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Does a N95 even help with smoke? I've definitely exhaled smoke into a N95 and it came right out. I've got to wear a mask anyway because of the job im doing. Just curious. Remember the virus debit in 2020? Lol

Bump for the 12z isolated micro-shower tomorrow in the metro area

There it is. Yuck. "Very unhealthy for the general population"

Entire basin looks pretty favorable for development into August. Makes sense with the Hadley cell out in the central pacific. While I think the Eastern Pacific has the highest chance of above normal ACE due to the +PMM you mentioned, I think the basin as a whole has a chance to be above normal in all 3 regions.

New AQ alert levels for MD.

Yeah I don’t think it’ll be as bad as forecast today

I think this would be a good call but I’m doubting it happens. Unfortunately (or fortunately) I need to work my real job Saturday morning so I’ll be spared the smoke.

Happy they made the right call for you! I may not know until later today. So far games are still on as scheduled.

This is the most wildfire smoke I have seen here.

It sucked, but was kind of awesome. A freaking smoke haboob.

This actually helps a lay person like myself understand this. Thank you!

Wanted to ask you or other Mets if the CSL (swim league) should consider moving divisionals, our league wide qualifying meet for all stars, to Sunday. Warmups start 6am and meet starts 8am, ends by 12pm. @NorthArlington101 if you have any thoughts lmk.

Certainly may be a brief window for something to become a bit organized before shear increases some

After dropping the signal briefly, AI ensembles in particular are a little more bullish on some development.

Understanding smokes impact on convective potential is extremely complicated. If you're talking about convective potential which is extremely dependent on instability, then smoke is going to have a large negative impact on convective potential because its going to inhibit the convective temperature from being reached and of course lead to a reduction in instability. If you have a setup though in which forcing and dynamics are strong and you don't have to rely on large CAPE, smoke is probably not going to inhibit convection from developing (but of course may negatively impact strength). In the case of what happened across western Maine the other day, you already had capping in place from a stout EML so the dense smoke further enhanced capping and of course prevented convective temperature from being reached. Forcing for any afternoon storm development was always weak, which also increased tornado potential. So adding smoke into things just add another level of complexity but the impact of smoke on potential is going to vary based on the mechanisms involved in convective development.

A lot less smoky out there today. I can even see some blue in the sky. Looking forward to this crap being gone by tomorrow afternoon.

We got "upgraded" to Code Purple AQI fwiw

Double hits rarely occur but there is enough forcing tomorrow even with the 1st round early afternoon I like the chances of seeing a 2nd round later in the evening.

July 17 2001: Lightning struck a Minnesota National Guard field training site located in Camp Ripley. Nearly two dozen Marine Corps reservists were sent to hospitals. Most were released after treatment. 1952: 5.20 inches of rain falls in 3 1/2 hours at Moose Lake. Numerous basements flood, and Highway 61 becomes impassable at Willow River. 1934: Frost damages crops across the north with lows of 34 in Baudette and Roseau. For Friday, July 17, 2026 1934 - One of the worst heat waves in the history of the nation commenced. During the last two weeks of the month extreme heat claimed 679 lives in Michigan, including 300 in Detroit alone. (The Weather Channel) 1941 - A prolonged heat wave over Washington State finally came to an end. Lightning from untimely thunderstorms was responsible for 598 forest fires. (David Ludlum) (note: Some are blaming AGW for the current fire situation, but I ask you, what about this?? Point being, please just stop and think, and learn more. Not trying to be an ass.) 1952 - Thunderstorms helped the temperature at Key West, FL, to dip to 69 degrees, to equal their July record established on the first of July in 1923. (The Weather Channel) 1957 - On a warm and sunny day at Wilmington, DE, with a high of 86 degrees, a dust devil suddenly appeared. It tore most the roof off one house, and stripped shingles from a neighboring house. A TV aerial was toppled, and clothes were blown off clothes lines. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Slow moving thunderstorms caused flooding on the Guadalupe River in Texas resulting in tragic loss of life. A bus and van leaving a summer youth camp stalled near the rapidly rising river, just west of the town of Comfort, and a powerful surge of water swept away 43 persons, mostly teenagers. Ten drowned in the floodwaters. Most of the others were rescued from tree tops by helicopter. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - A dozen cities in the eastern U.S., and six others in California, reported record high temperatures for the date. Downtown San Francisco, CA, with a high of 103 degrees, obliterated their previous record high of 82 degrees. Philadelphia, PA, reported a record five straight days of 100 degree heat, and Baltimore, MD, reported a record eight days of 100 degree weather for the year. Afternoon and evening thunderstorms produced severe weather along the Middle Atlantic Coast, and over southern New England. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather from South Dakota to Louisiana, with 126 reports of large hail and damaging winds during the day and night. Thunderstorms in Nebraska produced hail four inches in diameter in Frontier County, and at North Platte, causing millions of dollars damage to crops in Frontier County. Thunderstorms in Oklahoma produced wind gusts to 90 mph at Peggs. Tahlequah OK was drenched with 5.25 inches of rain. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) Observances: 17 Fri National Lottery Day 17 Fri World Emoji Day 17 Fri National Peach Ice Cream Day 17 Fri National Tattoo Day 17 Fri World Day for International Justice 17 Fri Yellow Pig Day 17 Fri Wrong Way Corrigan Day

Does the GOES outage impact weather modeling? Hopefully that gets resolved sooner than later. Thankfully not expecting many tropical systems this season with it being out.

Since eastern Canada seems to regularly get plenty of convection, wouldn’t the smoke act as a deterrent there as well?

Good thing you are at home and not back at college, its been hell up in MP.

Good thing the O's are in Houston this weekend.

looks like we'll get lucky enough to avoid most of it in the cincy metro, aqi around 110 here. just north in middletown, dayton, columbus, seeing readings in the 500-600 range, though.

any hope for this thing to make some noise in the gulf?