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Models, as usual, overdoing the precip totals. Same was in winter..

They will be our only winter this year

Sky growing darker. Looks like it's raining more heavily.

So let's go ahead and use the adjusted NCEI average annual temperatures for Chester County PA from NCEI this century. These are the adjusted altered figures Charlie....what does this tell us? Even after adjustments by NOAA PHL is indeed warming almost 70% faster than Chester County PA - the PHL UHI is a problem even NOAA shows it....

This is for Somerville, NJ Baseline Type Years Covered Average Annual Precipitation Recent 5-Year Baseline 2021–2025 49.38 in Recent 10-Year Baseline 2016–2025 50.13 in Recent 20-Year Baseline 2006–2025 49.71 in Official 30-Year Normal 1991–2020 47.77 in Older 30-Year Normal 1981–2010 45.49 in Key Takeaway Even with the extreme, record-setting dryness of 2025 dragging the numbers down, the 5-year average is still 1.61 inches higher than the official 30-year climate normal. This highlights how intensely wet the "wet years" have become to keep the overall baseline elevated. Also, for the 1st time in recorded history the 10 year avg broke 50" We can use some dry years here and there. My backyard is alot less swampy!!

Woke up to rain again this morning. Third day in a row with rain. I've received about 3/4 of an inch so far.

Yikes its pretty much the best ones here are the worst ones there and vice versa.

We are starting to see guidance latch onto a highly anomalous ridge over Canada going into next weekend, which is a key part of the pattern we saw in May/June 2023 as well. It is plausible wildfire season could start to take off in Canada as a result.

Bad assumption only using the warmest station which is Phoenixville 1E - to better determine the true Chesco average you should add in the nice mix we have today of high and low elevations to capture the true average Chester County average temperature. Heck the averages I derive from these stations is in reality supports almost exactly the calculated average temperatures posted by NCEI on their site for their recent Chester County PA average temperatures. If NCEI develops an average temperature for the county that is statistically the same as what I calculate from the raw stations. See below since 2004. NCEI must think the mix of stations I use is strong correct?

We got rain but lastnight but still...the air seemed so stable. How do we not get t storms after so many days of high heat and sun? Things just seem not so typical around here. Normally we would see at least some lightning and heavy downpours even after 11pm. Horrible spring so far.

We have been locked into a steady shower all day. Been pleasant to be honest.

Loving it

Quick count from the separated lists above: Daily record highs: 82 Daily record lows: 14 Total record events listed: 96 NYC Date Temp Year Jan 3 64°F 2000 Jan 4 66°F 2023 Jan 6 72°F 2007 Jan 9 64°F 2008 Jan 11 69°F 2020 Jan 12 68°F 2020 Jan 21 63°F 2006 Jan 29 69°F 2002 Jan 30 64°F 2006 Feb 6 68°F 2008 Feb 7 56°F 2020 Feb 8 62°F 2017 Feb 10 61°F 2023 Feb 11 65°F 2009 Feb 12 62°F 2018 Feb 17 68°F 2022 Feb 21 78°F 2018 Mar 3 68°F 2024 Mar 6 68°F 2022 Mar 7 74°F 2022 Mar 9 77°F 2016 Mar 10 80°F 2026 Mar 12 71°F 2012 Mar 18 77°F 2011 Mar 22 78°F 2012 Mar 23 76°F 2012 Mar 26 82°F 2021 Apr 6 80°F 2023 Apr 7 92°F 2010 Apr 13 90°F 2023 Apr 14 91°F 2023 Apr 15 90°F 2026 Apr 16 92°F 2002 Apr 17 96°F 2002 Apr 22 86°F 2001 Apr 23 86°F 2007 Apr 24 87°F 2001 Apr 26 92°F 2009 Apr 28 90°F 2009 May 1 87°F 2001 May 2 90°F 2018 May 3 92°F 2018 May 4 92°F 2001 May 7 93°F 2000 May 8 91°F 2000 May 18 92°F 2017 Jun 10 96°F 2008 Jun 12 93°F 2017 Jun 23 96°F 2025 Jun 24 99°F 2025 Jul 6 103°F 2010 Jul 7 100°F 2010 Jul 22 104°F 2011 Jul 23 100°F 2011 Jul 24 97°F 2010 Aug 3 97°F 2005 Aug 8 99°F 2001 Aug 9 103°F 2001 Aug 13 99°F 2005 Aug 17 95°F 2015 Aug 18 94°F 2002 Aug 19 94°F 2002 Sep 8 97°F 2015 Sep 24 91°F 2017 Oct 2 93°F 2019 Oct 8 87°F 2007 Oct 19 85°F 2016 Oct 24 79°F 2001 Nov 3 79°F 2003 Nov 6 75°F 2022 Nov 9 75°F 2020 Nov 10 74°F 2020 Nov 28 70°F 2011 Dec 1 70°F 2006 Dec 5 70°F 2001 Dec 6 71°F 2001 Dec 11 66°F 2021 Dec 13 67°F 2015 Dec 14 67°F 2015 Dec 15 68°F 2015 Dec 17 62°F 2000 Dec 20 60°F 2002 Dec 21 65°F 2013 Dec 22 71°F 2013 Dec 24 72°F 2015 Dec 25 66°F 2015 Dec 28 65°F 2008 Lows Date Temp Year Jan 7 4°F 2014 Jan 16 1°F 2004 Feb 14 -1°F 2016 Feb 20 2°F 2015 Mar 3 11°F 2003 May 8 36°F 2020 May 9 34°F 2020 May 20 43°F 2002 Jul 2 56°F 2001 Nov 8 29°F 2019 Nov 10 25°F 2017 Nov 11 24°F 2017 Nov 12 25°F 2019 Nov 13 23°F 2019

NYC Month Record High Year(s) Record Low Year(s) January 72°F 2007, 1950 -6°F 1882 February 78°F 2018 -15°F 1934 March 86°F 1998, 1945 3°F 1872 April 96°F 2002, 1976 12°F 1923 May 99°F 1962 32°F 1891 June 101°F 1966, 1934 44°F 1945 July 106°F 1936 52°F 1943 August 104°F 1918 50°F 1885, 1965, 1976, 1982, 1986 September 102°F 1953 39°F 1912 October 94°F 1941 28°F 1936 November 84°F 1950 5°F 1875 December 75°F 1998 -13°F 1917

After a brief warm up and drying out 5/ 26 - 5/28, next cut off / trough 5/29 - 5/31 - onshore and perhaps more heavier rain

Records: Highs: EWR: 98 (1992) NYC: 96 (1941) LGA: 94 (1992) JFK: 94 (2021) Lows: EWR: 44 (2002) NYC: 42 (1907) LGA: 47 (1950) JFK: 43 (1990) Historical: 1876 - Denver CO was drenched with 6.53 inches of rain in 24 hours, an all-time record for that location. (The Weather Channel) 1911 - The temperature at Lewiston ME soared to 101 degrees. It was the hottest temperature ever recorded in New England during the month of May. (David Ludlum) 1987 - A powerful tornado virtually wiped the small southwest Texas community of Saragosa off the map. The twister destroyed eighty- five percent of the structures in the town killing thirty persons and injuring 121 others in the town of population 183. The tornado hurled trucks and autos through adobe and wood- frame homes, with some vehicles blown 500 feet. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather over the Central Gulf Coast States. Tennis ball size hail was reported at Ripley MS. Showers and thunderstorms in southern Missouri produced 3.20 inches of rain at Springfield to easily surpass their rainfall record for the date. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Unseasonably hot weather continued in southern Texas and parts of the southwestern U.S. Seven cities reported record high temperatures for the date, including El Paso TX with a reading of 100 degrees. Presidio TX was the hot spot in the nation with a high of 111 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) 1990 - Late afternoon and evening thunderstorms developing ahead of a cold front in the north central U.S. produced severe weather from northwestern Kansas to central Minnesota and southeastern North Dakota. There were twenty-nine reports of damaging winds, or dime to golf ball size hail. Strong thunderstorm winds gusted to 69 mph at Alexandria, MN. Showers and thunderstorms over eastern North Carolina soaked Wilmington with 2.91 inches of rain, which established a record for the date. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1998: Greeley, Brush, and Fort Morgan, CO, raked by hail to 2 inch diameter; a woman hurt when hail broke through home’s window. Roofs collapsed in Brush; 140,000 acres of area crops devastated. Cars stuck in hail to 18 inches deep until snowplows could clear roads. (Ref. Weather Guide Calendar with Phenomenal Weather Events 2011 Accord Pub. 2010, USA) 2002: An unusual late season frost in the North Carolina Mountains caused significant damage to the Christmas tree crop. 13 inches of snow fell at Cooke City, MT through the 23rd. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 2004: A F4 tornado tracked 54 miles through Jefferson, Saline, Gage, Lancaster, and Otoe Counties in Nebraska. 95% of the buildings in the town of Hallam were destroyed or severely damaged. The tornado was 2.5 miles wide at one point. One person was killed, 38 injured, and damages totaled $160 million dollars. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 2011: The Joplin Tornado was reported to have developed directly over Joplin with the first report of the tornado in Joplin at 5:41 pm CDT, 5/22. Latest reports from mid-day Tuesday 5/24 indicate an estimated 118 fatalities and several hundred injured in the Joplin, MO area. The Joplin tornado is the deadliest since modern record keeping began in 1950 and is ranked 8th among the deadliest tornadoes in U.S. history. The tornado surpassed the June 8, 1953, tornado that claimed 116 lives in Flint, Mich., as the deadliest single tornado to strike the U.S. since modern tornado record keeping began in 1950. The deadliest tornado on record in the U.S. was on March 18, 1925.

66 / 40 onshore flow - thicker clouds to the south. Ugly fest will ensure Sat / Sun cool - clouds rain >1.5 inches to 3 inches in spots - more especially northern areas. Perhaps we dry out PM Sunday and perhaps pokes of sin for memorial day. Much wearmer / ncer Tue - Thu then omega-like patterns forces next cut off ULL down backing into the area next wekeend 5/28 - 5/31 period. Onshore / cooler perhaps more rain 5/29-5/31. Ridging expanding eat by first week of June. 6/5 - beyond - next shot at 90s in that period.

one of the ten best days of the year cool gusty wind feel like early november..

Had to put this forecast up for Asheville:

...they got their wish lol.....and now they are watching that monster growing in the pacific..

it did end early it was over after the 2/25 storm. March was a nationwide torch

...Just wait till next Christmas to get the 75 degree day! Early Merry Christmas to all of the people who spent the winter of 25-26 bitching about the cold and wanting an early end to winter..lol #BECAREFULWHATYOUWISHFOR

.56"

Seen last week a coal company in Schuylkill county said they are raising. prices $20.00 a ton for all coal sizes i think starting next week. Because of fuel prices to operate the equipment and trucking costs. And they said if fuel prices don't drop till near fall they will have raise them again. They were giving a heads up for people to get coal now.