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  2. I hope it goes ape shit and gives up 50! INCHES! Leesburg jack.
  3. The last panel of the NAM has it turning back west (994 to 990), what’s that about? .
  4. It’s honestly pretty close to a substantial solution. 0.5”-1.2” QPF extending from DC southeast with more still to come.
  5. NAM wasnt that far from a boom...fix the northern stream like the GFS.
  6. @SnowenOutThere nice synopsis. People were saying it merges the two, Not really it just partially phases them early on enough that the main energy rounds the base and is focused on the lead SW. At 72hr you can see the trailing SW still there but unlike all other guidance because of what happened around hr24-36 the lead SW is the more amplified one and taken on a negative tilt. The trailing wave being the main one is useless because the timing is all wrong. The lead wave takes the surface low way OTS with it and there’s nothing for the trailing wave to amplify. It does activate the IVT connected to the departing coastal and we could score a consolation that way but unless the lead SW becomes the main player any surface wave will be long gone OTS.
  7. Ugh. Hoping the HRRR > Nammie for my area.
  8. I hope we can get the 18z models to go back in the right direction.
  9. raining nicely, it's much needed that's for sure
  10. Ji doesn't like it I bet? And the back edge is approaching quickly even though it's thousands of miles West... 41F/The melt is on...can't step on "grass" without a big smush sound.
  11. If you extrapolate beyond 84, you can clearly see that it is about to head due north towards MVY.
  12. If I channel my inner INS weenie, I’m feeling a boxing day 2010 coming. Lets go Korea.
  13. 9-10:1 on the WAA and then fluff on Saturday. Similar deal to the roided SWFE in Jan. Although toss the 30-40:1 ratios yielding another 6+. But yeah, maybe we average out 11-12:1.
  14. Mitch is 105 years old and has been on these forums for 42 years, at least get his username right.
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