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Kevin, 50s on your bday is climo. However it’s the flavor that makes it feel warm. Unending blah but to be fair summer is over, ac is definitely done and the heat occasionally kicks on especially overnight. There have been a few ensemble runs (gefs mainly) that have hinted at a dateline ridge developing. That would be in time for some to be dumbfounded.

Sneaky run at 80 tomorrow east of the river.

Let's keep this going please.

I like Wxbell's graphics the best....SV has just always had the best loading time, but that gap maybe closing.

I see what you are saying, but this is worse IMO....mischaractrerizing a storm due to mesoscale banding is more forgivable than lumping an entire season in with some of the least snowy when it was one of the more prolific just to the north.

A bit of a hyprocrite aren't you? You are cluttering up this thread with Chester County charts. Are you saying that your arguments are poorly constructed because the Chester County data is independent of the rest of the world? You can't have your cake and eat it too. If Chester County is relevant to the rest of the world; Philadelphia, Allentown and Newark Ag station are relevant to Chester County. In any case the science is clear on this point, weather data is correlated for hundreds of miles. Chester County doesn't cool when the surrounding stations don't. In fact, as I showed in the Chester County thread, there is a very good match in the warming rate at the airport and individual Chesco stations. Finally we don't need any data outside of Chester County to know that Coatesville cooled significantly after the war. The tables posted above show that Coatesville cooled relative to Phoenixville and West Chester after 1945 and Phoenixville cooled relative to West Chester and Coatesville between 1948 and 1949. The data from outside Chester County merely confirms what the Chester County data is already showing.

Look who made an appearance in the Mid Atlantic Winter preview thread… No one else has posted since in there…

As of now, barring any drastic changes, the main Climate Driver Data extrapolated for the Winter suggests a strong SER presence. Of course, blocking is tough to factor in. If that were to manifest then things could be different...unless there's the SER -NAO Linkage. If you're a cold/snow lover like me it doesn't look good. As far as economically, it would be great as utility prices as well as other basic needs continue to rise. Many are having trouble making ends meet.

I had some scattered wind overnight that kept me over 40 like you, I assume you had the same.

Love the fall colors, but as soon as the leaves start dropping, all I think about is that its a month of heavy yard work coming haha.

50 is chilly in a little floating basket I would think. My dog spotted it and wouldn't stop barking at it. Thankfully it landed soon after I took the pic.

How's the foliage in Rockland County and Bear Mountain looking like? Any good or too early?

As they say, October snow is never good for the rest of the season. 2011 is another famous example, with the snowstorm on October 29, followed by a snowless torch from November 2011-March 2012 (and of course, an early taste of summer in late May 2012, and 100-degree days in July 2012 - the last ones until this June).

Solid boomers got me up and going this morning around 4:30. Snagged .73” of much needed rain.

Maybe consider contacting a private wx org. They may have access to that kind of data they can direct you to.

This morning is as good as it gets in October. The sun is bright and temperatures are pleasant.

Sunday will be very windy

I couldn't agree more. But we both might be sinking tonight.

40.3

I can live with that!!

It kind of looks like a classic closed off low around the Mississippi River and depending on the air patterns and blocking locations, it’s a gamble of it’s future track. Welcome to fall and winter fun.

It's 50 degrees up there haha

Stupid clouds ruined what shoulda been a bug killing night.

I had to think about this for a second then realized what you were talking about