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Numerous brief gusty showers with some heavy downpours have been moving through the past few hours. Last one had some thunder. Just measured 2.80” so far.
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Laviolette will forever hold the Flyers record fired after 0-3 start...
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Winter 2026-2027 Seasonal Outlook
Upstate Tiger replied to WinstonSalemArlington's topic in Southeastern States
Yeah I don’t follow their forecast for the mid Atlantic and Northeast. Those areas typically have at least one monster snowstorm in a super El Niño that puts them above average even if most of the winter is above normal temps and below normal snowfall. As for us, I could see where we have enough cold for one good storm which gets us to average or above average. -
The rain is relentless, consistently heavy for the last 2-3 hours. These tropical systems usually overperform.
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That last cell pushed me over the 3” mark
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WVU sucks. Cowboys suck. Ravens are in the conversation. However, you know what doesn’t suck? RAK Brewing beer.
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Widespread overperformer. The back edge of the heavier precip held together longer than the NWS anticipated. Although guidance showed 1.5-2.0” for the metro.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
forkyfork replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
mass snow autism psychosis -
E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2026 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
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Wow, MSP hit 90° again today. Latest back-to-back 90° days on record.
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Harbaugh lol Quinn lol Pathetic. Neither team wins- just the way it should be.
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2.65" here. Above the high end forecast, but I might not crack the 3 inch mark. We'll see I guess.
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Rain will continue into early tomorrow at varying intensities. Tomorrow through Wednesday will be warmer than normal days. Highs should reach the upper 60s and lower 70s. Temperatures could peak in the middle 70s on Wednesday ahead of a cold front. Newark could make a run at 80°. Cooler weather will then arrive for Thursday and Friday. There is increasing potential that a piece of an air mass that set a record low temperature at Old Crow, YT of 3° yesterday could move into the region for next weekend. As a result, the weekend could see the coldest tempertures so far this season. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +5.3°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +3.2°C for the week centered around September 30. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +4.63°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +2.92°C. Both ENSO regions have set new all-time records. The ongoing strong El Niño, will continue to strengthen through the mid-fall. The SOI was -9.93 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.575 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 51% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal October (1991-2020 normal). October will likely finish with a mean temperature near 58.1° (0.2° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 1.2° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.
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September 2026 finished tied as the 10th warmest September on record in Chicago. Warmest September 1. 71.2° - 1931 2. 70.6° - 2024 2. 70.6° - 1908 4. 70.5° - 1960 5. 70.4° - 1971 6. 70.3° - 2021 6. 70.3° - 1925 8. 70.2° - 1978 8. 70.2° - 1881 10. 70.1° - 2026 10. 70.1° - 1906
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Chicago Weather Records Tracking
Chicago Storm replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
September 2026 finished tied as the 10th warmest September on record in Chicago. Warmest September 1. 71.2° - 1931 2. 70.6° - 2024 2. 70.6° - 1908 4. 70.5° - 1960 5. 70.4° - 1971 6. 70.3° - 2021 6. 70.3° - 1925 8. 70.2° - 1978 8. 70.2° - 1881 10. 70.1° - 2026 10. 70.1° - 1906 -
Little windy but nothing to brag about. Ended up with .49" for the day. Very humid out there today.
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Rough day in the foothills. Lots of damage in both Burke and Caldwell counties. The dam at Rhodhiss is now open, which will spell even more damage downstream. I haven’t seen this lake in such rough shape outside of Helene. I went down to the neighborhood docks a bit ago and it smells awful - not a sewage scent but a rotted plant/earth smell. Furniture, trees, you name it coming down the waterway. Chocolate milk brown as you can imagine.
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DQ should be fired after this. That was pathetic. In FG range with 40 seconds left and don't get off a kick. This is amateur hour
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0.90" in the gauge at 5 pm, so added to the 2.18" from 7 am CoCoRaHS I've crossed the 3" mark for the event at 3.08". Still a drizzle/mist falling, with a quick shower mixing in at times. Current 59.9/59.4 is the high for the day so far.
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1.9”. So far today.
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Yes, I eclipsed the 3 inch mark too. Maybe this is a sign of what's to come in our colder months in the very near future.
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2.94” in Lancaster. Almost at 3” mark. .
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1.63" so far. A good soaker...
