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It's a Miller A, that's what feels off. They screw us and even if they hit us, they screw us.

Got to 10 for a few minutes

can we just get 50 mile jog to the north. Give us that north trend

Yeah, not liking the trends for SEVA on the 3K and HRRR. Seems crazy that we could get shut out entirely.

Thanks, I was curious about how heavy it might be, it looks impressive on radar.

Unexpected but light snow in Murfreesboro.

We’ve clawed our way to 0F here at the base of the ski area. MVL ASOS has been bouncing around 1-4F all afternoon, with 4F being the high.

Added another 3.5" after that. NWF will certainly be a thing.

I think I'm right on that cutoff line near Walker Springs so it'll be interesting to see what happens.

I have some very small flakes in West Knoxville.

Raleigh disco https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=RAH&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=0&highlight=off

Will the temps cooperate. Cold rains yuck.

Are you north or south of house mt?

Not yet in my part of Farragut but the sky has lowered as has the temperature.

the snow/ice in my parking lot at the office has been melting, but i am pretty sure that has more to do with the 25,000 pounds of salt that they put down

That's the thing could models be overdoing it? models have been showing low development all over.. IDK seems we might have some surprises coming.. I also think we have to see where convection forms before models really latch on.. whether that means further OTS or further west.. we wait....

https://www.facebook.com/share/p/1CyEmqZGQn/?mibextid=wwXIfr Nice write up from former CLT meteorologist Eric Thomas.

Anybody have the 18Z NAM regular clown map for snow?

I don't disagree with Scott's observations there; spoke similarly about the unusually rich volatile instability there being "too much of a good thing" yesterday I'll just add that the convection it's self is racing away along the streamlines out there. We're lacking a lot of more typical curvature response to the convection exhaust in the escape orientation of the isohypses. If we had that normalcy in place it would probably help contain and low further W and other feedbacks ... it's just idiosyncratic about this particular event to be missing that. I think the speed of the flow is outpacing that response mechanism's ability to do so.

I love reading your stuff in the DC thread! You are always welcomed here. I just find that model and HRRR to be pretty poor even when you get to "during the storm" lol. By the way I'm not even sure if people know who I am in that thread but I've been here I think since 2012-and I do post on there sometimes. I think I was on the other one too whatever it was called when I lived in New Jersey. Eastern? I think that's what it was called something like that.

34F and 13 DP.

Glad I am far out east!

The last week has felt like when I was living in Fargo, it's been great.

Light snow shower,it wont last much longer it seems ATM