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  2. I like 100. Yes, I'm weird.
  3. Your pad always looks absolutely dialed, very aesthetically pleasing summer scene.
  4. Tne SPC upgraded Oklahoma for wind to enhanced at 01Z but not where there's an ongoing tornado outbreak lol
  5. Check out how Nino 1+2 being warm (+2.8c) is hitting +correlation in the Rockies in the medium range.. means you might have to give warm Nino 1+2 analogs credence going forward The Rockies in the Summer recently have almost never seen that kind of cold. That's vs the 81-10 average
  6. I think RONI ends up from like 1.7 to 2.0....just my early guess, but I'll have a better idea next month. ONI 2.2 TO 2.5??
  7. Back to back confirmed tornadoes on the ground along the I-64 corridor with this outbreak.
  8. Spent the day w my daughter doing some hiking in yosemite
  9. Definitely done better with that past few years.
  10. Warm Nino 1+2 pattern hitting, despite strong decadal seasonal trend for warmth out there
  11. Unfortunately, in this hobby, no bias = no hope! Lol
  12. Today
  13. 20s and 30s at night that's what everyone was saying. I can't find a link but I'll repeat it all day.
  14. Seems to be winding down, perfect timing to wipe out an entire summer day.
  15. Local outflow boundary in June. Thats an easy decision to chase after work. 2% strong!
  16. Today's Highs: ACY: 88 BLM: 87 New Brnswck: 87 EWR: 86 PHL: 86 LGA: 85 TEB: 84 TTN: 84 ISP: 82 JFK: 82 NYC: 82
  17. 18z GFS is just a bit different also who said through mid July
  18. Large tornado in progress just east of KVWX heading for Fort Branch IN.
  19. Picked up a whopping .01” from the showers that just rolled through
  20. and as the 12Z and 18Z NAM shows the difference in different areas - no consistency - thats why Don's forecast of a 1/2 inch to 1 1/2 inches without saying where is the best way to go.......
  21. Yesterday
  22. It's pretty easy not to have a bias. Accept that there is a 85% chance that the Winter will be above average wherever you are, but I think the Strong El Nino historical analog set is biased warm compared to that, with probably too much +AO/NAO.
  23. They keep showing a split with a screw zone in the middle. It's a riot to see 2.5" and 0.2" within 50 miles.
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