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  2. We're on our own for this one. Can confirm it's more east at 57 than it was at 54.
  3. Heights a bit higher out ahead on the 18z Euro so this will be a bit better then the 12z run.
  4. 18z Euro Baja low phases super early, at only hr 66
  5. Ah bummer, figured it wouldn't take long with this cold stretch. Maybe we can reel in this weekend storm that appears to be slowly bumping north?
  6. And if THEY'RE starting to get double digits hits in there...
  7. Not sure if my flight to DC on Friday with a flight back to BOS on Sunday is the greatest idea anymore..
  8. Good sign that those have continued to improve. Someone loop the last 4-5 runs of it and the difference becomes abundantly clear.
  9. where tf is randy? 18z euro baja low less closed off than 12z, it's more east, hr 54
  10. Nice! Yeah...so Tam' and I were just musing how 'don't assume just because a low pressure looks weak -' But yeah, we can probably see a similarity where must of these bigger busts of lore were associated with presumably weak system. Really all that is needed is one of metric to be huge and the storm in question goes crazy off that one factor. Superb DGZ like you were saying, in a marginal situation = over-performance. Just one example... Then there was Dec 9-11 1992. zomb
  11. best image I have now, but the 850s have gone north by a county or so:
  12. GEFS much more in line with EURO. Consolidated on an I-85 battle zone. The difference is the battle zone is snow/ice vs. snow/rain.
  13. Always one of the last things models latch onto.
  14. Chuckled when I saw it, knew u would be triggered
  15. It’s colder at 66. .
  16. 4 runs does not make a forecast…however GSO cut in half from 10.0 to 5.6. Trend or wobbles we shall see… .
  17. AI Euro was definitely north with more mixing issues.
  18. Nobody knows what the exact totals will be. The max is a lot of snow and the minimum is an ice storm. Weather channel uses the NBM along with their own recipe for the apps. It’s not to be trusted. We need it to trend a tick or two further south. Right now we’re in a flux between Short range and Long range models. Tomorrow night we will have the best idea on what will occur. IMO. .
  19. Don't have a whole lot of frames yet, but it looks like Euro AIFS has ticked back north a bit.
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