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My mom who helped encourage my love of meteorology and all things weather related passed away on New years day unexpectedly. Tracking events is gonna feel a little bit emptier without being able to excitedly inform her about snowstorms or severe weather risks.

Everyone loves a good snow storm but the ice skating on the local ponds is outstanding right now even with the small layer of snow. I would love a good base of snow for xc skiing locally but give me good consistent cold for ice.

They need to extend Lamar and Zay Flowers in the offseason. I don't know how much cap room they have. Flowers his rookie year signed a contract for 4 years worth $14 million, which next season will be his last year on. And he's made the pro bowl twice. Nice draft pick!

I don't know, this looks kind of ugly to me in the mean. I think the only way those surface temps will verify is if we are right after a cold front, unless a few individual members are weighting the mean. Maybe those few outlier members will win and the Pacific ridge will trend more Polar? GEFS has more -WPO at 384hr so that's a little better. The ENSO subsurface is starting to warm with a kelvin wave, and I did research showing that, that actually correlates to more +PNA when the subsurface at -200m hits 180W. That should happen in the next few weeks.. Just using that favors less -pna and more +pna going into the extended, but that's just one method.

Stuck at 27.4 but that's 3 degrees colder than we were forecasted.

This doesn't look bad The jet stream is dry though. Still watching the late January period, because CPC has below average in the Northeast for January, and we are likely to be pretty solidly above by the 16th. 3-4 week on the CPC is also colder than average. It's looking like we won't have a -NAO, unless models are biased from the last 14 years of having Winter +NAO, which has happened already in Dec and early Jan. So we'll have to lift that n. pacific ridge into the EPO/WPO domain for the colder stuff to verify most likely.

Hopefully it stays north. Models have trended in the last few days to more of a N. Pacific ridge, the EPS is well south of the GFS/GEFS, and has higher verification scores I think. -PNA keeps the jet stream a little too far north, although if the ridge extends well into Alaska we can get some colder weather. I would love that though, -EPO's are the coldest pattern and I always wanted to experience a tropical-cutoff block! For big snowstorms though, a gulf of alaska/south of aleutian 500mb low pressure is the greatest correlation, along with a 50/50 low.

Good game, good season. I love the Ravens!

I remember February 2006. Warm winter. Then, the post on Eastern. "For entertainment purposes only..." They showed the JMA. It worked out. All we need is one storm.

Wellllllll seems early next week needs watching now that Goofus is waking up & we are in that window where the Euro sometimes loses a storm. Good trends continues.

When almost every Op model and every ensemble mean for the past few days has been showing well below normal snowfall over the next 15 days for the 95 corridor (and even inland), despite what looks to be a more favorable pattern after the coming 4-5 day warm-up this week, it's hard to not be a bit concerned that the first 3 weeks in January will be well below normal in snowfall. Hopefully that changes soon.

Here we go..

I went out for a short walk during halftime of the amazing game tonight and for 15 minutes it went from light to heavy to now snow which coated everything quickly. Hopefully a more productive pattern comes after the relatively short reshuffle.

Getting closer

Where in the hell is Plow Guy? Snow is piling up on the Woolly Lot right now!! More snow will pile up overnight, possibly 10-20 inches! https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/woolly-cam Uh-oh. I just noticed two more big brobdingnagian moisture blobs offshore, being pinwheeled right into the Sierra in the next few hours. If those hit Mammoth........ they just might wake up to 36 more inches of pow by Monday morning at 8am. Lots more avalanche mitigation and diggin' out on tap before they can even open things back up for skiers on Monday morning. You know what they say....... When it snows it pours. Where is the plow guy at? Snow is pilin' up, already a foot of freshies lay in the Woolly Lot!!! There's so damn much snow lay in the Woolly Lot, that it's actually forming into kind of like, DUNES! Meter's runnin' plow guy!

Lay off the cocaine.

Except for my daughters and late wife dragging me into the 21st century, there may have been little difference between us. I’ll think of him as a ‘rugged individualist’ a persona that a certain newly elected NYC office holder seems to have a disdain for. As always ….

What team are you referring to? If you're talking about the Seahawks...no they didn't, lol Pete Carroll was fired after they missed the playoffs, not right after the second SB appearance (they didn't win that one)

Yea. A heartbreaking snow to ice to rain cutter

lol the end of the gfs was gonna be something

well, that ruled Washington out.....

Well, there is one team who would....and did. After back-to-back super bowl wins.

hey chuck, how do you like that 585 dm over alaska?

Cant argue, but be turned into Tugger the perv.

Justin motha Tucker nails that. Just sayin