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Picture perfect evening.

Pretty clear out too.

Wait, now the GFS is a trustworthy model for you?

There are going to be several different influences on the positioning and speed of the front. Going to be a tremendous deal of convection (well already has been) between what’s been ongoing and the end of the week.

High temp of 75 here today. Beautiful day with the low dewpoints and sunshine. Gonna be interesting to see if we can get a heat wave here Wednesday through Friday. Definitely low-mid 90s on Thursday. Wednesday and Friday are going to be close with high temps near 90.

We don’t have a “bread and butter” snow pattern here. We can score in just about every snowstorm setup but also get totally screwed if one part goes awry. Big Miller A moisture bombs common in El Niño are DC’s bread and butter. It gave us our biggest snowstorm ever in Jan 2016 but we also got zilch in the 2/6/10 storm by 20 miles. Miller B late bloomers are Boston’s bread and butter-they can hammer NYC if they form soon enough or the city gets zilch. That’s why NYC is by far the hardest city to forecast for in the winter in a snowstorm setup-small changes mean hammered or cirrus or rain/sleet for a big chunk like in 2/8/13. Lake cutters and SWFEs I assume are yours that are guaranteed for at least something decent 4-5 days out. Those 90% of the time here are cold rain. Marginal setups more and more are cold rain in the city, and the 3-6” type cold clippers have gone extinct.

52.9° +SHRA Hey why not?

We did have a nice diurnal swing today, but not over 100 degrees.

possible strong tornado in E Weld County (close to Wyoming. ) I wonder if any storm chasers went out from Fort Collins to see this

I wouldn’t think 98-99 would be your kind of winter. Some great snow depth in January for awhile but it certainly wasn’t a cold, snow covered winter overall. I would actually put this past winter above 98-99 for overall wintery feel.

It is pretty active now with a south Bz. Don't snooze on tonight.

1995-1996 2014-2015 2010-2011 2004-2005 2017-2018 2002-2003

My favorite going back to 1990: 2013-14 2010-11 2007-08 2014-15 2004-05 2002-03 2008-09 2017-18 2000-01 1998-99

Yeah go team save Scott’s sanity. Ha

Happened again today. Nice storm, drifting northwest. I'm about 10 miles as the crow flies from Kiowa. By the time the storm got to me, it was sprinkles.

18Z euro also moved the wet axis north similarly.

That’s the likely scenario despite what Kooky Kenny thinks . Wagons north

18 ZGFS looks pretty good for Saturday …has the front pounding PF’s butt but it’s warm sector southeast of there

Highs today PHL: 75 EWR: 75 TEB: 74 ACY: 74 LGA: 73 New Brnswck: 73 JFK: 72 BLM: 72 ISP: 71 TTN: 71 NYC: 71

Can you imagine. Panicked over .31 inches of rain? Now THAT is Stein.

It was almost a perfect day, less that pesky Canadian smoke. Low was 56 and the high was 73 at the house today!

Yeah it was the Connecticut river valley that got swamped. Some were saying It was going to be way west. You knew...

Stick with your gut

Here it comes... it's only showers. Is your stepchild on board?