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The warm pool definitely isn't as extreme as it was a month ago

68/64, cloudy, calm boring weather, such as it is, is the best take

Yeah not great, but still a higher than normal chance for the big one

Here is newark 90 degree Days: Year Rank Days >= 90 °F 2010 1 54 2022 2 49 1993 2 49 1988 4 43 2021 5 41 2002 5 41 1991 5 41 2016 8 40 1983 8 40 1959 8 40 2025 11 39 1994 11 39 1944 11 39 2005 14 37 1987 14 37 2018 16 36 1949 16 36 2015 18 35 1961 19 34 2024 20 33 2012 20 33 1999 20 33 1995 20 33 1966 20 33 95 Degree Days Year Rank Days >= 95 °F 1993 1 25 2010 2 21 1944 3 20 1988 3 20 2022 3 20 2021 6 18 1955 7 17 2002 7 17 2011 7 17 2012 7 17 1949 11 16 1953 12 14 2005 12 14 2025 12 14 1987 15 13 1991 15 13 1999 15 13 2016 15 13

Tony did 1993 tie 1991 there or exceed it?

Our local forecasters have said that 10 of the last 14 days have been below normal. It just hasn't been hot since July 15th. 80 degrees is an easy bar to clear in the summer as long as it's sunny and we are finally in a nice dry stretch with just an occasional frontal passage. I think we'll finally get a nice dry month now.

I know but look at it this way. The Yankees need to hit home runs to win games and it's easier to hit home runs in hotter weather.

My thoughts are that its subpar from average, but not as much as some are assuming with a strong nino.

The wind is incredibly calm right now considering the sun is still out Another great day. High 80, low 58

A shower coming moving SW from offshore started here ~5 minutes ago. It likely won’t amount to too much due to it likely being brief due to rapid movement and it not being large.

@CoastalWx may be on to something here beating the boring drum as the focus turns to natgas, pipelines and domestic policies rather than weather

Natural gas prices are state regulated by PURA. They have to submit rate increases and get them approved similar to electricity. I believe its every 6 months like electricity so the price is extremely stable for 6 months.

The reason that area near the Bahamas and Gulf has been relatively quiet despite low shear is mostly due to how hostile it is east of there, in the MDR where most of the disturbances originate from that could cause storms to form there. Waves and weak storms like Dolly simply are not able to make it west to take advantage of the better conditions. As said above, fronts digging down into the gulf or the fall CAG would be the likely source of anything tropical in those areas. Edouard showed us that it’s possible to get homegrown systems this year, and the likelihood of another ramps up as fall fronts start to make it to the gulf. However, these aren’t ever home runs for development and stronger fronts usually favor more wind shear and dry air as we get later into the fall. The window for something strong to take advantage of these ribbons of favorable conditions is not huge, but if the Atlantic produces anything of note it will likely originate in these two areas as the rest of the basin is completely cooked by shear

-.83 today

i am one of those people who prefer a cool summer..

I wonder if that Amazon Prime jet was able to be unloaded and have the packages get to their destinations, eventually. (maybe they're still unloading and dealing with the cargo.)

I'm actually totally fine with whatever happens. Don't need the extreme cold though

All time worst winter. we were ice skating on the bay last winter so whatever happens this year I’ll take it