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Maps? I'm waiting on slow ass tropical tidbits.

Snow is white though

Looking meh for all parties involved, but at least there is some historical precedent to a clipper juicing up leading up to gametime. If I was to guess, though, areas slightly to most of our south have the best shot at this one again.

GFS decent for Sunday...I-95 jack DC to Balt

Going to be a bit better on the 12z GFS then 06z run, Baby steps.

Of course soon as I start a thread the gfs says enjoy a few sprinkles on Friday. Oh well.

Gotcha- yea, I don't think they will hit warning there TBH.

Gfs more amplified for sunday

Got down to 29 again last evening in Myrtle Beach...and a 2nd morning of HEAVY frost, almost like snow! But temps rebounding nicely today compared to yesterday...we're up to 50 now with full sun and clear conditions.

vort on 12z GFS looks a bit sharper/better tilted at 78h, along with better west coast ridge. It should end up better, considering how suppressed 0z/6z were.

My ex was watching one of those 10 years ago and I almost got enraged. I may still have the photo on my phone somewhere, they showed a blizzard setup as the main character was watching TV and the map of the lows/highs and track made zero sense, stuff was moving the wrong way

For ya mutha

Still think we got another 36 hours or so til Sunday is figured out. There continues to be a risk of anything from C-1 inch, several inches, a rainer, or a miss completely. I am still not that sold on any major warmup, unfortunately there may be a 3-5 stretch that hits the XMas window dead on but until that WPO as Don has pointed out goes positive there is a chance that ridging isn't extended to the E Coast or the NE for more than just a brief period. The EPO pop too on the EPS drops back towards neutral by 12/25

Bennington is kind of a snow hole, they get shadowed in all directions.

For DC or SNE?

they need to start making hallmark movies where it's 45 and raining on christmas

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2025/12/plowable-snowfall-still-favored-sunday.html First Call probably tomorrow or Friday, barring an unforeseen "poof".

Bennington, below 1000'... so she probably won't hit the warning amounts

IIRC... after the deep freeze... it really never got cold again.

Some sunshine coming through the clouds now. Zero precipitation yet.

Plowable Snowfall Still Favored Sunday Devin In Details As Considerable Model Uncertainty Remains Rainfall Likely Tonight Regardless of the ample supply of cold throughout the first third of the month of December, the storm system approaching the region today still looks to fall as primarily light rainfall for the majority of the region. The rising temperatures throughout the overnight period last night were the first indication of this outcome, as an innocuous looking wave over the Ohio River Valley manages to phase in enough with a lobe of the PV to amplify and track through southern Canada, which has already turned the winds out of the southwest across much of the northeastern CONUS. Although some light snowfall is possible across the higher terrain of the Berkshires, this particular system will prove more met than white. This is a very easy forecast since the system is traveling so far to the north, however, when that is not the case, modeling will be very sensitive to any subtle change with respect to phasing attempts is an extremely fast flow. This will be on full display with regard t the weekend forecast. Complicated Weekend Scenario Unfolding As of this morning, there were two more distinct parcels of energy over the arctic that are modeled to be on a collision course over the Canadian prairies late this week. The system over the Arctic Ocean, and the one entering Alaska are forecast to rapidly funnel SSE in the flow between the PV and west coast ridge, before ultimately coalescing in the vicinity of Alberta, Canada on overnight on Friday. The system will then careen around the southern side of the PV on Saturday, at which point guidance diverges concerning the precise nature of this crucial interaction. The European cluster of ensembles favors a scenario in which there remains enough space between the PV lobe and the developing system to allow to amplify sufficiently as to eventually impact much of the region with a plowable snowfall on Sunday. The GFS camp, on the other hand, keeps the PV in close enough proximity to greatly impede the development of the wave to the south by largely shearing it apart, which results in little if any snowfall across the area. The version of the EURO guidance that is derived from Artificial intelligence (AI) is even more aggressive than the traditional model, and implies a warning event of 6" or greater throughout at least a portion of the area. The Eastern Mass Weather hedge remains in favor of a plowable snowfall for at least a portion of the forecast area on Sunday given previously discussed analog support and teleconnector convergence, in addition to robust AI support in addition to a death of high latitude blocking at present to pin the PV slightly further to the south. First Call is likely either Thursday or Friday.

Expecting 1" or so then some glop. Won't matter in a couple weeks anyways if models are right.

Long Range RGEM looks like a hit

What town is she in?