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Much worse in fact

cmc is not gonna do it unless it pivots

OHHHH CANADAAAA

Convective feedback issues. It will sort itself in the next few frames.

Cmc gets booted east unfortunately

I'm thinking worse case the Triangle changes over to heavy sleet in the middle briefly maybe and finishes back off with more snow.

Ol’ Carver is downplaying this and he’s going to end up with a foot! lol!

Looks worse

PHN is Port Huron. Which is in SE MI, northeast of Detroit. He is not faulted for wanting a 20" storm. He is faulted for his repeated schtick of coming to the board during winter only, a time he does not reside in MI, mostly to stir his repetitious pot that everyone gets 20" storms but here, say weather/climate stats proving that wrong are bs, etc. Me, someone who loves snow and lives in a place where it snows all the time but said snow doesn't come 20" in 1 day, being his main target. And really, the era of '65-'85 did have one massive storm here (Dec 1, 1974, 19.3") but the era of 1999-2015 had far more double digit storms in SE MI than 1965-85.

H5 over Atlanta is tough to get us up here.

Idk about that. We'll see in a few frames but heights on the EC look lower due confluence being further south.

Canadian weenie run inbound. H5 almost the same as the gfs. A little south.

I bet that western low deepens and the east low fills in

I had the same reaction...the frickle is it doing down there?

Spotter in Kittery, ME reported 27.8" and looking around the area, I tend to believe it. Ended up with 24" here. Body is sore from cleanup.

Watch out for that kicker on the Gem.

It's a more classic setup. Cyclogenesis is pretty easy to infer from 500mb, and 500mb at f140 is easier to infer from f60.

yea lol. We didnt know what to eject or what to phase or when to phase or how to phase the eject or if we need a full ejection or partial

For the folks concerned about NW trends, even if this trends stronger and NW, the MILLER A will still pull down cold air on the backside and produce a lot of snow.

Can you wait til hurricane season?

WB 0Z GFS compared to 18Z