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Yup...looks like we have room for maybe another 1-3" type event. In fact, I am shocked the GFS does not have any QPF during the day Tuesday...has the look for hefty snow squalls with thunder/lightning...quite unstable look with a good shortwave rolling through.

Might be but can see how it could drop an inch or two if it ramps a bit

This is kind of what I was sensing from people after just last week everyone hyped up mid-January as a pretty epic pattern… I’m too stupid to understand what happened between last week and now

GFS actually trending 25-50 miles north with the weekend system each run

Looks flaccid

Around 60 can still work out later down the line, but if it’s within a degree or two of 70 then it’s pretty much the kiss of death for the remainder of the season. See also 2017, 2020, and 2023.

What is it exactly that you and Kevin disagree with? Do me a favor....let me know how much snow you accumulate between now and January 15th and we'll readdress. It will be single-digits.

Sunday night

Since 1900, out of the top 20 December monthly snow totals, only 2 of those seasons were below normal. So that’s a positive sign.

Getting MJO to phase 7 by mid to late Jan would be helpful. Here are composite for strong MJO phase 7 in Jan - note strong blocking signal from north of AK to NW Canada to Greenland: https://x.com/WorldClimateSvc/status/2006751440753316061

Happy New Year! Dec 1 - Jan 7 should average -5 to -10 across the majority of New England. With pack regionwide and variable snow totals, some below some way above climo (125-150% around here). One of the best deep winter starts (cold snow and pack) overall in a long time. It was really nice having snow threats to track on the holidays, with snow falling for the ball drop. Looks like we have our January thaw for 5-10 days then we hope we reshuffle.

And the past 25 years:

Looking at Tuesday next week for the potential of another clipper to come through the area. 06z GEFS has 24hr QPF mean >.25” for a broad area. May be a bit torch in southern areas but too soon to really delve too much more into. Potential is there for weak system to come through.

here's the zoomed out view over the past 175 years or so.

Yeah it's at least double where we should be

Not the dreaded PDO (Edit: this is the past 10 years)

We need that here.

@The 4 SeasonsPicked up about 2” here overnight and with the squalls this morning. 12.5” on the season to date.

My brother next town over said about 4, looks like the S Shore might get better numbers.

We talked about the -NAO being transient for 2 pages yesterday

Nice coating everywhere one full shade spot still has a “drift” 29F

Winter isnt quickly moving along and folks are not happy about it?

Thanks. Not to be greedy but when we are minus 5.9F I think we should have scored more snow than we actually did. Either way, this December was a solid "A" grade.

Set goals not resolutions!! That is all I have to share. Next few weeks look bad. Resolutions will probably end for most people before the pattern changes again. Even more before mid February.

10 and a half inches of snow here so far this winter. That's solidly above normal snowfall to this point.