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Sad but true, i think i may still be left with 1". The way this winter is going i am happy with that.

Cmc is 3-5 for NYC and SNJ

But that would take away all of your... snow

I'm getting a waxing as we speak.

Most of the charts I have been using go back to at least 1948.

GOOFUS might be last to the party…it’s notorious for that too.

NO!

Idk bout the two months but the current state would suggest some effects in early January which are reflected in extended gefs guidance

Now I'm going to have to look that one up, 10 years before my time. We all know Will was there

@Holston_River_Rambler, you jump right in here with your nifty short range graphics. I don't want to be taking your job! Here is the RGEM right before the map above. It dissipates as it heads south. As we so overnight, sometimes it hold together. So, let's watch the trend on this. The 3k NAM is generally just a higher elevation event. With such a strong air mass coming in, the jet streak with this might help. Also, a lot of models won't see lower level moisture getting squeezed out w/ below zero air masses. This might be 15:1 or 20:1 type of stuff.

I mean the MJO signal isn't progged to project much on to the midlat pattern for the foreseeable future beyond day 21 so I'm a little doubtful of it's predictive relevance in this case.

But @stormtracker hasn't posted the Brazilian yet... is the Australian out?

From our camera Deck _2025-12-12T16_03_54.mp4

Reading the last two pages reminds me there's too many models

Pretty much the Rgem solution

Canadian doesn’t look bad. Nice little event Boston PVD Southeast, especially cape

12z CMC... gimme

Uggh. This is like fighting over a crust of stale bread. A couple of years ago this event would be barely acknowledged. But I get it. I do

The 12z RGEM "almost" has what looks like a gradient type anafront which comes in early Sunday morning. By Monday morning, temps at TRI are below zero. I am posting the precip map for Sunday AM and real feel for Monday AM.

yeah.. I've often mused that, 'hey man, I was raised in the Feminati' when seeking defense in discussions with militant lesbians

Severe constipation? That would explain a lot

About 1" here in Corbin, JKL expanded the WWA and the second snow band died. Laurel County (about 10 miles north) received about 3-4 inches.

Snow capital of the sub forum

Only expecting 1" or so up this way in the HV. Its been a cold and snowy start to the season 40+ miles NW of NYC. Hopefully you guys can cash in with 3"+