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Looks like you were on the wrong side of the stationary front all month.
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I noticed last week it’s spectacular from Greenfield to your area and then starts to tail off in brightness once you got beyond Fitchburg.
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I thought the foliage season around the Pioneer Valley has been better than average this year.
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I come from the future. STATION: LYNCHBURG VA MONTH: DECEMBER YEAR: 2026 LATITUDE: 37 19 N LONGITUDE: 79 12 W TEMPERATURE IN F: :PCPN: SNOW: WIND :SUNSHINE: SKY :PK WND ================================================================================ 1 2 3 4 5 6A 6B 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 12Z AVG MX 2MIN DY MAX MIN AVG DEP HDD CDD WTR SNW DPTH SPD SPD DIR MIN PSBL S-S WX SPD DR ================================================================================ 1 73 45 59 17 6 0 0.00 0.0 0 6.0 15 300 M M 1 1 25 310 2 52 42 47 5 18 0 1.18 0.0 0 6.9 13 50 M M 10 18 50 3 49 37 43 1 22 0 0.95 0.0 0 2.5 10 40 M M 10 1 13 40 4 60 37 49 7 16 0 0.00 0.0 0 4.0 10 200 M M 3 12 15 210 5 69 42 56 15 9 0 0.00 0.0 0 5.7 17 190 M M 1 12 25 190 6 73 49 61 20 4 0 0.00 0.0 0 4.5 15 40 M M 2 20 40 7 70 51 61 20 4 0 0.00 0.0 0 8.7 26 200 M M 6 39 200 8 62 49 56 15 9 0 0.64 0.0 0 4.6 13 270 M M 9 1 22 280 9 66 43 55 14 10 0 0.00 0.0 0 3.1 15 260 M M 2 12 23 280 10 73 53 63 23 2 0 0.00 0.0 0 4.9 15 190 M M 1 22 190 11 77 56 67 27 0 2 0.00 0.0 0 8.6 23 190 M M 1 32 210 12 63 39 51 11 14 0 1.48 0.0 0 5.0 16 10 M M 10 12 30 20 13 58 34 46 6 19 0 0.00 0.0 0 11.3 30 200 M M 0 43 200 14 67 32 50 10 15 0 0.00 0.0 0 3.9 12 310 M M 0 20 310 15 76 50 63 24 2 0 0.07 0.0 0 6.9 14 40 M M 7 1 20 40 16 66 42 54 15 11 0 2.16 0.0 0 13.6 30 220 M M 10 3 48 220 17 51 33 42 3 23 0 0.00 0.0 0 7.4 16 260 M M 3 28 270 18 64 45 55 16 10 0 0.20 0.0 0 4.8 14 190 M M 8 19 200 19 70 48 59 20 6 0 0.00 0.0 0 2.3 9 220 M M 3 14 350 20 74 51 63 25 2 0 T 0.0 0 7.5 22 190 M M 6 36 180 21 68 53 61 23 4 0 0.01 0.0 0 2.5 12 360 M M 6 21 340 22 77 44 61 23 4 0 0.00 0.0 0 5.5 17 200 M M 0 29 270 23 74 43 59 21 6 0 0.03 0.0 0 7.0 21 300 M M 6 36 320 24 63 44 54 16 11 0 0.00 0.0 0 4.6 14 70 M M 0 24 40 25 73 43 58 21 7 0 0.00 0.0 0 4.9 17 190 M M 0 23 140 26 80 54 67 30 0 2 0.10 0.0 0 8.8 18 200 M M 7 3 28 210 27 69 47 58 21 7 0 2.31 0.0 0 7.4 17 40 M M 10 13 26 30 28 55 34 45 8 20 0 0.00 0.0 0 4.6 14 310 M M 1 30 0 29 42 37 40 3 25 0 0.62 0.0 0 8.2 22 190 M M 10 32 200 30 61 44 53 17 12 0 0.16 0.0 0 6.8 16 210 M M 8 22 210 31 62 50 56 20 9 0 3.70 0.0 0 11.7 23 190 M M 10 3 30 200 ================================================================================ SM 2037 1371 307 4 13.61 0.0 194.2 M 86 ================================================================================ AV 65.7 44.2 6.3 FASTST M M 5 MAX(MPH) MISC ----> # 30 200 48 220 ================================================================================ NOTES: # LAST OF SEVERAL OCCURRENCES COLUMN 17 PEAK WIND IN M.P.H. PRELIMINARY LOCAL CLIMATOLOGICAL DATA (WS FORM: F-6) , PAGE 2 STATION: LYNCHBURG VA MONTH: DECEMBER YEAR: 2026 LATITUDE: 37 19 N LONGITUDE: 79 12 W [TEMPERATURE DATA] [PRECIPITATION DATA] SYMBOLS USED IN COLUMN 16 AVERAGE MONTHLY: 55.2 TOTAL FOR MONTH: 13.61 1 = FOG OR MIST DPTR FM NORMAL: 16.0 DPTR FM NORMAL: +10.11 2 = FOG REDUCING VISIBILITY 3 = THUNDER
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
EasternLI replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Judah Cohen or no Judah Cohen. If el nino wishes to terminate the wave train by rebuilding these Ural Blocks like this, the PV will keep taking future shots... Looks entirely possible if not probable and it's been a mainstay feature on ensembles too. What does that ultimately mean for this year? Up for debate. Just noticing, but it's not meaningless. -
He might be looking at the Cfs2 for that December comment. It's been coming in for the past week AN, but not by a whole lot. Idk. We'd have to get pretty lucky for December to deliver anything of consequence. Otoh, the exception is 12/82 when BWI was +3.4 and still had a little over 7" thanks to a 1/2" event and a Sunday night surprise of almost 7".
- Yesterday
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I don’t even pay attention to their winter outlooks. They just put climo Nina or Nino up and use that. They shouldn’t even waste their time if they do no other research. Like we saw the last couple winters there are plenty of other factors that can override ENSO.
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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2026 Obs/Discussion
Hurricane Agnes replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Bottomed out at 38 this morning and had a high of 65. Definitely fall weather! Currently 50 with dp 46. -
Yeah pretty mid foliage overall. Better than last year, but nothing jaw dropping
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Sedona is where we are based. And I’m headed back to Williams on that same train now (the Maria something) Enjoying watching a thunderstorm way off in the distance. Love it. And can’t agree more regarding the climate zones.
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JB used to be good at forecasting like 10+ years ago. He’s pretty much a hypecaster and says nonsense nowadays.
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small rain/snow shower looks amazing with the sunlight
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Noaa Predictions VS. Actual Results
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You mean consensus on that OPINION. JB is a hypster and not necessarily associated with disseminating facts.
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It was very good 2 weeks ago on some species agreed. But it went to hell in a hand basket in CT over the last week or so other than patches here and there
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You always make it out better than it is and that’s ok . There hasn’t been spectacular color this season and the posters here backing that. Enjoy the blinding colors there I guess and wear appropriate eye protection
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Interesting. Around here it has actually been stunning. Best in a long time. Fading now but it has been incredible
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
MJO812 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Euro shows a stretched PV in the long range. We never had a very strong El Nino like this so no one knows what wil happen. -
We go through this every year. The foliage on the drive from central CT down to the CT shoreline was just spectacular. Maybe up by the Mass/CT border it wasn’t as good? But that’s not the case here, and on the drive yesterday down to the south in CT, yet again.
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Success. Finally a tournament champion. Renegades Diamond of the Dead tournament. Started bracket play at 1015AM and finished up at 730PM
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In JB recent WB post reading that Nino is peaking now, earlier than normal. Is there consensus on that fact? He also indicates that December will be cooler than a typical strong Nino year. Hope that is right. Maybe we won't be wearing shorts on Christmas!
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Its been awesome here.. but definitely past peak now
