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That's essentially my own thoughts all the time now on particularly NWS mets. Who are really suppose to be "the most reliable" out of all, being the government. It wasn't an issue at all 20 years ago as I've seen in AFDs, but now you literally only have a very certain few who are (seriously) doing their job down here in TX. I always just go straight to the models/ensembles now, rather than look first at what any met (including media ones) would say is going to happen. Especially a week or more out. You will really learn a lot more nowadays doing the meteorology or forecasting homework yourself for where you live.
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August is around the corner! Someone open the August 2026 thread...
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I can hear the storm near Dix hills. Thing is roaring
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Flood warning for central Douglas county for up to 3" have already fallen. Congrats Smokey! Moving north to my backyard, we have a flood advisory. Picked up a very fast 0.60" and still coming. My July total just crossed 3", with >95% of that over the past 10 days.
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All I asked was a question regarding if he had a successful business. I never once mentioned anything about meteorolgy....and BTW generating revenue doesnt mean a business is successful. There are plenty of businesses that generate revenue but lose money..
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Tomorrow and Friday will see a continuation of below normal readings. Temperatures could return to near seasonable levels for the weekend. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.8°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +2.2°C for the week centered around July 23. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +3.38°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.92°C. The ongoing strong El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer. The SOI was -27.64 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.193 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 76.3° (1.2° below normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 0.2° below the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.
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This is not true. Look back at the posts.
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After last night's debacle they needed to somehow win this one.
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a successful business means generating revenue. does not necessarily mean sound meteorology, which is Ray's point.
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Back building rapidly too.
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7.49" by the tipper here which doesn't seem far off from local reports
