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  2. winter_warlock
    i ended up with 1.78 inches of rain and temp is now at a cool after the storm
  3. KrummWx
    Where in these images would the tornado be? Severe wx noob, I got my gf in wesrern Mebane rn
  4. EasternLI
    I think we'll see a pretty darn robust STJ, eventually. Remember there's some resistance in the pacific with the -PDO too. That's a battle royale there IMO but I think the sheer magnitude of this el nino overwhelms it. But it's going to take some time to do that. Aifs-ens would suggest we see it start to fire up a little bit towards mid Aug. Will be interesting to see if that's accurate and if it starts to ramp up more as we move towards autumn. If we see that, I'd feel more confident. As far as the QBO is concerned. That's an area of ongoing research. Which has been noticed more and more as an important factor in various areas. So it has been gaining more and more interest. Here's some newer work that also included the Pacific jet. The image below is actually a cross section of the jet in late winter. Same conclusion. El nino + WQBO is the combo for the strongest jet. ERA5 data in top row model runs in the rows underneath. QBOi El Niño–Southern Oscillation experiments: teleconnections of the QBO https://wcd.copernicus.org/articles/6/1419/2025/
  5. MillvilleWx
    Early season snows in this type of Nino are not very common. I'd anticipate a low chance of anything appreciable until January-March. Just a matter of if we can score anything small prior to that.
  6. Chris78
    Glad the Os got a win last. Ugly tonight and with Skubal going tomorrow drooping 2 of 3 looks likely
  7. CAPE
    Badlands profile pic man. Do it. Totally flipped it here.
  8. Hoth
    Record wet month if that goes down.
  9. RDM
    Got hit by the split here ivo Vienna. As the line approached it went N & S of us. Just a few drops. Not even enough of a trace to wet the driveway... sigh.
  10. CAPE
    1.7" for the day. Lots of thunder on the back edge. First month above avg since Feb. Just over 6"
  11. Itstrainingtime
    .24" for the day. Terribly disappointing.
  12. JACKASS
    Would love to change the “snow” on the tv to weather maps!!! @dendrite? An all seasons reply.
  13. Chinook
    tornado warning for Chapel Hill NC
  14. Damage In Tolland
    Im Sure it will change and improve tonight . But upstream radar looks pretty uninspiring currently
  15. RickinBaltimore
    Rather nice rainbow at the moment
  16. Maggie Valley Steve
    And just like that the skies are clearing.
  17. frontranger8
    Picked up about .10" here today. Looks like some of the heavier storms in the area dropped at least half an inch.
  18. Drew13800
    Impressive how close NYC has been both rounds without anything meaningful.
  19. Psychguy
    Kind of crazy here right now (our pup is NOT liking this)... my phone is going nuts with weather and emergency alerts.
  20. JACKASS
  21. JACKASS
    Saw a bunch of em. All made me laugh. As bad as that looks on laughing at the dead, but….
  22. Torch Tiger
    maybe it'll curve in - way, in, like early Andrew in
  23. kdxken
    Some of those memes are pretty good.
  24. ineedsnow
    I do it all the time some I hope will happen but don't count on it
  25. olafminesaw
    Dewpoint hit 77 at the airport, highest since 2021
  26. SnowtoRain
    1.03" and pouring, just south of tornado warning some gusty wind but nothing out of the norm, over 10.00" for the month
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