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Those were some crazy storms in Kingsport area. I got back home across state line and not drop. A huge severe thunderstorm warning area was just issued though for almost all of SWVA. Area of rotation with tornado warning for Pikeville.

I only put one fertilizer on my lawn and that is the early season scotts for crab grass.. It works. I put it in the front yard, little grab grass, only on the edges of the drive way. Back yard with the well, none and its grab grass everywhere.

I could see that in Denver or Cheyenne in Sept. Meanwhile for Tennessee all I see through next week is teaser fronts on MCS outflow, quickly retreating north to the Ohio River or farther. If the ECMWF is right we get a Tuesday tease next week. Then, back to the blast furnace!

SW CT is just a body of water now…basically the Everglades. Wet begetting wet.

Parts of the region could see a shower or thundershower this evening and tonight. Above normal temperatures will persist through tomorrow or Thursday. Highs will generally top out in the middle and upper 80s. Cooler air will move into the region to close of the week. As a result, Friday through Sunday could see highs mainly in the upper lower 80s. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +4.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +2.6°C for the week centered around August 6. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +3.72°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +2.15°C. The ongoing strong El Niño, which has reached super El Niño threshold, will continue to strengthen through the summer. The SOI was +6.86 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.346 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 53% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal August (1991-2020 normal). August will likely finish with a mean temperature near 76.3° (0.2° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 1.0° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.

SW CT severe again

I really damn hope the dew points start crashing once we flip the calendar.

I’m going with Tips faux map and I won’t change my mind

July has been super wet since 2017. Wettest month of the year imby. 2026 followed the same pattern.

All that rain from yesterday didn't help. Dew point is 81 at 6 pm with a temp of 93.

Yall enjoy the light show lightning thunder heavy rain etc man I wish we could have that over here I guess we will get the opportunity tomorrow .

Flood warning are posted for multiple counties. That stuff coming south from KY looks like it means business. A tornado warning was posted earlier today over Saltville, VA.

Heavy rain north and west of the I81/26 interchange in NE TN. The storms look like streamers during northwest flow events, but with lots of lightning!

From the mby point of view, the last month has been wet in central PA, with lots of T'Storms. Definitely wetter than the past several years and not Niña'ish.

They always survive cold. Think about it- some of the worst areas for mosquitoes are well north in Canada after snow melt. Right now our area is dealing with the invasive Asian tiger mosquitoes, which need very little water to continue the cycle. They are tiny and only bite during the day. Once its dark, sit outside and have a cocktail. For me they itch like crazy when they bite, but its very brief, and no welt.

Peep it again for Thursday lmao

I recall that the Dog Days of Summer were referred to as such from ancient astronomers because the appearance of the Dog star Sirius during Summer was erroneously thought to have added heat to the Earth. Never heard the mad dog claims though.

Initially looked and sounded like it could be serious.

92L is up and likely a recurve but nice to see something atleast

He was pretty damn good the latter half of last season. Getting off this wretched team was the best thing for him. New life. He will generally give quality starts.

Yeah, will be fascinating to see how the north Pacific responds through this event. Given the deep -PDO state of the atmosphere it is encountering. El nino is certainly ramping up. AAM about to take another step up from the upcoming MJO cycling and associated WWB. Getting impressive too with a forecast mean remaining above 3 SD. If we look at the world view. We can see the SH jet has been, and is forecast to continue to be very impressive. Along with El nino conditions really getting comfortable in the tropics now as of late. A little bit of El nino's influence appears to be trickling into the NH now as well. The forecast has that continuing also and increasingly so as we get towards the tail end of the month. So envision a slow take over, if you will. As we go through the fall. That's my guess. Will be interesting to see if that's how it plays out. I think that makes some sense given the underlying resistance in the Pacific. I personally doubt that resistance will ultimately be too much for this event. Not one of this magnitude, this one's a behemoth. But that is a battle worth watching in the north Pacific for sure. Would still love to see a recurving typhoon or 2 as well but there's time for that.

If incompetent gaslighter Elias unloaded him, he will win a Cy Young. Congrats.

Not directed at you, Don ... so be careful with that trend line. m is not that sloped going back to 1895. If one does the d(m) they come to find that the slope is not linear. It is actually some exponential. y=x raised to some power probably less than 2 granted, but the expose' is that it is "accelerating" ... That is really a dangerous state of affairs. Because that rate of acceleration is, in itself, not deterministically constant. All the archeological climate data shows that the rate of green house fixing attributed to anthropomorphic activity has exceeded the rate of any non-human attributed fixing events, by 100x, since the last ice age - a mere second on the geological clock. That is unprecedented on any timescale archaically measured, too. Earth is behind. The 2023 type bounce evinces that intuitively. That's the danger. An assertion that is obvious, but ominously supported by global correction events that don't correct back to the initial state - which I strongly suggest 2023 spring was a trend's acceleration and superlinearity, effecting a synergistic 'bounce'. Math's track record forecasting how nonlinear feedbacks compound (cloud response, aerosol unmasking rate, ice-albedo timing ... non-Markovian effects on systemic return rates... etc..etc) is worse than its track record on the linear CO2-forcing terms. There are more bounces probably coming ladies and gents.

Gonna poke around Belmont harbor with the ultra light later