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The 16-17 Niña matched this one pretty close….weak Niña, very strong -IOD that peaked in the fall, then a total Niña collapse in January with a massive WWB and a record SOI crash (remains to be seen if this one has the big SOI crash and record WWB comparable to that January)….
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Down here in Lanco, I105 was THE source for "OPERATION SNOWFLAKE". My brother and I would SIT on our stereo/record player (yes they were THAT big back in our time) and look out the window watching flakes fall and waiting for the "we have updates" between classic country songs. They did it every 15 min. We also had our little NOAA radio also going in background giving storm updates. Our channel was at 162.55 Megahertz. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
SouthCoastMA replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
1/7-1/14 hasn't looked good since the New Year when models lost the blocking. Let's get past this stretch and see if better threats start emerging after 1/15. Not holding my breath, but what's happening now is not suprising. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
WinterWolf replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I’m not mad at all lol. I’ve had a decent go so far. I’m not upset at the thaw. Chances coming afterwards. I don’t expect wall to wall. Never have. You’re just inconsolable bro. Nothing anybody can do about your situation. Sad. -
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
CoastalWx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Enjoy up there. Looks decent in your hood to Winni. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
dryslot replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
muthafukkers! KLEW GFSX MOS GUIDANCE 1/08/2026 0000 UTC FHR 24| 36 48| 60 72| 84 96|108 120|132 144|156 168|180 192 THU 08| FRI 09| SAT 10| SUN 11| MON 12| TUE 13| WED 14| THU 15 CLIMO X/N 42| 16 39| 28 44| 29 37| 21 36| 17 38| 22 38| 21 31 10 29 TMP 30| 19 37| 29 34| 30 31| 23 28| 20 31| 24 33| 22 24 DPT 21| 19 35| 23 22| 26 28| 19 18| 15 23| 21 28| 16 13 CLD PC| PC OV| OV PC| OV OV| OV PC| PC PC| OV OV| OV OV WND 6| 3 7| 12 5| 10 8| 9 14| 7 7| 5 9| 10 10 P12 3| 0 45| 46 38| 85 63| 59 10| 15 20| 29 34| 31 33999999 P24 | 45| 58| 100| 67| 24| 43| 47 999 Q12 0| 0 1| 1 1| 3 1| 1 0| 0 0| 0 | Q24 | 1| 1| 4| 2| 0| | T12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 1 0| 1 0| 1 0| 0 0| 0 0 T24 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 PZP 10| 21 15| 0 5| 42 33| 9 7| 9 11| 15 10| 9 9 PSN 60| 26 6| 5 32| 23 25| 65 87| 82 53| 50 35| 38 65 PRS 29| 0 0| 7 4| 24 26| 18 6| 6 21| 14 23| 21 12 TYP S| S R| R R| Z Z| S S| S S| S S| S S SNW | 0| 0| 6| 1| 0| | -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
CoastalWx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
It’s mild aside for a day. A lot of very mild nights and mild days. Maybe Thursday is a tad AN and finally cooling off later Friday and the following weekend. I don’t know why this is hard to accept. Nobody said a week of 60. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
No need to stop. Its all we have to talk about winter wise right now. Maybe by this weekend if somethin pops, you can save the stories for another boring stretch. -
Should easily get to 50 for most today. Already mid 40s. My 25 for a low was done in a blink.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Damage In Tolland replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
All of next week mild?? With Monday below freezing and cold shot end of week with possible snow ? It’s not BN but I don’t see any evidence of a furnace . ORH north saves their pack and now they also get icestorm this weekend -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
CoastalWx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
It’s blood red on all guidance. Be mad at the pattern not me. Like I said over a week ago. Garbage pattern. -
Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
buckeye replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
record high incoming tomorrow... too bad it has to come with rain though -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
WinterWolf replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
It’s been dam cold..nice to hear. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Its been so long since weve seen a triple phaser comin outta the gulf w/ the PV diving in. I'd give body parts to see that. -
Will echo others' sentiment about Jan 2025. My records indicate a total snow depth of about six inches for several days, with a low temperature of 1° twice.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
WinterWolf replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
You’re a broken dude. I feel for ya. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
As Trainer alluded to the other day, 2010 twin blizz's were rather epic (weather wise) for us. The second storm was when my kid and I hit culvert w/ snowmobile and broke is femur which led to emergency surgery....no so epic. Looking forward to the next few weeks. Could be fun. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
dryslot replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Its been quite a while but Sebago lake is completely iced over i was informed this morning. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Typhoon Tip replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
It's kind of hilarious to be defaulting to a thaw when looking at a +PNA crawling up into a -EPO look. It's times like these I wonder ... when/if the pattern actually flips warm, what the f will that entail. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
512high replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Shop Davis @ 39/ start burning this shit of the lots/walkways! -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
dryslot replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Looks like its the angle of the trail hes on. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
CoastalWx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
It’s pretty mild dude. Accept the mud, it’s the only mud you got. -
With the possibility of a decent rain event, it can’t be a bad thing that the days leading up to it are above normal so as to get as much water into the soil.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
dryslot replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Nice that you've been able to get out some, Yeah, Not much qpf when we warm sector before FROPA so should minimize any damage there, That SLP after that forms at the base of the trough and moves along the coast if that happens should end uo a net gain up here, I'm heading up to the Northern Maine mountains Thursday morning next week to get the first ride of the season in.
