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Not my scene, just thought it was neat

6.2 inches in March to .2 now Steep drop.

In Eric’s defense, it’s not just him, it’s several other people, including some other big name mets. The point he’s making is that record breaking El Niño events tend to tip their hand very early in the season. The super Ninos of 1982-83, 1997-98 and 2015-16 all tipped their hand in March/April. It’s his opinion that this one is doing the same thing. Could he be mistaken? Of course. By late June/early July, we should know for sure which way this event is headed

Love APF. When I truly reach the point of AWATT I will be somewhere down there south of RSW with the iguanas.

Finishing up with .63" of much needed rainfall. Next post will be my 2025-26 winter synopsis/grade. @Mount Joy Snowman - my high for today will be 72...

Thanks, Ray. We all know that there’s lots of uncertainty this far out. It’s his bombastic style of Tweeting as if there’s little uncertainty about a super Nino that I’m noting just as he did in the first half of Jan for a supposed near record strong WWB that never occurred. @snowman19was the first to point his bust out. By the way Eric never acknowledged his big bust on Twitter.

Another March reversion to the new 2020s milder and less snowy mean. March Monthly Mean Avg Temperature for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Mean 46.6 46.6 2026 46.2 46.2 2025 48.1 48.1 2024 48.5 48.5 2023 44.9 44.9 2022 45.2 45.2 2021 45.6 45.6 2020 47.9 47.9 March Monthly Total Snowfall for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Mean 0.2 0.2 2026 T T 2025 0.0 0.0 2024 T T 2023 0.6 0.6 2022 0.8 0.8 2021 T T 2020 T T March Monthly Mean Avg Temperature for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Mean 42.9 42.9 2019 40.9 40.9 2018 40.4 40.4 2017 39.8 39.8 2016 49.1 49.1 2015 37.7 37.7 2014 37.8 37.8 2013 40.3 40.3 2012 51.3 51.3 2011 43.6 43.6 2010 48.2 48.2 March Monthly Total Snowfall for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Mean 6.2 6.2 2019 9.9 9.9 2018 13.2 13.2 2017 9.4 9.4 2016 1.6 1.6 2015 16.3 16.3 2014 0.2 0.2 2013 8.8 8.8 2012 0.0 0.0 2011 2.2 2.2 2010 T T

Current temp of 53 is the low with .49” of rain. Midnight highs have been killing us this month.

We wintry next weekend?

Topped out @ 76 yesterday. Temp at midnight was 63, now down to 54 as of 8AM.

At this time, especially with the seasonal transition underway, one has to be cautious about such events given model skill limitations. The "spring ENSO barrier" in prediction remains real. By early summer, the picture should be clearer.

I remember that very well, it started out at 81 at my house and was 48 an hour later when I was in Hauppauge.

Once again, JB’s bombastic prediction of a huge return to deep winter, “delayed spring”, arctic cold and snowstorms in the east, from 3/15 through Easter Sunday looks to be a monumental, epic fail. I’m sure he will never acknowledge it and simply move on like it never even happened just like he does every year…..

I was completely wrong in my March prediction. My saying that KNYC would not only average at least 5 degrees below normal with no temperatures higher then 56 degrees, looks laughable now!

Yeah if we lawn, we rain. Keep it coming.

I'm pretty sure we aren't getting a super El Nino.

Yea, this past season already seemed to have behaved more like a +PDO, if anything, despite the continued negative readings.

we need the rain, esp. those who use wells for water supply

Happy one year anniversary of the classic spring in the Northeast pattern.

Yeah. 4.13 inches here this month but what a green up underway. People already mowing and lawns services are out droping fertilizer. Hoping for some sun today for the first mow of the year.

It definitely has been wet here this month.

It snowed in D,J,F,M. Brutal cold period after the glacier. 3 weeks with snow/ice cover- that period ending up bone dry was the one nitpick. The Feb storm topped it off with 10". Over climo with 22.7"- and my measurements are usually low because I typically measure what's otg as I am often not home during the whole storm. (There was a report from an EM in Greensboro of 14" in the Feb storm). Anyway.. A- Had there been even a modest 2-4" snow event on top the Glacier I probably would have gone with a perfect score.

How many times within a short period of time is Eric Webb going to Tweet essentially the same thing regarding his feeling about a near certain super Nino being jump-started by a very strong WWB? Does anyone recall when he kept Tweeting over and over about a near record strong WWB occurring in Feb. that never occurred? He loves to be bombastic as this is just one example. His being repeatedly bombastic doesn’t make it the near certainty he wants us to think it is. Snowman, Don, and myself commented about this being a big bust in the 25-26 thread:

How many times within a short period of time is Eric Webb going to Tweet essentially the same thing regarding his feeling about a near certain super Nino being jump started by a very strong WWB? Does anyone recall when he kept Tweeting over and over about a near record strong WWB occurring in Feb. that never occurred?

Not much rain here either like .10