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  2. Winterweatherlover
    I wouldn't really say a toaster bath, it's still like 8+ of snow for NYC before any changeover, more where you are.
  3. Santa Claus
    the models seem juicier
  4. Roger Smith
    I don't know if it's just me, but I am beginning to think this rainstorm could start out with a touch of snow?
  5. Random Chaos
    SREFs for DCA Look good https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/srefplumes/
  6. clskinsfan
  7. TellicoWx
    Is there a freezing rain map for ICON? Looking at when temps finally get above freezing for valley here, it doubled QPF vs 18z....hard to tell. Definitely a degree or 2 colder that run.
  8. Ji
    ?
  9. CoastalWx
    No flood risks
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Pike or NH border?
  11. ChescoWx
    I way prefer a sleetfest to ZR!!!
  12. winter_warlock
    Im ready for the snow storm
  13. Maestrobjwa
    Unless is pulls off a massive coup, it's performance with this storm has just damaged it's credibility even more. Who can trust it with anything?
  14. DTP
    Not to my knowledge- spheres (IP) genenerally will not stick to another curved surface and typically bounce or roll off However, freezing drizzle between sleet showers (pretty common) definitely will stick to trees and powerlines, even more than ZR
  15. MANDA
    Yeah. Verbatim it just about makes it to my location and stops.
  16. Snowlover11
    Yikes. Toaster bath to start off 0z
  17. SACRUS
    Updated 00z summary suite
  18. colonel717
    RGEM
  19. clskinsfan
    Anybody still laughing at Dr. U?
  20. Stormlover74
    Rgem really didn't change much accumulation wise
  21. ariof
    Reggie at 78h looks like a dry slot south of the New England Mason Dixon Line.
  22. Harry Perry
  23. Winterweatherlover
    Surface temps have nothing to do with sleet.
  24. winterwx21
    Yep. Very unlikely that these short range models are going to be wrong about the mid level warming. It will probably look a little worse than what they're showing tonight as it gets closer. At least we know we'll get a front end dump before the sleet. Even if it's just 5 or 6 inches of snow and then a couple inches of sleet for our area, that's still a very nice winter storm that I'd be happy about.
  25. mattie g
    RGEM cold press at 700 is much better on 0z. It can't hold off the surge down here, but when comparing up in PA and NE it's obvious. Not saying it's going to change anything in future runs - just an observation that the cold is much "pressier" in the 0z.
  26. Maestrobjwa
    I don't understand the fun with sleet, lol (other than it being a pack preserver)
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