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6z NAM looks like it will dig more this run.. should see some great solutions today..

A Winter Storm Watch for: "rain, snow, sleet, freezing rain, who the fuck knows."

Like me, Wakefield has zero idea what is going to happen. Friday A slight chance of rain after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 49. Calm wind becoming north around 6 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Friday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 19. North wind 5 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. Saturday A chance of snow after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 29. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Saturday Night Snow before 1am, then snow and sleet. The snow and sleet could be heavy at times. Low around 22. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Sunday Rain, snow, and sleet, becoming all rain after 7am. The sleet could be heavy at times. High near 38. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Sunday Night Rain, snow, and freezing rain, mainly before 1am. Low around 26. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Monday A chance of snow before 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 35. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Well my 24 hour self ban didn’t work. At this point may as well make the somewhat happy reminder at this point that even with colder surface temps freezing rain won’t accumulate if it’s coming down in moderate rates. So the euro might be picking up on this with its rain solution, even if it’s erroneous on the actual temp profile. I guess it depends on how much sleet there is for the rain to stick to at this point in the CV. This one hurts guys, but we need the rain..

Recon out flying.. models should get better today

Yeah the NFL got soft. They postponed the steelers at bills playoff game a few years ago due to heavy snow

Atleast 1/3 of the United States is under a winter storm watch/warning

1.5... best looks like it was south of here but ill take a nice refresher

Winter Storm Watch for York County .

And wow, Winter storm watches up already for everywhere, literally. I don’t think I ever saw such a large expanse of watches.

Point click is lovely Saturday Night Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 12. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Sunday Snow. High near 19. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Sunday Night Snow likely, mainly before 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 13. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Looking over the 0z ensembles, they continue to be more supportive of an all snow outcome in all of C-PA despite the Euro and especially Canadian op creeping that mix line into southern PA. Here’s the Canadian ensemble members and p-type. Note that none of the members really intrude into PA with the mix line. A couple get close, but snow is predominant regardless. That factors pretty heavily into what your seeing on the NBM maps, as it blends all these ensembles. 0z Euro ensemble is fantastic Here’s the multi-run trend for MDT (Euro ensemble), you can see how this has really escalated the last couple days.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 216 AM EST Thu Jan 22 2026 ...MAJOR WINTER STORM POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND... .A large area of precipitation will overrun Arctic air in place over the Mid-Atlantic. This will likely lead to widespread significant snow beginning late Saturday, with the potential for ice Sunday especially south of Highway 50 and near and east of Interstate 95. In addition to the high threat for significant snow and ice, very cold temperatures are expected Friday night through the middle of next week with sub-zero wind chills likely at times. DCZ001-MDZ008-011-013-014-016>018-504-506-508-VAZ053>057-527-222115- /O.NEW.KLWX.WS.A.0001.260125T0000Z-260126T1200Z/ District of Columbia-Cecil-Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Charles-St. Marys-Calvert-Central and Southeast Montgomery-Central and Southeast Howard-Southeast Harford-Fairfax- Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Stafford-Spotsylvania-King George-Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park- 216 AM EST Thu Jan 22 2026 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Heavy snow mixed with sleet and freezing rain possible. There is a high likelihood of at least 5 inches of snow, with over 10 inches possible. Ice accumulation is also possible. * WHERE...DC, and portions of central, northeast, northern, and southern Maryland, and central and northern Virginia. * WHEN...From Saturday evening through Monday morning. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow will likely overspread the area Saturday evening, becoming heavy at times late Saturday night with rates of one to two inches per hour possible at times. A mix with sleet or freezing rain is possible Sunday. Significant icing is possible especially south of Highway 50. Visibility of one-quarter mile or less is possible at times. A prolonged period wind chills in the teens and single digits is likely beginning Friday evening and lasting through the middle of next week, with sub-zero wind chills possible at times. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. Now is the time to make preparations for the storm. This includes getting any necessary groceries or medicines that you may not be able to access this weekend into early next week due to any potential closure. Have an emergency kit in the car including extra batteries, a flashlight, and blanket just in case you get stranded. Make sure to refuel or charge your car before the storm hits. Check on elderly friends, family, and neighbors and don`t forget about pets or livestock during this prolonged cold period. && $$ DHOF/EST

Just got an alert on my phone for a winter storm watch.

WSW hoisted. Woo!

Watches flying all over in VA, PA, NJ, NY.

Finally....Wakefield adds central VA to WSW. This map is imoressive.

Winter Storm Watch URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA 204 AM EST Thu Jan 22 2026 OHZ039>041-048>050-057>059-068-069-PAZ013-014-020>022-029-031-073- 075-WVZ001>004-012-021-509>511-513-221515- /O.NEW.KPBZ.WS.A.0001.260125T0000Z-260126T1800Z/ Tuscarawas-Carroll-Columbiana-Coshocton-Harrison-Jefferson OH- Muskingum-Guernsey-Belmont-Noble-Monroe-Lawrence-Butler-Beaver- Allegheny-Armstrong-Washington-Greene-Westmoreland-Fayette-Hancock- Brooke-Ohio-Marshall-Wetzel-Marion-Monongalia- Ridges of Eastern Monongalia and Northwestern Preston-Preston- Western Tucker- Including the cities of Malvern, Greensburg, New Philadelphia, Monessen, Wheeling, Cambridge, Weirton, Zanesville, Parsons, Ambridge, Canonsburg, Coshocton, Dover, Uniontown, Cadiz, Fairmont, Follansbee, Salem, New Martinsville, Kittanning, Martins Ferry, Saint George, New Castle, Washington, East Liverpool, St. Clairsville, Butler, Bruceton Mills, Monaca, Caldwell, Kingwood, New Kensington, Beaver Falls, Wellsburg, Woodsfield, Aliquippa, Morgantown, Moundsville, Latrobe, Columbiana, Steubenville, Ellwood City, Murrysville, Waynesburg, Lower Burrell, Pittsburgh Metro Area, Hendricks, Coopers Rock, Ford City, and Carrollton 204 AM EST Thu Jan 22 2026 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Moderate to major impacts to the region are possible later this weekend with periods of moderate to heavy snow. * WHERE...Portions of east central Ohio, southwest and western Pennsylvania, and northern and the northern panhandle of West Virginia. * WHEN...From Saturday evening through Monday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible later this weekend and Monday morning. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation.

If we can get that coastal going like some models are doing at 0z this is going to be historic.. as it is now looks like most of SNE will see 12 to 18

So have now seen two MD Universities, Frostburg and Salisbury, both put out messages to their students. Frostburg is opening up their dorms a day early on Saturday to accommodate students getting back to campus before the snow. Also opening up the dinning hall early and not charging. Salisbury is having a week of virtual classes starting Monday so that students do not need to rush back. Both the Ms. J’s are back on their campuses already as both of them started back within the last couple of weeks. I am making a run up to PA to drop off something for the kid up there and decided to go on Friday. Told the DC kid to get to the store and get what she needs.

Welp, gonna test my generator tomorrow. @#$% Who would've thought the Canadian would kind of be right days ago. The continued drought of major snow for RVA is pretty wild.

Euro is beautiful next weekend also