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JB is going for a high ACE Atlantic season with above average storms as he normally does. Wants an excuse to predict a -NAO winter
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Mid 100s deep into Suffolk County is beyond just being summer. That is historic
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The drought in AA County is definitely completely dead. It's actually pretty swampy here in the lowlands. Today looks like a nice day to take off work due to weather and go for a long hike before the heat kicks in for the next 4 months.
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This could be our first decade since the 1950s with 3 years reaching 100 in June and we are only 6 years in.
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That’s funny coming from the number one AC pusher man on the forum.
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It will be at the very end of its range, but I'm curious to see what the 12z NAM comes up with Thursday afternoon into the evening
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Heres your weekly "what is this" post from me... can someone explain ACATT...? Thanks
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EPS is historically hot this far out. This is no typical heat signal
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This is a crazy signal this far out. Something historic is brewing
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Weather folks are putting in the work to let people know the heat is coming.
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I’m going to ignore all the places that haven’t reported yet, and radar estimates, and declare myself the three-day winner
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Not sure, but I think Iran is presently receiving unprecedented heat bursts...
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Central PA Summer 2025
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Low of 58 and .15” of rainfall. -
Steady rain again i suppose if it's going to be mid upper 90s soon i'm happy to get as much ground water as possible. I do need to mow though
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Ok wow I am surprised to see In picked up .59” after midnight. Knew we would get some rain but not that.
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Very strong La Niña spring pattern as this was the 2nd warmest spring since 1895 behind the 2011-2012 La Niña for the CONUS. Contiguous U.S. Average Temperature March-May March-May 2012 56.17°F 131 March-May 2025 54.09°F 130 March-May 1910 54.07°F 129 March-May 2004 53.98°F 128 March-May 2000 53.90°F 127 March-May 1934 53.73°F 126 March-May 2016 53.66°F 125 March-May 2024 53.63°F 124 March-May 2007 53.50°F 123 March-May 2017 53.49°F 122
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2025 Short Range Severe Weather Discussion
Stebo replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Wednesday is interesting, a low ejects out of the plains and strengthens as it moves towards the Straits of Mackinaw overnight into Thursday, with ample instability and a warm front lifting through the state I would expect some severe weather of all modes with a squall line trailing along the cold front. The wind fields are pretty robust as well. -
ACATT will never be able to get past the iron heat dome.
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2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Were are the hyper active tropical forecasts?? Col State and the NHC were a hair above average... -
I mean it is summer after all..
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2013 was not very quiet and below average, it was exactly average. There were 14 named storms and 15 tropical depressions. 14 named storms is average
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Euro has hundies much of next week on favored spots
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Gonna be some folks that succumb to the heat in the ACATT crowd. Will become shut ins… invalids, recluse
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This may be one of the first times that we have seen a 100°+ signal from a 50 member ensemble mean over 200 hrs out.
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Up to .53" of rain since Saturday evening. Slowly getting there...