All Activity
- Past hour
-
Is we back? February discussion thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to mahk_webstah's topic in New England
e29 FTW -
And coastal areas by the looks of it.
-
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
lol. just stated the same. Here's to smart minds. -
Pittsburgh/Western PA WINTER ‘25/‘26
colonel717 replied to Burghblizz's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
March is a winter month. 93 has not set unrealistic expectations for me. We average 7.6 inches of snow. I grade each month to start based on meeting or exceeding the average monthly snow. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
If an event was to happen I suspect with very marginal temperatures this very well could be an elevation driven event.... -
When isn't it a "thread the needle" situation here, and when have they ever worked in our favor?
-
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
MJO812 replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Its alone right now -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
MickeyTim6533 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
i want a snowstorm as much as anybody, so yes, i would have posted that if he said it. again, my apologies -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Know that my post wasnt at you at all, just reading what you shared from him. While he no doubt is talented, anyone that's been in this game long enough knows that speaking in absolutes (or undertones thereof) is gonna take it on the chin once in a while. I think that's the rub w/ ctp, they historically dismiss until the bitter end, while using the 70/30 rule of betting on warm/ain't happening rule of modelology. -
Is we back? February discussion thread
Damage In Tolland replied to mahk_webstah's topic in New England
They always speed up -
I noticed on my walk yesterday evening how pristine the undisturbed areas look even after all these weeks. It still gives off a sheen when the light reflects off it. It's so smooth and the minor undulations can be noticed when you look at it more intently. That storm will be remembered forever in these parts. As for the weather this morning, balmy in the mid-40s when I left the house. Felt really nice actually.
-
and if you bust ? whats the meteorology behind this statement ?
-
BTW- they are all tracking a rainstorm over in that thread, mountains might have a chance. Its ovr for I-95. Models are trolling them hard.
-
Yeah I agree.
-
We heard you 3 times
-
As a meteorologist who does this shit professionally, we are all weirdos. No other set of people in their right mind will divulge into breakdowns of a computer simulation for an entity that is far more complex in the grand scheme than any of us can comprehend at lead times greater than 24 hrs, gnashing and gnawing of teeth when the algorithm's in place don't spit out a shade of blue. Weather enthusiasts are some of the more complex individuals in that we take immense amounts of gratification in cheering and lamenting on a physical construct we have absolutely no control over. If you have ever looked at a model run beyond 72 hrs to see what COULD happen in the world of weather and ran to comment on a message board....congratulations, you are a weirdo. I for one accept my weirdness and show it as a badge because weather is something all individuals have to contend with and it's fascinating to know how something so complex can yield such incredible results. Fin
-
Lol. That's exactly what mine looks like!
-
The upcoming system, if it happens, is like a springtime bowling ball. Those commonly favor New England and I strongly believe that's what will happen. Their snow climo is still very favorable even in the CC era while ours drops off sharply by mid Feb.
-
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I'm sure you would have done the same if he was predicting a blizzard, right? You clearly have one agenda here. We've been through this, yet you continue to only post negative stuff in this thread, the Philly thread, the MA thread... Many people, many long time posters have you on ignore. There's a reason for that. -
Sunday into Monday
-
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
MickeyTim6533 replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
be careful. you might get destroyed for voicing this. lol -
Is this for Monday into Tuesday if it comes?
-
Feb 10-11 Mid Week Minor Event - Ride the hot hand?
ma blizzard replied to HoarfrostHubb's topic in New England
1” -
For shits and giggles the 12 and 18" odds on eps and aifs ens are relatively high for 5 days out like 10-20% so there are some really big hitters .. hopefully the threat continues for 12z..
-
100% agree pal.
