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Some of us are quietly following the evolution and quietly paying attention to the reasoning and the detailed posts. I think @LP08 identified some of this too, briefly. Your post was more detailed. Just saying - some of us do read more post less, but we see the posts and appreciate them.
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Which is what even the NWS said about the first GFS run to show the boxing day blizzard.
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18z GFS still has some snow for the Plateau, NE TN region, and Apps. It is more aggressive than other models. I don't trust it at this point. So, instead of a thread that is flatlined....just talking Mammoth.
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Yep. Qpf and climo
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Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
Interstate replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yeah but sometimes you score a win even with climo. -
Recon information is inputted. I think there is some more info to be put in yet. It will be interesting to see the 00z runs coming up.
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Work in progress. Now that it has figured out the key upper level features that the GFS has had for many runs now(that no other model has depicted) it should get better. We shall see.
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“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
RUNNAWAYICEBERG replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
Just bend that antifa prisoner over and unload. -
“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
Baroclinic Zone replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
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EPS looks pretty damn good.
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The eps is stupidly northwest too lol
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shadowsintherain started following Winter Storm Threat Feb 22-24th
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Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
Interstate replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
As long as the GFS basically holds tonight you can go to bed and wake up at 430 -
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“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
SnowGoose69 replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
The AI EURO has been a bit more waffly the last 3-4 events beyond like 60 hours. I felt through February it never moved once on anything inside like 108. The systems this month its definitely bit more bouncy -
Man this "hobby" sucks lol It's like gambling, you get so excited with a win only to likely lose it all next hand.
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Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
Jake Wx replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
WOW! -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
Climate175 replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
I noticed that too. Lot of eyes over here lol. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Holy moly! -
Convective feedback, we toss!
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Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
clskinsfan replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
This is what they dont get. We either get the IVT or we get jumped. Know your climo and shit.... -
mcmahonr started following Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
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“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
Baroclinic Zone replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
Agreed. 00z has been my target to take this seriously as we are getting into that 72-84hr timeframe. -
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I do think probably this has a west edge extreme maybe like December 09 or so as far as big amounts. I think even if it works out something like 50-75 miles west of the 18z Euro Op is probably the best doable at this point.
