All Activity

At hour 96 it moves west again towards the cape!

The last slide is also stronger then the last 2 model runs.

Looks like a beautiful, quiet and peaceful place you got there ! Much wildlife come roaming through?

A good period of upslope winds made some light rain sit over the area today and bring this event to around 1.3 inches total. Still on the low end, but better than where I was this morning. Regardless, I loved early fall rain and its ambiance, so I made sure to get some pictures while I was out and about. Might be my favorite type of weather behind snowfall. Pictures were taken by me, but some of them were edited by my boss.

Precip is very much west this run out to this and it appears to not be done.

heh... let em have their fun. They need it. These addicts are rocking in their chairs, blood shot eyed and smelly in straight jackets withdraw for ...what has this been? 8 months since jack shit's happened? I think the February blizzard that only struck SE Mass and turned out be a blue baller for most else was the last d-drip of any stoning value they've had. lol No, but it is a nice homage of winter. You have a cool anomaly ( sort of ...) with high pressure N imparting NE/E trades into the area, and "some" kind of low stalling in a climo recognizable fashion.

This is enough of a shift west that I think either 0z or 12z will bow to the EURO. I'm not saying this thing gives us memories of Sandy and goes into NJ, but I think maybe Eastern Long Island will get the brunt of it. Will it retrograde? That depends on the placement of the high pressure up north and how strong it is.

Yes still an outlier

Then it moves east i guess next slide lol idk

Looks to hit eastern New England

Tonight it's going to be very similar with clear skies and gusty winds I'm glad there's not going to be much rain here outside of a few showers on Sunday. The other days are supposed to be partly sunny just like today. Are there any snowfall coops around here besides the one at Lake Harmony? You need to change your name from NYCWINTER to NYCWEENIE. Out here too 35 mph gusts but thankfully not expecting any rain here outside of a few showers on Sunday. Partly sunny on all the other days.

Hours 66 to 72 it doesn't move... down to 993 mb

Getting my pot roast on

GFS is west at hr 60

Gfs is indeed more west but precip wise unkown waiting for it to load.

This seems hyperbolic. Likely based off of op runs. The latest GEFS and EPS runs have high temps ranging from upper 60s to low 70s(even mid 70s) for the first week to 10 days of October. Nice, but not chilly for early Oct. Looks about the same as what we have now through the next several days.

Early views says it's a bit west?

Waiting for gfs to hurry up and run is giving me grey hairs

Looks like the AI GFS has been trained by Tblizz.

Full Moon this weekend will exacerbate any coastal flooding and higher than normal tides.

Models have again not done well handling this system. Now the euro has it back to impacting the area.

People underestimating coastal impacts. Prolonged easterly flow, strong winds and rain with mod/major coastal flooding on top of full moon this weekend. But sorry it's not a Cat 3 that's about to destroy your house.

Fay is officially back from the dead. Tropical Depression Fay Discussion Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062026 900 PM GMT Wed Sep 23 2026 Convection has redeveloped around the center of Fay and has persisted during the day. An earlier ASCAT pass indicated that the system still had a well-defined circulation. Therefore, Fay meets the criteria to be classified as a tropical cyclone again. The earlier ASCAT pass showed a maximum wind vector of around 31 kt and the most recent TAFB Dvorak classification was at T1.5/25 kt. Based on the given data, Fay's intensity is estimated to be 30 kt. The cyclone is moving just a little south of due west, or around 260/8 kt, as it moves to the south of a low- to mid-level ridge to the northwest. Fay is expected to continue on this general motion for the next several days. The current NHC track forecast is in line with the HCCA and GDMI forecast aids. There is a brief opportunity for Fay to regain tropical storm status during the next day or so, however wind shear is expected to increase again after 36 h. This should lead to the cyclone gradually weakening again, with the system becoming a post-tropical remnant low by 60 h, and then dissipating around 96 h, as suggested by simulated satellite imagery from the ECMWF global model. The current NHC intensity forecast track is in line with both the HCCA and GDMI forecast aids. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 23/2100Z 30.1N 39.2W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 24/0600Z 29.9N 40.5W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 24/1800Z 29.9N 41.8W 35 KT 40 MPH 36H 25/0600Z 29.9N 42.8W 30 KT 35 MPH 48H 25/1800Z 29.7N 43.7W 25 KT 30 MPH 60H 26/0600Z 29.5N 44.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 26/1800Z 29.5N 45.3W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 27/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Katz/Pasch