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If the storm tracks as close to the coast as the GFS depicts, banding will extend WELL back inland beyond what is currently being shown. The LSV is in a good spot.

Knew that was comin. Latest NBM came way up, I expect those OKX BOX maps to be in the 12-18 range by morning Probs increased significantly across the board

The storm isn’t hugging the coast and turning people to rain guys lol.

So did the Blizzard of 1888

Calm down. Only a first call.

that was a different setup, it was heavy rain to heavy snow. completely different setup. we're not raining guys come on here

there could be some white rain south and east of let's say Bergen county for a two hour period but it won't be the heavy precip so it won't really matter that much. Honestly i think we snow the whole time

Meh

I believe there was numerous 30+ recordings in the Blizzard of 96'. I had over 30 in Bloomfield.

Trend wise, a TOP 5 is in the realm of possibilities.

Yes-let's be real though-snowdepth is the real measure of snow and we rarely see those maps lol.

Caving like the Euro, but with less grace. lol

Thanks Mike - I forgot. Still used to travelers advisories in my old age. The conditions will be ripe for blizzzard conditions thats for sure anyway.

blizzard of 2006 had hours of rain at the start

50-75 miles further up will make for a lot of mood changes in here.

Not enough

I think there’s going to be quite a range of ratios. If you’re in the coastal CCB or the core of the IVT, 10-12:1 probably? Maybe better? Outside of that more like 8:1? But maybe as low as 5:1 in warm spots with poor rates?

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Use a blend of model guidance which have their own ratio calculations and apply weights. We do that ourselves as the forecaster. I look at soundings and lots of other variables to create my own in-house SLR output which starts from the NBM and work from there. It’s a cool process and a lot of work, but we use every tool in the toolbox sometimes!

probably retiring from PBP. if randy says I suck i must really suck

Looks good!

Nice map

Peltfest here

Who cares let the the kids throw the pennies into the light socket and watch them get the shock of their life. Its the experience of the shock that counts.

Pounding right now despite radar looking meh