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  2. WxUSAF
    A storm system will enter the coast from the America Ocean, pulling moisture from the Gulf of America. Cold air passing over Lake America will enhance snowfall in the area, battling warm air flowing in from the other America Ocean. The NWS has named this winter storm America.
  3. weatherwiz
    Part of the problem is their infrastructure with drainage is crumbling...not too mention everything is clogged with garbage
  4. GaWx
    12Z UKMET: rapid WNW move in MDR with no strengthening followed by TS strength outside of MDR and change of move to NW well off the SE US at the end with interaction between Dolly and the TS hitting CHS making it more of a forecast challenge: MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 27.08.2026 TROPICAL STORM DOLLY ANALYSED POSITION : 13.6N 37.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL042026 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 27.08.2026 0 13.6N 37.4W 1009 30 0000UTC 28.08.2026 12 14.0N 41.3W 1009 31 1200UTC 28.08.2026 24 14.5N 45.7W 1010 31 0000UTC 29.08.2026 36 15.3N 49.9W 1011 32 1200UTC 29.08.2026 48 16.3N 54.0W 1011 33 0000UTC 30.08.2026 60 17.3N 57.7W 1011 33 1200UTC 30.08.2026 72 18.7N 61.0W 1011 35 0000UTC 31.08.2026 84 19.7N 63.4W 1010 32 1200UTC 31.08.2026 96 20.4N 65.8W 1010 34 0000UTC 01.09.2026 108 21.0N 67.5W 1009 32 1200UTC 01.09.2026 120 21.5N 69.4W 1007 35 0000UTC 02.09.2026 132 21.8N 70.6W 1006 36 1200UTC 02.09.2026 144 22.8N 72.2W 1004 39 0000UTC 03.09.2026 156 23.7N 73.7W 997 42 1200UTC 03.09.2026 168 25.2N 75.3W 992 49
  5. kdxken
    Couldn't happen to nicer folks.
  6. Brian5671
    yeah it's starting to build north-may get into S CT and LI later on
  7. Damage In Tolland
    Preparing for a sunny afternoon in the Tol’s
  8. The Iceman
    There's got to be prolific flash flooding ongoing right now in S Jersey and DE. Storms training over the same area, already 5" in spots on radar. Going to be a long afternoon down there. We had just shy of an inch back at home in Levittown(.9") through 2 different storms. Here in Trenton, we had several periods of heavy showers but nothing too long lasting.
  9. forkyfork
    this destabilized the glacier
  10. rclab
    …… as always ….
  11. SnoSki14
    It's going to be really really bad once the true effects of this super Nino are felt globally. If you thought this summer was hot and smokey just wait til next year.
  12. forkyfork
    https://sustainability.gatech.edu/hg/news/2013/10/10/stadium-waves-could-explain-lull-global-warming '“The stadium wave signal predicts that the current pause in global warming could extend into the 2030s," said Wyatt, an independent scientist after having earned her Ph.D. from the University of Colorado in 2012' oopsy poopsy
  13. Cfa
    I can’t believe I briefly thought Suffolk was going to get a break today. Sky getting dark near ISP, it was just sunny-ish.
  14. CentralNJSnowman
    Torrential downpour for maybe the past 90 minutes here in Central NJ
  15. jlauderdal
    Preparing for a stormy afternoon in the berks.
  16. forkyfork
  17. yoda
    Severe Thunderstorm Watch coming soon for most of us per MCD Mesoscale Discussion 2147 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1252 PM CDT Thu Aug 27 2026 Areas affected...south-central and southeast Pennsylvania into the West Virginia Panhandle...northern Virginia...and portions of Maryland Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 271752Z - 271945Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...The threat for severe thunderstorms capable of damaging wind gusts, marginally severe hail, and perhaps a brief tornado is expected to increase between 19-21Z. A severe thunderstorm watch is likely. DISCUSSION...Visible satellite imagery indicates deepening cumulus along the high terrain from the WV Panhandle and northern VA into portions of south-central PA amidst a warming and destabilizing boundary layer with MLCAPE of 1500-2500 J/kg, per latest objective analysis. Continued daytime heating coupled with the glancing influence of a subtle disturbance passing near and to the southeast of the area is expected to support a gradual increase in thunderstorms across the discussion area over the next 2-3 hours. The degree of instability combined with around 30 kt of deep-layer shear will support some storm organization, including possible supercell and/or bowing structures, with the primary hazard being damaging wind gusts as low-level lapse rates continue to steepen. Marginally severe hail is also possible, especially with any supercells that may evolve. A conditional brief tornado threat may materialize, particularly over northeast MD into far southeast PA, with storms developing along or favorably interacting with an outflow boundary associated with ongoing storms over NJ, where low-level shear may be locally enhanced. ..Mead/Mosier.. 08/27/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...CTP...LWX... LAT...LON 39077875 39737844 40637732 40627690 40387647 39907632 39407623 38477666 38207758 38277862 39077875 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
  18. Brian5671
    N NJ getting pounded
  19. Cobalt
    i didnt know that the world was getting warmer and that cold winters were becoming less likely until forky started bump trolling people in the 2026-2027 el nino thread talking about it
  20. LakePaste25
    i expect below average snow in most of the Lake Erie climate sites this winter, as well as Lake America.
  21. CoastalWx
    Lake Michigan is now Lake Epstein.
  22. Brian5671
    New Orleans and Pensacola had a blizzard 2 years ago. We are aways away from snowless around here.
  23. forkyfork
    lol
  24. donsutherland1
    Two useful papers following the glacial flood in Nepal/Tibet. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921818126002766 https://tc.copernicus.org/articles/15/1889/2021/ Despite social media claims, July had been warmer to much warmer than normal and August 24th had been warmer than normal. Some modestly cooler than normal air moved in on August 25th, but the stresses of long-term glacial thinning due to a warming climate and the impact of what has been a very warm summer proved too much for the glacier responsible. July 2026 Monthly Anomalies: August 24, 2026 Anomalies:
  25. winterwx21
    We all know that cold/snowy winters are becoming much less frequent due to climate change. Most winters will be warm, but we'll likely still get a cold/snowy winter every once in awhile like we had this past winter.
  26. roardog
    The resources you use everyday contribute to it just as much as everyone else.
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