All Activity

Wednesday is interesting, a low ejects out of the plains and strengthens as it moves towards the Straits of Mackinaw overnight into Thursday, with ample instability and a warm front lifting through the state I would expect some severe weather of all modes with a squall line trailing along the cold front. The wind fields are pretty robust as well.

ACATT will never be able to get past the iron heat dome.

Were are the hyper active tropical forecasts?? Col State and the NHC were a hair above average...

I mean it is summer after all..

2013 was not very quiet and below average, it was exactly average. There were 14 named storms and 15 tropical depressions. 14 named storms is average

Euro has hundies much of next week on favored spots

Gonna be some folks that succumb to the heat in the ACATT crowd. Will become shut ins… invalids, recluse

This may be one of the first times that we have seen a 100°+ signal from a 50 member ensemble mean over 200 hrs out.

Up to .53" of rain since Saturday evening. Slowly getting there...

0z Euro has 104 degrees past Port Jefferson next Tuesday

I really wish it would just actually rain. This dreary, cold, drizzly mist just flat out sucks...

.10” Saturday morning/afternoon and drizzle yesterday morning up here but was finally able to sit outside yesterday afternoon.

Picked up 0.52” overnight for 0.60” daily total

We have seen a bunch of green "inch" worms the last couple weeks. At least the lake is full with all the rain we've had, would be nice to get some warmer temps, haven't had the guts to jump in yet

I think it's pretty apparent that we're going to have a very quiet hurricane season in the Atlantic. Unlike last year, the Pacific is very active, already on their 4th named storm. As they say, when the Pacific is active, more than likely the Atlantic is quiet. This year is going to look more like 2013/2014 than 2010/2011/2012.

Woke up to some rain showers, can we hold off on heavy rain one more day please? 13U champ game is tonight!

got down to 48 last night..

Not happenin, but it’ll be pretty hot some days. Looks like there’s a bit of afternoon overmixing in some of these gfs runs again.

picked up .28 rain this morning. total for June so far 3.52. 19.49 for the year.

.5” since midnight

00z GFS with 7 straight days 97-102 for SNE next week

Euro is still hitting near 24C 850s next Tue with W-WNW flow. GFS is looking similar…100° threat on both models. The 6/24 records are already vulnerable at most sites. The GFS lost that goofy summer “polar vortex” too.

Another 0.1”ish last evening through this morning. Need some serious rain the next few days before the big heat next week or things will be crispy with a quickness.

.01 of rain last night. Have to water the garden today

I know there’s a few forecasts out there calling for a hyperactive/high ACE Atlantic season (namely JB…surprise, surprise), but this should lend some big pause: