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4:00pm Mucape/ Cin /lpl low-level lapse rates mid-level lapse rates.

Not even one "low cape / high shear" event!

40 kt gusting to 49 kt at Sabine Pass (buoy system)- on the beach

My friends once told me that the Maroon Bells are crumbly and dangerous.

We’ve had plenty of rain. Don’t need more

It’s sad when the weather highlight of the season is a day of smoke.

Thanks for posting the official landfall. I jumped the gun lol. We’ve made it to September without a hurricane.

Edouard really tried at the very end. Thank goodness it didn't have another 12-18 hrs over water.

Both the 18Z HRRR/RRFS expect massive convection over the area by 2030-2130Z. That seems unlikely. I do think areas south though in NJ may see extensive storms later

At least the desert of AZ is getting pummeled with severe. Makes me feel better.

That was very early for me lol. I woke up pretty early as I knew it would take nearly 3 hrs to get there. I thought I was doing well based on the models showing hardly anything before 3PM. Regardless, it was still a stunning experience! It was nice (PC) for over an hour at the start and when it rained it was light with no lightning thank goodness. I also should mention that I had no intention to hike up those mountains. I hiked on ground that didn’t rise more than 150 feet or so up to only ~11,700 feet max not far from the beautiful Maroon Lake.

93 currently. Looks like we'll get 2 days but no heat wave. Back door cold front to the rescue tomorrow.

Haha, I figured, it was close. I saw it on RadarScope first.

The boredom locally this summer is nothing I've ever experienced. Holy crap.

Looks like my posts about extreme heat have aged well after all

We don't get multiday severe potential very often but when we do, usually we'll get one day to work out. I mean southwestern CT certainly has some shot early this evening. There still may be some time to get Thursday to work but probably unlikely. But Thursday is quite complex...I may even be incorrectly evaluating and saying 850 front being the issue. Maybe we want to hope tomorrow night isn't as robust and we don't have to deal with thick overcast and precip to begin the day on Thursday. It's very possible this may be overstated too with the more robust precip going to our southwest where better instability is.

Ha I literally looked a minute before this

We’re on to coastal season

The CAMs are really all over the place (seems to be a common theme this year). I could technically see chunks of the area getting skunked through the whole week...The game of weather lottery!

Below is the summer (June-July-August) temperature summary for 2026 and summer temperature history from 1871-1926. This was 33rd warmest summer but overall since 1895 there has been no statistically significant warming or cooling across both the raw and composite trend and only the NCEI adjusted averages indicate any significant summer warming.

Just shocking

The movement of these storms if they develop is going to be mainly northwest to southeast. As of 3:35 radar is only showing some development just south of Allentown PA

People were asking on Facebook with no definite answer. Vegas odds favorite Adam Joseph -300...

Looks like a few storms beginning to pop on radar over Sussex County and near Allentown PA

Unfortunately not looking good. Tomorrow night is probably just some heavy rain with some embedded thunder. All the good elevated CAPE remains to our west. on Thursday it looks like the 850 cold front will push through before the sfc cold front. So while we actually get into the warm sector and destabilize behind tomorrow nights rain, the 850 front coming through during the morning kills off any hope.