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Lol probably not

77 here...great day to lay out in a park and get those last tanning rays of the season

Beautiful day to sit outside with an IPA and watch college football

Would be nice to get more meaningful rain here though.

It’s been wet for a month and busts every time . This may be another dry fropa for most

GWDLT That sucks. Way too early.

Is it coming?

Euro is wet late Tuesday…we pray.

Hoping the cutoff low to the SW can finally end the 13th longest daily streak with under 1.00” here since early May. Number of Consecutive Days Precipitation < 1.00 for NEW HAVEN TWEED AP, CT Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 244 2014-12-10 through 2015-08-10 2 240 1964-12-05 through 1965-08-01 3 200 2001-10-10 through 2002-04-27 4 194 1965-08-03 through 1966-02-12 5 171 2013-06-09 through 2013-11-26 6 160 1971-02-09 through 1971-07-18 7 159 1960-11-02 through 1961-04-09 8 151 2015-08-12 through 2016-01-09 9 148 1962-04-02 through 1962-08-27 10 146 1957-05-15 through 1957-10-07 11 142 2007-09-12 through 2008-01-31 - 142 1955-03-23 through 1955-08-11 12 138 1966-10-20 through 1967-03-06 13 137 2025-05-06 through 2025-09-19 14 132 1955-11-05 through 1956-03-15 15 131 2009-01-29 through 2009-06-08

I just looked at HPC QPF page. Here is the 7-day total. I downloaded it about an hour ago and then did a bunch of work, but... Not too impressive for here, at all.

If you could only choose one option, what would you take? Option 1: Dec 2018 redo but the remainder of winter has above average temps. Option 2: Three snowfall events with varying amounts and a seasonal total of 10”. Wall to wall cold.

First snow for some showing up in clown range

Those nearly round prints make me think raccoon.

Extremely unsettled pattern ahead next week. Very high humidity, low diurnal temperature difference, high dews from all the moisture.

WB 12Z ensemble rain totals through Day 9. More welcome rain still looking like a good bet.

Emphasis on "a little".... Large-scale feature placement still argue against it... Just one of those years to date. Still time to get something threatening but certainly nothing obvious at this time. Maybe once (if) fall pattern grows more amplified we might get a Gulf or Caribbean system to pop and get get yanked northward?

This is what someone said: According to the TCPOD the NOAA planes (all three of them, the gulfstream is out too) are doing a research mission, apparently involving drones they're dropping in. The AF are on a normal fix mission, IDK the exact motivation. I guess in case of any effects to bermuda? Or it could just be practice/nothing else to do.

To your point, LWX has suddenly and retroactively changed their tune (though not necessarily in the PM disco update): I appreciate your observation...and honestly, your personal inputs here over the years. And please believe, I defend your profession more than you know....I only approach this from a hobbyist standpoint, but twice already this afternoon, I've had two neighbors ping me -- "yo, man...IT WASN'T SUPPOSED TO RAIN THIS AFTERNOON, WTF??" I got nuthin. Who knows...maybe we may have a microclimate thing going on here? This is anecdotal, but I'd say we've had exactly this kind of "blow-up" very localized shower/storm over the Hayfield/Kingstowne/Franconia area several times over the past two years, where almost no other locales in the close-in-NoVA burbs had nothing. And it's like it blows up...and rains/storms like hell...and then dissipates very quickly. That happened this afternoon, and at least a few times over the past two years. I (along with a couple neighbors) were astounded when the sky opened up about two hours ago. It didn't even LOOK that showery/stormy if you looked to the west/NW (unless you looked at radar) but boy-howdy...did we get a good gully-washer for about an hour.

Managed to get a pretty decent little boomer out here last night. Tiny cell that just happed to go right over me at the right time. Was an absolute downpour for about 10 minutes and some decent c2c lightning with great rolling thunder. That should keep my bitching suppressed for a few days. A nice surprise and a good watering for the grass and plants. I am happy (for now).

Next 2 weeks on the goofus

It does say "a few showers making it as far east as Southern MD". 90% of the area is dry. They probably should have put a 20% POP in, though..

I'm curious to know why we have three recon planes flying all the way out to a tropical storm in the middle of the ocean, which isn't going to affect any land.

The EURO, EURO AI and GGEM all have a big rain event from Thursday into Friday next week.

This made me want to see fall foliage currently and forecast. I went to this Web site: https://www.explorefall.com/fall-foliage-map It's pretty cool, with the slider at the bottom for forecast foliage. I have been to other sites on previous years, but have not yet seen this one. And cropped New England, kinda small, but I find this useful!

Yeah, there’s no surface moisture to try to offset these mixed down dews this evening. The NNE pits will radiate really well.