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That was a pretty good storm out in the Garrett County area as well. I ended up with exactly a foot.

Foggy morning, with a batch of shwrs/stms moving across N MN. Might see something later.

How can you be sure of the reliable influence of any teleconnection these days if they can just be nullified by some unseen pattern against all prior correlations?

That information is available: Drought Classification | U.S. Drought Monitor D0 corresponds to indices in the 20th to 30th percentile, meaning any given week, on average, about 3 in 10 years should be at least "abnormally dry." Over the course of the year (52 weeks), the recurrence for at least some period of D0 or worse during the course of the year is probably like once every 2 years (given that the weekly percentile is nearly 1 in 3). It's not particularly rare.

It was November 22nd and a more typical storm. Snow mixed in around nova for an hour or two before rain, I think the only places with real accumulations was Mount PSU (4in I think) and the catoctins (where I went ~6in).

That the weather is f'd up?

It's OK, thanks. I usually go to Jay Peak or somewhere way north. Til then...

Green Bay's defense is absolutely ferocious now after the gift of getting Parsons. Add in short week and Green Bay being at home and it was a really very very hard task for Washington. Washington did much better than Detroit did last Sunday fwiw going up there - and on shorter turnaround.

You know, I swear I posted (tongue in cheek) that this was good as I'd just washed my Jeep, but I don't see it. Maybe I forgot to hit the post button. Maybe it was removed for some reason. If it was removed, I don't know why. I was just funnin' for laughs...

It was mostly that the +PNA was getting undercut by the very fast Pacific Jet. The composite below is for the heaviest precipitation days last winter from Philly to Boston. The energy diving into the trough to our west during the storms pumped the Southeast ridge allowing the wettest storms to cut to our west.

Agree 100%. I have come across quite a few hot summers and mild, snowless winters from the 1800s-1860s, but with lack of official records, they are never looked at beyond what minimal info there is.

Plenty to do and talk about, What a great stretch of fall weather, Dry but comfortable to get chores done.

No offense bro but thank god you’re not running the team. Jalen Carter is a generational DT talent. You don’t give those away. Not to mention safety is one of the lowest positional values in the league. You’re not getting a player of Carter’s caliber back even if you got 10 first rounders. That’s why I laugh at what GB paid for Parsons. That is absolutely nothing for a generational pass rusher. They don’t grow on trees and they aren’t available every draft. There is no trade of Jalen Carter that doesn’t make the team significantly worse.

Last fall repeat and ngl im here for it. Endless sunny and 70’s days and low 50/upper 40 nights. Let’s keep this going until about mid November.

A Steining to remember.

I played there years ago for a friend's bachelor party. I'd like to go back, I remember it as being a nice course.

Mentioned before, I am confident this will be BS this season. Will revisit next spring.

September is the sunniest month here, followed in order by August and July.

It didn't work out because the PNA ridges consistently posituioned off of the west coast. Put it over the chinmey of Idaho and it will work.

If you want to see a lot of them, look for the also invasive Tree of Heaven. They love those suckers (pun intended).

I think the PNA will be volatile and average near neutral...we should be a big +month in January that will coincide with +NAO.

The recent dry pattern stretching back to last summer has mostly affected the soil moisture and vegetation. It was really only parts of NJ that had issues with the very low reservoirs last fall. As the NYC watershed upstate didn’t run into any low water supply issues. Long range precipitation forecasting is very low skill. We had a 500 year drought back in the 1960s followed by a steady increase in rainfall. While the drought from 1999-2002 did result in NYC watershed restrictions and low reservoir levels, it wasn’t as bad as the 1960s. We entered a much wetter pattern back in 2003. All our dry periods since then have been short and the rebound to wetter following them was more impressive. So we will need more time to see if the major drought covering Canada and parts of the CONUS is some type of new pattern the last few years. In the mean time the dry pattern has been influencing or daily temperature range. The low temperatures have been running significantly cooler than the highs. So this has lead to the great radiational cooling in places like Walpack, NJ. But the high temperatures have been beating guidance on the days with close to full sun and offshore flow.

Our great stretch of weather continues this weekend. We should see above normal temperatures near 80 degrees through Monday. We fall back close to normal with highs in the mid to upper 70's by Tuesday. Our very dry weather unfortunately continues for at least the next week.

Our great stretch of weather continues this weekend. We should see above normal temperatures near 80 degrees through Monday. We fall back close to normal with highs in the mid to upper 70's by Tuesday. Our very dry weather unfortunately continues for at least the next week.

Still no significant precip