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  2. dendrite
    Go to bed
  3. nycsnow
  4. kdxken
    With Wolfie as his corner man.
  5. dendrite
    But yeah…usually being south of the low in the “warm” sector doesn’t pan out well, but there’s been a couple of these now that have been able to buck the trend with some moisture advection with the southerly flow while staying cold enough to snow ahead of the cold fropa.
  6. kdxken
    TT vs Ginxy this ought to be good.
  7. jm1220
    Or a marine heatwave somewhere else counteracts it. It’ll be interesting next winter if we go into a Nino, hopefully the western Pacific warmth can shift east and nudge the forcing east of the Dateline.
  8. WinterWolf
    No time stamp…???
  9. WinterWolf
    He struggles mightily…ya hate to see it.
  10. Damage In Tolland
    What does that have to do with this?
  11. Ginx snewx
    You don't understand this do you?
  12. dendrite
    It was more a response to Wolfie’s 50th glue factory post since the start of the year.
  13. Torch Tiger
    tbf those look very different than ecmwf.int, but no biggie
  14. Weather Will
    WB 18Z AI EPS tanked like the GEFS.
  15. Stormchaserchuck1
    I think the consistency of 10s and low 20s for highs and lows in the 0s.. for like a 3 week period down here is pretty impressive. I held 8" snowcover for 2.5 weeks, which is really rare. This happened without real strong upper latitude patterns, like a -NAO or -EPO, although the AO was severely negative:
  16. ORH_wxman
    Euro still seems to win on the synoptic features, but it's been struggling with smaller stuff and QPF placement on some of these events.
  17. Baroclinic Zone
    It looks meager at best right now.
  18. moneypitmike
    What was Feb '20?
  19. ORH_wxman
    18z Euro is starting to blow up the WAA too, but it's doing it a little late. My guess is it will start doing it earlier and earlier with each cycle. It also had that little weenie band down in S CT like the RGEM had at 12z, but it wasn't nearly as wild with the qpf as that RGEM run.
  20. dendrite
    Euro was the correct model with pushing the core of the last arctic shot to our west.
  21. Ginx snewx
    Watch the IVT. My bet is Essex county to Weymouth
  22. mitchnick
    Yeah, delay usually means denied unless there's a northern stream heading down to deliver a fresh dump of cold. But since it's all we've got at this point, we give up our seats on the lifeboat and wait safely on board the Titanic for the Carpathia to arrive.
  23. Baroclinic Zone
    One wildcard is the potential for secondary SLP development along the south coast. This enhances the WAA bumping up QPF.
  24. Yesterday
  25. nycsnow
    Canadian would be the best solution for most… was very close to all snow for nyc Long Island as well… front end to rain
  26. Typhoon Tip
    Wow.. GFS' starting to look like Feb 2020 ...
  27. Damage In Tolland
    That may be the entire region
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