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I bet you this strength of the trade anomaly is going to be offset for those temperatures - in other words somewhat anti-correlated. Not enough of an anomaly to support that. Just a hunch. I long been harboring the notion that El Niño is in a synergistic feedback with the background - possibly for the first time in human history are we saying something like this at this kind of a scale? I’m not sure you can use that to casting you dystopian outlook on the winter either. It’s almost like if everything is warm, the gradient aren’t sufficient to generate the restoring to make it wild. Oh, I’m sure it’ll be one blizzard too formulate an argument against lower the total winter I wouldn’t be surprised if it’s just mild and boring

Just some brief wind and moderate rain. Not too much to report here. Maybe further south it was worse.

Once again high of 98 after a low of 78. Strong storms to our west and northwest. Will they hold together?

Maybe, but right now, I’m going to need some convincing that WPC was justified in issuing an MPD for our area

.01" here. fn pathetic

They’re about to collide. Can we get lucky?

Visually from Howard County, cells are trying to go up on that outflow boundary moving north out of DC

Where the boundaries collide will be interesting

Everyone ok?? Thats a mean looking storm to my south .

It's the world's smallest flash flood warning

So we were in Rehoboth last fall so not too worried if we don’t go in much to avoid crowds. We like to explore. Last year we enjoyed the Lifeguard museum and enjoyed it. Also took a trip up to Dover for the Victoria museum. We had wanted to do some Kayaking if possible. And would you recommend taking the ferry to Cape May? We like museums and nature.

Another 2” for FMH on top of the 6” they got

There is no doubt that I-81 in Schuylkill County is a storm killer for any storms moving in a northwest to southeast trajectory. The complex moving down from Williamsport died just about at the freeway.

You guys just had terrible luck! MDT even squeezed out .55 in the last few hours.

I did get some rain. .02”.

Well, I have a very rare tornado warning right now. Severe t-storm capable of producing a tornado. Radar indicated some rotation. I’m not too worried. Tornados in these parts are just cut all to pieces by the terrain. Usually very short track and not too intense. Hopefully, we get some decent rain out of it, though.

The OFB from the north stuff dropping down from PA might collide with the OFB coming up from the south storms route 50 ish could be a good spot.

It’s related to El Niño. It’s just a shifted pattern from past ones. My guess is the lack of arctic ridging (which is weakly correlated with +ENSO) and AGW are allowing the ridge to go further south and be much stronger.

Pouring under this cell.

Would not be surprised if there was a small spin up tornado NE of Taneytown about 15-20 minutes ago. Certainly a velocity couplet there for a few frames.

Far SE MA getting some storms. Although mostly downpours.

Got crushed here. 0.01" so far.

Run ahead outflow killed it today

Marysville picked up .67 of rain for the afternoon storms.

Just noticed that too. It looks like it threw out OFB to the nw as it slides ne. Really weird radar. That line in PA looks like it's holding strong into Carroll County. We'll see!