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Euro ai for that storm

The 12z Euro is frigid w/ a couple of days of real feels that have below zero readings. Both the 12z GEFS and GEPS ensembles show cold temps some time between Dec 14-17th. I suspect we see an anafront(a constant them of mine I know) at some point in that time frame. I think we could see 1-2 very cold air masses push through the area mid-month. And honestly, all of us would probably appreciate some moderation if those come to pass.

I think the main problem is the flow just won’t amplify when we need it to because of the ferocious Pacific jet which knocks the PNA ridge down or nudges it east too much. So even if we have more southern stream energy it will just get booted out to sea. We had plenty of storminess south of us last winter that couldn’t turn the corner. But when we have periods of -PNA, the SE ridge returns with a vengeance and we go back to cutter/SWFE, or risk any -NAO linking up with the ridge. Also in any Nina December we need to make opportunities count when we have cold stretches like these because odds are, later in the winter will be more hostile if anything and many have posted the stats about how we do around NYC when Central Park has over vs under 4” snow in December in a Nina. So I know it’s only 12/5 but given Nina climo, it’s frustrating we’re back to the exact same BS from last winter with wasted dry cold, suppressed garbage then warm/wet.

I ended up at -6.5°.

Got about an inch in the southern northern neck. Already melting away.

All Manitoba maulers and Saskatchewan Screamers are pretty much now cast events within 6 hours.

I guess the angle of the cold worked out this time!

So, do So, do we recognize this as our 3rd event? I'm sure ChescoWx already updated his spreadsheets and uploaded backups to 3 different servers... Overcast, low clouds/25F

Hoping we can cash in on some short duration lake effect events following the clippers next week on this side of the lake.

Yep-12/26/2010 is one of my favorites living there for sure. Too bad we couldn’t get that death band over NJ a little further east.

It won’t play out that way…and if it does, time to move south lmao. And when you do, SNE will get clobbered. Welcome to the 80’s.

Congratulations Salisbury!

SXUS73 KIWX 051329 RERSBN RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 826 AM EDT FRI DEC 5 2025 ...RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE SET AT SOUTH BEND FOR DECEMBER 5... A RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE OF 2 DEGREES WAS SET AT SOUTH BEND EARLY THIS MORNING. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 4 DEGREES SET IN 1899. $$

Eh atmospheric memory. They will win again lol. We cooked

12z GEFS for Monday

George BM this one was a doozy! DC will need an army to dig all this snow!

I might be reaped if that happens....

Some great insight on the attached link below focused on the decline of climate alarmism and a move toward climate realism - enjoy! https://wattsupwiththat.com/2025/12/05/live-at-1-pm-et-good-news-climate-cult-in-decline-the-climate-realism-show-184/

We need to find a great GM who can handle to boosters, NIL, the portal. I thought it was always stupid to try to find a Leonardo DaVinci who was great at all things instead of playing to strengths. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

Agree on it having the same issue as last year. Wonder if the SOI drop will help get the southern jet going for a bit?

2 already! URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1248 PM EST Fri Dec 5 2025 DCZ001-MDZ011-013-014-016>018-503>506-508-VAZ050-051-053>057-502-506- 526-527-060200- /O.NEW.KLWX.WW.Y.0024.251206T0000Z-251206T0600Z/ District of Columbia-Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Charles-St. Marys-Calvert-Northwest Montgomery-Central and Southeast Montgomery-Northwest Howard-Central and Southeast Howard-Southeast Harford-Orange-Culpeper-Fairfax-Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Stafford-Spotsylvania-King George-Southern Fauquier-Eastern Loudoun-Northwest Prince William-Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park- 1248 PM EST Fri Dec 5 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Light freezing rain and drizzle, with a light glaze of ice expected. * WHERE...Washington DC, and portions of central, northern, and southern Maryland, and central and northern Virginia. * WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 1 AM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Very slippery sidewalks, roads and bridges are possible. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...In addition to light freezing rain, drizzle and fog, any melted snow will refreeze as temperatures drop back into the 20s.

28-29 at 1pm, legit cold for this time of year.

12z EURO for next Friday. 24 HR Snowfall

Massive congrats and a resounding WOOOOOOOOOO----HOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!

You’re joking but it’s true. Clipper type systems are likely going to trend north with time. So far north that AI and gfs already have it too far north