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A little drought with the cool

Quick quarter of an inch with the line heading towards town. Decent thunder actually. hadn't had much at all of this summer.

For purposes of analysis, I compared the Winter 2009-10 through 2014-15 period to the Winter 2021-22 through 2024-25 period on a standardized basis. In terms of average deviation, the snowier set was 0.95 standard deviations above the historic winter 1869-70 through 2024-25 baseline. The latter set was an average of 1.20 standard deviations below the baseline. Winter 2011-12 was the culprit that reduced the average deviation from normal for the snowy winters. Excluding that winter, the average deviation would have been 1.41 standard deviations from the historic baseline. Note: These are Central Park figures.

According to where you are a bit too, because 23/24 i had 28.75" while he had much less and we both live in the tri-state. Snow is always more location dependant and someone always is in a screw zone. I got this storm, he missed it

Canaan Valley recorded West Virginia's first freezing temperature (28 degrees) of the season Wednesday morning, which was also the coldest temperature recorded in the contiguous U.S.

like clockwork. You need to get this working in the winter again

NWS talking 850mb temps below freezing here next week.

.83. Must have had a huge downpour since my last post

Coastal late week ?

I read an article in the NYT recently that said that the recovery effort cost the government $140 Billion. The gist of the article was how little there is to show for it as so much of the money went to politically connected consultants and the government bureaucracy that wasted it either through incompetence or outright fraud and corruption.

is it really? we had four 50"+ winters out of six from 2009-10 to 2014-15. it was ridiculous we also had similarly crappy stretches in the 70s-90s, we just had a lot more 10-15" winters than the single digit ones (not all that much better IMO)

Agreed, but the reversion is rather extreme. I mean c'mon: 2021-2022: 17.9" 2022-2023: 2.3" 2023-2024: 7.5" 2024-2025: 12.9 " (despite the sustained cold). That streak is more anomalous in my opinion than the snowy 2010s pattern.

Steined

No flowers this season. I actually have an older Chestnut tree down in our lower field that I planted about 2 years earlier than these. It is supposed to be blight resistant too. It didn't flower this season, but is about 4 feet taller than the one I pictured.

The 87 year old father of one of my best friends passed as a result. My friend and his wife had moved from NO to ATL 30 years earlier. His father and mother were living in a house in N.O. They unfortunately hadn’t evacuated. The water rose so fast! Inside the house, he went under and wasn’t seen by his mother coming back up. There was nothing she could do. They also had a several years old cat, who was nowhere to be seen. She was devastated, but she then needed to save her own life. His mother, then ~76 year old, amazingly survived by (as I recall my friend saying) standing on a wall on the property attached to the house and standing on it for hours (while I think holding on to the adjacent roof to keep her balance if I’m recalling this correctly) until rescuers in a boat could get to her. Can you imagine a 76 year old being strong enough to do that physically and emotionally after what she had just seen happen to her husband of 55 years?! His mother then moved to Atlanta to live with her son/daughter in law. My devastated friend weeks later had to go to N.O. to identify his father’s dead body. Can you imagine how terrible an experience that must have been? That’s not the end of the story. After my friend identified his father’s body and then checked out the totaled house, he starting hearing meows nearby. Lo and behold, it was his parents’ cat, which though malnourished, miraculously survived and was ok!! That cat later came back home to ATL, got back to full health, and lived another 10+ years! His mother lived about another 18 years! Things like this remind me to always be grateful for quiet seasons or at least seasons with few or no landfalls.

so they warn this line, but not the earlier one?

I’m broken. Going to finish with a trace with no rain in sight.

lol that warned storm is gonna barely miss my area it looks like. Can’t be greedy though I suppose

Got a couple rounds at home. Looks like Kevin will get something. PVD ftw today.

Got some dark skies to my north

Providence about to get rocked.

I'll buy that. It got my attention because its a super thin line on the visible satellite and has barely moved since sunrise, although the apparent source has shifted east by a few miles. Drizzle is better.

Can we get a Winter thread going already!? The withdrawal symptoms are killing me..

Nice line developing, draping SW into C CT. Building cloud tops.

i earnestly believe that some of what's been occurring for the last few years is regression to the mean that 20 year stretch was insane... NYC averaged 34" of snow from 2002-03 to 2020-21. that was not going to last