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2009 was a pure Modoki season and was much weaker in magnitude. 1957 was basin-wide, but it was focused pretty far west and was barely a super-event. Forget 2009, but I guess 1957 is about as cold as one could expect, which was around normal.

Partly sunny and 83/75 here. Got a surprise 0.2 yesterday afternoon and hoping for more today.

Only .01” here. It was like 150% humid this am.

I'd say favored, but not a guarantee. There have been cold/snowy winters in robust el ninos. 2009-10 finishing as the coldest winter CONUS so far in the 21st century is one example. Also, 1957-58 was a historically cold and snowy winter in many places in the Eastern US.

. 75 here in Elimsport and raining hard.

People always focus on a total anamoly too much as well, warm or cold. Do you know how long a winter season is and how many fronts, systems, etc will be occurring during the season? Even if someone nailed a forecast seasonal anamoly, theres no way to tell whats going to happen with the actual weather.

My favorite month of Summer! Going to try to take advantage and enjoy this month! Monday/Tuesday look top shelf and sunny this week before a little bit more rain!

August 2 1831: Unseasonably cool air moves into Minnesota with light frost reported at Ft. Snelling. For Sunday, August 2, 2026 1954 - Severe thunderstorms produced golf ball size hail for thirty minutes in north central Kansas. One drift measured 200 feet long, seventy feet wide and three feet deep. (The Weather Channel) 1975 - Record heat gripped New England. Highs of 104 degrees at Providence, RI, and 107 degrees at Chester and New Bedford, MA, established state records. The heat along the coast of Maine was unprecedented, with afternoon highs of 101 degrees at Bar Harbor and 104 degrees at Jonesboro. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Hot weather continued in the central U.S. Fifteen cities reported record high temperatures for the date, including Concordia KS with a reading of 106 degrees, and Downtown Kansas City, MO, with a high of 105 degrees. Evening thunderstorms produced severe weather in the Ohio Valley and the north central U.S. Thunder- storms in South Dakota produced wind gusts to 70 mph at Philip, and hail two inches in diameter at Faulkton. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Searing heat continued from the Middle and Upper Mississippi Valley to the Middle and Northern Atlantic Coast States. Twenty- six cities reported record high temperatures for the date. Chicago IL reported a record seven days of 100 degree heat for the year. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Low pressure representing the remains of Hurricane Chantal deluged north central Texas with heavy rain. Up to 6.50 inches drenched Stephens County, and Wichita Falls reported 2.22 inches of rain in just one hour. Bismarck, ND, reported a record warm morning low of 75 degrees, and record hot afternoon high of 101 degrees, and evening thunderstorms in North Dakota produced wind gusts to 78 mph at Lakota. Early evening thunderstorms in Florida produced high winds which downed trees at Christmas. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) Observances: 2 Sun American Family Day 2 Sun National Ex-Girlfriend Day (Note: Really? Guess there's a day for most everything) 2 Sun National Friendship Day 2 Sun Sisters' Day 2 Sun National Coloring Book Day 2 Sun National Ice Cream Sandwich Day (Note: have 2 big boxes in the freezer right now. Good stuff ) 2 Sun National CAD Day

I think he means "stable" within the context of the modern GW trend.

.66” so far today. Fairly steady rain.

Oops double posted

Yep and that’s good I see gotcha .

All good,i saw where Mark Baldwin posted it and he gave credit to the poster

1951-80 stable? By stable you mean coldest because it had the abnormally cold 1960s and especially 1970s? The 1950s were way warmer than the 1970s, so i dont see how that's "stable". How about we just use 1931-60 normals.

Last year was an odd year for oaks in our area. I have a huge white oak in our front yard and i could not find one acorn dropped. I was told it was due to a fungus and the weather. It was a wide spread problem. I am wondering if this is fallout from that.

CANSIPS actually did well last season, but I agree it's too biased towards the Modoki end of the spectrum this year....alomng with the JMA, IMHO.

Thanks credit goes to the person in the video hope that they are calmed down now seemed pretty terrified and I see gotcha .

Define “soaker”. To me it’s more than like 1.5”. I don’t see any widespread support for that. Maybe some town in western CT gets more than that, but good luck guessing where and if that happens

We saw some fantastic forecasts for July. Scotty Lightning gaining 710 points and was able to move up a slot but really close in on the large grouping we have. BKViking also had another strong forecast for July and managed to move from 4th to 2nd, while DonSutherland1 lost some ground on his strong lead but still holding the first place spot. All bold slots are those with the highest value in that category. As well as updated numbers for GaWx and StormchaserChuck1 on the side had they been involved every month. Remember we are starting to get into volatile season again so be prepared for some potentially strong movements and shifting of spots as we go into the Super Nino winter. I did not include the late penalties this go around as many would not have seen a significant change in total points taken off. I will do my best to send a reminder about 24 hours in advance so as to not have these penalties arise. I will add the Conus departures when it updates for me.

Up to 85 with 71 dewpoint Rain/showers in PA chunk of clearing working north from snj

Nice VID,looks like a spinner to me

I don’t care if it is preseason played by a bunch of guys not good enough to make the CFL, can we get some games going? 85F/DP 71F

No...it's not. It will be above average.

Folks is cocked . Tomorrow is one of those have/ have nots days. Most turns get a downpour or two and a few that train get 2” and that’s it. Very meh setup with no sun

It's a muggy morning in the Valley. Picked up .40 overnight.