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  2. I know we don't really use the hdrps but its been showing this solution with a really drastic drop-off
  3. Depending on how the euro swings, I wonder if we could even go straight to Winter Storm Warnings
  4. I’m thankful it’s at least cloudy today. At least the sky is white.
  5. Thanks, same to you. FWIW, it still looks like we stay on the all snow side of the region, although we both been through this rodeo before. I always thought it would be great to start the winter with a major sleet bomb and then keep piling snowfalls on top of it (the XC skier in me). One can dream.
  6. Sounds like he need a new tablet. Hed better hurry to the quarry today before the limestone freezes.
  7. Actually I wouldn’t be surprised if they still upgraded to a warning depending on sleet/FR totals across the Valley
  8. You'll get it. Better than that, you'll get a couple. You'll be spendin all your time on the models then diggin deep snow.
  9. yeah i would think so, however if significant sleet and icing will occur they might issue a warning.
  10. Not sure we want to use the words "dead" and "winter" together. lol
  11. Christmas is such a welcoming and joyous holiday, too, that we can, for just a day, not be insufferable. I promise we can all go back to being awful just in time for tomorrow. There are twelve days of Christmas. .
  12. You may have a watch there if euro ticks NE again . You’re pretty far west and longitude is the key.
  13. We're in the Ecuadorian cloud forest up here. Still a WSW for up to a quarter inch of ice. Currently 50F though quite windy.
  14. There was no “tick-tick” north on the GEFS or EPS. Noise on the GFS op. The -NAO block is intensifying so i don’t see a surprise last minute jump north with this. 5-10” storm for NYC metro. Models have been locked.
  15. very light snow here the past couple hours- lovely mood flakes after a quarter inch over night
  16. Outside of zr around the M/D line, this one is dead.
  17. @sauss06 can’t post because when he tries to log on he gets a message it is “read only”. Anyone know what that means?
  18. I hope the HRRR is a sign that GFS has been leading the way and we get 6 or 7 inches here, but it also wouldn't be a surprise if it's 3 or 4 and then sleet. Either way though it will be a nice winter storm. Very nice to get 2 solid snow events in December. That should be a good sign for the rest of the winter.
  19. ALY will probably hold, or at least a WWA...no watch yet I don't think here, maybe south Litchfield cty.
  20. Merry Christmas to all ! The scene today at Mammoth and Tahoe is nothing short of Apocalyptic. Do you THINK, for one frackin' moment, that Mammoth got a fooking WHITE CHRISTMAS this year? They have gotten completely destroyed by 51 inches of fresh snow in 36 hours. The instructors are going crazy. This is definitely one of those 'white-room' days. You gotta have a damn SNORKEL! That snow is deep as shoosh! Mammoth has been drastically altered. I'm LOST trying to figure out the place just from looking thru the webcams. Plow guy's in serious trouble today, because the snow ain't giving NO quarter. You know what the damn KICKER is? They are going to get 2-3 feet MOAR today!
  21. Not very accurate in the long term - somewhat better within 10 hours and it’s Kuchera. I’d look at 10:1 QPF
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