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I have lived here since 1996 and until today, never needed one.

Strong, big winds likely next weekend. NWS SPC has all of PA already on mod risk of high winds.

CTP is on board for our 2 chances at light snow this week. KEY MESSAGES... 1) One more night of Advisory-level wind chills tonight 2) Light accumulating snow possible late Tuesday night into Wed (mainly southern PA) 3) Light accumulating snow is possible again Fri-Sat, followed by gusty winds and another shot of Arctic air for next weekend

Feb 1855 for Kennebunk -8 in the afternoon and -21 the next morning. Probably windy. Scrolls for Steve.

Yeah that won’t happen again lol. Not like that.

I wonder how many Wake folks are quitting the forum after this.

Based on multi-seasonal trend to only sore up butts in the face of interminable power? ...right, it must be impossible. that said .. heh, the primary sensitivity on that series of charts ( 12z too) is the western ridge flatness. If that goes up higher in latitude, that thing will get under our latitude, minus perhaps 10 or 15% due to compressed flow absorption, but that thing has so much immensity to it it could sacrifice 1/2 and still choke off NYC/BOS from the civilized world with that f'n look.

The Fuquay-Varina folks may never recover knowing how long it will be before another big chance comes. I feel for them even more than Raleigh itself.

No i know you weren’t , but I distinctly remember you saying the same thing and followed it up with you didn’t care that you were missing a dusting . And then got a massive 3” squall and were upset you missed it

It looks like after the clipper system this coming week, the next storm signal would be around Feb 10th-12th.

Feb 55 for BOS…-16 -5 at 2pm looks like fun.

The 18z GFS is advertising upslope next weekend for NE TN, SW VA, SE KY, and IF real...likely the Plateau works itself into the equation.

ew England Cold wave of 1857. January 1857 was the coldest month ever recorded in New England. Average month temperatures of 16.7 °F (−8.5 °C) in New Haven, 16.8 °F (−8.4 °C) in Boston, and 19.6 °F (−6.9 °C) in New York City remain coldest months on record in those cities. The worst of the cold descended on New England on January 22 with January 23 being one of the coldest days known in the region. In Bath, Maine a temperature reading of −52 °F (−47 °C) and in Franconia, New Hampshire −51 °F (−46 °C) were recorded. In Norwich, Vermont −44 °F (−42 °C) was recorded. Boston suburbs of Malden and West Newton recorded −30 °F (−34 °C) overnight. Boston temperatures for January 23 never rose above 0 °F (−18 °C) all day and Nantucket Island was connected to the mainland by ice. In New York City, Erasmus Hall in Brooklyn reached a high of 0 °F during the day and the Hudson River froze over solidly enough for people to walk across to Hoboken.[

My neighbors are using garden shovels, plywood, cookie sheets to shovel the snow. luckily, I brought my snow shovel down from LI when I moved to NC - it was popular item today in the neighborhood

We could only hope. Seems like a tough task at the moment.

Its Fab Feb and our sun angle is back!! Time to hook up the ag plow instead of the snow plow and get ready for growing season! Man the fireball felt warm today. Good to see ya boy!

Franconia Notch

sufficed it is to say ... should this beast happen to correct and pass under L.I., that's our season defining event right there. not this last one ... it would double totals and destroy from wind impacts in one simultaneous horror bomb.

Cosgrove warned on his Saturday night extended forecast that the upcoming, brief warm spell could lull people into thinking winter is over. He noted that winter should return fiercely around mid-month and last through roughly the first week of March - then we break for spring which may well be wet and stormy according to LC. I see a window around Feb 15th and one around the 21st. The last half of the month looks cooler than the first half. If we are talking 95-96 as an analog, winter came back yet again after the first series of storms during that winter. OTH, 85(also an analog) simply got warm in February. I gotta be honest....I need some warm wx for a few days. Jan31st was -20.6 BN for TRI. That is an incredible number. TRI will finish w/ 8.6" of snow for January. Amazing finish to the month given that we had incredibly warm days for Jan 1-10th. I do think we need to watch any cold front(next weekend for example) as sometimes modeling has under-modeled the cold. So far, we have had two very cold air masses strike this winter...One after Thanksgiving which lasted into the middle of December. We had about a three week warm-up, and then the more severe cold shot(currently) hit. It has lasted for nearly three weeks. I suspect we repeat the pattern one more time, but am not guaranteeing this. The Weeklies do support a cool down during weeks 3-4. But just because we warm-up for a bit does not mean snow is not possible during that "warm-up." The NAO will likely be negative which places the storm track south of its normal location. We have just witnessed one of the great winter reversals of this century after that wild chinook.

Take some roofs off if it can’t snow.

I wasn’t even here. And I’m telling you what the gfs has you meat.

CON has a -37° in Jan 57, but it isn’t “official” since they weren’t using a max/min thermometer yet.

Weak ass waves are the GFS speciality. It’s locked in.

1857 must have surprised and perhaps shocked people, it went from brutal cold all through January (which had also been the case in Jan 1856 and Feb 1855) and it stayed cold a few days into February, then it turned right around and went to the other extreme. I think I read about severe ice-jam flooding in CT and MA around mid-February. There was heavy rain and temperatures in the low 60s (after the record cold 17th to 24th of January that included one heavy snowfall). The rest of that year was largely near record cold too.

These cold northerly winds are brutal on my house. They find every nook and cranny to get through. Just sealed up another window with that plastic sheething.