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  2. w1pf
    dewpoint dropping here in the Holyoke Highlands.. 69.6/66.9 0.45" today kinda doubt we'll get much out of the incoming..
  3. BlizzardNole
    I used to complain about Germantown being dry LOL. It's got nothing on the full-blown desert that is southern Calvert. Radar is now clear that no rain will fall here again today and it won't next week either. We won't get real rain here until late fall when we start getting those nino-fueled Gulf lows.
  4. weatherCCB
    Nothing but light shower here
  5. anotherman
    Basically nothing at my house today.
  6. SnowtoRain
    Looks like it is trying to build your way.
  7. arlwx12
    Really pouring down near DCA, visibiliity under 1/4 mile.
  8. vortex95
    I attached the VIS image at 1716z (13:15 EDT on the image is 1:15pm EDT, right?) Was this CG verified? Sometimes isolated strikes are misplotted when there is a lot of activity. No anvil overhead or close to Damascus, but +CGs has been known shoot out laterally up to 10 mi from a CB. And when a storm, esp. a supercell, has a thick anvil streaming well downwind (can be well over 100 mi when winds aloft are strong), you can get CGs out of the anvil 50+ miles away. Farthest I have seen reported and verified is 90 mi from the parent cell core out of the anvil (storms near Enid OK and in strikes far NW OKC)!
  9. CT Rain
    Meh
  10. Baroclinic Zone
    Brief period of showers. Nothing noteworthy. Temps are nice though. 70F
  11. vortex95
    Probably +CGs and the thunder was enhanced by the nocturnal inversion!
  12. Blizzard of 93
    Hopefully the showers & storms in western PA move east & provide beneficial rain later on for those that missed out earlier today.
  13. Blizzard of 93
    .66 of rain in Marysville today through 5 pm.
  14. vortex95
    GFS MOS had 93-94 and it got to 93 at DCA. And the GFS does not have smoke integrated into it, so apparent the smoke was not a factor for heating. The Td got to 77 and DCA and IAD. You get more bang for you buck per deg for Td than T when it comes to increasing CAPE. There is a sig difference between say 72 Td and 77 since moisture increase is not linear, and it really goes up fast once in the 70s!
  15. WxUSAF
    I missed the action in Columbia due to a funeral… but my son said it was “scary”. As @Herb@MAWS posted in the other thread, about 1” on the day now. Just heard thunder again.
  16. pazzo83
    i was on the verge of thinking it couldn't rain here anymore lol
  17. donsutherland1
    Showers and thundershowers are possible early tonight. Some of the thunderstorms could bring flooding downpours and strong winds. Highs will generally reach the lower 80s through the middle of next week. Additional showers and thunderstorms are possible Tuesday night into Wednesday. The long-term outlook for the remainder of July has swung to near normal or even somewhat cooler than normal on the guidance. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.8°C for the week centered around July 1. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.80°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.52°C. The ongoing strong El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer. The SOI was -23.95 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.735 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 50% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 77.5° (near normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 1.0° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.
  18. jm1220
    1.2" here today but been a rainy month overall.
  19. SACRUS
    Dewpoint temps up to low mid 70s = 74 here CNJ
  20. SACRUS
    2.25 inches of rain most of which fell between 1:30 and 2:45
  21. Herb@MAWS
    On the east side of Columbia, the afternoon thunderstorm gave me exactly 1.00 inches. Counting a pre-dawn thundershower, I’m at 1.11 inches for the day and 4.39 inches already for July, not too shabby.
  22. winterwx21
    All of the early action doomed our chances for late day and evening, but we got plenty of rain so I'm ok with it.
  23. vortex95
    That's quite good for 12z, esp. the CAPE!
  24. IronTy
    What the hell is it with this precip split for Southern Maryland. It's been all summer. Rain north, rain south, black hole in the middle. We better make up for it this winter.
  25. canderson
    They can cancel the T-Storm watch for the HBG area imo Tuesday has always looked more legit to me.
  26. vortex95
    If you confused, you are not alone. While I understand what SPC is trying to do here (quantify risk better), it not easy or always intuitive (probabilities and statistics are are tough subject for many, or kind of dry)! If mets and wx enthusiasts have problems figuring this out this, forget it as to the general public! It somewhat reminds me of interpreting the homograph, it not intuitive at first you have to spend time on what you are looking at and think in 3-D despite looking at a 2-D plot!
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