there 7 days out then maybe it’s worth tracking

The 18z GFS is definitely running w/ the over-running idea. Unsurprisingly it has trended slightly north, BUT...this looks like the winters of the past decade where the cold stalls either at the Plateau or Apps. I bet if you dig back through my winter forecast in June, you will see this scenario mentioned.

Have a nice time gooning, man.

Same family

Cheers! Gulp gulp

5-10" for most

Solid

Can't see precip. effin WB lol that low location looks good tho

Are we in Guy Fawkes ("Guys-Folks") territory????

Yeah, it's a nice hit. Plenty of cold. No snow maps tho

Bing bong there it is.

I don’t bring it out often .