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You mean +PNA?

Home come? Because 2nd year Niña’s very strongly favor -PNA

A fantastic gymnastic move. Pulling the hoodie over with her hands, jumping up and inserting her feet in the hood while still holding on, then flipping out of it. I was not skilled enough to capture the brief video (a grandchild wasn’t with me). The best I could do was the screen shots. The young lady was amazing. As always …..

You’ll need to post more, especially in the winter, because we don’t have many people from Hampshire and Franklin counties.

How come? I know you don’t like the 13-14 analog, so I’ll bring up a different year that is a better PDO match. Jan 2022 was strongly +PNA with a -2.7 PDO

Looking like we get some backdoor fronts though. Not so sure we do.

My point about the username has more to do with a lack of seriousness and the performative nature of the poster coupled with the chav speak (you are most welcome) - I doubt anybody found the whole thing particularly funny or entertaining. Social media is there so you can put on a performance if you so please, I doubt that is what anybody is signing up for in a meteorological forum. .

I'm curious why we seem to hit our peak heat in June and then have "cold" shots in August. Shouldn't that be reversed? Is that just recency bias? Kind of an interesting dynamic. This is looking forward to winter, but that dominant -PDO is something to note from this summer, how it may affect our winter.

The warmth will eventually

this is exactly the type of bullshit system the nam would be stupid with

35.8 this morning.

Sure enough, it looks like modeling is trending towards much AN temps during the next 3-4 weeks. We have seen the aforementioned head fake towards cool too many times to count. The one thing in our favor is that E TN is not in a drought. That could help the entire region regardless of drought status as the drought is no forum wide. We will see. Looks like there is another cold front maybe around Sept 20th before modeling really drops the heat hammer. Let's hope that is wrong!

I looked up his user name long ago simply out of curiosity. Odd for sure but so what? This website has more "Karens" than Carter has pills. If one finds it so horribly offensive then use the block feature then go and hide in one's "safe space." Heaven forbid one spends time on X and gets introduced to the truly terrifying real world. Long ago it became apparent there are two themes to this website. First, global warming is a religion not to be questioned unless one wants to be ridiculed, and second, anyone to the right of Trotsky is bashed as a racist, bigot, antisemite or nazi which is why the off-topic section was such a disaster (and the antithesis of free speech.) Now, all that said ... I do agree his "Chav speak" (learned a new term today, thank you) is ridiculous and needs to go. This website "American Weather" is not a place for learning lower class British slang.

Latest seasonals CANSIPS/Euro are showing a nasty trend towards a juiced SER. I think west of the Apps, we still have our chances. It is almost like modeling is overdoing the Nina. Plenty of time for things to change. The daily CFS seasonal is decent until December.

Modeled sst forecasts aside. It's at least slightly interesting to compare the north Pacific layout currently emerging this year, in early September, to the same time period from 2013.

I've been here a long time and we've regularly dealt with tropical storm systems. Helene is and hopefully will always be the outlier. I can think back to Bill, Frances, Ivan, Arlene, Dennis, Fred, etc, and never do I remember waking up to such flooding and devastation before the system makes landfall in the Gulf. That's the one image that will always stand out to me with Helene, is the sheer amount of flooding we were already dealing with. Just an unfathomable set of circumstances.

I can see -EPO. +PNA? Not really

5 tornadoes from a single event is pretty damn impressive, even if perhaps a few were the result of lifting up then touching back down several miles later.

Officially came in as 3rd driest August on record for the Commonwealth. Ohio, Kentucky and Vermont all had their driest Augusts of record.

The active MCS pattern we had in mid summer feels like ages ago. We needed a break, but it has been way too long.

The State of New Hampshire had its driest summer on record, although precipitation for the CONUS as a whole came in a bit above normal.

Extremely dry conditions noted in many areas. Ohio obliterated the record for driest August. Kentucky & Vermont also had their driest Augusts on record.

It's all about comfort.

Vermont and Kentucky also had their driest Augusts on record, with Missouri and Pennsylvania coming in 3rd place, and West Virginia in 2nd place.