All Activity

Let’s skip over Atlantic time and go to Newfoundland Time. Keep us in sync with @OSUmetstud

92 for the high here.

Appreciate it. Looks to be Stein down here anyway but the NY/VT parts always get me nervous

88 yesterday and 91 today. Dews around 70 today. Not as bad as last week, but also, getting more acclimated to the heat/humidity.

Heavy rain now but oddly no lightning or thunder that I can see/hear.

Looks to be well after that. She should be fine.

What do you figure for timing? Our daughter will be driving home from near Saratoga Springs after 10PM. Won’t be home until 1AM or so.

94 today. Surprised how acclimated I’ve become, but I guess the same thing happens in winter.

We are looking for every coop down. Full chicken blowdowns northern 4 counties

Much like the last heatwave, temp somewhat underperformed here. DTW hit 94, the NWS forecast was 99.

Is that your first time hitting 100? I haven't seen 100 since 2012. How warm did it get in your house?

Good theta-e axis running through VT into central and srn NH tonight. Can see the axis right through 850 too and the MUCAPE axis there as well. Might even have to watch near the MA border. Dendrite under the gun.

Hopefully some very safe rain tonight. If mama nature wants to get violent she can hit the couple of dumpy trailers up the hill.

Trajectory is solid ESE and that would put it eventually into cntrl VT. "

Mount Holly AFD snippet- While some areas will likely reach the century mark again, it will not be quite to the magnitude that we experienced to start July. Humidity will be a little less as well, and the hottest conditions will only last for one day. However, heat index values are still forecast to range from 100-109 degrees for most of the area, again hottest from along and southeast of I-95. A modest westerly, offshore wind near 10-15 mph should help keep the sea breeze from making much inland progress during the afternoon hours. Thus, we expect high temperatures in the mid to upper 90s and heat indices near 100-105 degrees even for the New Jersey Shore and Delaware Beaches. The limiting factor in how much we heat will be smoke from Canadian wildfires. We are already seeing the first plume of wildfire smoke dropping south into the the Mid-Atlantic this afternoon and that will insulate the region from the highest heat. The smoke should again help mitigate how much heating we receive tomorrow so while temps are going to be hot and there are no changes to any heat headlines, we are not fully maximizing the potential heat that the thermal profile suggests we could warm to.

might be what to watch for upstate NY/VT in the next 3-5 hours

I'd watch the 10:00 PM - 1:00 AM window. If the HRRR is right with that evolving cluster there may be some significant wind damage (assuming storms can root surface-based). That's some insane DCAPE values Very high derecho composite parameter too. Suggestive of increased potential anything becoming organized may develop an organized cold pool, enhancing wind potential.

There is more upstream going in Ontario as well. Looks like some supercell splits here.

Made it to 92 here in PHL. The smoke made the sky a very milky white color... have to say though, the humidity seemed really oppressive, making that 92 feel very very uncomfy. On a side note, Milwaukee, Wi, where my brother lives made it to 99 today. Pretty impressive.

96 with more humidity than yesterday. Glad it's over. Upper 70's-low 80's the rest of the week. Cue the smoke.

Detective huh?

Looks like the Park got a late high of 90 killing my Kalshi bet of 89 lmao

The main show was always supposed to be after 7-8 PM lol. Anything before then was tied into the potential for discrete supercells. That obviously didn't happen because of the cloud debris/smoke and just too much capping to over come. But you have the front and shortwave moving into the environment. Things are going to take off

We can get Canadian smoke but not their t-storms unfortunately

Firing now. Was modeled to be an evening developer.