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Some of the short term guidance is trying to hint at a sneaky cold Monday morning for the NW suburbs...perhaps even down to the upper 20s.

75 at 2pm.

Made a hard push and got all the yard finished finally today, Had to sacrifice a Saturday hunt day to do it though, But let it snow now, Tractor is ready to go.

To pile on, I made my winter tire swap appointment for next Saturday, so yep.

Drunk? Fell on its face?

Winter Weather Advisories are up. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gray ME 1241 PM EST Sat Nov 15 2025 MEZ013-020-033-160545- /O.EXA.KGYX.WW.Y.0017.251116T0000Z-251116T1200Z/ Southern Franklin-Androscoggin-Interior Cumberland Highlands- Including the cities of Temple, New Sharon, Livermore Falls, Lewiston, Farmington, Chesterville, Sabattus, Naples, Auburn, Harrison, Minot, Jay, Bridgton, New Vineyard, Wales, Turner, Wilton, and Greene 1241 PM EST Sat Nov 15 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations between 1 and 3 inches and ice accumulations around a light glaze. * WHERE...Androscoggin, Interior Cumberland Highlands, and Southern Franklin Counties. * WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Sunday. * IMPACTS...A period of mixed precipitation is expected with air temperatures remaining below freezing. Expect slippery road conditions and avoid travel if possible. Even light snowfall amounts can accumulate on roads and cause dangerous driving conditions due to snow covered roads. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions can be obtained by going to newengland511.org Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury. && $$

Can't disagree with ya there.

remains of a once-bright burning bush

Tomorrow will turn briefly milder with highs generally reaching the lower and middle 50s before another cool air mass moves into the region. Some showers are possible with the frontal passage, but rainfall totals will generally be under 0.25" in most parts of the region. In the wake of the cold front's passage, a period of below normal temperatures will prevail through at least Wednesday and possibly Thursday. Highs will be mainly in themiddle and upper 40s in New York City with lows in the middle and upper 30s. A milder pattern could develop the latter part of next week. Some rain is possible. Meanwhile, today will be Central Park's 1,386th consecutive day without daily snowfall of 4" or more. The record of 1,394 days was set during February 22, 1929 through December 16, 1932. That stretch ended with 6.7" daily snowfall on December 17, 1932. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.7°C for the week centered around November 5. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.07°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.55°C. La Niña conditions will likely continue through at least mid-winter. The SOI was +6.42 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -1.018 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 57% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal November (1991-2020 normal). November will likely finish with a mean temperature near 47.4° (0.6° below normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 0.3° below the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.

Hard to believe at this time last week we were talking about feet of snow falling in areas that are now over 70 degrees. Got to love November in the Midwest.

Griteater is very knowledgeable. It will be fasinating to see how things evolve.

Yes Santa Now bring me a snowy winter for Christmas.

Weeklies still look good for December . We just have to be patient.

https://x.com/p_simmswx/status/1989685215497752663?s=46&t=m4Eqkekadb-JCXTm7k-Txg

We take this and run with it.

Its common in the TNH pattern...93-94, 14-15 winters saw the -AO/+NAO often.

Not the best start...

Might be an ice storm pattern for my part of the world with cold air under cutting mild SW flow aloft

Torching at 70

Feels like it wants to be warm, though. The lack of wind feels amazing.

Ha I noticed it was pretty snowy in Maine too. CAD wedge and secondary trying to get going.

Wtf is that weenie 2” over me. I’m not finished with the yard work yet.

Phase 6-8 in DEC are not bad at all. 6 turns bad in JAN/FEB. A lot of misconceptions about MJO phases. Use Roundy's RMM: https://www.atmos.albany.edu/facstaff/roundy/waves/rmmcyc/index200reg.html

Lining up to get the northern Greens another high end snow event tomorrow into Monday night. This is only through Monday 1pm and still going strong. Another 1-2” QPF snow event for the mtns.