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It's a PNA/EPO issue. We just had one of our coldest mid-Winter stretches on record...

Icon improved

https://x.com/i/status/2022415363200446615

NAM

It can only come so far north now. Massive amount of dry polar air sitting over New England and the Ocean east. LI might see a couple

That's what she said?

Its close to something bigger

Seeing the qpf trend over the past 5 cycles is pretty hilarious

Nam north It was very close to a phase

Just because I've been tracking it, 00z Euro is 64F for DCA 2-19, and 66F 2-20. 0z eps peaks 62F on 2-19.

One more move at 12z like the 6Z NAM and

Radar https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/mar-4-6-2001

The 0z AI EPS also shows snow on both the mean & median.

The 0z Euro AI shows some snow by Monday am.

I mean it's an AFD in 2001, saying it on TV to tens of thousands of people is a very different thing. And the next AFD you can hear the disappointment and fear in drags words. Forecasts didn't change all that much but did go down a notch

No, you did.. .

Wait is this is a logbook fail incoming? Now see I thought this weekend was rain because the storm got here too late and the cold air had already escaped (and that if it were 12-24 hours sooner it would've been snowier) But you're saying this woulda worked before... Man I still don't get how the switch just flipped so quickly like that. This kind of setup work between 2010 & 2015? I hope this is a PDO issue and not the other.

There is some phasing going on. Keep track or dont post.

Snowy week on the euro. LFG.

Sometimes there are surprises and models are trying to play catchup and never get it right especially in the beginning of a complex pattern change - it has happened before....In addition i don't think the models are receiving all the data they should on a consistent basis these days because of reduced funding. How NOAA funding cuts could make it harder to predict and prepare for severe weather | PBS News