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Looks like just enough troughiness in the East to keep us around normal to slightly below, while most of the country is well above normal..

Nice pattern coming up for the higher elevations and the Great Lakes snow belts.

We’ve been past peak for 2 weeks, almost all leaves down. Crazy the ranges we get in this forum.

And don't forget that we also got the volcanic cooling from Pinatubo, which helped fueled the snowy winters of 92-93, 93-94, and 95-96. Then again, it's highly unlikely we're going to get something like Pinatubo the rest of this decade. So, we're going to have to hope this next el nino flips the PDO positive or the Pacific jet becomes slow again (like 2009-10/2010-11 or 2013-14/2014-15). Are you sure the PDO is -1.31? I see -2.40 as the value for October 2025 (actually lower than the -2.33 in September) on NOAA: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/cmb/ersst/v5/index/ersst.v5.pdo.dat

Hey Anthony, Looks great! It isn’t quite as good as yesterday’s, which was the best run yet as it had the mean drop to 7 at the low point, but I still love this!

Agree with Walt D. about the possibility of first flakes in the 11/10 - 11/12 period. The GFS, EC, CMC, and ICON show a few different possible scenarios to achieve it. Parts of the mid-Atl may even be favored to get flakes before us. There should be some steep lapse rates and hopefully snow showers if an ULL swings through (ECM/ICON) and/or in the cold northwest flow that develops behind the rain event (GFS).

High school kids again? Why do you follow them and worse.. post them here

The old man is back, the hour is near !!! LETS GOOOOOOOOOO

Looks like I am about to get NAM'd. Per usual cut this in half and maybe we are talking something realistic.

Snowmap also looks good

People cant be happy with the pattern coming up. Its always something .

yup, and keep on rocking while you do it!

From AFDLWX of 223 PM EST Thu Nov 6 2025 "The airmass moving into the region Monday night is going to be extremely cold, possibly approaching some of the coldest temps ever sampled for the Tuesday 12Z IAD sounding. The GFS and ECMWF both show the potential for 500mb temps to be at or colder than -35C."

Lurking

South shore oaks laugh at sub 32 temps.

2 days away until NAM range lol

Tuesday, CMC

Tuesday, CMC

Looks like the 12Z Suite of guidance has come in a bit better agreement regarding the NWFS event Sunday night into Tuesday. Temperatures are really going to shock the system with windchill values in the single digits and highs on Monday not getting above freezing.