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  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    I wouldn't because I think it will be solid.
  3. WxUSAF
    Pretty low consensus on what this ULL is going to do Sunday though next week. Euro AI been pretty consistent on it being progressive. Physics models flip flopping between a similar solution and stalling it. 0z euro stalls it to our west.
  4. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  5. Kmlwx
    Stats are funny/cool. One thing I've always considered is that on some potential severe weather days, the CIPS guidance will often have a locally higher "bullseye" of probabilities roughly centered over the DC area. I do not think that is necessarily purely authentic. Since it is correlated to storm reports in the analogs it finds, it is reasonable to assume that it will highlight areas where there are more storm reports in an analog....and of course, a heavily populated urban area is going to have a higher concentration on a comparable severe event that happens over a rural area.
  6. Damage In Tolland
    Weeks and weeks of muggy meter
  7. dailylurker
    I work outside. (I've got some great fall specials on softwashing, deck restoration, paver restoration and more. Support my winter snow chases by hiring me. You'll receive my personal chase footage during this upcoming season). This weather is awesome. It's making up for the smoky hell we had during early July.
  8. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  9. maley.chris78@gmail.com
    50/50 chance, more 90 degree days for Central Park the rest of this summer. It seems that 2004/2009 has arrived.
  10. BrianW
  11. bluewave
    While it would be nice to end a longer term drought with just one storm, it’s a process that requires months of above average rainfall. Only a small portion of the total area got over 10.00” this month. But it’s a nice a nice start for most of us and our first month with above average precipitation in a while.
  12. maley.chris78@gmail.com
    The classic developing EL Niño cool and rainy summer pattern has kicked in.
  13. bluewave
    July 1991 actually had a cooler El Niño-like -0.52 pattern across the CONUS compared to the record warmth this July at +2.4. July 1991 73.87°F -0.52°F Climatologist49 @climatologist49.bsky.social · 1d It's going to be a close call, but it now appears more likely than not that July 2026 will be the warmest month on record in the Contiguous U.S. As of today, we are essentially tied with July 1936 and July 2012.
  14. PhiEaglesfan712
    People forget that our coldest winter CONUS in the 21st century happened during a strong el nino.
  15. Today
  16. dendrite
    Strange. The CLI says the error happened at 840am, but the 6hrly max at 18z looks ok. I assume the daytime observer augmented the bad data out. But yeah, the ASOS crapped the bed after that. Only problem is the 85° was apparently still stored for the 24hr max at 5z. The high should be 74°.
  17. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  18. donsutherland1
    World Weather Attribution has now released an analysis concerning the wildfires in France and Spain. https://www.worldweatherattribution.org/climate-change-increases-likelihood-of-compounding-drivers-of-severe-wildfire-conditions-in-france-and-spain/
  19. mahantango#1
    NWS State College: July goes out like a lamb after a record-setting month. Our office issued 12 Tornado Warnings in July, which is the most since 1996 when we issued 25. 95 Severe Thunderstorm Warnings is the 3rd most in any July on record, behind 1996 (96) and 2021 (122). Year-to-date, 226 Severe Thunderstorm Warnings is the most on record, passing 2019 (221), and 24 Tornado Warnings is 4th most behind 1998 (55), 2011 (37), and 1996 (30). 250 total Severe Thunderstorm Warnings + Tornado Warnings is the most on record year-to-date, passing 2019 (241).
  20. vortex95
    94W E of the Philippines is clearly a TD, if not a min TS. LLCC is well-defined and core convection is persistent. JTWC does not even acknowledge it as "low" for a chance of development, probably b/c the models don't do anything w/ it, but so what? It is what is in the here and now, and so what if it exists only for a short time as a TC?
  21. kdxken
    Ocean State needs to make a service call to Worcester. Pretty sure it didn't reach 85 yesterday.
  22. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  23. pawatch
    58 degrees this morning. Looks like my record high for the month is going to be 102 degrees. 3.22” precipitation for the month. Normal precipitation is 4.47” That 1.79” sure helped this week.
  24. kdxken
    Feels like summer.
  25. SnoSki14
    There's zero indication that the wet pattern will end. In fact the super Nino guarantees a stormy pattern.
  26. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  27. bkviking
    DCA: +1.7 NYC: +1.6 BOS: +1.4 ORD: +1.6 ATL: +1.0 IAH: +0.5 DEN: +1.3 PHX: +1.0 SEA: +0.8
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