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At Central Park, the temperature has reached 83° so far after yesterday's 83°. Through September 23, New York City has seen at least one-in-five years reach 80° or above on each date in the second half of September. The frequency of such warmth decreases afterward. Even during the shorter 2000-present timeframe, there has been a drop in the frequency of such warmth after September 23: At Newark, the temperature has reached 86° so far after yesterday's 87°. Newark takes a step down in the frequency of 80° or above warmth after September 23 and again after September 26. Since 2000, the frequency of such warmth has increased on all but September 17 (likely to have more to do with sample size issues rather than a genuine cooling).

Current MEX for Sun AM. Getting a little close for comfort when I see 31° at 1P1 and very dry ground.

The itch to post here is coming back… first digital snow when?

81.8/54.4 at almost 2 pm, looks like a 30 degree spread is in the works for today. Brillant sunshine!

I’ll take my position. Another year of #itneverhits100.

Agreed on that, but I think exactly how December progresses and evolves will play a larger factor in the remaining months. So December essentially sets up the rest of the way...but then of course you start introducing other wild cards that will come into play.

Also keep in mind 1.2 is the most volatile region so when assessing changes in SST structure you must factor in what the contributions are to that.

Snow cover getting off to an early start, with favorable conditions for expansion during the next 2 weeks.

I think that is a larger problem in December..not so much late season.

I think you have it backwards accordingly to the weeklies,,,eastern zones recently caugt up-this is supported by JAMESTEC EMI data. East-to-west 23JUL2025 22.2 0.6 25.5-0.1 27.0-0.2 28.7-0.1 30JUL2025 21.8 0.4 25.3-0.2 26.7-0.3 28.6-0.1 06AUG2025 21.9 0.8 25.2-0.1 26.7-0.3 28.7 0.0 13AUG2025 21.6 0.6 25.2 0.0 26.6-0.3 28.6-0.1 20AUG2025 20.8-0.1 24.7-0.3 26.4-0.4 28.6-0.1 27AUG2025 20.5-0.3 24.3-0.6 26.3-0.4 28.5-0.2 03SEP2025 20.5-0.2 24.5-0.4 26.4-0.3 28.5-0.2 10SEP2025 20.5-0.2 24.4-0.5 26.2-0.5 28.3-0.3

Was there once cool place

Its hot out Nasty

No it doesn't, today is beautiful. Not even 80 degrees yet IMBY. Granted I know some places are warmer, but still nothing like the middle of July.

Got a couple o dem backward sixes on there, so might be half right. (One of my professors called em that, I can't take credit. Back in the 20th century)

Maybe a hair stronger than last year-

We need the trades colocated with the subsurface cold pool...we had that big time througout much of August, when we had the burst of intensification of La Nina due to the upwelling of the cold pool over the eastern half of ENSO. However, trades died down and shifted west in Septmeber. They look to pick up out east again next week and into October, but not as strongly as August. SOI has also been inching upwards. I think at the end of the day, the pedestrian coupling of the trades with the cold pool, owed at least in part to the diffuse PAC pressure dipole (Low west/high east) is what will have this La Nina struggling to be acknowledged by CPC in the record books. Will be very close. The subsurface says game on...but the hemisphere isn't totally on board.

Leaves are yellow and falling off the trees in the Wal Mart parking lot in mass. Too early looks strange. Not included in the abnormally dry in the last drought maps i have seen which is bizarre it's a tinder box in the woods. Drought guy were in trouble man

84 / 61 https://synoptic.envsci.rutgers.edu/satellite/img/vis_nj_anim.gif

Have my first atmosphere and weather test today! Got to do some studying beforehand this morning, which might bring back some memories for meteorologists here.

Fort Knox, Bucksport. Gorgeous day Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk

for JFK 90 degree days 1966: 14 2025: 15 95 degree days 1966: 5 2025: 4

83/64. Beautiful

The dewpoint is 58 here right now. Nothing like the humidity that we had in the middle of the summer. Mid 80s doesn't feel bad with dewpoints in the 50s.

You know ... there's another way. Change the incentive model. If it becomes profitable to go green, problem solved.