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Nw flow deals are good inland too because usually it’s CAA winds mixing down. Yeah east can be better due to pressure gradient, but it’s better than banking on strong NE winds over the interior.

Just a tragedy in Louisville with a UPS plane crashing last evening. There are about 300 flights a day from this UPS facility. The plane went down about a half mile from where we were camping less than 6 weeks ago, where Louder Than Life Festival is held. And people were reporting after the crash there was debris found near and around where we were camping. Prayers for everyone impacted with this tragic event.

12z HRRR looks windier than the 0z but nothing over 50 forecasted... NAM 3k maxing out at 45...

Aren’t You on the coastal plain?…windier there for the most part. So you do better most times.

I saw several of those one day fishing on Lake Ontario, I have the pics somewhere.

Amen brother!!!!

We’ve had a few NW flow deals that I can recall that really did some damage. There was one I think in Nov 2004. Heck in Jan this year we had one after fropa that did damage here.

I think this is it.

I wouldn’t go that far Don. We do very high end coastal winter storms here. We were just due for a regression. And that’s exactly what we got. Those will be back. San Diego does nothing but blue skies and mild temps. So we are not quite them.

Warwick Township hit freezing for a low this morning for the 10th time this season while higher spots like East Nantmeal still have yet to experience either a frost or freeze. That streak has a chance to end by Friday morning for many of the higher spots across the area and if not certainly by early next week with our coldest air so far this season. Winds will slowly increase today first out of the southwest ahead of the cold front and then out of the northwest and increasing with gusts as high as 40 mph between 10pm and midnight. The NWS has issued a wind advisory from 7pm tonight till 7am tomorrow morning. Today’s highs today into the low to mid 60's but about 10 degrees cooler tomorrow. We warm up again for the weekend to temperatures a few degrees above normal before we fall well below normal to start the new work week. Our best rain chances look to be Friday night.

Warwick Township hit freezing for a low this morning for the 10th time this season while higher spots like East Nantmeal still have yet to experience either a frost or freeze. That streak has a chance to end by Friday morning for many of the higher spots across the area and if not certainly by early next week with our coldest air so far this season. Winds will slowly increase today first out of the southwest ahead of the cold front and then out of the northwest and increasing with gusts as high as 40 mph between 10pm and midnight. The NWS has issued a wind advisory from 7pm tonight till 7am tomorrow morning. Today’s highs today into the low to mid 60's but about 10 degrees cooler tomorrow. We warm up again for the weekend to temperatures a few degrees above normal before we fall well below normal to start the new work week. Our best rain chances look to be Friday night.

Ya, but Tropical is when SNE will get the goods(if it’s legit tropical). It’s just that that doesn’t happen very often at all.

2000-2001 was great for the interior NE, but yea....nothing is absolute.

Enter Bluewave with the modled Pac jet being the storngest of the past several on the Euro seasonal "We'll have to see if the temp composites adjust to account for that as they have the last 7 years in this new, warmer climate".

when does the warmup start? asking for a friend

first call: BWI: 39.6" DCA: 27.8" IAD: 43.2" RIC: 15.9" ----- SBY: 17.1" a bunch of small to medium events with a big 8-16" that we've waited 10 years for

Lock it in!

BWI: 23.2 DCA: 16.6 IAD: 25.6 RIC: 10.1 Tie Breaker SBY: 11.8 White Christmas

Hilltop ftw

I wasn’t insinuating that 2nd year Nina’s are bad. It’s 3rd year triple dip Nina’s that tend to be bad. As far as the IOD I would not say it’s voodoo. Definitely not voodoo like the October Siberian snowcover debacle at least

Don't tell that to the folks in North Madison, CT. We have lost power in the last 3 rain/wind events with only a wind advisory in place. It's a major problem here with many tree limbs touching or very close to the power lines.

it's boring but these sunny 60 degree days in november are quite nice first flakes showing up in my point now tho

also-west winds-trees are more used to west winds vs east winds and some trees are now bare at least around here-isolated issues IMO with this event

Good, high winds are useless

Thanks, Mitch. Of the 6 La Niña Nov forecasts for winter still available at the website, 2025-6 is the second coldest in the E US: 2025-6: 2024-5: significantly warmer than 2025-6 (verified much too warm in E US) 2022-3: moderately warmer than 2025-6 (verified not warm enough) 2021-2: slightly warmer than 2025-6 (verified slightly too warm) 2020-1: significantly warmer than 2025-6 (verified significantly too warm) 2017-8: significantly colder than 2025-6 (verified well) So, regarding the 5 prior Nov Euro La Niña E US winter forecasts, 3 verified too warm, 1 verified well, and 1 verified too cold. In the aggregate, they averaged 1-1.5F too warm in the NE US and ~1F too warm in the SE US. That means that the bias-corrected Nov NE US forecast for winter would probably be near normal with the SE US being only ~1F warmer than normal.