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I just came here to post about it. Horrific.

If you go by decades rather than 30 year periods, our number of 90 degree days peaked during the 90s. You can run the numbers for all the locations you mentioned and also JFK. We had multiple historically hot summers during the 90s (91,93,95,99) and we have not had that kind of sustained heat since then (with the exception of 2010.)

Horrible, horrible situation in Texas.

I am getting sick and tired of this shyte right now. It's pouring again. We are in the process of getting Kerr Countied today. I have to go out in this crap to take Ashley B to St David's to her work this morning! Low water crossings today are all like New Orleans in fracking Katrina. I can't even believe this malarkey about being warned for possibly ten more inches today. This is south central Texas not the southeastern Carolinas with Chantal.

But we should have local cooling breezes because New York City exists on islands (besides The Bronx of course.) I just don't believe that a park could ever be representative of urban conditions and the equipment should NEVER have been in a park to begin with. We have a heliport in lower Manhattan, that's where it should be. LGA is also hotter than most of the area because of how densely packed that region is and its overnight lows are always elevated compared to both JFK and Central Park. For Manhattan urban area purposes the equipment in Central Park needs to be taken out of the park and relocated to the heliport.

Just get the equipment out of Central Park and the problem is solved. Government needs to step in since NWS won't do a thing.

This might be the days of rain I saw on the forecast yesterday. Sunday might be our last good day for awhile.

The usual suspects are in the top 20, the summers I always talk about lol. Question though, why are we using 31 not 30? A month is scientifically speaking, the amount of time it takes for the moon to revolve around the earth and that averages out to 30 days (it's really 29.53 but we can round that to 30.) 1. 1966 June 20 to July 20 ___________91.97 2. 1993 July 5 to Aug 4 ______________91.61 3. 1999 July 3 or 4 to Aug 2 or 3 ____ 90.94 4. 1955 July 8 to Aug 7 ______________ 90.90 5. 1944 July 22 to Aug 21 ___________ 90.84 6. 1980 July 14 to Aug 13 ____________ 90.71 t7. 1988A July 16 to Aug 15 ___________ 90.29 t7. 2010 June 27 to July 27 __________ 90.29 (or July 3 to Aug 2 was also 90.29) 9. 2005 July 15 to Aug 14 ___________ 89.87 10. 2011 July 4 to Aug 3 _____________ 89.84 11. 1983 July 11 to Aug 10 ____________ 89.71 12. 1952 June 24 to July 24 _________ 89.35 t13. 1977 July 13 to Aug 12 ___________ 89.29 t13. 1995 July 13 to Aug 12 ___________ 89.29 t15. 1876 June 23 to July 23 __________ 89.26 t15. 1991 June 24 to July 24 __________ 89.26 t15. 2006 July 11 to Aug 10 ____________89.26 18. 1949 July 13 to Aug 12 ____________ 89.13 __ a non-overlapping 31d interval June 11 to July 11 was 86.74 19. 1953 June 20 to July 20 __________ 88.90 __ non-overlapping 31d intervals Aug 8 (or 10) to Sep 7 (or 9) 87.00 20. 2002 Jul 20 or 22 to Aug 19 or 21_ 88.87 __ non-overlapping 31d interval June 20 or 21 to July 20 or 21 was 87.10

61. Beautiful morning

56 this morning

Some of the higher spots in the County like West Grove and East Nantmeal Township had highs remaining in the upper 70’s – most other spots hit the low 80’s. Plenty of cool and comfortable 50’s overnight with Warwick Township being the coolest spot with a low down to 55.3 degrees. Another beautiful couple of days producing temperatures warming to the mid 80’s today and maybe some upper 80’s tomorrow especially across valley locations. Rain chances increase by Monday night with the best chance by Tuesday.

Some of the higher spots in the County like West Grove and East Nantmeal Township had highs remaining in the upper 70’s – most other spots hit the low 80’s. Plenty of cool and comfortable 50’s overnight with Warwick Township being the coolest spot with a low down to 55.3 degrees. Another beautiful couple of days producing temperatures warming to the mid 80’s today and maybe some upper 80’s tomorrow especially across valley locations. Rain chances increase by Monday night with the best chance by Tuesday.

Remember. The Euro is giving us 3 month averages on each forecast map, so keep that in mind when looking at the forecasts. The trend is what you need to consider as well as actual numbers.

Several buoys just east of Charleston are now measuring gusts around 40 kts on the west side of the circulation. With strongest winds on east side it may be a little stronger than 35 kts already

The Euro brings in Chantal’s remnants Monday into Tuesday. 2.00-2.50 PWATS and mid 70s dewpoints for heavy rain potential. Will probably have to within the SPC HREF range to guess the peak amounts.

There were numerous warnings well ahead of the river overflowing

All they have to do is chop back enough to where the shadows don't fall on the station post leaf out. The station right now has basically no clearance around it: I have no hope that it will ever have 100 feet of clear land around it, but at least cut back enough to where the shadows aren't all over the station.

That is terrible. I don’t want to jump to conclusions, but am wondering if recent noaa and NWS cuts caused decrease warning times. eta… @StormyClearweather posted that at the same time as my post.

Sigh. https://bsky.app/profile/nycsouthpaw.bsky.social/post/3lt7r2mjlrc25

Chantal is looking interesting for Monday/Tuesday. Very interesting.

None of our current teleconnection indices accurately capture the changes we have seen in the North Pacific since 2018-2019 that I have highlighted in my previous posts. The record ridge near the Aleutians and to the east of Japan and attendant shift north in the storm track doesn’t fit neatly into either the Western Pacific oscillation of the North Pacific oscillation. Same goes for the record SSTs across the mid-latitudes of the North Pacific and Atlantic and subtropical ridge expansion. This is why the snowfall outcome was the same last winter with the strong -WPO interval in February as it had been with prior +WPO intervals. Both outcomes featured very strong Southeast Ridge patterns.

Morning coc is the best coc…enjoy.

Remember. The Euro is giving us 3 month averages on each forecast map, so keep that in mind when looking at the forecasts. The trend is what you need to consider as well as actual numbers.

July updated Euro seasonal still going with a La Nada: https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/seasonal_system5_nino_plumes?base_time=202507010000&nino_area=NINO3-4 Here's a link to all the forecast parameters. It has cooled temps since the last run across NA and has a normal temps in Canada vs last run lending credence to the Cansips. https://charts.ecmwf.int/?facets={"Product type"%3A["Experimental%3A AIFS"]%2C"Parameters"%3A[]%2C"Type"%3A[]%2C"Range"%3A["Long (Months)"]}