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is that near hampshire hill?

Ens means arent budging much. Thats a red flag for up here and a sweet signal for the Mid Atl.

It's a 20yd FG attempt. you can't miss.

No stress.

I had to quick delete because I pulled a rookie move and posted/commented on what was last nights UKMET haha. I’ll be very curious if the Euro continues to move its heavy snows swath our way. Regardless, I’m not anywhere near sweating the too far south/north solutions. But this energy has to all come out and not have a portion of it left behind like what the GFS has been trying to do. I think as long as that happens I like our chances.

Yeh. A foot plus from Murphy to Manteo. That’ll work. .

lol I’m dead

GEFS def came north a bit from 06z. There’s some hits in there now while 06z had almost unanimous whiffs. The risk is obviously suppression on this but it’s far from a done deal. PV is crazy cold with the press but it’s also moving NE with time and we don’t have quite the crazy exotic west based block like a Feb 2010…EPS is more bullish on the blocking which has kind of been a theme this winter

If you recall my sentiment leading into that one, different ballgame. I started the thread and had my balls busted for doing so.

Not sure why I feel like a FG kicker in a tie game with the Super Bowl on the line

i'd be getting excited down here. this has all the hallmarks of a mid-Atlantic MECS (up by me is less certain for sure)... ample moisture, strong 250mb jet, some phasing potential, antecedent Arctic air, and confluence in place

Looks like we are in for an epic winter storm this weekend across much of Texas. Front crashes through on Friday turning rain to freezing rain north to south Friday into Saturday. Areas along and north of I-20 may get lucky and its more sleet and snow. Along and north of I-10 looks very icy. Snow and mixed showers extend into Sunday morning for east and SE TX. Monday lows across N and NE TX could well approach 0. More snow or mix could be in the cards for the middle of next week also.

That would still be my biggest snowfall in 10 years! If that would be a "fail" scenario, then that would be a heck if a consolation prize.

It is pretty crazy out there this morning. 100-car pileup reported on I-196 in Hudsonville area | WOODTV.com

I would even take 8" if it meant us getting a MECS.

I don't think you will get 2 feet like the mid atlantic, but certainly warning potential. Different story for me. This seems like a PD I or feb 2016 deal.

My bench mark for this is a 6" - 10" event. Would be the biggest snowfall for me since moving back to Maryland in August 2016.

Yup, they’re in very good shape now. Looking forward to it for sure.

Book it.

We would all take 8 in a heartbeat.

Yea 12z Thursday is my go/no go for this event. I'd much rather deal with suppression than worrying about something cutting. With such a fresh, strong push of cold air coming I don't think we have to worry about this cutting too much this time.

Yup, said that a few posts back. At least as of now. It certainly could get shunted for sure. But there’s a shot it creeps north for sure.

They have a long history of being gun-shy for whatever reason.