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  2. Point of view is the epicenter of the heaviest rains at this time, slowly moving ENE, but honestly hard to get a perfect idea of motion as it spirals. Soon the heavens will open up on the Western Shore.
  3. And even with such low ACE, the two landfalling systems brought catastrophic impacts to relatively localized areas of the country.
  4. You've been saying that for weeks and I have a burnt lawn to show for it.
  5. You are right about the humidity. It's overcast out and I'm still sweating profusely just sitting in a chair outside.
  6. I mean, it was only fitting that the torch winter of 2001-02 ended with an early season heatwave in mid-April, as a cherry on top.
  7. About to get juicy in your yard. kudos to the GGEM on Chantal. Led the way on the inland track.
  8. Haven't been following the accuracy of the models, but Mt Holly stated that the models have been underestimating rainfall totals and coverage.
  9. Barry and Chantal are reminders that under the right conditions tropical systems and their remnants can bring catastrophic impacts.
  10. It's been a tropical rainforest here in the lowlands for the past several hours. Steady heavy rain.
  11. Wife and I went kayaking on our local lake. Saw 2 (maybe 3?) loons, a great blue heron (hadn’t see one there before) and the bald eagle. Other than a couple of distance swimmers and a few kayaks, it was pretty empty. Much different than July 4th when it was super busy.
  12. Grasses down here are greener than emerald treasures in the old Egyptian tombs that are newly discovered that looters have never gotten to. This is not July 7 Central Texas. This is APRIL 7 Central Texas. BEWARE the rain BLOB just to the north. It's sagging south and here we go again, gonna get Kerr Countied. Stay far away from all creeks. The Ground is saturated. Every bit of precip will run off and pile up. I got a bad bad left knee. I can't run from the rising waters. They will casually carry me away, it's been really nice knowin' y'all as the Jebman becomes the Floodman.
  13. There was relentless zonal and semizonal flow that entire winter, start to finish. It acted like a huge chinook across the entire CONUS. Thanks in part from the very strong +EPO and also the SPV went raging strong, shrunk and moved directly over the North Pole, once that happened it was lights out
  14. It’s even worse closer to the lake. I at least got a couple .25” in 10 minutes type showers the past couple weeks just east of GRR. It’s been hot enough we lose that much to evaporation every day though.
  15. That was a "no chance" Winter. Things weren't even really that close. There were a few -NAO periods, but they linked up with the SE ridge because -NAO/+EPO can actually be the worst Winter pattern ever because it's dry.
  16. As bad as 97-98 and 11-12 were, I think the worst of all time was 01-02. If there was ever a winter that was over before it even began, that was the one. Not only was it an absolute torch from November through March, it was also dry as all hell
  17. Looks nasty in that department over the next 10 days for sure--70+ dewpoints and heat
  18. Yeah timing not particularly favorable and instability will gradually wane during the evening. Probably going to be another big nowcasting day...the mesos have been extremely awful here in terms of convection. Will have to do a good ole fashion synoptic analysis in the morning and try to highlight local boundaries...that's where we'll see convection probably fire early afternoon (albeit isolated). Shouldn't have an issue reaching the convective temp tomorrow.
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