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Ok fair enough. Perhaps I misunderstood. My mistake Ken. It’d be nice to see the Pats win…but I think their streak ends Sunday unfortunately. Seattle is Tough. But as they say…any given day.

GFS PVD

Pixie dust falling now

Snowflaking heavily here. Thought start time wasn't until 4 AM?

I need that trough to form about 20 more miles north for a big total but I'll take 2 inches to whiten up the dirty snow.

We got one warned heading this way, looks like its associated with the actual front.

Gonna spend 30 minutes of my time reading this right now!

Idk, looks pretty torchy still

Smithtown 8:30 pm 28/20 Flurries Due to the developing flizzard emergency, we are suspending the hourly ISP 1978 re-enactment. Here for your perusal is the complete set of metars (decoded) from that once in a lifetime event: KISP - Islip, NY Date Time (EST) Temp Dew Point Humidity Sea Level Pressure Visibility Wind Dir Wind Speed Gust Speed Events 2/6/1978 12:00 AM 23.0 3.0 42 30.26 7.0 North 11.5 - 2/6/1978 1:00 AM 26.1 1.9 35 30.20 7.0 NNE 17.3 - 2/6/1978 2:00 AM 25.0 1.0 36 30.22 7.0 NNE 13.8 - 2/6/1978 3:00 AM 25.0 19.9 81 30.19 2.0 NE 15.0 - Snow 2/6/1978 4:00 AM 25.0 19.9 81 30.15 3.0 NE 16.1 - Snow 2/6/1978 5:00 AM 25.0 21.0 85 30.12 2.0 NE 23.0 - Snow 2/6/1978 6:00 AM 24.1 19.0 81 30.09 2.0 NNE 23.0 - Snow 2/6/1978 6:25 AM -9999.0 -9999.0 N/A 30.08 1.0 NNE 23.0 - 2/6/1978 7:00 AM 24.1 19.9 84 30.07 0.5 NNE 23.0 - Snow 2/6/1978 8:00 AM 24.1 21.0 88 30.01 0.2 NE 25.3 - Snow 2/6/1978 8:11 AM -9999.0 -9999.0 N/A 30.00 0.5 NE 20.7 - 2/6/1978 9:00 AM 26.1 21.9 84 29.99 0.2 NE 21.9 - Snow 2/6/1978 9:15 AM -9999.0 -9999.0 N/A 29.94 0.2 NE 19.6 34.5 2/6/1978 10:00 AM 27.0 24.1 89 29.94 0.1 NE 23.0 34.5 Snow 2/6/1978 11:00 AM 27.0 25.0 92 29.88 0.1 NNE 25.3 40.3 Snow 2/6/1978 12:00 PM 27.0 25.0 92 29.78 0.1 NNE 23.0 34.5 Snow 2/6/1978 12:05 PM -9999.0 -9999.0 N/A 29.74 0.0 NE 29.9 39.1 2/6/1978 1:00 PM 27.0 26.1 96 29.69 0.0 NNE 32.2 41.4 Snow 2/6/1978 2:00 PM 28.0 26.1 92 29.63 0.0 NE 32.2 40.3 Snow 2/6/1978 3:00 PM 28.9 28.0 96 29.54 0.0 NE 40.3 56.4 Snow 2/6/1978 4:00 PM 30.0 28.0 92 29.49 0.0 NE 46.0 59.8 Snow 2/6/1978 5:00 PM 30.0 27.0 88 29.46 0.0 NE 28.8 47.2 Snow 2/6/1978 6:00 PM 28.0 27.0 96 29.44 0.1 NE 34.5 - Snow 2/6/1978 7:00 PM 27.0 26.1 96 29.40 0.0 NE 38.0 46.0 Snow 2/6/1978 8:00 PM 26.1 26.1 100 29.34 0.0 North 28.8 43.7 Snow 2/6/1978 9:00 PM 21.9 19.9 92 29.30 0.0 North 28.8 48.3 Snow 2/6/1978 10:00 PM 23.0 21.9 96 29.26 0.1 North 23.0 40.3 Snow 2/6/1978 10:30 PM -9999.0 -9999.0 N/A 29.24 5.5 NNE 23.0 40.3 2/6/1978 11:00 PM 32.0 30.0 92 29.24 0.6 NNE 25.3 - Snow 2/7/1978 12:00 AM 33.1 30.9 92 29.24 0.8 NNE 28.8 - Snow 2/7/1978 1:00 AM 33.1 30.9 92 29.28 0.2 NE 18.4 - Snow-Thunderstorm 2/7/1978 1:05 AM -9999.0 -9999.0 N/A 29.26 0.2 NE 19.6 27.6 2/7/1978 2:00 AM 30.0 28.9 96 29.28 0.1 NNE 26.5 - Snow 2/7/1978 3:00 AM 27.0 26.1 96 29.31 0.3 NNE 28.8 - Snow 2/7/1978 4:00 AM 25.0 24.1 96 29.33 0.2 NNE 28.8 40.3 Snow 2/7/1978 5:00 AM 24.1 23.0 96 29.35 0.2 NNE 25.3 - Snow 2/7/1978 5:05 AM -9999.0 -9999.0 N/A 29.35 0.4 North 23.0 34.5 2/7/1978 6:00 AM 23.0 21.0 92 29.38 0.5 North 23.0 - Snow 2/7/1978 7:00 AM 24.1 19.9 84 29.40 5.0 North 23.0 29.9 Snow 2/7/1978 8:00 AM 24.1 19.9 84 29.43 1.0 North 23.0 - Snow 2/7/1978 9:00 AM 25.0 21.0 85 29.47 0.5 North 26.5 - Snow 2/7/1978 9:10 AM -9999.0 -9999.0 N/A 0.00 0.1 NW 19.6 26.5 2/7/1978 10:00 AM 24.1 21.0 88 29.50 0.1 NNW 20.7 27.6 Snow 2/7/1978 10:04 AM -9999.0 -9999.0 N/A 0.00 0.6 NNW 20.7 27.6 2/7/1978 11:00 AM 24.1 21.0 88 29.52 0.1 NNW 20.7 - Snow 2/7/1978 12:00 PM 24.1 21.9 91 29.55 0.1 NNW 25.3 35.7 Snow 2/7/1978 1:00 PM 25.0 21.9 88 29.57 0.2 NNW 20.7 35.7 Snow 2/7/1978 1:15 PM -9999.0 -9999.0 N/A 29.57 1.0 NW 23.0 36.8 2/7/1978 2:00 PM 26.1 21.9 84 29.60 0.2 NNW 23.0 38.0 Snow 2/7/1978 3:00 PM 26.1 21.9 84 29.63 0.2 NNW 23.0 - Snow 2/7/1978 3:30 PM -9999.0 -9999.0 N/A 0.00 3.0 NNW 23.0 32.2 2/7/1978 4:00 PM 26.1 24.1 92 29.66 1.0 NW 20.7 - Snow 2/7/1978 4:10 PM -9999.0 -9999.0 N/A 29.68 5.0 NW 20.7 - 2/7/1978 5:00 PM 26.1 24.1 92 29.71 5.0 NNW 20.7 28.8 Snow 2/7/1978 6:00 PM 27.0 24.1 89 29.76 5.0 NNW 23.0 31.1 Snow 2/7/1978 7:00 PM 26.1 23.0 88 29.79 10.0 NW 17.3 - Snow 2/7/1978 8:00 PM 26.1 21.9 84 29.83 10.0 NW 18.4 - 2/7/1978 9:00 PM 26.1 23.0 88 29.86 10.0 NW 19.6 - 2/7/1978 10:00 PM 26.1 23.0 88 29.90 10.0 NW 15.0 - 2/7/1978 11:00 PM 26.1 21.9 84 29.94 10.0 NW 15.0 -

First flakes here would be happy with 1”+

18" for me, 3 feet for KBOS?

Based on those maps, I think so yes. If no delay, the streams will phase too soon and cut. Instead the lead NS wave can reinforce cold air while the second wave approaches The other end of the spectrum is the wave getting delayed so much that confluence leaves and its too warm by the time it gets here. But i think thats less likely because the ao/nao seem to be trending more negative in recent runs.

Not that dissimilar to the HRRR. Yikes for most of CT. Hope that’s wrong for them

Front now going through Erie PA and Buffalo NY, still not all that windy as system begins to develop its offshore low component tonight. Will predict right on midnight for fropa at EWR-NYC-LGA, a few minutes earlier for some northern forum people and a few minutes later in parts of NJ and south shore LI. Could be a rather gradual temperature drop judging by post-frontal readings in Ontario, takes six hours after fropa there for readings to go sub-zero (F). With stronger winds it might take four hours to go sub-15 F but probably it will just stabilize at whatever value after sunrise and then drop again tomorrow afternoon/evening.

Yea…like if the Pats win.

It's the weather forecast. Isn't that what we do around here?

It's a nowcast situation but it's the kind of system where pretty consistently you want to be in eastern New England/Boston area. If banding consolidates there it probably means lots of subsidence garbage here.

Should be excellent skiing there tomorrow. Conditions have been very good already and add some fluff. Winds could be not as fun

Why do you post cold temperatures?

Maybe because we've been below normal and it's run its course.

Salt doesn't work too well in these temps. I hope they are putting down sand too for traction.

Only weak echoes here on the radar (using TPHL since KDIX is down) yet we’ve had a steady light snow for the past hour. Dusting on the ground.

So why you posting it then..its normal temps.

00z RAP still snowing over extreme eastern areas at end of run.