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without the cold air advection we would not be as cold as we are now..so the gusty winds is what made it this cold today..
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It's been incredibly consistent in that general look over the past couple days
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Friday February 6 FROPA / WINDEX small event
WxWatcher007 replied to HoarfrostHubb's topic in New England
2.3" final here. Just need a few more to reach climo... -
Friday February 6 FROPA / WINDEX small event
Spanks45 replied to HoarfrostHubb's topic in New England
2.8" total here.....might have been more, it snowed most of the day, but it was blowing everywhere -
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The cold is unbearable. I'm not somebody that shivers generally but this is legit shiver cold, the wind just makes it absolutely brutal.
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The -AO trough is lifting out, as the Polar Vortex places over Alaska at Days 3-5, flushing out the cold and warming up the US pattern. Then the N. Pacific High starts building and establishing. At that point we are already in the Upper 30s, with no cold air reinforcement: The -NAO/-AO is weakening and lifting out. The N. Pacific ridge then gets very strong, a >5820dm block. That does overwhelm weak things in February where the wavelengths are longer. Of course, the further along we go, the warmer it gets.
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Yep, we probably make it to 5 or a couple degrees lower then steady. The strong wind allows the city to cool down and eliminate UHI but also keeps us from really radiating.
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Friday February 6 FROPA / WINDEX small event
Sey-Mour Snow replied to HoarfrostHubb's topic in New England
1.8” -
That take assumes the Pacific immediately overwhelms everything downstream, which isn’t how these transitions usually work. A strong NPAC ridge doesn’t automatically squash an EC trough, especially with lingering -AO influence and a trough tucked under higher-latitude ridging. Neutral NAO doesn’t equal warm rain by default. At this range, ensembles are smoothing over key timing and structural details, so declaring this dead based on a broad Pacific signal seems dumb.
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8.5 here, lowest so far this winter is 7.7, I think we’ll beat that (unfortunately).
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The coldest air at 850 is just about over us now. With the wind persisting overnight and the coldest of the air overhead currently (at least from the city on westward) I would not be surprised to see temperatures bottom out around mid night and then hold steady or rise slightly before daybreak. CAV is just about peaking now. Temperatures across NY southern tier (BGM area) are holding rather steady last few hours. Maybe another 2-4 degree drop from the city west and another 3-5 across LI.
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We were spoiled with no wind for the last 2 weeks.. this is bitter .
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It’s an ice storm for western Virginia and cold rain elsewhere
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Down to 6 here
