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Talking early in the week when Monday and Tuesday were cloudy and wet at the beach with mostly cloudy skies and mist. Areas back home had sun in Northern De., and PA was mostly sunny. The front stalled, more onshore flow and what was forecasted as sunny turned into cloudy conditions for the Southern areas. Erin's impact on Dewey's weather was more mid to late week. Today being the worse of the last four days here. I need more orange crushes today.

With this rain I'm at 1.13" of rain for the month, so the area can use it. I have an irrigation system, so I'm good, but many neighbors lawns and flowers are looking quite thirsty. Seems like from Walt's map above, a decent amount of NJ South of 78 and away from the coast were in the shaft zone.

I don't remember if you needed the rain or not but you did get shafted with this, you have one of the lowest totals in the area. I got skunked a bit as well considering the surrounding amounts, northern Queens and Nassau had between 0.4 and 0.6 but closer to an inch just a couple miles south of me and much bigger amounts just north as well.

Same here, .23"

This stuff is more appealing in a 1992 planetary climate for me. Not so sure I vibe with that now that we've evolved to a 2025 state of global climate affairs. Most of the outlooks and conjectures I've read or heard are clad enough relative to classical modes ( longer termed telecons, air/ocean/land ...etc), but don't consider the a consistently observing winter circulation modes being unstable, despite those efforts. And thus ...less predictable, more so than usual - higher variance including at times unusually large correction ranges ( warm vs cool ), that for lack of better words, flout the governing/preceding indicators. More occurrences of anti-correlation. This instability was always clearly predicted by climate models and so interesting enough appears to be manifesting... I'm not sure I see a compensating mechanism that caps that manifestation from doing the same thing. I realize I've been sarcastic at times in mockery over having this winter just being like the last 7 or 8 consecutive ones/8 number of years, but there is modicum of valid reason in that humor. Because simply put, the 'disruption' aspects having been getting in the way of all intents and purposes ... with enough consistency and a large enough sample size to dim confidence in the reliance on classical application.

90/70 at ASOS like mid-summer is what “deep” is to me.

Watch Fernand and Gabrielle be weak and short lived Could get Fernand off the red blob 99L might go into the BOC and become Gabs Humberto = have to wait until late september 2024 had a similar pace as well with Fran forming in early September in the Gulf

I am really sorry to hear this. I met him once at a SE weather meeting. He was a really nice person. It would be great to get a big snow this year in his memory.

Looks like a fishy reading but technically Savannah-Hilton head airport dropped to a dewpoint of 62 on Monday, breaking the streak of dewpoint at or above 68 degrees, which ranks third highest all time

Nice job sniffing all this out Walt ! Excellent work as always.

What? You’re thinking when I just had temp sensor years ago

Kind of embarrassing for the GEFS/CMCE early Monday morning guidance that was relied upon for the WPC dry product for Wednesday 8/21. Our p45 815AM post had it all documented, with the EPS suite clearly indicating something along the lines of what happened. It's not always EPS/EC superior to the GFS suite but I am getting disappointed. Had this been winter, I think the forum would have been lit with posts. As it was, this snuck by... possibly most not caring, despite science allowing for consideration. No doubt the was a meaningful rain for all of us, alleviating some of the recent summer dryness. The rainfall accumulation graphics attached demonstrate. Also, while not a clear cut PRE, this qpf event was well in advance of Erin-an indirect influence on what happened here as you well know from watching radar. The PRE composite was helpful for me as meteorologist, attempting to gauge what might happen in our NYC subforum. MESOSCALE excesses: DID happen in se NYS and se CT, per attached NYC FFW, attached digital rainfall output which showed the 5" max, AND, weather underground two day report of 4.89" near Boutonville NYS (Old Post Rd) via station KNYSOUTH137. I did not check many stations there but you can get the drift. I have to clear some attachments so the attachments will complete at 915A and the attached at 915AM may not be in correct order, but if you're interested check all of this information presented. My house in Wantage NJ only 1.04 11A/20-6A/21.

The Outer Banks had sustained TS force winds overnight through 8AM despite the center being 200 miles to the SE/ESE/E! 1. From 2AM NHC advisory: “A sustained wind of 40 mph (65 km/h) and a gust to 46 mph (74 km/h) were recently reported at the U.S. Coast Guard Station Hatteras.” 2. From 5AM NHC advisory: “A WeatherFlow station at Jennette's Pier in Nags Head, North Carolina, recently measured a sustained wind of 41 mph (67 km/h) and a gust to 49 mph (80 km/h).” 3. From 8AM NHC advisory: “A WeatherFlow station at Jennette's Pier in Nags Head, North Carolina, recently measured a sustained wind of 45 mph (72 km/h) and a gust to 54 mph (87 km/h).”

Can you just imagine when the next REAL SIGNIFICANT threat comes along. They will be tripping over the hyperbole. Just picture what it would be like if something like a Donna or 1944 came along. Mr. Ed from NJ will be leading the charge with daily news conferences 7 days before and 2 weeks after. The smart people hate the media and those that don't fall for all the hype. Hook, line and sinker every single time. I'll add....the only "hype" that was really needed was the message about rip currents, waves and surf to keep the truly stupid out of the water.

Some light showers are possible this morning part otherwise cloudy, and another below normal temperature day across the area. We clear up both tomorrow and Saturday before shower chances increase on Sunday. Some valley locations may reach the low 80's tomorrow and Saturday. After that we will not touch 80 degrees for the remainder of August as we have much cooler weather moving next week. Some valley locations may even reach the 40's for overnight lows next week. Some great autumnal like weather on the way. Our next rain chances are Sunday.

If this verifies, we'll have a pretty cool August. Most of the NWS stations are listing at least -2 avg temp deviation for the month so far. (e.g. KNAK -2.4; DCA -2.8)

Phoenix has a five-year master plan for expanding trees/shade. The City is aware of the growing risks its people face from increasingly frequent and intense heat. https://www.phoenix.gov/content/dam/phoenix/heatsite/documents/ShadePhoenixPlan_Nov13CouncilDraft_topost_EN.pdf

Some light showers are possible this morning part otherwise cloudy, and another below normal temperature day across the area. We clear up both tomorrow and Saturday before shower chances increase on Sunday. Some valley locations may reach the low 80's tomorrow and Saturday. After that we will not touch 80 degrees for the remainder of August as we have much cooler weather moving next week. Some valley locations may even reach the 40's for overnight lows next week. Some great autumnal like weather on the way. Our next rain chances are Sunday.

3. Central Atlantic: A small area of low pressure located about 1200 miles southwest of the Azores is producing limited showers and thunderstorms. Upper-level winds are only marginally conducive for development while the system moves slowly eastward over the next couple of days * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

1.08" final

Just in time for week 1 of college football.