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Man what a gorgeous stretch coming up. Love this. Windows open with a beautiful breeze tonight. Gonna easily +5 April

Yup..you guys were warmer there today. Was at a graveside funeral at 1:30 today, it was gorgeous, but breezy and 64-65…with a cool tinge to the breeze. If it was calm, it would have been perfect. Or if it was 10 degrees warmer. But a nice day nonetheless.

Are you kidding me?? W(where)TF have you been. We’ve had temps in the upper 80’s and lower 90’s in April here in the past for a week. You’re so f’n LOST bro!

yeah - it's got that feel.

I remember how they kept getting slammed in 2001-02. As warm as that winter was, we had a few food winter storms here. However, that winter was infamously nearly snowless in parts of the east coast.

Inside ripping IPA’s watching Yanks lose

Potential seems to be increasing for a 6 day stretch next week where PIT doesn’t drop below 60. That has never occurred in April.

Enjoy your light jacket while we t-shirt.

I mean at 8PM.. ok

66° and breezy Beautiful evening

This will be the summer we see multiple 100s on the mesonet.

Same here. Unfortunately my town has some of the highest water rates in the country.

84 and sunny here outside Dallas today.

I'll take any pattern change at this point. I can't recall the last time we were this warm and dry so early with little to show in the moisture/severe weather potential departments. The past month has been like 2007 and 2012 hooking up. No bueno.

A warming trend is underway. Temperatures will top out in the 60s tomorrow and then upper 50s on Sunday. It will then turn much warmer next week. Temperatures will likely peak near or above 80° during Tuesday through Thursday. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.2°C for the week centered around April 1. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.25°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged 0.00°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will continue through at least mid-spring. The SOI was -33.53 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +2.117 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 81% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal April (1991-2020 normal). April will likely finish with a mean temperature near 56.7° (3.0° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 3.7° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.

May and June that year was really cold. I don't think it reached 96 in those months (I know it did in July and September). Of course, there was the freeze on May 18.

Who knows, maybe we'll get a nice rainstorm/mud season in October this time, when the high school football season is in full swing.

Same thing with the strong la ninas. 1916-17 was the only one in the first 100+ years post-1850. (Coincidentally, 1917 was the year when global average temperature hit a minimum.) Since then, we've had strong la ninas in 1955-56, 1973-74, 1975-76, 1988-89, 1998-2000, 2007-08, and 2010-11.

Are we sure these correlations apply in this new regime? If we look at April 1997, it was 5th coldest on record, but this year seems destined for back to back record warm months. The NBM numbers would bring us up to about +5.5F (1991-2020 climo) by the 18th/19th timeframe, whereas the current record is +3.4 in 2006.

Early summer vibes!

GWDLT

My water bills are looking to be outrageously high, but I have no choice if I want to keep the grass healthy.

Pre-El Nino Summers have a pretty good correlation at being below average, especially around the Great Lakes

SSGWDLT