All Activity
- Past hour
-
Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
Blizzard of 93 replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Still showing MM for the snow measurement at MDT in the overnight climate summary. They must be really stumped on this one. -
6z Euro. Count me in! Maybe we can juice it up a touch more? I need an enough snow to cover my back yard leaves that I was too effin lazy to rake.
-
5 inches at the groomer barn for 8 inch total pack, going to go out on sleds Sunday to start packing water holes and cutting blow downs hopefully. Another 8 inches and we can dig the groomer out probably. Lakes will skim this weekend when the wind calms and then if it stays like that for a few days we'll have 4-5 inches of ice before the next storm. Fingers crossed!
-
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Ginx snewx replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Very low dews very low snow angle and you ain't hitting 40 next 10 days with a refresher. Enjoy your cover it ain't going anywhere -
High of 35 for me today and 34 tomorrow Don't think an inch and a half of ice is going to go down the drain. Hope you're right.
-
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
WinterWolf replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Below normal temps, and cold nearby, with active storm track…this is a decent set up going forward. We’ll have chances. -
Just in time for the 12/10-12/11 snowstorm threat. Lets reel it in
-
Stake up to 8” after this last storm. Not bad
-
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
WinterWolf replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
It has…but you know we can’t base the current set up on past performance either. Maybe we strike out again…but there will be shots. All we can ask for. -
2025-2026 ENSO
donsutherland1 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
IMO, this oversimplifies the PNA. A PNA- is not only possible, but is likely to be the predominant state this month based on broad consensus of the guidance. There's a lot more that contributes to the PNA. So far, December has seen PNA values of +0.022 on December 1st and -0.149 on December 2nd. Yesterday's GEFS forecast: Here's the EPS 46-Day forecast: Last winter provides a good example of how one can reach incorrect conclusions from oversimplifying things. Despite the La Niña, the PNA was positive on almost 96% of days. It was also +1.000 or above on 34% of days. ENSO-PNA mismatches can occur. These mismatches are a product of a more complex ocean-atmosphere system than would be suggested by simpler rules. In short, even as there is a tendency for the PNA to be negative during La Niña/positive during El Niño (same direct relationship with regard to the PDO), that tendency is far from iron-clad. All said, I see little at this time to suggest that the base scenario of a PNA- December has grown less likely. The continued persistence of the guidance has, if anything, reinforced the base scenario of a predominant PNA- overall. -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
I would be shocked if we hit mid month without a solid warned event for much of the region....strongly doubt we make it that far. -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
I also see people posting to the effect that what we have on the ground "isn't going anywhere"....well, it's going to be near 40 today and tomorrow here on the cp, so last time I checked, snow goes down the drain at that temp. -
The last few seasons have felt like eternity.
-
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
WinterWolf replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Yup. But look what we just went through with yesterdays storm …this is still an eternity away. -
You're too quick. I deleted after I saw that. Lol
-
-
Well you’re looking at snow depth 2 days later?
-
Were you the one that said +10 for October?
-
Euro op was close.
-
The Return of the 12/5 Snowstorm
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to SnowenOutThere's topic in Mid Atlantic
This system in Feb or March coming in at 10am would most likely be white rain even if it were cold. -
That same gradient yet again...so often you do much better than I do. 1" on the back end for a 2.5" total. Only good growth was at the end.
-
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
WinterWolf replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Bro, go do something else for god sakes. WTF? Please..do everybody a favor and Check the F Out! -
MoCo-HoCo band! It's missing the 5 inch lolli over Mt. PSU though
-
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
WinterWolf replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Well 7-8 days away, we know how these oscillate…modeling is dung so. -
Lock that max total stripe in right there!!
