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What will be higher? Your max temp or gust?

I used the top of my deck table which was in a good spot. Easy to measure like you said.

https://twitter.com/bostonwxconsult/status/2000911081170956622?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

I got 9+ on the grass too. The 3 boards were all the same at 7.6. it's cool how consistent they were with no wind...easy measurement. There's no consistency on the lawn.

the NAM hints at that potential but it has a little pocket of steeper lapse rates and some higher MUCAPE. The NAM I think can often overdo those in these setups but its not unheard of to get some thunder/lightning with these, especially towards the outer Cape/Islands.

One that does not populate the weather map. A subtle over-running of warm air on the northwest flank of departing high pressure.

Looks like Xmas torch is back on the menu.

I would not be shocked at some thunder reports

Thanks Training

I'm also curious as to exactly how high temperatures will climb in the warm sector Friday. You'll have a southerly flow coming off unseasonably cool waters, plus coming off a snow cover on Long Island Sound and then across southern CT. I wonder if it will be more upper 40's versus lower 50's type stuff (not that I guess it matters much). Wind potential probably held back too because I'm sure there would certainly be a stout inversion. Maybe some wind potential if any elevated convection can be generated.

Ray, If you mean the link to the site that produces the graphs of 10 hPa/60N mean zonal wind back to 1978-9, those could be produced by going in here: https://acd-ext.gsfc.nasa.gov/Data_services/met/ann_data.html#ncep_clim_stats_nh

Interesting snippet from CTP's forecast discussion this morning: ( @canderson) The biggest story on Friday will be the potential for strong to damaging wind gusts. Building high pressure in the southeast US will interact with the potent and deepening cyclone crossing the Great Lakes to produce wind gusts exceeding 40mph Friday afternoon in the wake of the cold front. Anomalously strong wind fields could result in fairly widespread gusts of 40-50mph across the northeast US Friday afternoon. Wind Advisories may be needed for at least a portion of the area.

Agreed…and we’ve had a lot of very nice/great patterns of late, that produce zero…or very little. I’ll take my chances with the not so pretty, or mediocre at best pattern and give that a shot.

Take a good look at surface temps from Friday on. High barometer and low barometer cold.

Excited for the thaw though and no more dirty ice sheets!

I don't care what anybody says. That is impressive and was well advertised. We'll see where the month actually ends.

Yea it's pretty straightforward. Just need some clippers to be timed right when the cold presses occur, but otherwise there are no biggies with this one. We'll see how chances look on the OPs once we get past the cutter.

Columbia east: 14.4° this morning barely beats Monday’s 14.6° for coldest-to-date this Fall/Winter season.

I think sometimes we try too much or hope too hard for that perfect pattern but perfect patterns are tough to come by. I've become a firm believer in that it's not just about the pattern, it's about how the pieces are moving, evolving, and interacting within the pattern.

SCIENCE!!

Ended up correct. 13.8° in Havre de Grace. Single digits just inland. edit: looks like a 6.1° in Darlington on the Davis network map. It’s situated in a valley by Deer Creek. Insane.

The fact models keep our surfaces below normal is a flag to me. Watch for changes.

We do a unit on chemical reactions and energy. The anchoring phenomenon is how an MRE flameless heater works. We introduce them to MREs and their heaters and when you might use them. Power outages due to storms, etc. I mention that example because many were in their cars for 8-12 hours. IF they had an MRE in their car's emergency kit they could enjoy a warm meal of roasted rat while they waited it out. The unit itself focuses on Sandy and Maria but I throw in tht storm, the 2008 ice storm, and the flooding from 2023 because I'm a weenie

The bright side is, if he thinks it’s trash…we are destined to score for sure . Said Sunday’s deal was trash too…lmao.

Tells the tale of a seasoned wxman who should have known better getting stuck in traffic for 6 hours.