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GFS AI Ens continues its trend NW.

Dang it, I don’t like it when we have several models in agreement this far out. Fingers crossed this storm will be different but seeing clown maps like this 5 days out sucks!!

Actually think we're in a really good spot right now. Ridge out west is pretty far west giving us plenty of wiggle room to shift NW. And big storms almost always shift NW

Not to be an ass, but your roof must be pretty unstable. This is pure fluff for the time being.

I agree..vort is 50-100 miles east of where CMC has it most the eastern Valley loses the lift needed. The surface low off the coast only offers maybe some better moisture transport to the 850. Think we are 100% dependent on the 850...surface LP is just too far off (unless the whole setup can go negative tilt and phase together sooner)

Bc these runs tn are closed off so far south that its starts to occlude early and drift east. I still think the models tn were a step in the right direction.

Good trends, So close to something huge.

I’m kind of hoping this one misses. The piles at the end of my driveway are already shoulder high and I’m running out of room. With temps this week bitterly cold not much will melt. Starting to worry about my roof collapsing.

A ton of energy there…but why is it insane at 6 days out?

Models are still east so there's no perfect solution on display.

I have that feeling too for the same reasons you mentioned but it's close enough to keep our interest at the very least.

Can someone post the GEFS member snowmaps?

Well, the CMC is clearly on crack. But what I wouldn't give. That would be the largest snowstorm of my life, it would beat 2010

Thermonuclear detonation. What a beaut it was. Absolutely not. Any backyard that isn't mine is the enemy.

Indeed. Prob by like 12:35 or so

Ensembles.. Better at this range anyway.

I got a notification for this and clicked it and this was the first new post I saw after 2 hours, I was like WTF. Then I saw this, and well, you weren't wrong lol. Holy fucking shit. Not that it's ever gonna happen, but I think that would be a record breaker for most of the reporting stations in the area, and I think that would break the state snowfall record too. JFC that's a razor sharp gradient. A 20 minute drive would take you from 0" to 8-9"

You mean the same as it was at 6z? 20" for all?

Dude, that North cutoff is insane. Lol

Do you really want to see a near perfect solution 6 days out?

I wonder if future runs will expand the precip shield.

1/27 00Z UKMET Total QPF 50 miles west would be a big deal

4seasons just said that it didn’t close off early enough. But Whatever, I just hope this one can get close enough.

Yeah, just your run of the mill 3.5 footer in Salisbury.

Yep different from the last storm, this one feels more all or nothing. The precip shield actually isn't that small on the current models but I could see it being even tighter as we get closer to the event.