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What a glorious morning wow

Congrats Ray

Gonna blow late morning to mid afternoon.

The current thinking is that this is going to be a central-based/Modoki -ENSO (be it cold-neutral or weak La Niña)

Nada overnight Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk

Wxrisk.com oprenodSst99mlf0c4c6immti3c8a35415h9uh9c6llaglah091ili81c643 · EXTREMELY IMPORTANT and CRITICAL WEATHER INFORMATION What I am about to tell you is really important Weather information so please read -- this applies to Not just you and or your family and friends but also for businesses and organizations. FIRST if you are in the air conditioning business-- prepare for a monster workload for the next 7 or 8 days at least. WxRisk has been talking about this extreme Heatwave coming up for since JUNE 13 so I am hoping that if you are in the air conditioning business or HVAC you have had enough wisdom and wherewithal to understand what is coming. SECOND if you are a homeowner and you have not updated or done your normal summer maintenance on your air conditioning system because April and May were so cool and wet you need to get this done ASAP. See if you can get that appointment no matter what time of day or night. . If your system is rickety and you don't know if it's going to make it get to the stores and buy big fans before they all get bought out THIRD if you are in management and you manage apartment buildings Townhomes schools senior centers or what have you …again get your air conditioning systems checked out as soon as possible and make sure everything is working good while you still have a few days. Take a look at the NEW WXRISK weather video. This heat in the Middle Atlantic region from New York City down to Virginia North Carolina border and then into Georgia…. is going to last for at least 7 days maybe 8. This is significantly longer than what the data was showing earlier in the week which was just a three or four day long heat wave. The good news is that the heat looks like it's going to break on July 1st with a very strong cold front sweeping across the Central and Eastern US . The pattern behind the Heatwave looks spectacular -- at this time the July 4th weekend looks really great. Of course it is too early to know that for a certain yet but right now the indications look really promising for everybody east of the Mississippi River July 2nd through July 3-7.

Apart from time series comparisons is the issue of comparing NYC weather and climate with other locations and regions and also describing NYC summer weather characteristics to the general public. In the interest of simplicity, summer weather is frequently measured by the number of days which exceed 90 degrees while other factors, such as high minimum temperatures, are basically ignored. Recently, a top meteorologist at a leading weather service provider was giving his summer forecast and it was based on the number of 90 degree days. If I remember correctly he used 16 days as average for NYC while the corresponding figures for other cities were 14 for Boston, 30 for Philly and 40 for DC. While it is certainly true that PHL and DCA have higher summer maxima, this gives the misimpression that overall summer conditions for NYC (usually interpreted as Manhattan) and Boston are largely indistinguishable. Of course you can blame the one dimensional criterion that he used but the thermometer siting is certainly a nontrivial factor. Just as an aside, when comparing NYC to other locations, an overwhelming number of observations are taken in airport or urban environments so maybe concrete is a more useful comparison.

Extreme Heat Watch URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service State College PA 342 AM EDT Fri Jun 20 2025 PAZ019-026>028-035-036-045-046-049>053-056>059-063>066-210330- /O.NEW.KCTP.XH.A.0001.250622T1500Z-250626T0000Z/ Southern Centre-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Fulton-Franklin- Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour- Northumberland-Columbia-Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon- Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster- Including the cities of State College, Lewisburg, Mifflintown, Lebanon, Bloomsburg, Hershey, Lewistown, Selinsgrove, Sunbury, Pottsville, Shamokin, Chambersburg, Lancaster, Lock Haven, McConnellsburg, York, Mount Union, Williamsport, Harrisburg, Gettysburg, Huntingdon, Berwick, Danville, Carlisle, and Newport 342 AM EDT Fri Jun 20 2025 ...EXTREME HEAT WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... * WHAT...Dangerously hot conditions with heat index values over 105 possible. * WHERE...A portion of central Pennsylvania east of I-99 and south of I-80. * WHEN...From Sunday morning through Wednesday evening. * IMPACTS...Heat related illnesses increase significantly during extreme heat and high humidity events. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Heat index values and the associated risk of heat-related impacts will be highest on Monday and Tuesday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Check up on relatives and neighbors, and provide pets with adequate water and shelter from the sun. Wear lightweight and loose fitting clothing. In addition to the daytime heat, overnight low temperatures will also be very warm and oppressively muggy. && $$ For more information from the National Weather Service visit weather.gov/StateCollege Banghoff/Bauco

That could also be it for the mouth.

Okay, so there were no last minute entries or edits, the table of forecasts remains as earlier posted (now two posts back) ... good luck ... by the way, Weather53, your win was two contests back, Jebman is the current (no show) defending champ. I seriously considered adding 2 to my forecasts but that usually backfires so I'll stick with the relatively moderate numbers I had. It would surprise me if this coming heat wave is the only serious attack on 100 all summer, only a small number of years have their seasonal max in June, off the top of my head I could say 1923, 1952, 1956, but more often a June record high is followed by some more later in the summer.

Been in the 60s/70s out here in Washington with very low humidity. The heat/humidity combo should be a great welcome back feature this weekend lol.

95/75 nearly every day for 5 months is SE US living at it's finest lol. Then break out the giant tiger mosquitos that can drain a pint per bite. The old saying in South Calalacky if you ain't on the coast your toast lol. Usually the first time it gets like that around here I go into a few days of therapy from having flashbacks causing heat trauma related PTSD

My puppy was chasing them all over, I think the heat and humidity gets them out and about.

Final numbers yesterday were 92/69 with 0.34" of precip. I think the winds hurt the rain collection because it was dumping, but coming down sideways. Still a decent total and brings the month to 3.97" already. This has been a really wet May/June combo. Now to bake.....

Again 2 nights in a row. GFS significant backdoor cold front comes through on Wednesday. CMC, backdoor cold front remains to our north for the entire week. It's the difference between a 3-4 day heatwave starting Sunday and a 5-6 day heatwave starting Sunday. Whatever, upper 90s to lower 100s likely at least Monday & Tuesday. Notably, GFS has a second surge of 90+ degree heat later in the period for at least Saturday 6/28 & Sunday 6/29. WX/PT

Only 0.09 on the day.. Monthly total 2.78.... Did get a couple nice pics driving home west of Charlottesville on 64 in weakening showers into the setting sun.... Raindrops looking like Christmas lights in the sun...

Yes

0.70” for the day. 5.22” for the month. Am not looking forward to the excessive heat.

The highs in the area were 93-95. But that tells only some of the story as the dewpoints/RH made it feel like ~100-102. I had to go into a house whose AC is broken. It was 91 inside and this was at 8PM. I was soaking wet within 5 minutes!

Absolutely no wind but sky is still constantly lit up, rolling thunder and a close cg bomb every 5 minutes still after 70 mins. Picked up nearly 3" of rain last hour. Storms don't look like they are moving much as Erick remnants keep throwing moisture in. Dry air is off to northwest and losing. This storm has ruined me for life I'm afraid. Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk

Pretty underwhelming here, just some moderate rain at best. I feel like the strongest severe storms pop up on days when there's less risk. Today I think we were in enhanced. It's not like we need the rain anyway. Breeze kicking up now and can already notice a significant drop in humidity.

Yeah—I’m just talking about 100° in June. That seems far more rare. I only see 1952 and 1964 on NOWData. There was a 99° on 5/26/2010 from what I see. Assuming something doesn’t muck it up, next week looks pretty anomalous for this time of year.

Only 0.17" here today.

I had towers go from 0 to almost -70c in minutes. The low cloud base right over bay made almost all strikes positive cg Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk