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Definitely warmer down your way, though colder than 18z verbatim.

https://x.com/webberweather Then there's the ENSO thread

Quite mild today. Fort Wayne, Indiana reached a record of 55F, while Detroit fell 1F shy of its record, topping out at 53F. Several other locations were within a couple of degrees of daily records.

Lights out here in Seymour

Looks kind of warm to me

A couple of weeks of normal to slightly above normal temps and the winter is over speculation has already started. Mid season form, folks. Mid season form. Relax, y’all.

Well, I just added something to my last post that may cheer you up. The models are actually suggesting a good chance this moved right back into 8 either yesterday or today! So, we might go right back to celebrating as early as tomorrow!

Oh we recognize a pattern alright

Question is will the tune change 2 weeks from now or will forecasters string us along with "not too late" pieces until it's February and we're staring down a week of 70s?

Looks like DVN canceled the winter storm warning. 90+% of the warning area received a trace or not a flake.

Yeah better run for the region.

Another troll

You have been wrong all December.

ENSO thread has transitioned to last rites, Philly is transitioning to last rites, Our med/long range thread is transitioning to last rites, NYC is hanging by a thread, NE isn't far behind.

We take.

No sooner had I said that than thunder boomed. TIMs activated. Of course this may end as snow flakes towards morning.

Gfs is still showing some snow for 23

The projected cold weather between Christmas and new years is quickly slipping away. Hopefully we can get a pattern reset in early January akin to January 2024 because that shook things up quite a bit and prevented a January-March 2023 repeat with an eastern ridge. Something will have to give at some point, or that’s quite the headfake the models were throwing at us

I think you’re right. You should probably sign off until then.

Gfs solid for the 23-24

It just seems like the central US ridge has strengthened as we get closer to the date. Around a week ago, we knew there would be warmth across much of conus. But this record breaking warmth for much of south and central US appears to have creeped up on us, and the duration of it seems to extend past Christmas now. I think we’ll need a jet extension (I know how much we hate those) to push storminess ashore and get some storms moving throuhh CONUS. I’d rather take my chances with stormy weather and hope there’s a well timed cold air injection than to have wall to wall torch with the only winter weather being north of the border. Doesn’t get much worse than this

Honestly there's no chance until next month based off of what I've been seeing.

Talk about a turnaround! After one day of glee and bigtime celebration due to our immense accomplishment of getting phase 8 back, it’s already gone. The MJO moved into phase 7 two days ago. Turn out the lights, the party’s over (well as of two days ago at least). But the good news is that the models are suggesting a good chance this moved right back into 8 either yesterday or today! So, we might go right back to celebrating as early as tomorrow!

Potential dusting/snow tv on the 23rd on the GFS. That window hasn't really lived up to my interest in it, as the heights to our west just became too hostile for something to really develop even though we still managed to scrape some cold out of the situation. But flakes would be nice.

That like blitzed through here. No thunder but incredible wind and heavy rain.