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  2. He will continue to get beat up as the pocket compresses/collapses due to poor OL play. Terrible job by EDC and also Harbaugh who refuses to explore other options at guard. Again, Hello Ben Cleveland?- a dude Harbaugh was so fired up over and wanted to trade up to get if necessary 5 years ago on draft day. He rots on the bench and remains in the doghouse because Harbaugh doesnt like how he practices. So we continue to see the Faalele embarrassment week after week. Vorhees is almost as bad.
  3. Do you think there could be a wave spacing issue given the signal for something in the Tuesday/Wednesday timeframe next week? I guess that should be enough to let Saturday do its thing but it's a little close I'd say. Will probably come down to what that midweek piece of energy does.
  4. Last year's model trend was to dry everything out as the event got closer. Seems like that hasn't changed.
  5. I’m eyeing it only because UVA has a date with destiny that Saturday. Snow game would be amazing but unlikely. Cold rain game would suck. Kinda hoping it just poofs.
  6. It's more the 29th ... but yeah. It's too low confidence to know about track and amplitude - the latter's probably too strong in this run though. Might be the first multi-region/full synoptic event of the season; don't need it to be heading for the 980s in order to do it. This is open wave NJ model low. They can bomb so we can't through the idea away entirely, but given to the progressive nature ... a middling system fits better.
  7. I wasn’t talking about on here you bozo. Did you even bother to read what I said or you just saw that I dared to say “not extreme cold” and you saw red. Oh wait…..you never see red
  8. Friday evening, I'll start the Dec thread due to already discussed Stratwarm and its impact as a pattern changer-plunger in North America. That way I can add the CPC week 3-4 outlook and any D8-14 hazards which I suspect will be developing in the east, beyond lake effect.
  9. I saw that this AM. I figured they hadn't even started making snow. I think I heard they plan to have the new summit lift online by December 8. I guess that took pressure off making snow to summit.
  10. Today
  11. honest question, why are you even on twitter? I avoid twitter like the plague there are enough knowledgeable people here
  12. Different answer on Google search ai answer says as few days to a couple of weeks for a major SSW to be felt in the mid latitudes such as North America and eastern Canada. With the effects potentially lasting up to two months. Regardless, there comes a risk with this as we could end up getting a suppressed storm track depends on where the SPV sets up right over Hudson Bay is ideal.
  13. Ya, I’m real cool with that, was just making a point. Carry on.
  14. I’m actually seeing a bit of a signal for around the 30th, especially for interior. Way out in time, but a bunch of EPS members had it. 18z OP GFS has a front clearing around the 28th with HP building behind and energy organizing down S. Likely too early in the Ridge beat down progression for the coastal plain, but I’d keep an eye out on this time period for interior/W NY region .
  15. No one said " extreme cold " but you said warm and thats not going to happen .
  16. It’s still mostly a cover all bases operation
  17. Yep, one of those 2-4” stat padders we’ve been lacking until last winter.
  18. Fwiw or not ... I'm not a big fan of the MJO unless it's in constructive interference with the WPO mode...or it has a tough time propagating convection out of the marine subcontinent. It has to do that or there's no latent heat flux --> dispersion forcing to the modulate the subtropical coupling to the mid latitudes ..etc. Right now, the RMM shows the wave struggling on the 6 wave number region, probably also because it's negatively interfering with the W. Pac/La Nina. To me that's like a "predictive firewall" ... we'll see what happens if that wave collapse tendency is real. If it is not, then the way may indeed escape the W. Pac gauntlet later in 7 ... The 7 composite is actually a cool anomaly from the NP-GL-NE regions... and then it would be in positive interference in the Americas in 8-1-2. So it's like a yes-no-yin-yang- neg-pos along this wave's progression. I figure the WPO/EPO signal is precedent (there first) ...the MJO arriving late is liable to get damp some. The question is ... does it punch through. I'm aware the RMM has it going nuts in some of the guidance types way out there in late 7. The MJO is not a pattern forcer... it's a pattern modulator. And the latter depends on the whether neg or pos interference. It needs to be positive
  19. Pay site. You may get one free. https://www.bostonglobe.com/2025/11/19/metro/polar-vortex-forecast-2025-cold/
  20. Huh. So I guess they’re actually not showing “extreme cold” like I just read on twitter. Man oh man, you have to be really careful who you follow there
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