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Just got some good rumbles of thunder by me, along with some rain. I missed a big storm earlier today when I was in Paramus donating platelets. Looks like tomorrow will be sunny, but I bet the pool in my community will be too cold to go swimming in.
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We actually have damage in the park. Maybe a wet micro burst .
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2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season
WxWatcher007 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sat Jul 18 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: Northern Gulf of America and near Florida (AL91): Satellite images and surface observations indicate that a broad surface low is located over the eastern Gulf of America. The associated winds are currently light, and the shower and thunderstorm activity remains disorganized. However, gradual development of this system is possible, and it could become a tropical depression while it moves slowly northward or north-northwestward during the next few days. Interests along the Florida Gulf coast, southern Alabama, and southwestern Georgia should monitor the progress of this system as it is expected to bring heavy rain to portions of that region during the next several days. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system on Sunday, if needed. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven -
In central Islip at ducks game. Rain delay now. Not as crazy as what Long Beach saw. Still pretty intense
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Looks like the line bowed out as it went through Long Beach and velocities 60+mph as it went through. Hopefully power outages not too bad.
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High of 98 at 5:16pm/114 heat index. Unreal. Highest dew was 81 at 11:00am. No luck with the storms, 0.00", the outflow couldn't cool anything down.
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Torrential downpours with frequent lightning. Feel like something close gor struck. Lots of hail with this storm, dime and nickel size Id guess. Same storm seen on the World Cup broadcast by the BK bridge 30 mins prior arrived here.
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Saturday, July 18, 2026 Thunderstorm/Severe Weather Potential
Damage In Tolland replied to weatherwiz's topic in New England
Yes -
Saturday, July 18, 2026 Thunderstorm/Severe Weather Potential
kdxken replied to weatherwiz's topic in New England
New Bedford the rain capital. -
2 miles south of me, double or more rain today. Looks like these storms are splitting up coming in too.
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Saturday, July 18, 2026 Thunderstorm/Severe Weather Potential
Modfan2 replied to weatherwiz's topic in New England
Going to be some decent rain totals southern half of CT -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
canderson replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
All eyes on Tuesday. -
Absolutely insane storm at jones beach. Zero vis and at least 60mph winds. Definitely need a severe thunderstorm warning .
- Yesterday
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2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season
vortex95 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Tropical Headquarters
I don't know if the RRFS can handle TCs properly. This is a good question for the modelers. The NAM never was designed for TCs we know. The RRFS seems overdone, esp. given by 72 hr a strong deformation shear zone get established along the nrn Gulf Coast, and the systems get torn apart aloft. The HRRR through 48 hr does show it becoming a TD, but again, I am not sure how good mesoscale models not specifically designed for TCs, such as the HAFS and HWRF, do here. The 2m wind field looks choppy and pock-marked on the HRRR by 36 hr. The HWRF from 18z today shows sig development having is 992 mb by 60 hr, but that appears overdone. GFS/ECMWF suggest weak TD status before the environment becomes unfavorable. -
Lots of lightning today but only a trace of rain so far
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Already canceled
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Come on let's crush the records with this thing! -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
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Loud loud thunder here
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Welp…here comes the lightning again. Radar still looks nasty coming in.
