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Getting ready to flip to sleet I think

heavy snow philly and east, moderate west of philly

This slot my region of the Boxing Day storm in 2010 to just low end advisory. We had 4" of arctic sand that was falsely reported a 6+" but a debate for another time. The wind was impressive enough that the plows in town were throwing sparks because the roads were scarped clear. What was interesting about that result is that there was a mysterious notch in the QPF charts that was in fact stabbing down from interior Maine down into these tuck towns E or the Wor Hill/91 S... Dismissed it as noise. wrong. To your point, we never closed the T DP gap during that event - I know, because I looked. The closest was about 5 F... 16/11 with light arctic grits whirled around by turbine gusts.

Dollars to doughnuts he's waiting for more consensus, based on the next Euro run(s).

12Z GFS had 4, may be 5 other storms with frozen precip in SEPA after the Sunday night storm. I would think at least a few would be too warm but looks like an active pattern regardless. if we really get a big dog Sunday night, I am sure 99% of people (i.e. everyone who isn't on this forum) will be fully ready for spring

Glad I placed my Harris Teeter order last night and picked it up this morning!

Heavy wet snow and 31F. Accumulating on all surfaces.

Thank you!

Although the 15z NBM shows highs of 38° on Sunday and 37° on Monday, I suspect that the temperature will be near or just below freezing during the height of the storm. The 38° high on Sunday will occur before the onset of the storm. The 37° high on Monday will likely occur late in the day after the snow has moved away. Based on the standard deviation band, a reading in the upper 20s cannot be ruled out. We'll have to see where things are in the soundings for ratios, but this doesn't look like a low snow-liquid ratio event.

Half inch down still snowing good

Do you think you’re educating a group that’s been on here together almost 20 years?

Best winter in 11 years, if we get a blockbuster Monday! This turns into an A winter if it hits!

i'm 63 and haven't watched in decades. 60 is young enough to have seen the rise of phones and social media.....

The news is now showing the possibility of the Nor'Easter.

March 2001 was the watershed/gamechanger for lot of TV mets.

You guys are brutal . This is my second and last

Just wait til it starts my friend.....should be a fun afternoon for northern folk

2 ticks more

Once .. twice.. three times a Scooter?

I originally thought 1-3" but backed down after those afternoon runs.

For NYC, specifically Central Park 10 % Above 15 inches 30 % 10 -15 inches 30 % 6 -10 inches 20 % 3 -6 inch 10 % 1 -3 inch

I've been trying to will that sucker to the southern beaches of LI for a couple of days to be honest, yet all my Jedi powers have managed apparently is kissing ACK... It's been considered. Also, noticed this system appears to also be expanding in recent runs. Radially farther W-N. Seeing more of those fractal frontogenic banding features that typically arc the NW periphery of these things.

I stopped watching them when I started following online forums going back to the AccuWeather/Eastern forums days in the early 2000s a few years before PDII. I always found the weather forums to be more accurate and informative than TV meterologists.

That's an HECS like the GFS. Wow! Thanks for posting the AIGFS/Weathernext models which TT/Pivotal don't have.