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  2. No. You should do it. Because then when it trends south and east so many will be happy.
  3. Imby/Columbia: 0.32” overnight. 1.52” November to date.
  4. The long range looks meh to me. Not a torch anymore but no slam dunk pattern that is primed for southern snow either.
  5. Look how happy he looks in that pic of him and her.
  6. What are you trying to prove? Nothing has changed, this is still a classic wave reflection event then a recovery and strengthening of the SPV come mid-late December. Even twitter has moved on. We’ve discussed this on here ad nauseum with @40/70 Benchmark and several others. We’re beating a dead horse
  7. Consulted Jerry Taft on the ouija board. 2-4"south; 3-5" north
  8. BWI: 23.7" DCA: 19.3" IAD: 26.5” RIC: 9.7” ----- SBY: 11.3”
  9. Welp may as well start this crap… 12z is the biggest run since 6z…
  10. Yeah, I think the best advice for most people in SNE is to take a backseat until the new year, and if something pops before that, great. I wouldn’t even give that system early next week a second thought until probably Sunday. A lot can go wrong, it’s early, and it’s still a week away. Odds are we won’t see anything from it, that’s just the way it goes.
  11. So, now I can give you the answer Yesterday’s 2 week GEFS (through 12/9/25) was starting to loop in 7 through the end of the 2 week run: was it going to stay in 7 or was it going to go into 8? Here’s the much anticipated answer: it ended up doing just a small, quick loop in 7 but then it went a little ways into 8 on 12/11. But that little ways was enough for it to last 8 days (12/11-18), which alone would be enough for the longest Dec phase 8 since Dec of 1989’s 10 days and longest, period, since Feb of 2019’s 9 days. However, it then looped back into 7 a little ways 12/19-26 with it stalled at the end. Now my question is whether or not it would have gone back into 8: we’ll never know on this run
  12. Wolf You gonna burn yourself out at this rate. I honestly don't know who you are fighting against half the time
  13. was looking at 0z and 6z and yeah...like wowzers. If 1/4 of what is advertised materialized, we'd be gettin outta the winter gates w/ some zip.
  14. Agreed! Will be interesting to see the trends on guidance through the weekend. I'll be keeping tabs on AI model outputs as well. Want to see some consistency on handling of the wave ejection at this lead and as we get closer to any event potential. Still a ways to go, but nice to see something worthwhile to kick off the season around these parts
  15. Everyone who gets it enjoy! I'm half way to last years season total so I've got all winter to get 4 pathetic more inches lol. Seriously, this is a good start to Met Winter as long as it doesn't catch the lane right before the pins. I expect kitchen sink variety this time of year here. But this year is feeling like a doozie of a winter coming. This damn rubber band has to snap at some point Note: There, I jinxed myself
  16. tyvm! I hope your idea verifies. Be nice to have everyone smile. .
  17. How often is Kankakee in the lead on snow, let the man have his flowers.
  18. It’s Not so much that Scott…I love to joke around and laugh as much as anybody, but I do like to not goof around sometimes too. I try to learn some too from you guys in the know…so whatever. Things have changed from a few days ago, they’ll change some more going forward the next few days.
  19. Haha only mention cause I feel it would be unfair for me to comment negatively on the trends for MBY
  20. It's early and cold air is iffy down here, but the midwest storms today and Nov 30 will pay a role in laying down snow cover and reducing modification of cold air setting us up for the threat next week.
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