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  2. If the warm front is able to lift a bit further North, today could be a significant severe weather day, especially West of the Hudson.
  3. Something else that's under everyone's radar ( no wonder considering - ), is that there were occasional model cycles building warm anomaly heights with over-governing circulation modes back then too. It's just that there wasn't any consistency, save for the heat we did get last week, but that was outside the outlook. We were looking at mid month, i.e., now. There did turn out to be a big heat anomaly, relative to season. It's set off headlines in the SW/California. I noticed this over the last several summers actually, that type of correction vectoring. We'd see a big warm up/ridge type -PNAP emerge in the outer temporal horizon of the models, and then it would retrograde through the charts time went by to just end up right back in the SW frying eggs on High School parking lot science experiments in PHX.
  4. They literally said in their discussion yesterday that people would die today. Who are these idiots?
  5. Hey whatever works for you right? Glad you decided to try and become more healthy. Always a good thing.
  6. No need to view models anyway with metfan and ineedsnow still posting.
  7. So you're saying there's a chance...lol Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro using Tapatalk
  8. Unless something really looks ominous, I've viewed guidance for the last time this AM...just did a cursory glace and it seems more conducive for NNE.
  9. Nice! I started to work out for the first time ever last fall. Turned 45 and felt old and slow for the first time in my life. Reduced the crap I was eating too. Went from 170->155 and can actually see some muscles now. I don't go to a gym though, just bought a set of weights and alternate between arms/abs/biking(legs). My motivation is to hopefully prolong my years here and spend more quality time with the family. Also thinking it might be another 40 years until we see a BECS so I need to last till at least 85.
  10. Exactly what I've been thinking, we've got a ton of shear, plenty of lift, and good moisture - we've seen plenty of historically significant weather events / tornadoes triggered by strong frontal systems with less than 1000j/kg (sometimes much less, initiation after dark, etc.)
  11. Another listing of "DC-area" school dismissals: Closings and Delays | Washington DC | wusa9.com This includes Arlington (2 hours early) (which WJLA doesn't yet), and probably other additions that WJLA doesn't list yet. ((Still waiting on Loudoun County- I know someone with school kids there...))
  12. I already have friends texting me asking why their phones don’t have any severe weather alerts. Public is going to go ham if this busts
  13. There was a now deleted blog post which talked about the standard deviation and return rate of the event itself being up to 4000 years at the time, which honestly isn’t too far-fetched when you look at some of the records broken. Chicago for example recorded eight days of 80°+ during the event, which has only been done once in APRIL let alone March, and before the heat wave Chicago had only seen like ten 80°+ March days in recorded history. I will say that March has trended quite warm since then, especially in the 2020s where virtually ever March has been warmer than average, and this year is no different.
  14. Yea, I'm not holding my breath...if something comes together, great.....but I'm not pinned to the models. I've reached the stage where I'm content with the winter and am ready for the off-season....but if the hype starts to mount, I'll get ready for one last hurrah. I haven't cancelled the subscriptions...yet.
  15. Pretty rare to see to see 3 categories "high."
  16. Storm chasers talked all week about chasing Dixie longneckers on sunday night. I don't know if a single rotating signature showed up last night let alone a elongated blip six.
  17. I got banned for calling them out on their FB account. I genuinely think there needs to be some punitive action taken for such nonsense. I know that grays the first amendment, but scaring the shit out of a quarter of a million people and then asking for money shouldn't be protected.
  18. I'm rooting for EF3s that very gently disassemble things and then gently reassemble them somewhere else.
  19. 80/60 tornado probabilities on that watch. Gonna be a long day.
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