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Anyone know how to contact @Kevin W? His PMs are full.

Next three days coincide with warmest three-day interval for NYC highs in October (1941) 88 _ 94 _ 90, all daily records. Here are the rest of the NYC records ... <<<< OCTOBER >>>> For 2d rainfalls, which always end on date cited, ** indicates all rain fell only on that date, and ^ indicates all precip fell on the previous day while none fell on date listed. ... * indicates notes at bottom of table. In the snowfall column before it begins listing on 10th, some other rainfall events are noted. In Low min, a value in brackets indicates a max for that date not a record low max as well. Some low mins have an associated record low max (e.g., 5th 1881, after all that warm weather in Sep 1881). DATE ____ Hi max __ Hi min _____ Low max ____ Low min __________ Max prec (r) _ Max 2d rain _ Max snow (10th to 31st) Oct 01 ___ 88 1927 __ 72 1881, 1954 _ 51 1899 ___ 36 1947 (60) ______4.98 1913 ___ 4.98 1913*__ 2d rain 3.56 2010 (1.10+2.46) Oct 02 ___ 93 2019 __ 72 1954 ______ 49 1899 ___ 39 1886 (54) ______2.16 1929 ___ 5.28 1913 __ Oct 03 ___ 87 1919 __ 68 1954, 69 ___ 47 1888 ___ 38 1888,99,1974 __1.84 1869 ___ 2.16 1929**_ Oct 04 ___ 88 1941 __ 75 1898 _______ 51 1883 ___ 37 1888 (55) ______4.05 1877 ___ 4.05 1877*__ 2d rain 3.90 1869 (1.84+2.06) Oct 05 ___ 94 1941^__ 75 1898^______50 1881 ___ 35 1881 ___________1.99 1995 ___ 4.07 1877 __ Oct 06 ___ 90 1941 __ 71 1910 _______ 50 1935 ___ 36 1881 (60) ______2.70 1871 ___ 2.70 1871*__ 2.39" R 1955 (1d) Oct 07 ___ 88 1944 __ 70 2005 ______ 48 1873 __ 39 1954, 99 _______4.09 1972 ___ 4.38 1972 __ Oct 08 ___ 87 2007 __ 72 2017 ______ 45 1988 ___ 37 1988 __________ 4.30 1903 ___ 4.49 2005 (0.23+4.26) ^ Oct 09 ___ 86 1916 __ 71 2017 _______ 43 1888 ___ 37 1888, 1988 ____ 7.33 1903 ___11.63 1903 __ Oct 10 ___ 91 1939 __ 71 2018 _______ 43 1925 ___ 35 1888 ___________2.44 1871 ___ 7.50 1903 __ Tr sn 1925,79 Oct 11 ___ 85 1949 __ 69 2018 _______ 48 1951 ___ 34 1964 (55) ______3.06 2002 ___ 3.25 2002 __ Oct 12 ___ 86 1928,54 _ 67 1954 ____ 49 1875,87,91_35 1876 (52) ______4.26 2005 __ 4.39 2005, 4.34 2002 _ 3.40 1983 1dR Oct 13 ___ 87 1954 __ 69 1990 _______ 47 1874 ___ 34 1875 (51) ______2.75 2005 ___ 7.01 2005 __ Tr sn 1937 Oct 14 ___ 84 1920 __ 68 1990 _______ 45 1889 ___ 37 1988 (53 13th)_ 1.76 1995 ___ 4.29 2005 __ Oct 15 ___ 84 1956 __ 69 2014 _______ 46 1876 ___ 32 1876 __________ 1.70 1943 ___ 1.95 1995 __ 0.5 sn 1876 Oct 16 ___ 87 1897 __ 67 1897 _______ 46 2009 ___ 34 1876 (49) ______2.15 1974 ___ 2.35 1974 __ (all entries snow from here on) Oct 17 ___ 90 1938 __ 67 1928 _______ 47 1970 ___ 33 1886 (47 16th) _2.28 1936 ___ 2.30 1936 __ Trace 1929 Oct 18 ___ 82 1928 __ 69 1928 _______ 45 2009 ___ 35 1929,39,74 _____2.45 1911 ___ 3.24 1932^__Trace 1926,72 Oct 19 ___ 85 2016 __ 68 1905 _______ 43 1972 ___ 30 1940 (45) ______4.35 1996^___ 4.35 1996*__ Trace 1940,72 Oct 20 ___ 80 1947,69 _ 65 1916, 84 ___44 1974 __ 31 1974 ___________2.78 1989 ___ 4.50 1996^__ 0.5 1952 Oct 21 ___ 84 1920 __ 64 1947, 79 ___ 43 1888 ___ 31 1871 (52 20th) _2.17 1995 ___ 2.78 1989^_ Oct 22 ___ 88 1979 __ 67 1979 _______ 43 1887 ___ 30 1940 (51) ______1.51 2014 ___ 2.17 1995^ _ Oct 23 ___ 85 1947 __ 67 1979 _______ 42 1889 ___ 32 1969 (43) ______2.97 1912 ___ 2.99 1912 __ Oct 24 ___ 79 2001 __ 67 2017 _______ 44 1889 ___ 31 1969 (51) ______2.51 1917 ___ 3.92 1923* __Tr 1960 Oct 25 ___ 79 1963 __ 69 1908 _______ 40 1879 ___ 29 1879 __________ 3.30 1913 ___ 3.94 1913 __ Oct 26 ___ 78 1963,64 _66 1908 ______ 39 1962 __ 30 1869, 79 ______ 3.40 1943 ___ 3.54 1943 __ Tr 1903,28,62 Oct 27 ___ 82 1963 __ 66 1908 _______ 39 1869 ___ 28 1936 (43) ______1.88 2003 ___ 3.55 1943 __ Tr 1903,44 Oct 28 ___ 83 1919 __ 64 1971 ________ 41 1876 ___ 29 1976 (42 27th)_ 2.49 1953 ___ 2.54 2006 __ Tr 1925,34,65 Oct 29 ___ 78 1971 __ 63 1946 ______43 1909,25,52_ 31 1925 (43) ______3.67 1973 ___ 3.67 1973**__ 2.9 2011 Oct 30 ___ 82 1946,61 _ 64 1918, 46 ___ 38 1925 __ 31 1925 __________1.64 1917 ___ 3.89 1973 __ 0.8 1925 Oct 31 ___ 81 1946, 2024 __62 1881, 1961 _ 41 1869 _29 1887, 1925____2.41 1956___ 2.41 1956**__ (no snow) -- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -- ^ 5th _ Min with the extreme Oct max of 94 in 1941 was 71. Max with the extreme high mins in 1898 were 80, 81. ^ 7th to 14th _ 2005 had 13.25" rain in eight days with two amounts of 4.26" (8th,12th) and another 4.29" 13th-14th. ^ 18th _ 2d max rain 1932 3.24" (1.15+2.09) also 2.89" 1927 (0.98+1.91). Both greater than 1911 which had zero added. ^ 19th _ 3.12" R in 1966 (1d) .. 3.72 2d 1911 (2.45+1.27). ^ 20th _ 4.19" 2d rain 1989 (1.41+2.78) ^ 23-24 _ 3.92" 2d rain 1923 (2.45+1.47) ^ 31st _ 2024 min 61F not a record

Your temperature charts were really eye opening to me. It is really shocking just to see how short our “winters” have become.

What Don said. A big part of the decline in winter is the shoulder seasons are no longer cool. Hell you just had Liberty saying September was fallish. Our AC worked just as much according to our smart system as it did in August. I like 80s and blue sky just as much as the next person but I really do love winter. I know you are happy with just big snows a few times a year but I enjoy winters that have some staying power. My son is 7 and has never seen an above average winter. Also, to add, southern NY now sees year round tick activity as the norm. We alway tend to have lows above 40 now for at least part of each winter month (and not just a stray warm night). This is stuff that historically did not happen.

I believe he's describing the declining number of snow days.

I think the tied high score for September (Scotty and myself) is the first one since May 2023. There was a later case (Oct 2023) where high score was a little ahead of a second score with a late penalty, and a little behind the raw score before late penalty. The final phase of this contest is going to be very interesting. Tom has a fairly comfortable lead but there are three or four others within striking distance. I think RodneyS, wxdude64, myself and StormchaserChuck have fallen a bit too far back to have any realistic chance, the rest of the regulars have a chance.

CAD is our only hope for average or below. Still no strong cold fronts sweeping in from the upper plains..

The EPS mean shows upper 70s/low 80s for days on end in mid October. I want to see a frost/freeze, these mosquitoes have been brutal this year.

Today is October 3

I guess since it is not 90 we can't call it summer-like. Really worries me how we normalize the disappearance of our cold seasons. It is honestly why I cherish every single snow day. They are becoming so few and far between.

I'd say this would break a ton of records.

I apologize in advance but I figure somebody here would know. I’m traveling to Italy and Greece later this month. Any idea what kind of weather/climate to expect?

Cold will take hold when the rivers are bankful. November is going to be a very wet month.

Time to build up the subscriber base for the winter. Like the squirrels gathering nuts.

More summer-like than the Memorial Day weekend was. The Saturday to Monday highs were only in the upper 60s to mid 70s at the warm spots. The average high during that late May weekend is 75°. Models have 80°+ at the warm spots from Saturday through Tuesday. The average high this time of year is only 70°. Newark 2025-05-24 69 50 59.5 -6.0 5 0 0.02 0.0 0 2025-05-25 71 50 60.5 -5.3 4 0 T 0.0 0 2025-05-26 75 54 64.5 -1.6 0 0 0.00 0.0 0

ACE, which yesterday got to a NN 91.64, is now taking a break for awhile pending mainly what the E MDR system and any possible W Caribbean system will or won’t do next week (Bahamas AOI is very weak with only a 10% chance): note that it got to 29th out of the last 75. It just missed 2018 though it went ahead of 2024, 2016, and 2022 (2022 not shown because it was then 78.85). But, 2024 and 2016 should soon pull well ahead of 2025 during this expected 2025 respite: So, getting 100+ is still not yet certain even though it’s highly likely. I’ll give it a 95% chance since it’s La Nina and recent late seasons have been active.

Yeah. There were upper 80s days. But no 90 since Sept 2018. Im ready for cooler weather but a milder Fall in La Nina is normal.

I remember that. We had no power either, so no heat too!

12Z GEFS for pumpkin: only one of 30 hits Conus (hits S FL as a hurricane) and that’s because it is the furthest SW member (at Barbados) as it approaches the Lesser Antilles. The rest are at that time from PR to the Leewards (~50%) with ~50% at that time well NE of the Leewards: Here’s when that one member hits S FL. The one at the Outer Banks is from a NW Caribbean system: Edit: I don’t think any 12Z EPS are hitting the CONUS. If there are any, I can’t tell.

Forgot to post this from the other day, but WPC winter desk OPEN FOR BUSINESS

The 12Z Euro for the “pumpkin”: no TC til ~192 hours when it’s 1005 mb that’s ~125 miles N of PR. But it’s already recurving sharply then and never gets stronger than 1005 mb til it gets to 30N way out in the middle of the ocean. ———— 2PM TWO up to 0/50:2. Tropical Atlantic:A tropical wave has just emerged off the coast of Africa. The wave is forecast to interact with another disturbance over the eastern tropical Atlantic, and then move westward after that. Environmental conditions are expected to become conducive for some slow development of the system in a few days, and a tropical depression could form near or east of the Lesser Antilles by the end of next week.* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.Forecaster Berg

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