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That's what CoastalWx likes to see on the way to Vortex95's house!!

Not a real ensemble

Ehhhh NAM is blurring those lines. Frankly, we need some form of coastal in order to maximize our IVT. Even if the best dynamics and lift is provided by the IVT it needs to coastal moisture fetch to actually precipitate.

Yup, all I'm waiting on.

ICON ensemble also comes quite decently further west.

CoastalWX’s favorite icon jumped nw too.

Just in time to be let down. Watch the gfs trend opposite.

Icon eps coming in wayyyy west

The key is the GFS. If that keeps doubling down and not drifting SE then it gets more interesting.

Another 75 mi west looks like it would be fun.

Good consensus for a c0ck tease between EURO/GFS/NAM/RGEM.

How we doing @stormtracker you up

Yeah, I got you. I’m just going full weenie mode to reel this storm in. You have logic and I’m going with wishcasting I’m also like 6 beers deep

this morning it was all over now it's getting closer..

0z ICON much better than its 18z run. Still not “all the way” there but another model looking better .

Yup, bringing the coastal closer should juice that up. I think the only ways it would die completely are if the low goes too far OTS (trends seem optimistic that won't happen) or the coastal comes so far west it's just, well, a coastal.

Mini me…

What’s with the ptype on RGEM. Feels like the 540 line is too far south for it to be rain that far north on hr 69.

Non-alcoholic brew is the fastest lane I venture into nowadays.

Yes very mini.

Operative word being "mini".....lol

Notice on the models that were “out out”earlier at 18z, as the low moves more west, the IVT is more prevalent.

What’s the timing looking like? Sister in law has flight out of NYC at 3pm Sunday

Me…yes. But I don’t think Ray partakes in anything.