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Now I find myself rooting for the GFS. How things have changed in 24 hours. Perhaps this is the "model reshuffle" I've been talking about for days. Hopefully the recon flights get us new data and things tick back south a bit. We don't want this thing phasing too fast too soon.

Going to be a classic GFS vs Euro battle royale...

Like 6”+

The 6Z GFS is beautiful. All snow for the area. Sleet line barely makes it as far north as Fredericksburg and the lower eastern shore.

Well if it isnt 13 inches give me sunny and 70. .

Just looking at the map on my phone it looks like thermals would be good enough for snow verbatim up to 93 or so in upstate but it for sure is on the edge. Not much margin there but could be wrong of course.

A little less amped but gets more qpf.. seems the GFS is struggling a bit

Mix only makes it to lower southern md

If you’re gonna be wrong, you may as well choose a hill to die on

I don’t think that is updated yet

Yep good phase

That’s not snow in Georgia or upstate. GFS starts the snow line at the NC border. Think that’s reading the sleet and ZR as snow especially in Georgia. I may be wrong

Gonna be inches if 6z is correct.

GFS avoids the phase and is a flush hit across the area.

So sad. lol

Idk how you can argue with the gfs at this point… its been rock steady for 3 runs. .

Radar by p-type.

Sleet maps for central NC will be memorable for this run

BIG HIT on the GFS!

I always check how many pages were added when I wake up. I knew after reading all of the banter by the time the gfs was done that something went sideways with the CMC and Euro. Hoping the trend stops this afternoon...glad I moved though.

6z GFS won't disappoint

The GFS did not get the message that our winter storm is gone. Some mix in here, but still...

For folks in upstate and NC this is before the switch over happens. Points I-40 north see the switch over last. That is still a big dump of snow up front and matches what @HKY_WX was saying yesterday.

6z GFS throws us a bone. Still don't trust it but it gives most of us a good thump of snow before switching to a mixed bag of precip.

GFS drags ZR line to wake but doesn’t look like it makes it to Raleigh proper. Just a pounding sleet storm