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  2. Still nervous about dry air. Would like to see hrrr a little more bullish.
  3. Can’t really call it a fail yet. Technically. .
  4. it certainly was at shop rite just now.....
  5. Nice now I’m in the ice jackpot zone .1-.25 possible, I’m certain that will happen. 27F Dp11 snow/sleet
  6. and there should be. we've had two fatalities at my parkway exit in a week. i see accidents every freakin day on route one and 287. this is without bad weather. frankly, driving in nj IS a state of emergency....for all of us. texting has killed us.
  7. yeah they're doing well there. Seems like the drier air though is having a difficult time saturating in eastern PA into NJ. In fact, looks like dewpoints have even dropped some over the last few hours, even our region.
  8. Visiting in the Binghamton area and just got some thunder snow
  9. Crazy to think its about 2.5-3 hours it will be dumping snow. Snowing by 6-6:30 for most with a quick 2-3 hour pukeage of snow then it starts to taper off by 10-11. Fun time ahead
  10. I would think this close to go time it would be less pronounced. But…it’s the NAM
  11. Steady sleet here in EN all surfaces covered and slippery 26.4 degrees and temp is slowly falling
  12. Why dry slot? It's freezing drizzle here I saw one car spin out already? This was never supposed to be a single blob. Did you even look at simulated radar the past few days? Dry slots also usually only happen in miller b or miller A with a defined ccb. This is a clipper Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk
  13. Lol abother fail by nws. Glad I wanted no part of the ice.
  14. Nowcasting now since it's here! Getting a mix of snow and graupel here in NW Philly. Temp is 28 but dp is way down in the teens at 14.
  15. Actually, it's mixed sleet/ freezing rain as there's already a slight ice accretion on my chain link fence rails. Temp is 25 degrees.
  16. Heavier band looks to be approaching the western LSV in Adams, Cumberland & Perry on the march due east.
  17. Thanks. Still a respectable event for most and about what I'm thinking. Those are definitely my two "what can go wrongs"-the mid level warmth and overshooting warm advection snow leaving people south of it in a dryslot or light precip. HRRR has been pushing that further and further NE all day. Guess that's to be expected with the 700mb low hanging on so long. Hopefully it'll verify south a little and the wetter models like the GFS have a clue.
  18. Off hour name runs the past 36hrs have been more zonked…kind of a windshield wiper effect.
  19. Great map and explanation; aligned with this
  20. Skies are looking ready to start dumping. Just came off the disc golf course, enjoying a beer and getting excited for the storm.
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