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I wouldn't be so sure.
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2026-2027 El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Cfs2 has really responded to its December forecast over the last week. Top link is from 18z March 30th and bottom link 18z April 6. January likewise if you scroll forward. Precip is a wowzer too both months. Temps a little AN as expected, but in January it won't matter! https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=cfs-mon®ion=us&pkg=z500a&runtime=2026033018&fh=9 https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=cfs-mon®ion=us&pkg=z500a&runtime=2026040618&fh=8 -
Trace on the deck
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A few stray flurries..36/27
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Actually, we snow now.
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Looks perfect going forward
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The Super Nino fanboys say you won’t see snow again until 27-28.
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Stein+
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I just realized this gets me to 60” for the year! 30° moderate snow .75”
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Snow falling! 31F, yes it will be short lived, and probably my last time till 26-27 begins, it will be missed!
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What the hell is going on here?
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Picking back up, moderate snow now. Might break 1”
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SNH getting lit up.
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Yeah. Better now. Coating
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Temp was 41 and dropping when I left the house. Had beautiful clear tequila sunrise skies just to my east and a thick cloud deck just to my west. A couple chilly ones ahead and then what could be a spectacular weekend. Carry on. -
Well that was fun while it lasted. Saw something out of the corner of my eye and looked and it was snow lol. Just enough for a little bit to stick to the grass, not much though. Down to a very light flurry now
- Today
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Snowing light to mod here now everything whitening up
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29° -SN .50”
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Persistent NW wind keeping the temps from dropping. IAD went from 39 to 46 in the last hour!
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Snowing pretty good out.
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Can I interest you in some, “Absolutely not” with a side of “NO”?
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Flurries. Yawn
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Linked the Geological Society of London's 2021 review article on climate change in the geological record. Observations from the geological record show that atmospheric CO2 concentrations are now at their highest levels in at least the past 3 million years. Furthermore, the current speed of human-induced CO2 change and warming is nearly without precedent in the entire geological record, with the only known exception being the instantaneous, meteorite-induced event that caused the extinction of non-bird-like dinosaurs 66 million years ago. https://www.lyellcollection.org/doi/full/10.1144/jgs2020-239
