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I hope it's sooner than that...

The American Storm @BigJoeBastardi · 36m I have not changed ideas on next weeks storm. Nor have I changed ideas on how the met community is being sold a bill of goods on AI's The is the latest Google graphcast at 500 mb. After 5 straight runs showing a major trough in the east, its got a wimp going thru the south, Is it right? Well it could be. I dont believe it.But how the heck is a model supposedly so good and less than a week out, it has that kind of change on a run. What has happened hemispherically to cause that?

Thanks! I'll be interested to see how this chart evolves over the next few days. Hopefully we can get more members on board and get that 60th percentile down to 40th. Or maybe even 75th down to 25th if our WDI wants to cash in

For NYC I think the -7 1934 entry is just the midnight low on the way down to the -15, as are some other NYC record lows. There are several -6 lows that would be next in the list of morning lows.

Shovel it off..plenty of ice everywhere this year.

4-6?

Am seeing AW.com site popup ads in Safari. Can use Chrome, just wondering why I’m seeing ads in Safari. Not on any other sites tho.

Hasn't been great for pond ice though. Too much snow and wind.

See charts. Toss GFS silly numbers

Just touched 33 here

Not talking window watching . Talking about skiers sledders skaters kids building tunnels etc. Beautiful times to play in fresh snow

Feels much warmer than it is. Clock is really ticking on winter in the bay, it gets pretty hard for it to snow in March here. The drifting from this last storm was impressive. The cemetery where I have made my cross country ski track is full of four foot drifts, and they're still moving. Absolutely fantastic winter for fun in the snow. Weeks of pack for skiing after years of not cracking double digits and I think I've got a week to go.

The 16th is snow?

Nam juiced

Eh lol. Could be cooler.

About as perfect as it can get for winter enthusiasts.

Perfect snow lovers temps. Freeze up then play in the snow under bluebird sky. 2 refreshers. Snowy runs

Those seem to run cool or too smoothed out. It’s not a massive high temp torch though.

It’s been on par. This time of year sensors get sun contamination.

If we could get a 2” refresher here I’d take it and run. Easy to deal with, doesn’t affect school or work and keeps the winter vibe going.

Gives me 5-6 inches.

I’m officially ready for the “warmup”.

If you guys want to do a Sox/Tigers game sometime, I'd be down. Particularly on an Enhanced Risk day.

And this is what’s wrong with models.

I think that makes sense. We have a loaded up storm that will bring precip so its just a matter of if there is enough cold to take advantage (assuming the track isn't terrible).