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The old record long MJO phase 6 for DJF of 13 days (was during La Niña of 1998-9) will be beaten per model progs. Records go back to 1975. It started on Jan 5th and will likely end on Jan 20th or 21st meaning a 16-17 day long phase 6: https://www.bom.gov.au/clim_data/IDCKGEM000/rmm.74toRealtime.txt

Finally looked at 18z Euro. Didn't actually look east, just weaker, so the precip kinda cut back on nw side. we need to do better than a 1000 or 1002mb low

how about Wright weather Board That was my start Before Eastern

We really do suck at snow.

Game on if the blocking comes to fruition, but that’s the main thing I’ll be watching. Nice ridge bridge showing up near the arctic, displacing the TPV almost to New England. Could also be a suppression signal with extreme cold but we seem to have a Nino look and an increasingly active southern jet which makes sense with how fast the Nina background state is collapsing.

I was thinking 2007 in my head but I just went and looked and I registered Dec. 12 2010... I probably heard of the boxing day storm and said chit I need to get back on! Lol

And yet...they still managed to force overtime!

30/27 currently, mostly clear but not that dry

A little over 15 years ago

Riding with Ellinwood. He’s conservative usually and his maps are almost always spot on.

Ugh. 5 Bills turnovers

Remember when Eastern officially shut down and we had re register on the new forum

You mean that wasn’t a damn good light rain we got today?

This is our chance right here. And it is blossoming some.

43.6 over 40 with mostly cloudy skies here. Not ideal… .

Hope for a bump back at 00z. Otherwise it’s mediocre city

It's the new Under Armour logo. "We must protect this house! (from snow)"

Not liking EURO being east.

Can’t blame the guy he’s been porked every way possible including today . Hopefully the goods get delivered to you , there will be plenty of chances.

Steve great post!! The main point for folks if they like winter weather is that this has been a much different winter season then we have seen for many years. While no one knows if all this cold and pretty consistent below normal temps for the last many months ends in a lot of snow is unknown. So if you measure great winters by snow totals you could be disapointed as snow take a lot of timing in any spots outside of the lakes or mountains of New England here in the Northeast.

Your still a greenhorn... Lmao some of us go back 20 years+ to the EasternWX days. We would have a select few members that would call a Play by Play/PBP as the models were running when we had a storm inbound. Boxing day was pretty wild. Tombo calling it and Earthlight.. I didn't sleep for a week and still had to go plow when it hit .. In recent years another weather board popped up that many have flocked to, I was banned from it... Lol PDII in 2003 was another doozy of no sleep for days watching models and the board. After many many years, and it takes time, I don't get all worked up and stay awake for the 1am euro... Lol those days are long gone. I wake up and can tell what happened by many more pages of posts there are in the morning. Not many posts equal a dud, lots of pages and we got a banger!

4.8 inches Highland Mills, Orange County NY Thanks

Euro AI at least is showing blocking and a 50/50. If that actually happens, then it won’t have much room to move north. That’s a big if though.

I dont even look at surface maps anymore. There is no point. But even watching the changes at 500 from run to run makes me want to pull my hair out. The changes are never to our benefit. Never.

Yeah it hasn’t been great but we actually have a chance at a decent period.