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The yellows and oranges are all brightbanding. Maybe some paws made it down to the sfc.

FWIW, the 18z GEFS looks good!

You can say that again. This close!

18Z Euro is real close. Been incrementally moving in the right direction at h5. Compare this run to 0z.

And over 4.5 of that is just from midnight to around 2 when it started to clear. Lots of flash flooding.

Looked like a clear improvement to me. Several runs in a row now. But the GFS-AI went the opposite direction. With the ICON also worse, it's kind of a wash. Theoretical high end potential but so many failure modes.

positive vibes are not allowed? Nor negative? lol

That is definitely going to have some play in all this. What I liked out of the 18z Euro run was that feature was gaining less longitude allowing our potential storm more room to phase sooner.

Sure is!!! .

Wow! That is freaking some rainfall for 24 to 36 hours.

It got leveled by Irma, but made a huge come back.

The reason why I like it is because the main town that you come into by ferry is called Cruz Bay. Lots of shops and restaurants and good food too. The rest of the island which is like 75% of the island is a national park. It’s just beautiful.

I'm late to the Party today. Been feeling rough all day with only 3-4 hours Sleep last night. Things are looking interesting this coming Week. Just looking over the Evening Package Forecast for the upcoming week from KMRX and am a bit puzzled as I'm curious to which Models they derived it from. It's nothing like the GFS . It's pretty mild considering what Data I've seen. Of course, you know how conservative and generally warm biased in the medium and LR they typically are. Anyone have any idea of what they may be looking at?

I've got us covered bro.

Our climo is so different especially around 3k feet and up it's crazy.

euro ai looks like it slightly improved!

St John.

Which island you go to again?

That's fair, but your first statement was about this last event busting. Which wasn't the case, at least for most of the Denver area. It was never forecast to be a big storm.

i mean, tick it more amped and you curl the PVA back west. it’s close

It pretty damn near close. I feel where gonna see some big solutions popping up in the next 24-36hrs.

That was a joke. Lighten up!

Feel like we’ve been dumbfounded by how looks don’t produce a lot over the last 5 years. Feels like we’re headed there again

Oh I have been to almost every single one, yet I have never met anyone as pessimistic as you. Dear lord.

yeah