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They were pretty good last winter with maintaining the cold. I haven't followed them since March.

With some models hinting at an early frost next week can our first freeze be far behind? Below are current reporting stations across the Chester County PA area with last year, average, earliest and latest first freeze dates.

It’s a step down the staircase to winter. Maybe there’s 3 more stairs to go down if we have a warm wet torch, 5 or 6 if we have cold/snowy periods but step down today for sure.

With some models hinting at an early frost next week can our first freeze be far behind? Below are current reporting stations across the Chester County PA area with last year, average, earliest and latest first freeze dates.

Still have all of November

You’re a bad man. So, when are we firing up the NNE snow, I mean, cold season, thread?

That offers even more confidence it’s coming . They haven’t been correct in many many years

It's been a real soaker this evening. I'm sitting in my car at halftime of a high school football game since the band was unable to even play.

That's wild. We got enough to wet the driveway, not enough to register on the rain gauge. Nashua had a few blow ups after passing our area this year. Congrats. Edit: poor spelling.

Wow...88 both cef and bdl....ugh Glad it's over

Euro weeklies say "not so fast." https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/extended-anomaly-2t?base_time=202610020000&projection=opencharts_north_america&valid_time=202610120000

Euro weeklies say "what a way to run an historic warm Niño. " @GaWx https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/extended-anomaly-2t?base_time=202610020000&projection=opencharts_north_america&valid_time=202610120000

Everyone else is seeing this clowny GFS run right? Bringing snow showers through the Triad and even pushing into the Triangle. Couldn’t believe my eyes, but it is the GFS after all.

Don't know if anyone noticed, but many of the MR models are showing a big hit of BN over the Conus east of the Mississippi at the end of their runs for the past few days. 18z EuroAi and Gfs are pretty impressive with 12z support on the Gefs and Geps. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ec-aifs&region=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2026100218&fh=360 https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2026100218&fh=384 Edit: Euro weeklies are on board too as the first 3 weeks (surprisingly) are BN in much of the east. https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/extended-anomaly-2t?base_time=202610020000&projection=opencharts_north_america&valid_time=202610120000

Today's Highs: EWR: 87 New Brnswck: 87 PHL: 87 TEB: 87 TTN: 87 BLM: 86 LGA: 86 ACY: 85 NYC: 83 JFK: 82 ISP: 79

Got up to 85 for a high after a 63 low and picked up 0.17" for my first rain in October (so far). Currently 72 with dp 72 and waiting for that cold front to push through and take that humidity away.

I felt like today was summer saying goodbye

26 is also notably colder than 23 in the Arctic.

When you have all these polar currents in East Asia breeding on warmth,youd want to see some of these oceans colder and not warmer.it doesnt mix out very well

Since operational intensity was borderline and it's not really a sampling issue, I don't really see how they would bother. I mean, that's not overwhelming data for reanalysis to circumvent the operational intensity, IMO.

Quick shower here to end summer 2026.

Almost 0.4”. Not bad

.16 from earlier rain. Rained more in PA thus cancelling Friday night softball. Woo!