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3km NAM is useless here and barely paints any QPF anywhere, even in NW Indiana which is now under a WSW. HRRR isn't worth looking at either at extended range. I wish trends were good though

On reddit people were paying $450 for a full driveway.

Yet they lap up AI models like fresh mac n cheese

It's going to be something seeing a 970 low off the NC coast barely throwing precip more than 100 miles to the west of it.

Directly over Raleigh, yes, but that area in general just lost a ton of precip and that snow hole is creeping. Not specific runs just tends

That's Camden

The Fish has spoken. He will update again later he hopes but def in the morning. He said don’t get so caught up in this dry air stuff. Moisture will explode a possibly overcome that. https://www.facebook.com/share/v/1DkgAdhbUX/?mibextid=wwXIfr

Expect the worst lollll. That ULL is too far south. Dry air gonna hurt us funneling in from the north/northeast. Hope I’m wrong.

Very rare chance for Tampa Bay area to see flakes in the air overnight Saturday. Maybe even a dusting in some spots further up the Nature Coast. NAM 3K 2AM Sun lol.

Im not going to make GIFs but 3km NAM and HRRR both have trended towards a more significant front end push with slightly higher residence time over NE IL and have trended further west with the wobble of the band on Saturday. ECMWF has also subtly been trending this way though not hi-res.

Needs to happen quick- running out of time

Same here in Forsyth county. People are losing their minds over the road conditions.

12km says less than an inch, 3km gives me 6-8. Glad things are clear as mud this close to the storm lol

Good call out and info! Thanks

Alright who put that dry slot near me? Lol... this is mind boggling. I absolutely have no confidence of what's gonna happen with this storm.

I did that too and got scolded on the MA forum. I asked for an interpretation of the latest NBM. Interesting response. Tempered nit cliff diving.h

I tried to shovel my sidewalk yesterday. Didn’t go well. I was like damn, I need a jackhammer.

It’s so easy to get caught up in model totals and dry slots when they’re not gonna mail it to the exact mile. I can’t remember the last time you could say that any single person in the state of North Carolina, a lot of South Carolina and a good portion of southern Virginia and East Georgia are a good bet to get 2 inches of snow .

I agree. The Euro track record is great at this Range. If the 0Z NBM is still showing the same they'll keep showing what they are. It's what they use. I don't know who decides which Models to implement in it.

So, this is a chunk of the ice from the edge of my driveway. Still 2 inches thick. It has taken my son three days to clear one side of the 60-ft drive. Crazy staying power.

The SREF is up to 4.5 for TYS. It started today at 2” .

Yea- I can confirm this- I have owned a home in OKI since 2012....kinda warranted, however- I have only seen snow down there on a handful of occasions They did have an ice storm winter of 2013 in Green Swamp that took out an enormous amount of trees- i had a water line bust under the house that winter.....there is literally nothing on 211 going through Green Swamp for 20 miles- you could get stuck out there very easily