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Despite finishing warmer than average, this was the 7th consecutive september where Detroit failed to officially hit 90, making it the longest stretch on record.

Right...this is what the MEI and RONI better convey. I agree the west PAC issue till an issue ...only thing that is keeping me measured. That said, I view that as more of a cap and don't expect this season to be bad.

boring rain storm in Florida.

Stop focusing on on ONI. RONI and MEI will border on moderate.

there is always tons of siberian snow cover in october has not helped nyc winters in a long time..

Even on a realistic scale that kind of gradient ain't been present since 2016, lol I feel like if/when "north and west of the city" becomes a thing again...maybe things are turning for the better.

Wet snow currently falling at 9000 feet and higher at Mammoth! Not accumulating, but this is pretty exciting this early, even for them! https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/main-lodge At Village level 8,100 feet it is a steady rain. You can see this in the puddles. https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/the-village Winter is approaching already in the eastern Sierra!

When the PDO eventually flips positive, even slightly so, and we get a bona fide El Nino. It has to happen sometime

It's not a true cold front though, it's more NE flow. Expect some clouds and drizzle to keep it cooler

40.6° for the low here

44 here currently with the temp falling fast.

Ouch. Good luck with that.

Unfortunately you are correct, and I remember someone mentioning the home brew part of the season is up next and it looks like it may have begun. These storms seem to be originating in odd places lately. And then there is this nasty storm, I really appreciate that the employees at the NHC will keep working even though they won't be paid during the shutdown. Humans, especially most decision makers, are really peculiar and I will never understand them.

Sandy hit NJ October 29. I like how it snowed two days later. WTF.

67 here

when will we get a year that's best case 09-10 and worst case 02-03

have a feeling I might pop on the pellet stove tomorrow morning.

Highs PHL: 72 New Brnswck: 69 EWR: 68 ACY: 68 TTN: 68 TEB: 67 ISP: 67 LGA: 66 NYC: 66 JFK: 66 BLM: 64

This is where my camp is-it’s really low but nowhere near last years. If I could post a photo of me walking across the bridge that is normally under water I would. Still-another crappy year where they drained the lake sI much to accommodate the kayakers and rafters on the yough river in Ohiopyle…..not caring about us boaters at the yough lake-such a shame to drain this gorgeous lake so the money makers stay in business…

Winnipesaukee continues to track just below the 1982-2024 minimum level for the date. Although it looks like estimated inflows are currently larger than discharges, so might stabilize or come up a bit.

Some improvement in the drought situation locally, but still dry in most places. The dry grounds really absorbed a lot of the rain, so area lakes and rivers are still quite low.

Despite a couple inches of rain last week, the reservoir levels have continued to decline. Should drop to 1,399' tomorrow. Further research shows it got down to at least 1,364' last year, maybe even a couple feet lower. Not sure of the final tally. Still aways to go before reaching those levels again, but with the current forecast could be looking at 1,380' later in the month.

No precip too.

Accuweather's early winter outlook calls for below normal snowfall (28-35") and near normal temperatures. Sounds like a repeat of last winter.

Down to 51, temp dropping like a rock. Maybe we make a run at 42/43.