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the problem is we havent seen one model..not one give us a snowstorm in this time range.

Yep. At 8-10 days out, it won’t take much. We’ve seen way bigger changes at upper levels at less than 5 days out. Unlike some certain folks, I don’t care what the surface shows at that range.

18z gfs pretty much snowless through mid month. Rough times for peak winter

1) January 2025, had snow on the ground nearly the whole month and had a couple “snow on snow” events. 2) October 29, the coastal storm that dumped a decent amount of rain. First rain event since late summer that didn’t have a series of walk backs in the lead up.

Been thinking this all day. It’s been trying and doesn’t seem impossible. Just need a few tweaks to reel something in.

freezing rain/rain at Toronto

H2O already answered, but to piggyback... and I say this as brotherly correction and not to be mean: I'm gonna reiterate what someone told me: This forum is not all about you. It ain't the Ji show. Yes I get wanting to vent but you need to consider the other people reading the thread. Posting every negative thought you have is not helpful in the slightest. It brings the entire thread down and contributes to the reason good posters have run away from this forum. Put a limit on yourself...if ya posted a couple negatives maybe lay off for awhile. If you stop putting out negative energy you'll get less of a negative response. I hope you listen, my brother. Not telling ya anything I'm not trying to work on myself.

who wasted their era more...Lamar Jackson or Ovi era?

Some local weather news. Montgomery County, as part of a locally funded initiative, will be purchasing some additional mesonet stations. These tripod/compact stations will focus on urban areas to better understand risk from heavy precipitation events and urban heat islands. The plan is to have a density of 6 to 8 miles per station. Equipment has been purchased, with the goal of deploying them this year. All data will be public on the mesonet website once the stations come online. A big day for @wxmeddler

After 200, the juiced STJ is firing right into an inbound Arctic air mass.

The only thing that jumps o8t at me is that the earlier storm covered more area.

Still cant forget the wasted years in the Lamar era- esp all the late blown leads that have ended in losses. Also the weird Monken play calling where Harbaugh wouldn't take a stand- That AFC championship game was unforgivable to me.

We got JB talking about a d15 warmup. Meanwhile, this GFS run is going to have it snowing in Cuba.

I can convince myself of it.

An outlier the 18z GFS may be...it is about to send it.

December 2087

things out of sync but it wound take a whole lot

upper levels always seem to look good...then you look at the surface and its like.....what??

There have been several times in the last 5 years with ensembles showing 10-20” of snow as a mean and we end up with only a few inches over that span .. Something can pop up in the medium range after this weekend. Although it seems odds will increase much more after January 18th.

YEEAAAHH!!! Biscotti did the thing!! Thank you for everything, Harbaugh..appreciate what you brought to the team. He's been the coach for all of my adult years, and I admire him and his faith as a brother in Christ. And he will be in the Ring of Honor and possibly Hall of Fame one day. But my goodness...It. Was. TIME! I have long felt that 2026 is gonna be a much better year for Baltimore sports--and now this and the Orioles' off-season so far confirms it

I really wish they’d put a stop to this fake climate change talk BS on here . It’s absolutely nauseating and no one cares about the agenda nonsense.

HH gfs still trying some shenanigans on the 15th. Big -NAO block. We’re not out of this yet.

Feel like I just posted last years version of this the other day. Anyways, getting right into it, what weather event(s) made an impression on you during the last year? For me. 1.) The June 19, 2025 severe thunderstorm event (ENH risk day).I got 50+ mph wind gusts with sheets of rain through my neighborhood that afternoon when a fast-moving line of severe thunderstorms blew through the region. 2.) Just days later there was another strong, though more localized, thunderstorm that developed overhead and was nearly stationary dropping over 2" of rain and bring another brief period of 50+ mph wind gusts. 3.) Probably the snow events we had early in the year.

welcome to Baltimore....Brian Dabold!

Haha. That is just an insane HL blocking run by the 18z GFS. It is either the beginning of a trend(and I have seen more NAO recently on modeling in this time frame) or this is a toss. It is a beautiful pattern, but for sure an outlier.