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I know we are really coming into CAMs range but here is the 6z GFS (6z AI ECM is running).

EURO and GFS bring back the THUR clipper

One of the worst things that ever happened to this country is access to 24 hour news. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro XL using Tapatalk

It's a real mess. PHI put out a map and then annotated on it to expect less due to mixing. Like huh?

Someone made these from 00z model models Sent from my SM-X210 using Tapatalk

Mount Holly 5:47am update: The areal extent of potential mixing remains in question, and tied in large part to the exact track of the coastal low. With that said, guidance continues to support the idea of a low track close enough to the coast to lead to at least some mixing for a large portion of the area, potentially as far north as the I-78 corridor. North of I- 78, the anticipation is still for an all snow event. Sunday night through early Monday morning, as the low begins to pull away and cold air from the northwest begins to filter back in, precipitation should change back to all snow for most of the area with additional accumulations likely. Breezy northeast winds on Sunday and northwest winds on Monday could lead to some minor blowing and drifting of snow, especially where mixing does not occur and where snow-to- liquid ratios are highest. All-told, snow amounts around 12-15" appear likely across all of eastern PA and northern NJ. Higher amounts (potentially exceeding 18") are expected across the Poconos and into adjacent areas of far northwestern NJ. For the lower Delmarva into much of southeastern NJ, 6-12" of snow are expected, with mixing limiting totals more in those areas. Right now, ice accretion of generally 0.10-0.25" is expected along the I-95 corridor. Amounts exceeding 0.25" are possible for portions of the Eastern Shore of Maryland. Further refinements will likely be needed in future updates as the event draws closer. A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect for the entire area Saturday night through early Monday afternoon.

It’s beautiful

6z GEFS with an improvement too.

Here's my first call on what I think is going to happen in our forum. More confidence in a 30 mile corridor along DC/Balt and NW. Less confidence in the SW quadrant of this map (so please don't hammer me if you live somewhere like Roanoke or Cville.

Looks almost like a copy and past of the NBM stuff. I knew they were going to go big when i saw the NBM yesterday. Then i read the WSW and its for 6-12 which is extremely confusing to the public when its like half the amounts the maps have. Theyve already started walking those numbers back across NYC/LI and south shore, i suspect that will continue to be the case in the next 24hrs.

And theres still more time for this to change till Saturday night and Sunday.

Ok Mets put your money where your mouth is . Kalshi app. [emoji3] .

06z GFS with an absolute monster Miller A for Feb 1. Wow.

I think we are all good for a foot before a flip. more for you, PSU, highstakes, Mitch, tssn, etc. it wouldn’t surprise me if yall stay pure snow while I sleet

https://www.pennlive.com/news/2026/01/the-10-biggest-snowstorms-that-buried-central-pennsylvania-and-brought-life-to-a-standstill.html?utm_campaign=pennlive_sf&utm_medium=social&utm_source=facebook&fbclid=IwY2xjawPgNXFleHRuA2FlbQIxMQBzcnRjBmFwcF9pZBAyMjIwMzkxNzg4MjAwODkyAAEe8uNczIz0GM_C_nvs-_0eqQM5_t3bv-eBjl21ANo1i-ZxM25ap0BQuQK_QEY_aem_H6lPhQV8U1N4Kv3Z-Vo3tA

I find it interesting that nws did not update their forecast discussion yet this morning, This is unusually late. Waiting on additional data is my guess.

6z has the blizzard back

I was hoping the warm layer would have eased on overnight runs, but was just a dream. Sleety up here by mid afternoon Sunday.

I think I like 10-15” for your backyard, and I SHOULD be far enough n/w for 12-18” (wishful thinking?)

It’s doing what just about any SWFE does. If you want all snow from these you want to be on the I-90 corridor. This is a bigger SWFE than usual with better front end snow but it’s behaving typical for them.

After the epic storm drought we've had I think it would take us getting less than 7" for me to feel slightly jibbed. I do think now we end up in the 12"-14" range much more than 16"-18" range it won't affect my enjoyment Sent from my SM-X210 using Tapatalk

06z runs look good so far.

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Yep, much as I want 15” I just don’t see it around the city/coast. I-84 corridor is another story. I’m quite confident we’ll be mixing but hopefully most of it’s over by then. My thought is still 8-12” for NYC/LI/I-78 to 80. And honestly I consider 10” with some sleet pounded in to be a good win.

My point and click has added snow to Sunday night now Saturday night 3-5 Sunday 7-11 Sunday night 2-4