All Activity

One last very dark day before it brightens with snow, lights were coming on just before 1pm out there! I was getting roughly 2500 lux during peak daytime - absurd. Was 9C this morning before the front dropped it 4C within 30 mins. Snow was going to start at 4 and just as I thought "where is it?", at 5 the epic snowy period has commenced.

Yall drew me in for this shit. It better deliver.

and the amped GFS solution is wrong now ?

Got nice late

looked like a good run to me .. I'd take advisory amounts and some sleet to lock in the pack

Remember, windshield wiper effect.

i just have this feeling where this is going to whiff

Gfs also has two vorts in one system, which it didn’t have before. Previous run: This tells me that gfs may be struggling to resolve active pieces of energy off the pacific and rounding the bottom of the TPV. We’ll see whether these vorts get consolidated back into one like previously, or whether one vort is “favored” over the other. That can result in big differences in both track and timing, and of course ptype.

If the L goes west of you you’ll be dry slotted. Fact of life. And I’ll worry about that after I’ve got my 4” of WAA snow.

Happy hour GFS doubles down and is really amped. Rainy outcome. Idk about you guys but I'd much rather see an amped solution this far out. Edit: Still a nice thump of snow NW of 95 verbatim. Sent from my SM-S938U using Tapatalk

Winds are here

considering the other models at 12z I think it's probably good we got a run coming in hot.

Wagons north

really different solutions between the GFS and most other models - IMO GFS is too amped and will trend further south and east similar to the benchmark solution it had previously.... and other models will trend west closer to that solution....18Z is a leftover 12Z solution anyways - newer data at 0Z

in albany for the next month and a half. 18z GFS is a dream

Yep, we don’t need a major adjustment to get snow

At 120hrs, we're all still in the game. That's really all that can be taken at this point, and that's a decent place to be for a 12/2 threat.

personally, given the pattern, i would find something suppressed and washed out more likely than something as amped as the GFS

The mountains get snow this run

Actually might even be close to the mix line here

Rains to Maines

Textbook snowstorm for here

Better TPV push and it might be okay. I like seeing a stronger storm… one day that’ll work out for us.

Way amped