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February 2026 Medium/ Long Range Discussion: Buckle Up!
CAPE replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
It does look like the next tease will be late next week on the ensembles. -
The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm
NorthHillsWx replied to lilj4425's topic in Southeastern States
3k has a vicious dry slot Raleigh to coastal plain -
I'd normally post the final snowfall maps here but there is a separate thread for storm totals so i posted them in there, thanks
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Possible coastal storm centered on Feb 1 2026.
moneypitmike replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
The death of posts overnight said it all. Only 5 of those have any impact up this way. I knew it was a long-shot; this seals the deal. -
January 25-26th, 2026 Final Storm Totals
The 4 Seasons replied to The 4 Seasons's topic in New England
Just finished all the final snowfall maps for this historic snowstorm. I tried to make sure only to include reports that were updated as of late Monday night which was a nightmare (OKX never updated their PNS, the interactive map had tons of old reports, etc). Reports are from here, cocorahs, COOP and official climo sites. Thanks to everyone who messaged me or tagged me in a report. I tried to use most of them if i could fit them in but sometimes they overlap or there is more than 1 for a given town. I ended up changing the ranges to 6-10/10-14/14-20/20-27 to be more fitting with system and so there was less bubbles and holes. These are all up on the site and a full archive link will come later with radar & sfc/upper air maps. https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/winter-25-26 The final forecast was mostly good but was a bit too conservative across the board. Most of CT did fall within the 12-18" range with some higher numbers to the north and northeast. SE corner and SW corner also verified in the 8-12 range. Looking back a realistic best call would have been 10-14/14-20 and for SNE 10-14/14-20 and 20-30 or 20+ northeast. Snowfall Totals Final Forecast -
The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm
NorthHillsWx replied to lilj4425's topic in Southeastern States
It’s been showing up to varying degrees on different runs across most modeling. If you’re between Greensboro and Greenville that is this storms *potential* fail mode -
The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm
NorthHillsWx replied to lilj4425's topic in Southeastern States
Yep that is my concern. It is why I posted. It’s damned close to triangle areas and would be an absolute kick in the nads to get 1” with 8”+ on either side -
The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm
Silver Meteor replied to lilj4425's topic in Southeastern States
This is not the first time I've seen that modeled gap between Raleigh and the Coast. Greenville less snow than anyone? What the hell is going on! -
The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm
CentralNC replied to lilj4425's topic in Southeastern States
I highly doubt the coastal plain would be the screw zone this time. Think western piedmont and foothills is where we need to be MOST wary of that. Coastals always have a screw zone somewhere on the NW flank. Always. -
The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm
NorthHillsWx replied to lilj4425's topic in Southeastern States
Gotta say, that coastal plain dry slot is concerning. One of these analog storms, cannot remember which, did that bad over central NC. Starting to see it on most modeling. Could really screw someone in this setup as the coastal takes over -
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wakefield VA 238 AM EST Thu Jan 29 2026 NCZ012>017-030>032-102-VAZ092-093-095>098-100-524-525-291700- /O.NEW.KAKQ.WS.A.0002.260131T0600Z-260201T2100Z/ Northampton-Hertford-Gates-Pasquotank-Camden-Western Currituck- Bertie-Chowan-Perquimans-Eastern Currituck-Southampton-Isle of Wight-Norfolk/Portsmouth-Suffolk-Chesapeake-Virginia Beach- Northampton-Newport News-Hampton/Poquoson- 238 AM EST Thu Jan 29 2026 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations between 8 and 15 inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 50 to 60 mph along the coast. * WHERE...Portions of northeast North Carolina and eastern and southeast Virginia. * WHEN...From late Friday night through Sunday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Whiteout conditions are possible and may make travel treacherous and potentially life-threatening. Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Strong winds could cause tree damage. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation.
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January 25-26th, 2026 Final Storm Totals
The 4 Seasons replied to The 4 Seasons's topic in New England
I sorted all the reports and weeded out all the ones that were early or before it was over and didn't include Monday. Apparently thats final from cocorahs. But it does seem too low, so i tossed it. not in the final map. -
Huh. That's what my wife calls me. Now I get where she got it from.
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Final snowfall totals for the Jan 25-26th Snowstorm. This was a huge undertaking that i've been working on all week sifting through over 1,000 reports. Thank you to everyone who sent me a report or tagged me. I tried to use most of them when i could but some just couldn't fit or multiples for a single town/area. This will be up in the archive once surface and upper level maps come out. The forecast for this was solid overall, though a bit on the conservative side across the board, but still most major cities fell with original 8-12" range across NYC/NJ and LI. I changed the ranges to 6-10/10-14/14-20/20+ to be more fitting with the snowfall totals and so there was less holes/bubbles. These maps are now up on our site in the Winter 25-26 page. https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/winter-25-26 Snowfall Totals Final Forecast
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Figures that the western valley counties like Anderson wouldn't be in it. I'd love 1 good snow before spring. Hope there's still some room for a shift.
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The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm
timnc910 replied to lilj4425's topic in Southeastern States
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The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm
BornAgain13 replied to lilj4425's topic in Southeastern States
6z ICON not quite as good as 0z but not a huge difference. -
The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm
JoshM replied to lilj4425's topic in Southeastern States
Well, the euro has a storm for Thursday and Friday next week -
Rabun-Habersham-Stephens-Franklin-Hart-Elbert-Avery-Alexander- Iredell-Davie-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Buncombe- Catawba-Rowan-Graham-Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson- Transylvania-Henderson-Cleveland-Lincoln-Gaston-Mecklenburg- Cabarrus-Union-Caldwell Mountains-Greater Caldwell-Burke Mountains-Greater Burke-McDowell Mountains-Eastern McDowell- Rutherford Mountains-Greater Rutherford-Polk Mountains-Eastern Polk-Cherokee-York-Anderson-Abbeville-Laurens-Union-Chester- Greenwood-Oconee Mountains-Pickens Mountains-Greenville Mountains- Greater Oconee-Greater Pickens-Central Greenville-Southern Greenville-Northern Spartanburg-Southern Spartanburg- Including the cities of Poplar, Fountain Inn, Tuxedo, Tuckasegee, Gastonia, Westminster, Gumlog, Greenville, Clemson, Newton, Crouse, Anderson, Concord, Abbeville, Franklin Springs, Pine Mountain, East Flat Rock, Marion, Hendersonville, Dysartsville, Boydville, Cullowhee, Kannapolis, Oakway, Huntersville, Walhalla, Chimney Rock State Park, Clinton, Royston, Salisbury, Lavonia, Stecoah, Valdese, Robbinsville, Fingerville, Hot Springs, Trinity, Newland, Mooresville, Fletcher, Old Fort, Hickory, Glassy Mountain, Canon, Marshall, Taylorsville, Brevard, Blackstock, Rock Hill, Mocksville, Stony Point, Candler, Mountain City, Middleton, Fero, Indian Trail, Micaville, Glenwood, Cornwell, Mountain Rest, Almond, Banner Elk, Great Falls, Advance, Walnut, Swiss, Sylva, St. Stephens, Wolf Mountain, Black Mountain, Union, Patterson, Inman, Granite Falls, Highlands, Canton, Celo, Mill Spring, Ruckersville, Gaffney, Saluda, Reed Creek, Monroe, Calhoun Falls, Nebo, Ninety Six, Baldwin, Greer, Weddington, Luck, Mauldin, Farmington, Taylors, Spartanburg, Tryon, Charlotte, Busick, Rocky Bottom, Duncan, Ramseytown, Faust, Spruce Pine, Hartwell, Fork Church, Toccoa, Kings Mountain, Catawba, Seneca, Fork Shoals, Dacusville, Pleasant Grove, Franklin, Columbus, Cornelia, Sugar Hill, Woodlawn, Berea, Wellford, Elberton, Asheville, Monarch Mills, Chester, Statesville, Ashford, Cruso, Jonas Ridge, Rutherfordton, Ware Shoals, Dana, Matthews, Bethlehem, Lincolnton, Fortsonia, Burnsville, Easley, Waterville, Shelby, Cove Creek, Millersville, Luada, Clarkesville, Little River, Hollywood, Nuberg, Lyman, Cashiers, Alarka, Rainbow Springs, Sawmills, Demorest, Clayton, Allenstand, Mars Hill, Laurens, Simpsonville, Cedar Mountain, Morganton, Wesser, Landrum, Ellendale, Waynesville, Ingalls, Spindale, Kyle, Kings Creek, Hiddenite, Lenoir, Boiling Springs Sc, Forest City, Etowah, and Bryson City 216 AM EST Thu Jan 29 2026 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations between 4 and 7 inches east of I-26. Total accumulations between 2 and 4 inches across the remainder of the area. Wind gusts of 25 to 35 mph. * WHERE...Northeast Georgia, western North Carolina, and Upstate South Carolina. * WHEN...From Friday afternoon through Sunday
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The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm
BornAgain13 replied to lilj4425's topic in Southeastern States
This storm is such a big deal to most of the forum. I hope we all get in on a good amount even @Brick Tamland!! Lol Where are you Brick? -
Text for the map above..
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The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm
WiseWeather replied to lilj4425's topic in Southeastern States
Spring cancelled. Forever winter. .
